Why Sportsbooks Fear First Two Weeks of College Football
The first two weeks of the college football season offer the avid bettor a great opportunity to beat the bookies. Sportsbook managers have openly stated their concern about getting beaten badly in the first couple of weeks of college football. Some offer lower limits in college football to start the season and even restrict different types of wagers. The reason why is that they don’t have any statistics they can plug into their computer systems that produces the sharp lines we are all used to.
Therefore, if you do your homework by out studying the bookies, there are profits to be made in weeks one and two of the college football season.
Since the sportsbooks have to put up numbers for over 50 games each week, they are bound to make mistakes when there is no statistical data to rely on. You as a bettor don’t have to spend hours researching every game. You can pick your spots and focus on what teams and conferences you know best. I’ve heard sports book managers say that some of the lines they put up at the beginning of the season are mere guesses. That gives the gambler an advantage if we spend our time wisely studying a few games instead of the entire board. We can harness our focus on teams that we know better than the books. Some people are betting experts in certain conferences and know the teams inside and out. By becoming an expert on a handful of teams, you can really use that knowledge to beat the book.
If you find a discrepancy in a line that you think is off, do your homework by utilizing as much pre-season material and statistics from last year as you can. Read local newspapers on the internet to find out how a team has looked in fall camp, examine injury reports, and make your own projections on what a line should be. When you find that you have an advantage over the book on a particular line, exploit it. The biggest thing is that we can spend hours on a handful of games to make our wagers but the books have to put out a number on every game. If we focus on just the games that look to have a bad line, we give ourselves an advantage over the sportsbooks because they don’t have the time either to research every game for hours on end. The major point to remember is that early season college football wagering can be profitable if you study the games and teams properly to find value.
See Week 1 College Football Expert Picks