Archives for October 2009

Falcons at Saints Monday Night Pick and Betting Preview

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On the Monday night the 6-0 New Orleans Saints will play host to the 4-2 Atlanta Falcons. The Saints are coming off a road victory against the Miami Dolphins in which they trailed by 21 points. Down 24-3, Drew Brees and the New Orleans offense remembered they were Drew Brees and New Orleans offense. Brees shook off his 3 interceptions and the team scored 36 points in the second half, winning the game and covering the line. On the other hand, the Falcons are coming off a bad loss to an improving Dallas team that pressured Matt Ryan much of the day. The Atlanta offensive line was unable to pick of the Dallas blitz packages all afternoon, sacking Ryan 4 times, forcing 2 fumbles, and leading to 2 interceptions.

The betting line for the game opened at New Orleans -8.5 and has already climbed to -10. I don’t expect much movement beyond the -10.5 mark, but it will be interesting to see how the money moves closer to the game. I suspect many will look at the -10 and feel very safe in betting Atlanta, after all, they are a 4-2 team, Matt Ryan is an elite quarterback in this league, and the trio of Michael Turner, Tony Gonzalez, and Roddy White should be enough to cover. All of this is true, but none of those factors individually or combined will be enough. New Orleans will win and they will win by more than 10 points.

There is little that New Orleans can not do offensively. They are 1st in the league in total yards per game, 6th in the pass, 3rd in the run, and 1st in total points with an average of almost 40 points per games through 7 weeks. What makes this even more impressive is the quality of defensive opponents in which they are stock piling these numbers against. If they were playing the Lions every week, I would give pause to the offensive dominance, but thus far they have put up these numbers against 3 of the top 10 total defenses in the league; Eagles, Giants, and Dolphins. Atlanta ranks 25th in the league in yards allowed per game, 26th in passing yards allowed per game, and 23rd in yards on the ground. If New Orleans can put up huge offensive numbers against some of the league’s best defense teams, there is little reason to think the Falcons defense will slow them down.

Atlanta‘s only hope is to match the New Orleans offense score for score. To make matters worse for Atlanta, they will be going up against a New Orleans defense that is ranked 7th in the league and has a new blueprint to follow from Dallas. Last week Dallas may have also exposed the Atlanta offensive line. Prior to last week, Matt Ryan had only been sacked 2 times all year. Dallas got to him on 4 separate occasions. Like most quarterbacks in this league, they do not like pressure and Matt Ryan is no exception. Dallas got pressure up the middle with packages that included 6 and 7 rushers. New Orleans is athletic enough on the defensive side of the ball to take advantage of this. Last week when New Orleans took the lead from Miami, they blitzed on 14 of Miami’s final 18 offensive plays. Expect a similarly high output when New Orleans scores early and often to jump out in front Monday night.

On the road, Atlanta is a far different team. Even though we are not dealing with huge sample sizes this early in the year, 1-2 road Falcons team has been bad. If you take away their blowout performance against an over rated San Francisco team, Atlanta suffered an embarrassing beat down week 2 in New England, losing 26-10. New England was able to put up nearly 450 yards of total offense against Atlanta, dominated the time of possession battle nearly 2 to 1, and only allowed Atlanta 250 yards of total offense. Last week against Dallas, the Atlanta defense struggled, giving up almost 415 yards of total offense, with Romo going for almost 300 yards and 3 touchdowns.

I always caution against the emotional bet. It is a great way to chase and lose money. This is the type of game that can lend itself to such a bet because the public would rather bet against a team going 7-0 rather than just looking at the numbers. If you are going to bet against New Orleans, do not let it be because you think they will just go out and lay an egg. That type of bet is not quantifiable in any measurable way and not backed by any reasonable statistics. New Orleans is better than their 6-0 record indicates a far superior team when compared to Atlanta.

Monday Night Pick: New Orleans -10 (Bet Now at

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From football to darts, Bodog has a wide range of sports to choose from. The site goes beyond the standard side and total football betting options to include team and player props for many pro and college games. Bodog offers players the unique ability to wager on games live, after a game has started. In December 2006, Bodog announced the launch of BodogLive. Based on a popular Euro betting style commonly referred to as “in running betting”, BodogLive gives players the ability to bet on specific events and plays in a game, as they happen. The site’s race book caters to horse players with action from the major tracks in North America.

The company’s poker options are among the best in the industry. Bodog’s online poker room provides players with an interactive experience and great features, with many game types to choose from, including Heads-Up Texas Holdem, No Limit, Pot Limit, Fixed Limit, and Omaha, Omaha Hi/Lo, 7-Card Stud Hi/Lo, 7-Card Stud, and 5-Card Stud. Players can also partake in a range of Sit-n-Go’s and Multi-Table Tournaments. All of their games feature a variety of limits and buy-ins, making the play ideal for players of all skill levels.

Bodog’s online casino exudes Vegas, and it gives players more than 100 games from which to choose. Table games, slots, video poker and specialty games are the main game categories to choose from. The games can be played in your browser utilizing both the flash and web based platforms, as well as through Bodog’s downloadable desktop software.

There is plenty of betting information at the site. The site has articles and news related to sports and horse wagering. Bodog also features helpful information on how to play poker for newcomers to the game. Bonus options

Bodog offers a 10% cash online betting bonus on the first deposit of new customers. The site has a Refer-A-Friend Bonus. This bonus has a maximum value of $100. There are many poker bonuses at Bodog. Players can earn a 10% upfront cash bonus and up to an additional 100% bonus based on play in the first 30 days. For a limited time, Bodog is offering poker players a 100% match reload bonus. Customers can double their cash rewards when they earn 2,000 or more points in a month. There are also poker bonuses for bad beats and royal flushes. Deposit options

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Football limits for side wagers are $5,000. For basketball, players can wager up to $5,000 on college games with a $3,000 limit on the NBA. ranks the best online sportsbooks and provides updated Sportsbook Reviews, best sportsbook bonuses. Sportsbook Review is an online sports book based in Costa Rica. The company has been in operation since the early 1990’s. Justbet has a large clientele from over 50 different countries around the world. The company’s website is easy to navigate with plenty of information, making it convenient to peruse and join. Betting Options has wagering options for the sports, race and casino player. All major sports are available at the site’s sports book. Football and basketball bettors are well served with side, moneyline, and total options for each game. There are also various quarter, half and prop bets for a number of games. A unique feature of the sports book involves the various recap and preview articles that are available for many sporting events.

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Week 8 NFL Betting Underdog Pick of the Week

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The winless Tennessee Titans will try to get into the victory column on Sunday in Nashville against AFC South rival Jacksonville. The Jaguars will be looking for a rare sweep of the season series between the two squads after their earlier home victory over Tennessee. The Titans are a field goal favorite for the week 8 contest.

1.) Jaguars in playoff contention

After reaching the playoffs in 2007, the Jags stumbled to a 5-11 mark in 2008. With a 3-3 record in 2009, the Jaguars are just a half a game behind the Jets and Texans in the AFC wild card race entering Sunday’s contest. The upcoming schedule is quite favorable for Jacksonville. Their next seven games are against teams that have lost three or more games this season. So, there is a real chance for Jacksonville to get on a roll with a win against Tennessee.

2.) A bye week

The Jaguars had a bye last week to regroup after a couple of mediocre efforts entering their off week. In week 5, the Jags were shutout in Seattle. In week 6, Jacksonville nearly lost at home to the winless Rams. The break should enable Jacksonville to regain some focus in this week’s contest.

3.) A balanced offense

The Jacksonville offense is able to attack through the air and on the ground. The Jaguars have the NFL’s 11th-ranked total offense and are in the top half of the league in passing and rushing. Jacksonville should be able to attack a Tennessee defense that is last in the NFL in scoring defense and next to last in total defense.

4.) Jaguars have confidence from earlier victory

In their week 4 meeting in Jacksonville, the Jaguars dominated in a 37-17 victory. The Jacksonville offense rolled up 442 yards in the win. Quarterback David Garrard delivered his best game of the season by completing 27-of-37 passes for 323 yards and three touchdown strikes. The defense stepped up to force three turnovers against the Tennessee offense.

5.) Titans in turmoil

It has been a remarkable turnaround for the Titans in 2009. The club started 10-0 in 2008 and finished the year with the NFL’s best regular season record. Now, the Titans are at the bottom of the NFL landscape with the Rams and Buccaneers as the league’s three winless squads entering week 8’s action. Even with a bye of their own in week 7, it is going to be difficult for Tennessee to regain any type of focus this week. The Titans have been used to being in the playoff race. In 2009, the club is out of the race already. The home fans aren’t used to seeing losing football. The crowd will likely turn against their team at the first sign of trouble on Sunday on the heels of Tennessee’s embarrassing 59-0 loss at New England in their last effort. As the underdog, Jacksonville will be eager to jump on the reeling Titans and gain another win over one of their biggest rivals.

See live NFL Odds every week of the NFL betting season. Make sure to visit our NFL betting forum on a daily basis. Also check out updated 2009-2010 Super Bowl Odds.

Texas, USC, and Ole Miss are on upset alert

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Texas and USC will put their Top 5 national rankings on the line this week in a couple of hostile environments.

1.) Oregon over USC
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The 4th-ranked Trojans hopes of an eighth straight PAC-10 championship could be dashed on Saturday at Eugene against the 10th-ranked Ducks. With a victory, Oregon would own a two-game conference lead plus a tie-breaker edge over USC. The Trojans haven’t fared well in some of their recent visits to the Pacific Northwest. Since 2007, USC has dropped road games to Oregon (2007), Oregon State (2008) and Washington (2009). Oregon has reeled off six consecutive wins since their opening season loss at Boise State.

The Ducks are 16th in the nation in scoring offense while ranking 19th in the country in scoring defense for a balanced team. Oregon is especially strong at home. The Ducks outscored California and Washington State in their last two home outings by a combined score of 94-9. As a 3.5-point home underdog on Saturday, the Oregon players and fans will be fired up for an opportunity to knock USC out of the PAC-10 race.

2.) Oklahoma State over Texas
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The 13th-ranked Cowboys have dropped their last 11 contests against the 3rd-ranked Longhorns heading into this year’s Big 12 South battle in Stillwater. However, Oklahoma State has played Texas tough in recent years. In 2008, the Cowboys lost by only four points in Austin. In 2007, OSU led by 21 points entering the fourth quarter before being stunned at home in the final minutes in a 38-35 defeat.

Despite being a 9-point underdog, the Cowboys have enough offensive firepower to upend the Longhorns on Saturday. Oklahoma State is sixth in the nation in scoring offense behind versatile quarterback Zac Robinson. The Cowboys have scored at least 33 points in each of their last six outings. The defense is a solid 36th in the country in scoring defense. The Longhorns are on the road for the third straight week. Oklahoma State may finally be catching Texas at the right time to end their losing slide to the Longhorns.

3.) Auburn over Mississippi
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While the 24th-ranked Rebels are a 4.5-point road favorite for Saturday’s SEC West matchup, the Tigers have been the dominant team in the series between the two schools. Auburn is 22-4 against Mississippi since 1971 and have won seven of the nine meetings in this decade. The Tigers have a vastly improved offense in 2009.

Auburn is 19th in the nation in scoring offense while ranking seventh in the country in rushing offense. Auburn should be able to attack an average Mississippi rushing defense (60th in the country in rushing defense). A solid pass defense (35th in the nation in passing defense) should be able to contain Mississippi quarterback Jevan Snead. The Rebels have come up short this season against South Carolina and Alabama in their prior two contests against quality foes in 2009. After three straight losses, the Tigers will be eager to upend a Top 25 foe in front of a fired up home crowd.

See live Football Odds every week of the Football betting season. Make sure to visit our sports betting forum on a daily basis. Also check out updated 2009-2010 BCS Odds.

Week 8 NFL Picks and Betting Lines

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Brett Favre’s return to Green Bay in an opposing uniform is the highlight of week 8’s NFL slate. Here’s a breakdown of all 13 games:

Denver Broncos (41) at Baltimore Ravens (-3.5)
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Both teams are fresh for this one after byes last week. The undefeated Broncos have pulled out a couple of wins by three points or less while the Ravens have dropped a pair of games by a field goal or less. This week, the Ravens should end their frustration by knocking off the Broncos at home.

Cleveland Browns (40.5) at Chicago Bears (-13.5)
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The woeful Cleveland offense has been held to six points or less in four games this season. Chicago will be glad to return home after last week’s embarrassment at Cincinnati. Jay Cutler and the Bears very well may rebound on Sunday to stay unbeaten at home against the overmatched Browns.

Houston Texans (-3) at Buffalo Bills (41)
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Both squads have won two straight to get into playoff contention. Ryan Fitzpatrick will start again at quarterback for Buffalo in place of the injured Trent Edwards. With a league high 16 TD passes, opposing quarterback Matt Schaub should provide the difference for the Texans in this AFC battle.

Minnesota Vikings (48) at Green Bay Packers (-3)
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After getting banged around in Pittsburgh last week, Brett Favre stays on the road for his homecoming to Green Bay. While Minnesota and Favre won the first round between these two clubs in week 4 at home, Green Bay has a chance for payback on their home turf this week. In a wild atmosphere at Lambeau Field, the Packers are expected to delight their fans with a measure of revenge against Favre on Sunday.

San Francisco 49ers (45) at Indianapolis Colts (-11)
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The 49ers offense received a spark last week from backup quarterback Alex Smith and the debut of top draft choice Michael Crabtree. The Colts are on a roll but only one of their first six opponents (Arizona) has a winning record heading into week 8. With some new momentum on offense, the 49ers will provide a solid test for Indianapolis as a double-digit underdog on the road.

Miami Dolphins (40) at New York Jets (-3.5)
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After blowing a 21-point lead at home last week, the Dolphins are now on the road in four of their next five game. New York ended their three-game slide last week and will be eager for revenge after losing at Miami in week 5. The Jets defense should get it done against the Dolphins this time around.

St. Louis Rams (45) at Detroit Lions (-9.5)
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In the ugly matchup of the week, the 0-7 Rams will visit the 1-5 Lions. St. Louis running back Steven Jackson is third in the NFL in rushing despite his team’s struggles. With the Lions battling some key offensive injuries, the Rams will finally break through for a win behind Jackson.

Seattle Seahawks (45.5) at Dallas Cowboys (-9)
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The Seahawks have lacked consistency in their 2-4 start with two shutout wins and three double-digit defeats. Dallas delivered their strongest effort of the season against Atlanta last week. With more offensive weapons, the Cowboys may send the Seahawks to another double-digit setback on Sunday.

Oakland Raiders (42.5) at San Diego Chargers (-16.5)
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The dysfunctional Raiders returned to form against New York last week. San Diego got healthy against the Chiefs to stay in playoff contention at 3-3. While the Chargers will move above .500, the Raiders should be able to hang around against another inconsistent team in this AFC West matchup.

Jacksonville Jaguars (44) at Tennessee Titans (-3)
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The Jaguars can’t afford a loss in their hopes of being a serious playoff contender in the second half of the season. The winless Titans are still trying to recover from their 59-0 pasting at New England in week 6. With more to play for, the Jaguars will add to Tennessee’s misfortune before an uninterested home crowd in Nashville.

Carolina Panthers (43) at Arizona Cardinals (-7.5)
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With a league high 13 interceptions, Carolina quarterback Jake Delhomme hasn’t been able to recover from last year’s disastrous playoff performance against Arizona. The Cardinals (lead the NFL in rushing defense) will provide some more problems for the disappointing Panthers in this postseason rematch.

New York Giants (44) at Philadelphia Eagles (-1)
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New York has dropped two straight heading into this critical NFC East battle. The Eagles are coming off of a short week after facing the Redskins in Washington on Monday night. In a tight affair, the Giants should continue their pattern of being one of the best road teams in the league.

Atlanta Falcons (53.5) at New Orleans Saints (-9)
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The Falcons still control their own fate in the NFC South but a loss on Monday would give New Orleans a three-game lead in the division. While the Saints have been on an incredible run, the Falcons just may have enough firepower to gain a cover in this one.

See live NFL Odds every week of the NFL betting season. Make sure to visit our sports betting forum on a daily basis. Also check out updated 2009-2010 Super Bowl Odds.

2009 Heisman Trophy Odds Watch Week 9

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Colt McCoy may have gained some points on Tim Tebow in the Heisman race last week. Both quarterbacks will be in the spotlight this week in a pair of nationally televised contests.

Tim Tebow – Florida Gators
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Tebow’s Gators have moved back into the top spot in this week’s AP Top 25 poll. However, Florida’s star quarterback had a game to forget in last week’s 29-19 victory at Mississippi State. The Bulldogs returned a pair of Tebow interceptions for touchdowns to stay in the game against the heavily-favored Gators. Tebow passed for only 127 yards on the night but he did add 88 yards on the ground. His lone touchdown of the evening came on a 26-yard TD run. For the year, Tebow has accounted for 14 touchdowns (8 passing, 6 rushing). Florida is favored by more than two touchdowns for this week’s rivalry battle against Georgia in Jacksonville.

Colt McCoy – Texas Longhorns
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While Tebow had some problems last week, McCoy delivered his best statistical performance of the season in a 41-7 rout at Missouri. The senior quarterback completed 26-of-31 passes for 269 yards with three touchdown strikes for the 3rd-ranked Longhorns. For the season, McCoy has completed 72% of his pass attempts with 14 touchdown tosses. He has thrown at least one interception in all seven games for Texas in 2009. This week, Texas will hit the road for a key Big 12 South battle at 13th-ranked Oklahoma State.

Mark Ingram – Alabama Crimson Tide
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The sophomore running back’s late fumble against Tennessee nearly derailed his team’s national title hopes last week. A blocked field goal as time expired enabled the 2nd-ranked Crimson Tide to survive in a 12-10 victory. Ingram did have a solid day prior to his fumble. He gained 99 yards on 18 carries for an Alabama squad that hasn’t lost a regular season game since 2007. He eclipsed the 1,000 yard barrier for the season and is third in the nation in rushing. After this week’s open date, Ingram will face a critical game for his Heisman candidacy. On November 7th, the Crimson Tide will host the 9th-ranked LSU Tigers in an SEC West showdown.

Kellen Moore – Boise State Broncos
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Moore is a definite sleeper in the Heisman race but there are a couple of factors that could make him a serious contender in the weeks to come. First, he is a quarterback for an undefeated team that is ranked 6th in the country. Second, Moore’s stats are even better than Tebow’s or McCoy’s. Moore has fired 21 touchdown passes this season with just a pair of interceptions. The sophomore delivered five touchdown passes for the Broncos in last week’s 54-9 rout at Hawaii. Moore is a perfect 19-0 as a starter in regular season action dating back to last year. However, the lack of competition for Boise State could hurt Moore’s chances of winning the Heisman. Boise will be heavily-favored in their final six games against some mediocre foes from the Western Athletic Conference. Three of the games will be telecast by ESPN2.

Latest Odds to win 2009-2010 Heisman Trophy

(odds from

Case Keenum
Colt McCoy
Jacory Harris
Jimmy Clausen
Kellen Moore
Mark Ingram
Tim Tebow
Tony Pike

NFL Week 7 ATS Betting Recap

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There were plenty of blowouts and mismatches on week 7’s NFL betting slate. Here are some highlights from last Sunday’s action:

Favorites dominate

While underdogs held the upper hand with a 9-5 record against the spread in week 6, favorites turned around to overwhelm bookmakers in week 7. Favored squads went 8-3-1 against the spread last Sunday. No underdogs were able to cover in Sunday’s early games. The Bengals and Bills were able to cover as underdogs in late afternoon games and the Cardinals upset the Giants on Sunday night. The Patriots, Colts and Packers all won by 28 points or more as favorites of more than nine points. Best Sportsbooks

Blowouts rule the day

While there are often plenty of close games on a typical NFL Sunday, last week was quite different. Of the 12 games that were played on Sunday, only two were decided by less than ten points. Half of the games were decided by 28 points or more. The Jets, Bengals and Chargers all won by at least four touchdowns in addition to the Colts, Patriots and Packers. Best Sportsbooks

Saints rally to remain perfect

It appeared that the New Orleans Saints were going to be caught in a trap game last week at Miami. The Saints were down by 21 points in the final two minutes of the first half. However, a fumble recovery turned the momentum in the favor of New Orleans before halftime. The Saints went on to score 43 points in the final 31 minutes of the game to stun the Dolphins in a 46-34 win. An interception return for a touchdown in the final two minutes enabled the Saints to cover the 6-point spread. Best Sportsbooks

Steelers defense provides enough offense for cover

Pittsburgh’s best offense proved to be their defense in a wild 27-17 victory over Minnesota last Sunday. With just under seven minutes to play, Pittsburgh held a 13-10 lead in a defensive battle. The Vikings were at the Steelers 15 with a chance to tie or take the lead before Lamar Woodley returned a fumble 77 yards for a touchdown to give Pittsburgh a 20-10 lead. Minnesota promptly returned the following kickoff for a touchdown to pull within three points. The Vikings were able to drive inside the Steelers 20 again in the final two minutes before Keyaron Fox returned an interception 82 yards for a score to secure a 27-17 win. The touchdown delighted most bettors while hurting the majority of bookmakers. Pittsburgh opened as a 3.5-point favorite in the contest before moving to a 6-point choice by kickoff. Best Sportsbooks

Weak teams drawing little interest from bettors

There are six teams in the NFL with one win or less. Cleveland, Detroit, Kansas City, Tennessee, Tampa Bay and St. Louis have posted a combined record of 3-37 this season. Usually, point spreads will equalize things between the good and bad teams in the league. However, these clubs have been abysmal. The six teams have a combined mark of 11-29 against the spread for the season. As expected, these squads are drawing little interest from bettors most of the time. Best Sportsbooks

NFL Week 7 ATS Betting Results:

Team             Score        Odds           Bet Final

Packers             31              -9.5             Cover: + 18.5

Browns                3              +9.5            Under: 41.5

Chargers            37              -5.5             Cover: + 24.5

Chiefs                  7              +5.5             Push: 44

Colts                  42              -14              Cover: + 22

Rams                    6              +14             Over: 45

Vikings               17                +6              Under: 46.5

Steelers               27                -6              Cover: + 4

Patriots                35             -15.5            Cover: + 12.5

Buccaneers           7              +15.5 Under: 44.5

49ers                   21               +3                Over: 44.5

Texans                 24               -3                 Push

Bills                     20                 +7              Cover: + 18

Panthers                9                 -7                Under: 37

Jets                      38                 -6              Cover: + 32

Raiders                  0                +6               Over: 34

Falcons                21               +5.5             Over: 47.5

Cowboys             37               -5.5              Cover: + 10.5

Bears                   10                -1                Over: 42.5

Bengals                45                +1               Cover: + 36

Saints                   46                -6               Cover: + 6

Dolphins               34                +6              Over: 48

Cardinals              24                +9              Cover: + 16

Giants                   17                 -9              Under: 46.5

See live NFL Odds every week of the NFL betting season. Make sure to visit our sports betting forum on a daily basis. Also check out updated 2009-2010 Super Bowl Odds.

NFL Week 8 Point Spreads and Over/Under Totals

Will week 8 of the NFL Betting season finally see a decrease in huge money favorites cashing in the for the public? Online sportsbooks sure hope so. Take a look at the opening NFL odds for week 8 of the 2009 regular season:

207 Denver Broncos +3.5 Over 41.5
208 Green Bay Packers –3.5 Under 41.5

209 Cleveland Browns +13.5 Over 47.5
210 Chicago Bears –13.5 Under 47.5

213 Minnesota Vikings +3 Over 47.5
214 Green Bay Packers –3 Under 47.5

215 San Francisco 49ers +11 Over 45
216 Indianapolis Colts –11 Under 45

217 Miami Dolphins +3.5 Over 40
218 New York Jets –3.5 Under 40

221 Seattle Seahawks +9.5 Over 45.5
222 Dallas Cowboys –9.5 Under 45.5

223 Oakland Raiders +16.5 Over 42.5
224 San Diego Chargers –16.5 Under 42.5

225 Jacksonville Jaguars +3 Over 44
226 Tennessee Titans –3 Under 44

227 Carolina Panthers +8 Over 43
228 Arizona Cardinals –8 Under 43

233 Atlanta Falcons +9 Over 53.5
234 New Orleans Saints –9 Under 53.5