Archives for June 2009

Football Odds to win the SEC in 2009

football odds

Alabama is +500 to be the ’09 SEC Champ

Bama +500 Odds

Year in and year out, most college football experts agree that the SEC is the best conference in the country.  The SEC will likely have four teams rated in the Top 25 when the official coaches and media polls come out later this summer.

Atop those polls will no doubt be the defending national champion Florida Gators.  Florida is an enormous favorite to win the SEC this year as they have been posted by odds makers as a -275 favorite.

The biggest key to Florida’s success in ’09 will be the return of college football’s best player, quarterback Tim Tebow.  The guy is a flat out stud and he is not only the team’s leading returning passer but is also the team’s leading returning rusher as he had just over 650 yards on the ground.  Tebow will take care of the load on offense meanwhile one of the best defenses in the country is all coming back.  This defense is going to be very tough to score on as they were 4th in scoring defense and 9th in total defense last year.  They also posted a plus 22 turnover margin.  These numbers are staggering and the entire defense WILL BE BACK!  I see Florida cruising to another SEC Championship in 2009 and probably another National Championship in January.

As for what team will challenge Florida in the SEC, the odds makers believe LSU has the best chance as they have been listed at +350 to take home the title.  This comes as a surprise because most experts look for Alabama and Ole Miss to be better then this LSU squad.  The big question mark for the Tigers this season is their defense.  They lost 5 starters from a unit that wasn’t exactly spectacular last season.  They have a new coordinator but have a lot of holes to fill.  Head Coach, Les Miles also has to decide what he wants to do at the quarterback position.  Will he go with Jarrett Lee again or turn the offense over to Jordan Jefferson who absolutely obliterated Georgia Tech in last season’s bowl victory over Georgia Tech.  LSU has a lot of youngsters that Miles might plug in certain holes and we’re just going to have to wait and see how good they can be.

Alabama is at +500 to win the SEC and Nick Saban’s squad will have to try and focus on the task at hand with all kinds of NCAA investigations still going on.  If the sanctions go away and this team can concentrate on playing football, they could be very good.  They return 9 starters on a defense that was outstanding all year with the exception of the SEC Championship game and the Sugar Bowl against Utah.  Julio Jones is a stud wide receiver and Mark Ingram should be able to step in nicely at the running back position for Glen Coffee.  However, they need to find the answer as to who will be the quarterback.  Greg McElroy is expected to be the guy but he will get plenty of competition from Star Jackson.
All things considered, this conference if Florida’s to lose but I just don’t see that happening.  They have Tim Tebow and the best defense in the country returning all 11 starters.  The SEC will be a strong league again but I don’t think anyone will be able to dethrone the Gators.  The toughest opponent for the Gators will be against themselves.  They’ll have to stave off complacency after winning the national title two of the last three years.

2009 Odds To Win SEC Conference:

1. Alabama               +500
2. Arkansas              +1500
3. Auburn                 +900
4. Florida                  -275
5. Georgia                +750
6. Kentucky            +6000
7. LSU                    +350
8. Mississippi           +500
9. Mississippi State         +8000
10. South Carolina         +1600
11. Tennessee          +2500
12. Vanderbilt          +8000

Vegas has USF,WVU,Pitt as Big East Favorites in 2009

football odds

College Football Odds to win Big East Conference

Odds to win Big East

Of all the major conferences, the Big East appears to be the most wide open.  There are five teams that have a legitimate chance at winning this conference.

Of all the major conferences, the Big East appears to be the most wide open.  There are five teams that have a legitimate chance at winning this conference.  The odds makers have a three way tie as to who the favorite is as South Florida, West Virginia, and Pittsburgh have all been designated as +250 favorites to win the conference.  However, Rutgers posted at +500 is being picked by experts to win the conference and some experts even like Cincinnati to take home the crown once again.  Cincinnati has been posted at +800 to win the Big East and could be a nice long shot value bet.

The most daunting task for Dave Wannstedt and the Pittsburgh Panthers is replacing LeSean McCoy who has moved on to the NFL.  Under Wannstedt Pitt has never been an offensive juggernaut and McCoy basically was the Pitt offense last season.  Without any proven running backs, the offense will depend on the progress of quarterback Bill Stull.  Sophomore wide receiver will be Stull’s primary weapon as he finished second in receiving yards in ’08.  He is explosive and if Pitt can find ways to get him the ball as much as possible they could put enough points on the board for what will be a very stingy Pitt defense.  The Pitt defensive front is the best in the Big East and they return 7 starters from what was a pretty good defense last season.  Pitt will rely on their defense to be the backbone of this team.

For South Florida, the key to their success will be the ability of quarterback Matt Grothe to live up to his potential.  He is a threat as a passer and as a scrambler in the open field.  However, he is kind of an all-or-nothing type of player.  He can make the big play in one series and then turn the ball over the next.  Grothe must cut down on his mistakes in order for this team to be successful.  They return just 12 total starters but the defensive line is going to be phenomenal.  They will anchor the defense and will make it very tough for opposing teams to run on them.  If Grothe plays to his potential, this could be the team to beat in the Big East.

The biggest question mark for the West Virginia Mountaineers is who is going to replace Pat White at the quarterback position?  Senior Jarrett Brown looks to be the frontrunner and he will depend on his running game to take the pressure off his shoulders.  Noel Devine will carry the load rushing the football as he ran for 1,200 yards last season.  However, the offensive line is very inexperienced and might not be able to open up gaping holes like they did last season.  West Virginia is another team that will rely on their defense, much like Pittsburgh.  They return 7 starters from what was underrated defense last year.  All of the teams mentioned above have huge question marks, so this conference truly is wide open.  It will come down to whose key players step up as well as whose inexperience will hinder them the most.

Odds To Win Big East Conference 2009:

1. Cincinnati         +800
2. Connecticut         +800
3. Louisville         +1500
4. Pittsburgh         +250
5. Rutgers         +500
6. South Florida     +250
7. Syracuse         +5000
8. West Virginia     +250

Vegas Picks USC To Win PAC 10 Again

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2009-2010 College Football betting odds

USC to win PAC-10

As long as Pete Carroll is still bringing in talent from across the country, USC will be the heavy favorites to win the Pac 10 year in and year out. 2009 looks to be no different according to Vegas odds makers as the Trojans have been listed as a lofty -375 favorite to win the Pac 10 crown.

The next two teams listed to win be conference champs are +500.  That is $875 swing for both Cal and Oregon.  Another team to look out for is Oregon State as the Beavers are a potential Top 25 team but are listed at a whopping +1000 to win the Pac 10.

USC has some major holes to fill, particularly at quarterback as Mark Sanchez opted out of his last year of eligibility to enter the NFL draft.  Right now Aaron Corp is the frontrunner but freshman Matt Barkley is making a run at being the man in charge of the offense.  The other skill positions are stocked with speed and talent so whoever gets the job will have plenty of weapons along with a very stout offensive line.  The defense has a lot of new faces and a lot to prove as a plethora of players have left for the NFL.  All-American safety Taylor Mays is back however and he will be the leader of a young, inexperienced defense.  The youth on the defensive side of the ball and the lack of any experience at the quarterback position is a concern but USC doesn’t rebuild, they reload.

The California Golden Bears probably have the best shot at unseating Southern Cal as the Pac 10 champs and may very well be a Top 10 team in August.  The Bears return a lot of firepower on offense as well as eight starters from a solid defense from last year but it’s all up to quarterback Kevin Riley to carry this team to the next level.  Riley completed just a little bit above 50% of his passes last season and needs to be vastly improved for Cal to be a contender in ’09.  Jahvid Best rushed for over 1,500 yards last season and should only get better with a lot of experience back on the offensive line.  The entire secondary is back which is paramount due to the wide open offenses they will face in the Pac 10 but the season rests on Riley’s shoulders.  If he does, this could be a dangerous team.

Another team who could be ranked anywhere from 10-15 in the pre-season polls is the Oregon Ducks.  Jeremiah Masolireally emerged as a quarterback who could run and throw with proficiency within the new offense.  The Ducks are blessed to have a lot of key skill position players back as well including running back LeGarrette Blount and receiver Jeff Maehl.  There are some concerns on the offensive line but it seems like Oregon always finds a way to be very tough in the trenches.  The defense will be improved taking some of the pressure off the offense to simply outscore people.  This conference is USC’s to win but they do have some question marks so Cal and Oregon could make a run.  Unfortunately, I don’t see it happening.  USC has too much speed and talent once again.

Odds To Win Pac 10 Conference 2009-2010 Season:

Arizona         +3000
Arizona State         +2000
California         +500
Oregon         +500
Oregon State         +1000
Stanford         +3300
UCLA           +1000
Southern Cal         -375
Washington         +7500
Washington State         +10000

2009 BIG 12 Football Betting Preview

football odds

2009-2010 College Football betting odds

Sooners to win Big 12

With Sam Bradford of Oklahoma and Colt McCoy of Texas both returning to their respective schools, the Vegas odds makers have made it clear that they believe this conference may come down to October 17th when the two teams play one another.

Oklahoma has been installed as a slight favorite over Texas to take home the Big 12 Championship at +160, meanwhileTexas is just a bit behind them at +165.  The race for the third best team in the conference will likely come down toNebraska at +300 and Kansas at +325.

Sam Bradford may be the golden boy in Norman after winning last year’s Heisman however his chances of winning the Big 12 Conference and the BCS Championship may be up to the men protecting him.  Oklahoma returns just one starter on the offensive line which may make it difficult for Bradford to put as big of numbers as he did in 2008.  Bradford also lost a few key wide receivers   but it should help that Chris Brown and DeMarco Murray are both back and capable of gaining over 1,000 yards on the ground a piece.  However, Oklahoma is going to have to rely on their defense a little more this year as they might not be scoring 60 a game like they did a year ago.  The defense got better and better as the season went along last year and that’s a good sign as 8 starters return.  Defensive tackle Gerald McCoy is the anchor and a flat out stud.  He is a phenomenal run stuffer and pass rusher.  The Sooners will also have linebackers Ryan Reynolds and Austin Box back healthy.  I expect this defense to be very tough physically and mentally and will take some heat off the offense to do all the work for them.

Texas could he ranked as high as third in the pre-season polls right behind Oklahoma.  Colt McCoy is emerging as one of college football’s best players and is one of the early favorites to take home the Heisman this season.  He will have plenty of time to throw behind a line that is darn right nasty.  McCoy won’t have Quan Crosby but he will have the luxury of throwing to his roommate, Jordan Shipley who has lightning speed.  The running backs are capable of having big years and if they step up, this could be the best offense in the country.  The big question mark in Austin is the defense.  The front seven suffered some big losses and youngsters will be relied upon to fill the void.  The Texas secondary is the strong suit of this defense and that is important due to the high powered passing attacks in the Big 12 Conference.  Texas does have some question marks but talent and speed are not lacking, just experience.  If the defense can hold their own, the Longhorns may be playing for a national title.

Like most years, there is a big drop off in talent in the Big 12 after Oklahoma and Texas.  Nebraska is the most likely of candidates to pose any threat to the disrupting the power struggle between the Oklahoma and Texas.  As stated earlier, odds makers agree that Nebraska is the third best team in this conference as they are listed at +300 to win it.  Bo Pelini got people in Lincoln, Nebraska excited about their team last season by winning nine games and knocking off Clemson in the Gator Bowl.  Hopes and expectations are high for Pelini and his staff coming into the ’09 season as Nebraska is likely to be ranked in the top 25 when the official polls come out in August.  In order to live up to the expectations, the Huskers must find a quarterback and some difference makers at the wide receiver position.  I think Nebraska will be a decent team but they will not be breathing down the necks of Oklahoma or Texas that’s for sure.

Odds To Win Big 12 Conference 2009:

Baylor         +2000
Colorado         +1500
Iowa State         +7500
Kansas         +325
Kansas State         +3000
Missouri         +900
Nebraska         +300
Oklahoma         +160
Oklahoma State     +800
Texas                       +165
Texas A&M         +3000
Texas Tech         +1200

2009 AFC East Betting Preview

2009 NFL Odds

2009 NFL Lines and Point Spreads

AFC East Preview

2009 AFC East Division Betting Odds: Last year the New England Patriots won 11 games without Tom Brady manning the quarterback position.  With Brady looking to make a full recovery, odds makers have made New England hefty favorites to win the division at an astounding -400.

The big surprise is that the reigning AFC East Champs, Miami Dolphins, are being picked to finish last and are +1000 to repeat as division champs.  With the addition of Terrell Owens, the Buffalo Bills are being picked to finished second as they are listed at +600 meanwhile the New York Jets and rookie quarterback Mark Sanchez have been designated at +700.

New England is far and away the most talented team in this division and if Tom Brady is healthy enough, they should cruise to yet another division title.  Brady still has great weapons around him and if the Pats can find a consistent run game, they will be nearly unstoppable on offense.  Bill Bellichick has added youth to the defense and they are only going to get better.  What I also like about this team is how they finished last season.  They went 5-1 in their last six and 4-0 on the road.  This is a great team and not only do I expect them to win the division but I expect them to be the AFC representative in the Super Bowl.

The Buffalo Bills are taking a chance on adding a big play receiver to the mix by signing Terrell Owens however they still have major issues at quarterback.  They have a good running game and between Lee Evans, Rosco Parrish, and Terrell Owens they have a solid trio of receivers.  We all know that if you don’t have someone to get the ball to those guys, things are bound to go wrong.  This team has potential but I don’t see them making a push to win this division and I think Miami and the Jets are better teams right now.

Mark Sanchez will be the key to the New York Jets season in 2009.  Rex Ryan has made it clear that he wants him to play right away.  If he can absorb the offense, he should be solid however it always tough for rookies in the NFL who are thrown in the fire so I wouldn’t put my money on the Jets just yet.  They have a great running game even though Thomas Jones is getting up in age but they also drafted Shonn Greene from Iowa who can help take the load off.  The defense should be fun to watch with Rex Ryan installing his version of the 3-4.  I think the Jets will have a decent year just not enough to win this division.

Rounding out the bottom of this division is the Miami Dolphins.  The Dolphins have a very difficult schedule ahead of them and I think that is the main reason why they are being designated such long shots by the odds makers.  There will always be a question mark around Chad Pennington.  Can he perform the way he did in ’08 or will Chad Henne or Pat White have to step in?  No doubt about it, the Dolphins can pound the football and they play good defense.  The addition of Jason Taylor only helps their cause.  At +1000, a tiny bet could yield big returns but I don’t see them winning this division either due to the schedule and due to the fact that New England is just too strong.

2009 Odds To Win AFC East Division:

1. New England Patriots         -400
2. New York Jets                  +700
3. Buffalo Bills                       +800
4. Miami Dolphins                   +800

Vegas NFL Odds to win NFC South in 2009


2009 NFL Lines and Point Spreads

Bookies Like Atlanta

2009 NFC South Division Betting Odds: Oddsmakers are split on their decision of who should be the favorite to win the NFC South Division.  They have installed both the Atlanta Falcons and the New Orleans Saints as +180 favorites.

It’s interesting that the Carolina Panthers have been designated to finish third in the division at +200 after winning 12 games last season.  The bookmakers have made the Tampa Bay Bucs heavy underdogs at +600 to win the division.

The Atlanta Falcons have all the makings of being a very good team in 2009.  Matt Ryan was phenomenal as a rookie last year and is only going to get better.  The addition of Tony Gonzalez gives him another threat to utilize the middle of the field.  Michael Turner is an absolute stud as he led one of the most potent rushing attacks in football last season.  The defense is also very sound.  When you combine a quarterback who is only going to get better with a great run game and a good defense, you have a recipe for success.

It is a bit surprising that a team like the New Orleans Saints whose defense is so bad is a front runner to win this division over the Carolina Panthers.  The Saints have the weapons on offense to win shootouts with Drew Brees at the helm but I just don’t see their defense holding up in order for them to be serious contenders in the NFC South.  New Orleans needs to find a pass rush and they are hoping Jonathan Vilma can be the answer.  They made a great pick by taking Malcolm Jenkins in the first round to anchor the secondary but I just don’t see them being good enough on defense to win this division.

Las Vegas and offshore sportsbooks must be looking at the decline of the Carolina defense over their last seven games as an indication that they might not be able to post as many wins as they did last season.  They were absolutely embarrassed in their only playoff game against the Cardinals and gave up a lot of points towards the end of the season.  Jake Delhomme was average last year and he needs to improve his numbers, just 206 yards per game, from last season for this team to win big.  The run game is definitely there and Steve Smith is always a threat to hit the homerun but I’m not sold on Carolina in 2009.

Tampa Bay is in rebuilding mode after firing head coach John Gruden and drafting quarterback Josh Freeman.  The Bucs look to be more of a threat in two years as opposed to making a run at the division in 2009.  They have an aging defense, no real threats at the wide receiver position, and Byron Leftwich will probably get the nod at quarterback.  All in all, I don’t see Tampa being very good next season.

Cardinals favored to win NFC West again in 2009

NFL Odds

2009 NFL Lines and Spreads

Can AZ Do It Again?

2009 NFC West Division NFL Betting Odds: It came as no surprise that the defending NFC Champs were named the favorite to win the NFC West at +140 despite some question marks with whether or not Anquan Boldin and Darnell Dockett’s will be in the desert next year.
The Seattle Seahawks won only 4 games last season but they are only +180 to win the division.  Obviously, the odds makers like what Seattle has done to improve their club this off-season.  San Francisco has been placed at +260 as they finished second in the division last year going 7-9.  Rounding out the bottom is the lowly St. Louis Rams who are a real long shot at +800 to win the NFC West.

As long as Kurt Warner stays healthy, Arizona will win this division with ease and are a very safe bet at +140 to win what is considered the worst division in football.  Arizona’s defense wasn’t very good in the regular season but shifted into another gear once the playoffs came around pushing them to the Super Bowl.  Chris “Beanie” Wells was a great pick and will solidify a running game that was stagnant at times.  The only downside to this team is that they will probably lose stud wide receiver Anquan Boldin as he is unhappy with his contract in Arizona.  Darnell Dockett is another guy who may be on his way out and will be sorely missed in the defensive backfield.  If Arizona can find a way to keep these two key players, they have a serious chance of going back to the big game but I just don’t see it happening.

Seattle was flat out awful last season and it was mostly due to the injury and inconsistent play of quarterback Matt Hasselbeck.  They had a chance to nab Mark Sanchez but decided to stick with Hasselbeck and draft Aaron Curry.  The linebackers will be a real strength for the Seattle defense.  Seattle also added another weapon on the offensive end in T.J. Houshmandzadeh to go with Bobby Engram.  Julius Jones needs to step up to keep defensives off balance.  I think Seattle will definitely be improved but I don’t see them winning this division by any means.

San Francisco came on strong at the end of the season last year to finish second in the division.  Their success was due to great defense as Patrick Willis solidified himself as a force to be reckoned with making plays all over the field.  The defense is the backbone of this team and will be forced to carry them in 2009 as the offense simply isn’t good enough to make them a serious contender.  Frank Gore is the only real threat they have yet Gore is injury prone and can’t be asked to do it all on his own.  I think this team is making progress but will not have enough offensive firepower to win the division.

The St. Louis Rams really don’t have a chance at winning the NFC West.  They were flat out awful last year and didn’t do much to improve in the off-season.  They solidified the left tackle position in the draft with Jason Smith but that’s about it.  They lost Torry Holt and don’t have a go to guy at the wide receiver position.  Stephen Jackson is great but he can only do so much.  Marc Bulger needs to step up or else this team is bound to be a bottom dweller once again.

Tebow favored to win 2009 Heisman Trophy

Odds to win heisman trophy

2009-2010 Season Heisman Trophy Odds

’09 Heisman Odds

When Tim Tebow, Sam Bradford, and Colt McCoy all decided to return to college for their senior seasons, anyone who knows anything about college football automatically pegged them as the top three candidates to win the Heisman Trophy in 2009.

The three quarterbacks were considered by most experts to be the top three quarterbacks chosen in the draft this past April. However, they will still be thrilling fans on Saturday afternoons this upcoming season.  So it comes as no surprise that these three young men are the heavy favorites to win the Heisman according to Las Vegas sports books.

Tim Tebow looks to be only the second player in college football history to ever win two Heismans after taking home the hardware after the 2007 campaign.  He is a slight favorite over Bradford and McCoy as he is listed at +200 to win the coveted trophy.  Tebow has established himself as one of the best college football players in recent memory both as a quarterback along with his ability to run the football.  He will sorely miss speedster Percy Harvin but the Gators are stocked with skill position speed and talent.  Tebow is a flat out winner and does whatever it takes to win ball games.  I expect another big time year out of Tebow as Florida is still loaded and will be looking to take home another national championship. Full List of Heisman Trophy odds for the 2009-2010 season

Sam Bradford has been listed at +275 by odds makers to win the Heisman this season.  Bradford won the trophy last year but was out dueled by Tebow in the National Championship game as the Gators defeated Bradford and his Oklahoma Sooners.  Bradford threw for over 4700 yards and 50 touchdowns last season and he is only going to get better.  It will be hard for him to top those numbers this year but Bradford does play in a weaker defensive conference then Tebow so you never know.  The irony is that his numbers may be great but there will be critics saying that since Tebow faces tougher defenses that he should win the award. Full List of Heisman Trophy odds for the 2009-2010 season

Colt McCoy could be the odd man out as Tebow and Bradford already have Heismans on their resumes.  He will have plenty of weapons to throw to and should have a big year.  McCoy is listed at the same price as Bradford at +275.  However, his numbers were as impressive as Bradford’s last year.  McCoy threw for 3,859 yards and 34 touchdowns.  While those numbers are bound to go up, he’ll have to step up his game another notch which he is surely capable of doing in order to win the Heisman. Full List of Heisman Trophy odds for the 2009-2010 season

Some long shots to look at are Ohio State quarterback Terrell Pryor at +800, Cal running back Jahvid Best at +1000, Georgia Tech running back Jonathan Dwyer at +1200, and Penn State running back Evan Royster also at +1200.  These guys are capable of having great years, however I don’t see them making a serious run because the three quarterbacks mentioned above are just too good.  It looks to be a three horse race for the Heisman in ’09.

See the full list of player odds to win the Heisman Trophy for the 2009-2010 season

Why You Should Be Betting Baseball


You Need To Bet MLB

Most recreational sports bettors choose to take the summer off and not bet baseball before the football season starts. It is well documented by sports books offshore and in Las Vegas that baseball is by far the least bet upon sport of the three major sports: football, basketball, and baseball. I have also talked with odds makers who openly stated that they are just happy to break even in baseball because of the little action they receive. The big money rolls in during the football and basketball seasons.

One of the biggest reasons why novice gamblers shy away from baseball is because they don’t understand the lines. However, in all actuality it’s really not that difficult to understand. Let’s say the Dodgers are playing the San Diego Padres and the Dodgers have been listed as -150 favorites. What that means is that if you were to bet the Dodgers, you would have to risk $1.50 for every $1.00 you want to win. So if you want to win $100, you would risk $150. If you were to bet, the Padres, depending on your sports book, you would have a line of either +130 or +140. Some books offer a 10 cent differential for underdogs and some offer a 20 cent differential. It’s important for you to find a book that offers a dime line which is a ten cent differential when betting an underdog. If you got the dime line on the Padres you would win $1.40 for each $1.00 risked. Pretty simple right?

Many pros believe that in the summer months, you can really catch the bookies off guard because they are not overly concerned with turning a profit. They simply fall asleep. Since bookmakers aren’t looking to rake in profits during baseball, there are many MLB betting opportunities that can arise for the astute gambler. If you can follow all of the teams and pitchers closely, you can find mistakes made by the odds makers.

Betting baseball is a time consuming process because there are so many factors that go into the game. However, hard work can really pay off. There are a number of betting opportunities each day in baseball and when you add in the fact that the season is seven months long, you can see why there are bound to be mistakes made by the odds makers. Injuries, hot and cold streaks, pitching mismatches are constantly changing so if you follow the game closely, you can find great spots to put your money down.

For me, baseball is my biggest money maker due to the high volume of games and the bookmakers’ apathy toward the sport. The other thing that makes baseball so profitable is the fact that there is no point spread. I only have to pick the winner of the game unless I bet the run line. It takes hard work but by following everything I possibly can and studying the statistics thoroughly, I am able to consistently find discrepancies in the line. It’s a long season and if you are able to stay on top of what’s going on, baseball is a game that can be beat. If you’re not betting baseball outside of the World Series, you could be missing out on a huge opportunity to build a bankroll for football season.

MLB Betting: Finding Starting Pitching Mismatches

MLB Betting Lines

Baseball Betting Tip for Monday

Mound Mis-Match

When evaluating starting pitchers for a particular game, there are certain factors that I take into account in order to make an accurate prediction. For instance, I look at how a pitcher has fared against the team he is facing over the course of the current season as well as the season before. Some pitchers just seem to struggle against certain teams and I always look to exploit that fact when possible. A left handed pitcher may go up against a team who is stocked with great right handed hitters who crush lefties. Thus, I always look at a pitcher’s win loss record and ERA against the team he is facing over the last two seasons as well as over his career.

It’s also important to figure out how well the staring pitcher fares against right handed and left handed hitting. A left handed pitcher is bound to face more righties in the line-up so I like to look at his success rate against right handed hitting. If a left hander has trouble with right handed hitters, it is quite possible that he will struggle as he is likely to face a heavy dose of right handers. Separating a pitcher’s performances is critical in trying to gauge whether he will be successful or not on the mound on a given night.

The next thing I look at when trying to find a mismatch is how well a team hits against right handed and left handed pitching. If a team is facing a righty and they have great success against right handers then I feel I have an advantage. Teams differ in how they perform against right and left handed pitchers so it is important to evaluate their batting average, runs scored, and win loss record against a particular pitcher, left or right handed.

As a handicapper, I also like to divide a team’s offensive performances against right and left handed pitchers into three categories: Overall, home and way, and last ten. Sometimes a team will be hitting the ball well against lefties or righties at the moment. Some teams hit certain pitchers better when they are at home or on the road. Yet overall is the best indicator of how a team is going to fare against a pitcher. The more games involved, the better indicator you can get on a how team stacks up against a given starting pitcher. By looking for mismatches and separating them into categories, you can find ways to win more games then you lose.

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