Archives for October 2010

Houston Texans vs. Indianapolis Colts Monday Night Spread Preview, Picks, Score Prediction

The Indianapolis Colts could be watching their dynasty come to a close this weekend, as the right number of wins by other teams parlayed with a loss to the Houston Texans could set them two back with a ton of tiebreaker trouble with just half the season to play.

Still, this is a game in which Indy is favored to win by 5.5 points, and here at BetVega, we ask the three most important questions that will determine the outcome of this game.

Colts vs. Texans Monday Night Spread: Colts -5.5 points

Colts vs. Texans Monday Night Over-Under: 50 points

Colts vs. Texans Monday Night Expert Picks: Click Here

Colts vs. Texans Betting Key #1: Are the Texans really able to mentally prepare for this game?

We have to remember that this Houston team has never swept the Colts, nor has it ever won a game in Indianapolis. It has come close a number of times before, like in last year’s 20-17 defeat, but when push comes to shove, Indianapolis has outscored the Texans 263-138 in eight games there, an average differential of 15.6 points per game. Houston has to believe in itself to topple the Colts in this series, or it won’t ever be able to get over the hump to make the playoffs for the first time in franchise history.

Colts vs. Texans Betting Key #2: With both Austin Collie and Dallas Clark out, does Peyton Manning have enough passing options?

You betcha. Many think that this is the worst secondary in the NFL that he is about set to pick apart for the second time this year! Manning is probably going to be good for at least 350 through the air if he has to be against the Texans, and it doesn’t matter who the pieces are around him, they are all good enough to take care of this very porous defense as long as someone figures out how to block Mario Williams.


Colts vs. Texans Betting Key #3: Can anyone stop Arian Foster?

There’s being a man, and then there’s being a man’s man. Arian Foster was a man’s, man’s, man against the Colts in Week 1 this year, when he carried the ball a whopping 33 times for 231 yards and three TDs. Both the 33 carries and 231 yards remain season highs for running backs in the NFL. Indy really hasn’t improved all that much with its ground defense this year, and knowing that another big performance from the big man from Tennessee could be coming, the Colts have to be at the top of their game to not get embarrassed once again.

Let’s get one thing straight first. The Texans were absolutely worlds better than the Colts in Week 1, and they are every bit as good as these guys are now. We still aren’t so sure that they believe it yet, though. This is a lot of points to be giving Houston in a divisional rivalry game, and with Houston knowing that this might be its last chance, we think that it will give everything that it has. It’ll cover the spread, and possibly sweep the season series for the first time ever!

Colts vs. Texans Monday Night Football Score Prediction:

Houston 31 – Indianapolis 30


Updated SF Giants vs. Texas Rangers World Series Odds after Game 2

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Odds To Win 2010 MLB World Series

Here are the latest odds to win the 2010 MLB World Series from online oddsmaker

The number next to each team represents the payout on a $100 wager if that teams wins the series.

(odds updated October 29, 2010)

– Texas Rangers +210

– San Francisco Giants -280


Pittsburgh Steelers vs. New Orleans Saints Sunday Night Spread Preview, Picks, Score Prediction

The Pittsburgh Steelers and New Orleans Saints are going to be meeting in an NFL betting clash of the last two Super Bowl winners. These two have severely different styles of play and are heading in opposite directions. Can the red hot Steelers come into the Bayou and bounce the slumping Saints as short favorites?

We ask these three questions to find the answer to the ultimate question for Sunday Night Football…

Steelers vs. Saints Sunday Night Spread: Saints -1 points

Steelers vs. Saints Sunday Night Over-Under: 44 points

Steelers vs. Saints Sunday Night Expert Picks: Click Here

Steelers vs. Saints Betting Key #1: Can the Saints find enough of a running game to keep the Pittsburgh defense honest?

With a healthy Reggie Bush in the lineup, there would at least be the threat to get the former USC Trojan to the outside. Now, with Bush out, the very questionable Chris Ivory and Ladell Betts are the only backs remaining on the roster for the fourth straight week. Both of these men are UFL players or special teamers in the NFL at best, and it’s no wonder why New Orleans has struggled on the ground. With the Steelers boasting the league’s top rush defense by a country mile at less than 70 yards per game, we have no doubt that they can stuff up this running game.

Steelers vs. Saints Betting Key #2: Will the loss of Aaron Smith destroy this Pittsburgh ‘D’?

For the Steelers’ sake, we sure hope not. Last season, everything went awry when Troy Polamalu went down. However, Smith is a defensive end and largely a space eater in the 3-4 scheme. No one doubts that he is a force on the inside and that no one is going to be able to replace him easily, but if there’s a position you’re okay with losing on your 3-4 ‘D’, Smith’s should be it. If Brett Keisel doesn’t play as well with his hamstring injury, this is going to be tough for one of the best defenses in the league to take.


Steelers vs. Saints Betting Key #3: Is Drew Brees ready for a bust out game?

It’s not often that you see Brees toss four picks in a game, especially two of which that go to a defensive lineman. This is a very daunting task this week against the Pittsburgh front seven, which loves to bring a slew of pressure off the corners. The offensive line for New Orleans has been a big part of Brees’ problems this year, but if there’s a way that you beat the Steelers, it’s up top. Big play after big play has to be the norm when the hosts are on offense to have any shot of winning this one.

Though it’s Halloween night, New Orleans can’t be afraid going into this game. The Steelers are good… Quite good, indeed. However, these are the defending champs playing on their home turf in front of a raucous crowd on a primetime nationally televised football tilt, and oddsmakers aren’t even giving them the obligatory three at home! That doesn’t sit well with us! New Orleans will turn it around eventually, and tonight would be just the springboard to do so.

Steelers vs. Saints Sunday Night Score Prediction:

New Orleans 27 – Pittsburgh 24


NFL Underdog Picks for Week 8

We went 1-2 SU and 3-0 ATS with our upset calls in Week 7, only cashing in with the Patriots at a small +120 money-line. We could have won all three plays though and rightfully should have collected with the Dolphins +135, as it did look like Miami recovered the fumble in the end zone on that reviewed play. Our other loss on the Rams +130 also went down in the final minute.

Onward and upward, here are our three NFL upset calls for Week 8:

UPSET PICK #1: Washington Redskins (+3) +125 over Detroit Lions

Some people will not consider this an upset, but yes Virginia the Lions are favored by three points. That said; this is not a completely ridiculous line. Detroit does after all have the best ATS record in the NFL at 5-1, and it could easily be 6-0 as the Vikings scored late in their only ATS loss to extend a seven-point lead to 14. Also, the only time the Lions were favored this year, they blasted the Rams 44-6 for their only outright win. However, the Redskins are not the Rams, and the Washington defense played well against the Bears last week, and though Matt Stafford is back at quarterback for Detroit, the Skins have defended the pass (6.7 yards per attempt) better than the run (4.7 yards per rush), and Stafford may show some signs of rust anyway.

UPSET PICK #2: Buffalo Bills (+7½) +290 over Kansas City Chiefs

This could be the week the Bills win their first game of the season, as they just missed last week, taking the Ravens to overtime before falling 37-34. As fine a year as the Chiefs are having, their defense is not nearly as strong as Baltimore’s, so the fact that Buffalo was able to put 34 points on the board bodes very well for them. Now, we are actually not big fans of either quarterback, as we feel that Buffalo’s Ryan Fitzpatrick and KC’s Matt Cassel are both system quarterbacks with no real arm strength. However, Fitzpatrick is in a better rhythm right now, and he does have 11 touchdowns vs. only four interceptions. Facing a Chiefs’ secondary that is allowing 243.8 passing yards per game also helps.


UPSET PICK #3: Houston Texans (+5½) +200 over Indianapolis Colts

One train of thought is that the Colts will get revenge hare after losing to the Texans on opening week. The problem we have with that train of thought is that the very reason Houston won the game, the Colts’ inability to stop the run, still exists! Indianapolis is allowing 137.3 rushing yards per game on e hefty 4.8 yards per rush. Remember also that Texans’ quarterback Matt Schaub did practically nothing in the first meeting because he didn’t have to, as Houston ran for 257 yards in that 34-24 win. Schaub is one of the best quarterbacks in the NFL, so if Indy’s game plan for improving the run defense is to pinch in with some secondary people, it would open things up for Schaub and superstar wide receiver Andre Johnson to have big games.

Utah, Virginia Tech, Hawaii making money for college football bettors this season

Here at BetVega, we have our watchful eye on the best and worst teams both SU and ATS this year. Check out how teams have been doing against the NCAA football betting lines for both spreads and totals.

(Expert College Football PicksLive College Football LinesFree Betting Bonus)

Crushing the Competition

Once again, the Utah Utes continue to be the team that we are watching to top the college football betting lines on a weekly basis. The Utes steamrolled the Wyoming Cowboys on Saturday to move to 6-0-1 ATS on the season and remain our top dog. However, the six game ATS winning streak isn’t alone. The Virginia Tech Hokies have also covered six straight since losing to the James Madison Dukes in Week 2.

The Hawaii Warriors avoided a big time trap game against the Utah State Aggies over the weekend as well, proving that they can really play on the mainland. They’re now 7-1 ATS on the season.

Top 5 Teams Against The Spread:

1. Utah 6-0-1 ATS
2. Hawaii 7-1 ATS
3. Virginia Tech 6-1 ATS
4. Northern Illinois 6-1 ATS
5. Central Florida 5-1 ATS

(see all college football ATS records)

Lame ATS Ducks

Only three teams in the country are left with just one cover on the season, and we have no choice but to single all three out this week. The Rutgers Scarlet Knights were overmatched by the Pitt Panthers for their sixth failed cover of the season, while the Boston College Eagles once again fell victim in another ACC showdown.

The newcomer to the 1-6 ATS club is the Marshall Thundering Herd. Doc Holliday’s crew has failed to cover five straight since that great effort against the West Virginia Mountaineers in Morgantown and only have one win in C-USA play to date.



Two of our three highlighted teams from last week are still topping the ‘over’ charts this week. The Oregon State Beavers were idle last weekend and will try to remain the only team in the nation to play all ‘overs’ this year when they host the Cal Golden Bears Saturday. The Kentucky Wildcats fought tooth and nail against the Georgia Bulldogs as well and once again had no troubles kicking a game past the number, making them 7-1 in 2010.

This week, we’re welcoming back the Oklahoma State Cowboys as well. Any team that can successfully score 41 points on the Nebraska Cornhuskers defense must not be overlooked! The Pokes are now 6-1 for ‘over’ bettors on the year and don’t look to be stopping any time in the near future.

All Over the ‘Under’

BYU has finally played its first ‘over’ game of the season. It only got there by the hook, but the game between the BYU Cougars and Wyoming Cowboys made it to the number. The Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders finally put up a good offensive showing, but their defense did a superb job as well last week in Sun Belt play. If the Blue Raiders can mix these two together, they’ll probably continue on their path towards a ton of ‘unders’ after a 6-1 start to the campaign.

NFL Betting: Best and Worst Teams Against the Spread

NFL betting fanatics are always trying to find the best and worst teams in the game for both spreads and totals to back on a regular basis. Here at BetVega, we have all the ins and outs of what NFL trends you should be looking at for week 8 action.

ATS Annihilators

Most of the best ATS teams in the game were off this weekend, as the 5-1 ATS New York Jets and Detroit Lions were sitting on the sidelines waiting for Week 8 to arrive.

The Kansas City Chiefs did their job though, improving to match that 5-1 ATS mark this year after crushing the Jacksonville Jaguars 42-20. The only concern that we have for KC going forward is that it really isn’t as good as it is being perceived. Last year, the same problem happened with the Denver Broncos. Watch your back if you’re making NFL betting wagers on the Chiefs from here on in.

Bankroll Busters

The only team left in the NFL with just one cover is the Dallas Cowboys, and my, are they in some real trouble now! With QB Tony Romo out for at least the next six weeks, there’s no telling how far these guys will fall, but at 1-5 SU and ATS and a ton of big time egos in the locker room, we don’t want to get anywhere near these guys.

You might want to stay away from the 1-6 ATS New Orleans Saints and 2-5 ATS San Diego Chargers as well, as both teams are still rated very highly by the oddsmakers even though neither one might be all that good.

5 Worst NFL Teams Against The Spread ATS

1. New Orleans Saints 1-6 ATS

2. Dallas Cowboys 1-5 ATS

3. Denver Broncos 2-5 ATS

4. SD Chargers 2-5 ATS

5. Buffalo Bills 2-4 ATS

(see all NFL against the spread records)

The ‘Over’lords

After a week in which there were four games reaching 70+ points, finding ‘over’ teams is easy. The Denver Broncos just allowed the most points in Oakland Raiders history to be scored against them, and for that dubious reason, they have moved to 6-1 for ‘over’ bettors this year.

The New York Jets were on bye this week but are still a rock solid 5-1 towards the ‘over’ thanks to the suddenly stronger play of QB Mark Sanchez.

The third team we’re watching, the Jacksonville Jaguars, is the only team in the NFL to allow at least 200 points for the season to date. The Jags should get some offense infused into the lineup again this week if QB David Garrard comes back from his concussion.


Bridge ‘Under’ Troubled Waters

The NFC North continues to really be the only division in the NFL that is struggling to score points this year. The Green Bay Packers and Chicago Bears are both 5-2 for ‘under’ bettors. It’s actually sort of amazing to think how many points QB Jay Cutler is responsible for on the average week. This week, he tossed four picks to Washington Redskins DB DeAngelo Hall, one of which went back 92 yards for a touchdown.

The third team on our ‘under’ list this week is the St. Louis Rams, who are playing stronger defense this year than they did a year ago, something that is still throwing off the oddsmakers.

College Football Upset Picks: Texas Tech, CAL, Kentucky to spook favorites

We went 0-3 with our upset calls in Week 8, with only LSU being even competitive. Our other two choices, North Carolina and Kentucky, were both blown out and never had a chance.

We go all across the nation with our three upsets for Week 9.

UPSET PICK #1: Texas Tech (+7) +240 over Texas A&M

These are a pair of 4-3 teams with comparable stats, but the underdog Red Raiders have been the better team lately. This is also a revenge spot for Tech after A&M shocked them last season 52-30 as 22 point underdogs! A&M began this season 3-0, but they beat three cupcakes and promptly went 0-3 once the real competition started before beating a bad Kansas team last week. Texas Tech at least owns quality wins over Baylor and SMU, and remember that Tech was actually favored over an Oklahoma State team that is ranked 17th in the BCS. The Red Raiders are averaging 32.6 points and 430.1 total yards per game while the Aggies are averaging 32.7 points and 466.1 yards, but as stated, the Raiders amassed their stats vs. better competition. Look for an avenging upset here for last season. (Bet on Texas Tech vs. Texas A&M with a FREE $1000 bonus)


UPSET PICK #2: California (+3) +130 over Oregon State

This is a triple revenge spot for California after losing to the Beavers each of the last three seasons, and the Golden Bears have better numbers on both sides of the ball here, especially on defense. Offensively, Cal is averaging 34.7 points and 377.1 yards per game and own nice balance, averaging 4.7 yards per rush and 7.3 yards per pass attempt. Oregon State is averaging 29.0 points and 344.3 yards, but they are tilted toward the pass as they average only 3.6 yards per rush. On defense, Cal is allowing only 20.6 points and 301.4 yards per contest and they are very good against the pass, surrendering only 5.8 yards per attempt. That should make life difficult for Beaver quarterback Ryan Katz, especially with no running game to speak of. Meanwhile, the OSU defense has been terrible, permitting 30.8 points and a whopping 459.2 yards per encounter. (Bet on CAL vs. Oregon State with a FREE $1000 bonus)

UPSET PICK #3: Kentucky (+6½) +235 over Mississippi State

We lost with Kentucky last week, but they did outgain Georgia by 133 yards in the 44-31 loss so we will give them another chance vs. what we feel is a slightly overrated Mississippi State team. The Bulldogs are a nice team on paper, but they do not wow you in any way and if they face a prolific offense like the Wildcats, they can get exposed a bit. Sure, they are 6-2 and have won five straight, but their only two SEC wins were vs. Georgia without A.J. Green and Florida, which is in a down year. Their other four wins were vs. UAB, Houston with a freshman quarterback, Alcorn State and Memphis! Kentucky has already beaten South Carolina and they lost by just three points to Auburn. Their offense which is averaging 428.5 yards per game should give MSU fits, especially after the Bulldogs struggled to get by UAB 29-24 last week. (Bet on Kentucky vs. Mississippi with a FREE $1000 bonus)

Steelers vs. Saints Sunday Night Vegas Spread Picks, Odds, Lines, TV Kick-Off Time

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. New Orleans Saints SNF Point Spread, Predictions & Trends:

Steelers-Saints Date: Sunday, October 24th, 2010

Steelers-Saints Kickoff Time: 8:20pm EST

Steelers-Saints TV Network: NBC

Steelers-Saints Announcers: Al Michaels, Cris Colinsworth

Steelers-Saints Point Spread:

Steelers-Saints Over-Under Odds:

Vikings-Packers Expert Picks: CLICK HERE


A few Steelers-Saints Betting Trends to consider:

– Pittsburgh is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
– Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
– The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh’s last 7 games on the road
– The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh’s last 6 games when playing New Orleans
– New Orleans is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games
– New Orleans is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games at home
– The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans’s last 6 games
– The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans’s last 6 games at home

Next up:
– Pittsburgh at Cincinnati, Monday, November 8
– New Orleans at Carolina, Sunday, November 7

NFL Odds Week 8: NFL Underdogs now 62-40-1 ATS in 2010

The 2010 NFL betting season has been dominated thus far by the underdogs. A 62-40-2 ATS record YTD has provided mountains of cash for NFL bettors who continue to ride the dog train. Last week underdogs went 9-5 against the spread!

‘Dogs are 46-58 SU and 19-18 SU (22-14-1 ATS) at home this season. Even betting over-under’s has been relatively one sided compared to recent seasons as we have seen 57% of all NFL games go OVER the total YTD.

Here are the top 5 NFL teams ATS as we head into week 8 NFL betting action:

1. NY Jets 5-1 ATS

2. KC Chiefs 4-1 ATS

3. Washington Redskins 5-1-1 ATS

4. STL Rams 5-2 ATS

5. Tennessee Titans 5-2 ATS
(see all NFL against the spread records)

Will the favorites close the gap in week 8 NFL betting? Check out all week 8 NFL odds below:

All Week 8 NFL Odds

See live NFL Odds every week of the NFL Lines season. Also check out updated 2011 Super Bowl Odds and winning NFL Picks every week of the season at

Missouri vs. Nebraska Point Spread Preview, Picks, Score Prediction

The Big XII North title could be on the line on Saturday afternoon in Columbia, as the Missouri Tigers take on the Nebraska Cornhuskers. Will the last undefeated team in the Big XII be able to pull off a third straight surprising victory, or will Big Red’s last stand in the Big XII prove to be a solid one? Check out the three keys to which team owns the edge against the 7.5-point NCAA football betting line.

Missouri vs. Nebraska Point Spread: Nebraska -7.5 points

Missouri vs. Nebraska Over-Under: 55 points

Missouri vs. Nebraska Expert Picks: CLICK HERE

Missouri vs. Nebraska Betting Key #1: Does Taylor Martinez have a second straight huge game in him?

If the frosh wants to legitimately stay in the Heisman Trophy discussions, he probably does. Martinez was a dud two weeks ago against the Texas Longhorns in a game that might have cost Nebraska a chance at the National Championship, but last week, he came up aces, rushing for 112 yards while throwing for 323 yards and five scores against a hapless Oklahoma State Cowboys defense in the Huskers 51-41 road victory. Martinez now has 1,046 passing yards and eight scores through the air with 870 yards and 12 tuddies on the ground to date.

Missouri vs. Nebraska Betting Key #2: Can Blaine Gabbert pick apart the Black Shirts like Brandon Weeden did?

No way. The Cornhuskers aren’t playing this one on the road, and they are going to want to make amends in Lincoln for what happened two weeks ago. Gabbert is a solid quarterback, but he doesn’t have either Justin Blackmon to throw the ball to, or Kendall Hunter to turn around and hand it to in order to take some pressure off of his shoulders. We love Gabbert’s 1,899 passing yards and 11/3 TD/INT ratio this season, but he hasn’t faced a test like this all season long. He’ll need to do even better Saturday than he did last week against the Oklahoma Sooners, when he went 30-of-42 for 308 yards with a touchdown.

Missouri vs. Nebraska Betting Key #3: Is Missouri a team that can legitimately play on the road?

We’re really not so sure as of yet. There has only been one away game on the schedule this year with a pair of neutral site battles. The only win as legitimate guests came back on October 16th against the Texas A&M Aggies. Mike Sherman’s club is a train wreck waiting to happen though, and it wasn’t that hard to thwart a one dimensional offense in that game. This week’s game in Big Red Country and next week at the Texas Tech Red Raiders will tell us quite a bit more about the Tigers.

Mizzou has had this one circled ever since falling to Big Red at home last season in a game it took a 12-0 lead into the 4th quarter but ultimately lost after the Huskers exploded for 27 unanswered. I was of the belief that Nebraska was going to make a huge statement last week in Stillwater after getting punked at home the previous week by Texas. While they did pull out the road win and cover, the 41 points allowed hardly suggests this version of the Blackshirts defense is anywhere near the caliber it was a season ago.

While Bo Pelini’s squad picked up the ‘W’, it’s hardly one the team will elect to throw it’s hat upon. Mizzou owns all the momentum heading into this one after dismissing the Sooners from the ranks of the unbeaten; it’s also playing with revenge. Those two ingredients could help fuel them towards pulling off yet another shocker in Lincoln. Look for Gabbert and company to keep it close if not win outright in a defensive minded affair.


Missouri 24 – Nebraska 23