Archives for December 2010

Ohio State vs. Arkansas Point Spread Preview, Picks, Score Prediction Sugar Bowl 2011

The Sugar Bowl on Tuesday, January 4th is a marquee battle between the Ohio State Buckeyes and their fantastic defense and the Arkansas Razorbacks and their high powered offense ked by Ryan Mallett. Interestingly, of the eight Big Ten teams to make a bowl game this season, Ohio State is the only one that is favored, at -3½, and that is vs. a team against the loaded SEC West Division!

Ohio State’s only loss this season came at Wisconsin, while Arkansas’s two losses were to Alabama and Auburn while each team was number one in the nation.

Key #1: Will Arkansas be able to run the ball to keep the Buckeyes defense from keying on Ryan Mallett?

Mallett is one of the best quarterbacks in the country, as he passed for almost 3600 yards this season while completing a nice 66.5 percent of his passes and averaging a potent 9.9 yards per attempt. Keep in mind though that no matter how great he is, the outstanding Ohio State defense would in all likelihood be able to stop a one dimensional passing offense. The Razorbacks’ offense became just about unstoppable though when they established a running game late in the year, averaging a whopping 225.0 rushing yards per game in their last three games. They will need to continue that rushing success to win here.

Arkansas vs. Ohio State Sugar Bowl Game Betting:

– Arkansas vs. Ohio State Point Spread: Ohio State -3.5 points

– Arkansas vs. Ohio State Over-Under: 58 points

– Arkansas vs. Ohio State Expert Picks: CLICK HERE

– Arkansas vs. Ohio State Player Prop Bets: CLICK HERE

Key #2: Will the Razorbacks’ defense make enough stops to give themselves a chance to win?

Arkansas has been able to simply outscore many opponents this year, as their defense has been inconsistent. Yes, the statistics say they are allowing a respectable 22.8 points per game, but it is the distribution of those points that is cause for some concern. They allowed 21 points or less six times, but four of those opponents were UTEP, Vanderbilt, UL Monroe and Tennessee Tech! The two good teams they contained were South Carolina (20) and Texas A&M (17), and they allowed 31.8 points per game in their other six contests. The Ohio State offense is averaging 39.4 points and 450.9 yards per game.

Key #3: Will Ohio State be able to finally snap a 22-year losing streak vs. SEC teams?

Ohio State has always been one of the best teams in the Big 10, but they have also always struggled when stepping out to play teams from other BCS conferences. They have not beaten an SEC school since beating LSU in 1988, losing eight straight matchups vs. what is considered the best conference in the country since then. Now I usually do not put much stock in long term team-specific trends like that, but the Buckeyes keep hearing about it so it has to get into their psyche.


I think this is an odd spot for the Big Ten to have its only bowl favorite, as I feel Arkansas will win this game. If Arkansas can run the ball just decently, and I think they will do better than that, that would be all that is needed to make this the best offense Ohio State has faced all year. Also, do not forget that Big Ten bowl favorites are just 4-16, 20.0 percent ATS since 2000.

Arkansas 34 – Ohio State 24

NFL Week 17 Upset Picks: Raiders, Cardinals and Broncos will finish strong

We had another 1-2 week with our upset calls in Week 16, but it was a profitable week as the winner was the Washington Redskins at a fat +270 at Jacksonville! We were not as fortunate with our calls on Tennessee and the New York Giants.

We have three more upsets for the final week of the NFL season in Week 17.

NFL Upset Alert #1: Oakland Raiders (+3½) +165 over Kansas City Chiefs

This is actually a big game for the 7-8 Raiders, as finishing at .500 would be considered a great accomplishment after watching the dreadful Oakland teams of recent seasons. The Chiefs have now clinched the AFC West and they have no chance to get a first round bye, so their starters figure to see little if any playing time with not much difference between a three seed and a four seed. Granted, Kansas City has a chance to finish 8-0 at home, but that is not nearly as important as doing what is best for the Chiefs for the playoffs, which is keeping the regulars out of harm’s way in this meaningless game. Incredibly, the Raiders would finish 6-0 inside the division with a win, including a 23-20 overtime win over these Chiefs back in Oakland.

NFL Upset Alert #2: Arizona Cardinals (+6) +220 over San Francisco 49ers

There is really no reason why the 49ers should be favored by this much here. This team either underperformed or was overrated all season, and that led to the firing of Coach Mike Singletary following last week’s 25-17 loss at St. Louis that eliminated them from playoff contention. The Cardinals, meantime, are showing some fight late in the year. They are 2-1 since rookie John Skelton took over at quarterback, blowing out the Broncos 43-13 and then upsetting the Cowboys in a 27-26 thriller last week. Yes, both of those games were at home and Arizona has lost six straight road games since winning at St. Louis opening week, but it could easily change here vs. a demoralized Niners team that couldn’t care less about this game. This is also a nice revenge spot for the Cardinals after San Francisco embarrassed them in Arizona 27-6 in a Monday night game earlier this year.

NFL Upset Alert #3: Denver Broncos (+3½) +155 over San Diego Chargers

There is no excuse for the Chargers to come up so flat last week with their playoff lives at stake vs. what was a 3-11 Bengals team, and after getting embarrassed 34-20, we don’t know how they can possibly be motivated for a meaningless game here after such a disappointing season. Even with every game mattering until now, San Diego is just 2-5 straight up on the road. The Broncos rallied from a 17-0 deficit to beat the Texans 24-23 last week as Tim Tebow sparkled in his second NFL start. The former Gator passed for 308 yards and a touchdown and he also added a rushing touchdown. While the Chargers have no motivation here, Tebow is out to prove that he is a legitimate NFL quarterback, and after the San Diego defense made Carson Palmer look like Peyton Manning last week, Tebow should have continued success against another demoralized team.

Los Angeles Lakers Bettor Support Dashed By Heat

Guest post on by Richard Gardner | Bodog Sportsbook Manager

A pair of NBA titans clashed on Christmas Day in a highly-anticipated matchup between the Miami Heat and the Los Angeles Lakers. Though the results on the scoreboard may have been surprising enough on their own (the Heat ran away with a 96-80 win), the action over at Bodog’s online sportsbook was interesting as well.

Initially the pointspread for the game was set at -2 for the Lakers; they are the reigning champions, after all. Given the extreme depth of the Los Angeles roster, that they were early favorites really shouldn’t surprise anyone.

When early reports started to suggest that Heat guard Dwyane Wade may be feeling the ill effects of a knee injury and potentially not even play in the game, the traffic pouring in started leaning even more heavily on the Lakers, enough to push the point spread to -3.5.

At this point the already-deeper Lakers faced an injury-depleted Heat squad and were doing so in the Staples Center at home. It seems Bodog’s online sports bettors had come to the conclusion that even if Wade were to be given the nod in the game, he wouldn’t be playing at 100%. Knees don’t heal over night.

It was well within reason when steady traffic continued to favor the Lakers, but when it was eventually announced that a healthy Wade would be ready for the game, the sportsbook was briefly exposed.

The surprise of Wade’s return, however, was negated by the momentum of people continuing to bet on the Los Angeles Lakers regardless, resulting in a big win for the book when the Heat came away with a big win on the court.

If more bettors had taken stock in the impact of Wade’s return, they would have placed their wagers accordingly – benefitting nicely when the Big Three erupted for 69 points. Still, it was an easy bet to make given the reasonable point spread favoring the reigning champions.

The over/under for the game was set at 194, but the actual result was a grueling affair; neither team shot particularly well on the night, Kobe Bryant shooting just 6-16 from the floor, and the farthest they ended up getting offensively was 176 points.

An impressive 66% of bettors took the over on the night and were sorely disappointed, giving the book yet another big win for the Christmas Day matchup.

Players did find themselves with a win on the night playing the over on Bryant’s combined rebounds and assists (10.5). It didn’t last long though, as the majority also thought he’d strike for more than 27.5 points, instead managing a pedestrian 17.

This isn’t the last time we’ll see these two teams squaring off on the world stage, and if the resentment wasn’t obvious enough this time around, it will only increase as they continue to position themselves for a spot in the NBA Finals.

Get all your NBA betting lines at Bodog. Get Courtside with Bodog.

5 Reasons why Stanford will Blowout Virginia Tech in the Orange Bowl

In a Pac-10/ACC duel, the 4th-ranked Stanford Cardinal will take on the 13th-ranked Virginia Tech Hokies at the Orange Bowl on January 3rd. While the Hokies have been one of college football’s best programs under head coach Frank Beamer, the upstart Cardinal are a field goal favorite in the game.

Here are five reasons why Stanford may turn a projected tight matchup into a rout:

1. Andrew Luck

After an outstanding year as a redshirt sophomore, Luck could be the top choice in next spring’s NFL Draft. The quarterback fired 28 TD passes to lead an offense that averaged over 40 points per game during the regular season. His quick development was a big part of Stanford’s rise in 2010. Luck completed more than 70 percent of his attempts this season with just seven interceptions.

2. A balanced offense

The balance of the Stanford offense is a major strength of the team. While Luck is the club’s star, the Cardinal have some capable runners to compliment Stanford’s passing game. The team is 17th in the country in rushing offense. Sophomore running back Stepfan Taylor leads the attack with 1,023 yards and 15 scoring runs. He rushed for more than 100 yards in five games during the regular season. The Luck-Taylor combo enables Stanford to keep opposing defenses off balance.

Stanford vs. VA Tech Orange Bowl Game Betting:

– Stanford vs. VA Tech Point Spread: Stanford -3.5 points

– Stanford vs. VA Tech Over-Under: 58 points

– Stanford vs. VA Tech Expert Picks: CLICK HERE

– Stanford vs. VA Tech Player Prop Bets: CLICK HERE

3. Jim Harbaugh

The former NFL quarterback is one of the rising coaching stars in the college football ranks. Since taking over a struggling program in 2007, Harbaugh has gradually elevated Stanford into one of the top squads in the Pac-10. After the Cardinal posted losing campaigns in 2007-08, the school went 8-5 in 2009. This year, Stanford’s only regular season setback was at Oregon against the 2nd-ranked Ducks. With a chance to play in a BCS bowl game, Harbaugh will be eager to showcase his emerging team on a national stage.

4. A sound defense

Like many of the top squads in the nation, most of the focus on Stanford’s success has centered around the team’s offense. Harbaugh has made sure that his club is strong on both sides of the ball. Stanford is 11th in the nation in scoring defense. The Cardinal recorded three shutouts during the regular season while holding five other foes to 17 points or less. The defense forced 29 turnovers to help Stanford rank third in the country in turnover margin.

5. Vulnerable Virginia Tech

While the Hokies have reeled off 11 straight wins since an 0-2 start, none of the last 11 opponents finished the year in the top 20. Virginia Tech is certainly a sound team. Head coach Frank Beamer has guided the Hokies to a top 15 finish in five of the last six seasons. Still, there are some weaknesses that could be exposed against Stanford. While the Cardinal have a balanced offense, Virginia Tech lacks consistency throwing the football. To open the year, the Hokies defense was unable to handle a dynamic Boise State offense. Luck and company could be too much to handle for the ACC champions.

Bears vs. Packers Week 17 Vegas Spread, Odds, Line, Picks, TV Kick-Off Time

Green Bay Packers vs. Chicago Bears Week 17 TV Time – Point Spread:

Bears vs. Packers Date: Sunday January 2nd, 2011

Bears vs. Packers Kickoff Time: 4:15pm (EST)

Bears vs. Packers TV Network: FOX

Bears vs. Packers Point Spread: Packers -10 points

Bears vs. Packers Over-Under Odds: 41.5 points

Bears vs. Packers Spread Expert Picks: BetVega Picks


A few Bears vs. Packers Betting trends to consider:

– The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago’s last 5 games
– Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
– The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago’s last 5 games when playing Green Bay
– Chicago is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
– The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Green Bay’s last 5 games when playing Chicago
– Green Bay is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
– The total has gone OVER in 5 of Green Bay’s last 6 games at home
– Green Bay is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games

Rams vs. Seahawks Sunday Night Vegas Spread, Odds, Line, Picks, TV Kick-Off Time

St. Louis Rams vs. Seattle Seahawks Week 17 Sunday Night TV – Point Spread:

Rams vs. Seahawks Date: Sunday January 2nd, 2011

Rams vs. Seahawks Kickoff Time: 8:20pm(EST)

Rams vs. Seahawks TV Network: NBC

Rams vs. Seahawks Announcers: Al Michaels, Cris Colinsworth

Rams vs. Seahawks Point Spread: Rams -3 points

Rams vs. Seahawks Over-Under Odds: 41 points

Rams vs. Seahawks Spread Expert Picks: Expert Picks


A few Rams vs. Seahawks Betting trends to consider:

– The total has gone UNDER in 12 of St. Louis’s last 18 games
– The total has gone UNDER in 10 of St. Louis’s last 15 games on the road
– The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis’s last 6 games when playing on the road against Seattle
– St. Louis is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games
– The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle’s last 5 games
– Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against St. Louis
– Seattle is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing St. Louis
– The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle’s last 6 games at home

Oklahoma vs. UConn Point Spread Preview, Picks, Score Prediction Fiesta Bowl 2011

Many people feel that the Fiesta Bowl on January 1st between the Connecticut Huskies and the Oklahoma Sooners is the biggest mismatch of the FBS bowls, and while it does have the largest spread with Oklahoma favored by 17, it does not mean that Connecticut cannot compete. The Huskies come in on a five-game winning streak that includes a win over West Virginia, the win that propelled them to the Big East title.

Oklahoma has won four straight including a big win on the road at Oklahoma State in the season finale to advance to the Big 12 Championship Game, and then a three point win in that game over Nebraska.

Key #1: Will Connecticut continue to run the ball effectively even with the rise in class?

The best hope for Connecticut to stay in this game is to shorten it with its running game. They certainly seem capable of doing so, as they averaged 180.8 rushing yards per game on a very good 4.8 yards per rush. That was mainly vs. Big East foes though, so will those numbers translate well vs. the Big 12? Well, the Oklahoma defense has been vulnerable at times this season, and the Sooners are allowing 4.8 yards per rush over the last three games. So yes, look for 1500-yard rusher Jordan Todman to have success.

Oklahoma vs. UConn 2011 Fiesta Bowl Game Betting:

– Oklahoma vs. UConn Point Spread: Oklahoma -17 points

– Oklahoma vs. UConn Over-Under: 55 points

– Oklahoma vs. UConn Expert Picks: CLICK HERE

– Oklahoma vs. UConn Player Prop Bets: CLICK HERE

Key #2: Will Oklahoma Quarterback Landry Jones have his usual success vs. the Connecticut secondary?

Jones was second in the country with his 4289 passing yards, but keep in mind there are quite a few weak pass defenses in the Big 12. Connecticut graded out nicely against the pass, allowing 206.4 passing yards per game overall this season on 6.8 yards per pass attempt, and that average dropped to a minuscule 5.1 yards per attempt the last three games. Again, it remains to be seen if the secondary holds up vs. a Big 12 team, especially when facing one of the best quarterbacks in the nation.

Key #3: Can Oklahoma overcome the stigma of having lost five straight BCS bowl games?

The Sooners go to a bowl game every year, but they have lost five straight BCS bowls, two of which were the National Championship Game. They were prohibitive favorites in two of them and were upset by Boise State and West Virginia, leading to the notion that Coach Bob Stoops cannot win the “Big One”. They are now big favorites again vs. another Big East school that they are expected to beat handily, but like Boise State and West Virginia before them, Connecticut seems underrated here.


I do not see Oklahoma losing this game straight up, so Stoops should get the BCS bowl monkey off his back. However, I do think Todman will have a big rushing day for the Huskies, and that should mean they have success running clock with some long drives. I also think the Connecticut defense will stand up to Jones in the early going, but he is too talented not to solve the Huskies eventually. Still, I still like Connecticut to cover this hefty number in the desert.

Oklahoma 28 – Connecticut 17

NFL Against the Spread Betting Stats YTD Heading Into Week 17

NFL betting fanatics are always trying to find the best and worst teams in the game for both spreads and ‘totals’ to back on a regular basis. Here at BetVega, we have all the ins and outs of what NFL trends you should be looking as we head into Week 17.

(Week 17 Expert NFL PicksLive NFL Point SpreadsFree Betting Bonus)

ATS Annihilators

Going into Week 17, there are only three teams in the land that have at least ten covers this year. The Atlanta Falcons make a ton of sense, as they have beaten the snot out of teams for most of the season and are one of the best ATS team in NFL betting action at 10-5 ATS.

The St. Louis Rams make a lot of sense as well since they improved from a 1-15 campaign to be on the verge of the NFC West title, and they are 10-5 ATS as well.

However, the surprising team with the best pro football betting record this year is the Detroit Lions, who are 11-4 ATS and really were on the verge of being a playoff team this year in spite of their 5-10 SU mark.

Bankroll Busters

The biggest ATS disappointments this year are all in the NFC as well, though we’ll give the Houston Texans an honorable mention nod for going 5-10 ATS through their 15 games played to date.

The San Francisco 49ers have been one of the biggest disappointments all season long, and a 5-10 ATS record has us waiving adios to Head Coach Mike Singletary. No team fell further this year than the Arizona Cardinals, but quarterback problems were the ultimate reason, as Kurt Warner proved that he was invaluable to this team’s success in years past.

The biggest bankroll buster this year though, was the Carolina Panthers. Head Coach John Fox is heading elsewhere next year, as he led this team to dismal 2-13 SU and 4-11 ATS records with one week to play.

5 Worst NFL Teams Against The Spread YTD:

1. Carolina Panthers 4-11 ATS

2. Houston Texans 4-10-1 ATS

3. Arizona Cardinals 5-10 ATS

4. Cleveland Brows 5-10 ATS

5. Denver Broncos 5-10 ATS

(see all NFL against the spread records)

The ‘Over’lords

The Dallas Cowboys have the best ‘over’ mark in the league at 13-2, and they haven’t played an ‘under’ game since Head Coach Jason Garrett took over.

The Seattle Seahawks enter Week 17 at a lofty 11-3-1 record for ‘over’ bettors as well. In this year of ridiculously high scoring games though, the New England Patriots trump the AFC at 12-3 in NFL betting action for ‘over’ bettors.

Top 5 NFL “OVER” Teams ATS Year To Date:

1. Dallas Cowboys 13-2 ATS

2. New England Patriots 12-3 ATS

3. Seattle Seahawks 11-3-1 ATS

4. New York Jets 11-4 ATS

5. Detroit Lions 10-4-1 ATS

(see all NFL against the spread records)

Bridge ‘Under’ Troubled Waters

Finding good ‘under’ teams was hard to do this year. There were a slew of teams that went 9-6 for ‘under’ bettors, but none have at least ten victories yet this season.

We’ll keep our attention turned to the AFC for these low scoring teams. The Pittsburgh Steelers are no surprise here with their fantastic rushing defense, while the Buffalo Bills were able to put together at least some defense at times this year to hold teams down.

The Miami Dolphins have a terrible offense that really came up short down the stretch. This is why the Fins aren’t competing for a spot in the playoffs, but more importantly is why they were one of the best NFL betting teams for ‘unders’ this year.

South Carolina vs. Florida State Point Spread Preview, Picks, Score Prediction Chick-Fil-A Bowl 2010

It wasn’t all that many years ago that the Florida State Seminoles and Head Coach Steve Spurrier had a bitter rivalry with one another. Of course, at that point, the Ol’ Ball Coach was coaching the boys up in Gainesville with the Florida Gators. Now, fresh off of his first appearance in the SEC Championship Game with his new team, he’ll lead the South Carolina Gamecocks onto the field against the Noles in Chick-Fil-A Bowl betting action.

Which team will come out on the right side of the three point spread in this one? We have all of the answers here at BetVega.

South Carolina vs. Florida State Key #1: Is there any way to stop Marcus Lattimore?

Both the Auburn Tigers and Clemson Tigers figured out how to do it, but the frosh really did look tired in both of those final two games of the regular season. And who could blame him? Lattimore had carried the ball 248 times and caught 26 passes out of the backfield on the season. The few weeks off really should do wonders for his legs, and we wouldn’t be surprised to see him get back to the 100+ yard plateau against FSU on New Year’s Eve.

2010 Chick-Fil-A Bowl Betting:

– South Carolina vs. Florida State Point Spread: South Carolina -3 points

– South Carolina vs. Florida State Over-Under: 54.5 points

– South Carolina vs. Florida State Expert Picks: CLICK HERE

– South Carolina vs. Florida State Player Prop Bets: CLICK HERE

South Carolina vs. Florida State Key #2: Can Christian Ponder finish his career with a flurry?

Florida State quarterbacks have a great history of finishing their careers on high notes, and had Ponder left school early after last season, he would have done so with a win against the West Virginia Mountaineers. Unfortunately, lingering elbow injuries really cost him a chance at winning much of anything this year, and his NFL Draft stock has plummeted. He has the skills to do some damage against the SC defense, but if he can’t get going, the ground game just has no chance. That brings us to our third question…

South Carolina vs. Florida State Key #3: Does the Noles three headed monster at tailback have enough to penetrate the South Carolina defense?

In two games this year, the Auburn Tigers dropped 574 rushing yards on the Gamecocks. The rest of the country, 11 other teams, only totaled 762 yards, an average of just 69.3 yards per game. Florida State did average 170.2 yards per game this year, but down the stretch, that number really tailed off. None of the three of Chris Thompson, Ty Jones, and Jermaine Thomas really had anything going at the end of the year, and as a result, none even reached 700 rushing yards this year. If at least one of these three doesn’t find a way to at least somewhat break out, there is no hope for winning the Chick-Fil-A Bowl.


We haven’t even talked about the impact that Alshon Jeffrey is going to have in this game for South Carolina. He and Stephen Garcia make up a lethal duo in the passing game as well, and knowing that these two are going to get their yards and their points, even if everything else is a total stalemate, we have to back the Cocks in this one on New Year’s Eve.

South Carolina 31 – Florida State 24

Tennessee vs. North Carolina Point Spread Preview, Picks, Score Prediction Music City Bowl 2010

The Music City Bowl on Thursday, December 30th between the North Carolina Tar Heels and Tennessee Volunteers features two coaches that both did phenomenal jobs this season. Derek Dooley took a Tennessee team that was 2-6 and did not allow them to quit, guiding them to four straight wins to become bowl eligible.

Meanwhile, Butch Davis took a UNC team decimated by full-season suspensions including to both his best offensive and best defensive players and led them to a winning 7-5 campaign. North Carolina has been installed as a small 1½ point favorite for this ACC/SEC tussle.

Tennessee vs. UNC Betting Key #1: Will North Carolina be able to run the ball with their top two running backs out?

Johnny White was doing a fine job as the Tar Heels’ starting back, gaining 1008 yards from scrimmage while averaging 5.5 yards per carry and 12.0 yards per reception when he went down with a fractured collarbone. He was replaced by back-up Anthony Elzy, who averaged an acceptable 4.1 yards per carry and an excellent 13.5 yards per reception. However, Elzy has now been suspended for academic reasons, which puts a lot of pressure on quarterback T.J. Yates to try and win this game on his own.

2010 Music City Bowl Betting:

– Tennessee vs. North Carolina Point Spread: UNC -1 point

– Tennessee vs. North Carolina Over-Under: 50 points

– Tennessee vs. North Carolina Expert Picks: CLICK HERE

– Tennessee vs. North Carolina Prop Bets: CLICK HERE

Tennessee vs. UNC Betting Key #2: Will freshman quarterback Tyler Bray continue his late season surge for Tennessee?

The Volunteers made the switch from Matt Simms to the freshman Bray after the 2-6 start, and all that Bray did was go 4-0 as a starter while throwing 12 touchdown passes, giving him 14 touchdown passes for the whole season against seven interceptions. Comparatively, Simms had only eight touchdown passes despite starting eight games vs. five interceptions. If Bray can overcome the natural jitters that come with playing a bowl game as a freshman, then the Vols should be just fine, especially with this game close to home in Nashville.

Tennessee vs. UNC Betting Key #3: Will the SEC continue to prosper as bowl underdogs even with a lower echelon conference team?

The SEC has been the best conference in college football for quite some time, so it is only natural that they should be dangerous as bowl underdogs. The conference has gone a sparkling 24-15-1, 61.5 percent ATS in this role since 2000. So now the question becomes does that pattern extend to the bottom of the conference? Tennessee was just 3-5 in SEC play this year, but I think that is offset by the fact that North Carolina is just a mid-level ACC team.


While the Volunteers won their last four games, the Tar Heels lost two of their last three contests, and with basically no running backs right now, I think Tennessee can handle a one-dimensional passing offense. Besides, I think a lower echelon SEC team is still better than a mid level ACC school, and Tennessee will have the support of what is now a sold out crowd at LP Field. The North Carolina defense allowed 225.0 passing yards per game over the last three games, so look for Bray to pass the Volunteers to their fifth straight win to salvage a winning season.

Tennessee 27 – North Carolina 20