Archives for April 2011

Updated Odds to win 2011 NBA Championship

The Atlanta Hawks have to feel a tad disrespected after seeing the latest odds to win the 2011 NBA Finals. The Hawks completely dismantled the Orlando Magic and they are still ranked dead last at 40-1 odds to win the 2011 NBA Championship.

I understand that they have a tough road ahead of them in the Eastern Conference, but if they get by the Bulls, they will play the very tired and physically beat up winner of the Heat/Celtics series. I am saying that the Hawks going to win the NBA Championship, but a play on them to win the Eastern Conference may be worth a $100 flyer with a nice ROI.

Odds updated 4-29-2011 from BODOG.COM

– Los Angeles Lakers 11/4

– Miami Heat 11/4

– Chicago Bulls 13/4

– Boston Celtics 11/2

– Oklahoma City Thunder 6/1

– Dallas Mavericks 14/1

– San Antonio Spurs 28/1

– Memphis Grizzlies 35/1

– Atlanta Hawks 40/1

Bet on the 2011 NBA Finals Champ Today!

UFC 129 Fight Lines & Predictions

The biggest event in Mixed Martial Arts history is just three weeks away as Zuffa LLC and the Ultimate Fighting Championship present UFC 129, St-Pierre vs. Shields on Saturday, April 30th from the Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario, Canada.

Welterweight World Champion Georges St-Pierre looks to defend his belt for the sixth consecutive time when he faces off with former Strikeforce champion, Jake Shields, who has not lost a fight in over six years. All of the MMA gambling action is set to get underway live on Pay-per-view beginning at 9:00 ET.

– Welterweight Championship: Georges St-Pierre (21-2) vs. Jake Shields (26-4-1)

St-Pierre (-500) is a proven champion, but if a MMA gambling super-fight with Anderson Silva is ever going to materialize, he must get past Shields (+300) on April 30th. St-Pierre has out-struck the toughest strikers and out-wrestled the most skilled wrestlers. Though Shields, a BJJ black belt like St-Pierre, will be the toughest competitor he’s faced, if St. Pierre can keep the fight standing, he shouldn’t have a problem moving through Shields just like he he’s done to nearly everyone else.

Prediction: St-Pierre by Unanimous Decision (four of St-Pierre’s last five title defense have gone to the judges’ scorecards; he’s won them all unanimously).

FREE UFC 129 Betting Bonus!

– Featherweight Championship: Jose Aldo (18-1) vs. Mark Hominick (20-8)

Jose Aldo became the inaugural UFC Featherweight Champion when the UFC merged with the WEC, but he suffered a neck injury and was forced to pull out UFC 125. Now faced with Mark Hominick, an Ontario native who is undefeated in his last four fights, Aldo will finally make his long awaited first trip inside the MMA gambling octagon.

Aldo is a BJJ black belt that should not have a problem with the striking and Muay Thai background of Hominick; Aldo has also finished seven of his last eight fights by TKO and has not lost since November of 2005.

Prediction: Aldo by TKO (2nd round).

– Light Heavyweight Bout: Vladimir Matyushenko (25-5) vs. Jason Brilz (18-3-1)

40 year-old Matyushenko vs. 35 year-old Brilz may be the most lackluster matchup on paper, but expect both to come out swinging. This fight should not reach the judges, nor should it end by submission; both fighters have wrestling backgrounds and major knockout power.

Prediction: Matyushenko by TKO (3rd round).

– Light Heavyweight Bout: Randy “The Natural” Couture (19-10) vs. Lyoto “The Dragon” Machida (16-2)

47 year-old submission wrestler Randy Couture (+300) has hinted at retirement again, and this may very well be the last MMA gambling fight of his career; expect the Natural to throw everything he has at Machida (-500), a BJJ black belt former light heavyweight champion like Couture, who enters having lost two fights in a row. This fight could easily headline any other MMA card and is sure to be a war.

Prediction: Couture by Decision (Split).

– Lightweight Bout: Mark Bocek (9-3) vs. Ben Henderson (12-2)

Bocek (+100), another Canadian, will have the MMA gambling crowd behind him as he battles Ben Henderson (-130), the former WEC champion set to make his UFC debut. Each are skilled submission artists and you can almost bet your bottom dollar that the fight will end before the judges get a chance to take over.

Prediction: Ben Henderson by Submission (2nd round Read Naked Choke).

FREE UFC 129 Betting Bonus!

Bet on 2011 NFL Draft: Blaine Gabbert, Julio Jones, AJ Green, Jake Locker Picks

The 2011 NFL Draft is here, and NFL betting fans will love to sink their teeth into another great year of props available at

Check out some of the juiciest props on the board for this season!

Jake Locker Under 23.5 (-130) – There are a slew of NFL Draft betting fans who believe that Locker won’t slip beyond the Jacksonville Jaguars in the first round of the draft, and if that’s really the case, the former Washington Huskies standout won’t be on the board anywhere near this 23.5 cutoff. We also have to remember that there is inevitably going to be a run on quarterbacks at some point in this draft, and if this is the case, Locker is going to be one of those prime guys that come off the board before all of the QBs are said and done. We find it hard to believe that the U-Dub stud will be sitting in the Green Room for more than a few hours come Thursday night.

Julio Jones Over 9.5 (+140) – A lot of experts really don’t think that Jones is going to fall out of the Top 10, but if you really look at the wide receivers on the board this year and the teams that are in the market for a stud wide out, we see at least a 50/50 chance that the former member of the Alabama Crimson Tide slips down to at least 10. We know that Jones isn’t a Top 5 pick, and at that point, the question is whether the Cleveland Browns, San Francisco 49ers, Tennessee Titans, or Dallas Cowboys will go there to pick him. We know that quarterbacks could be the picks for any of those teams, save for Dallas, and it seems like the Cowboys are destined to go with offensive line help this year. There are too many other players to ignore at this point to think it’s a slam dunk that Jones will be a Top 10 pick.

Also see: 2012 Super Bowl Odds | All NFL Draft Odds | 2011 MNF Schedule

AJ Green Under 4.5 (-190) – This is really a slam dunk unless the Bengals end up trading out of the No. 4 slot. New Offensive Coordinator Jay Gruden badly wants a big time wide receiver to try to get the ball to, and it doesn’t get much bigger than Green. Of course, drafting Green at No. 4 would also potentially help woo Carson Palmer off of his hard line stance to trade him. Who wouldn’t want to play with Green? It seems like a steal of a price on the NFL odds to get -190 on this prop.

Blaine Gabbert Under 4.5 (+145) – Mock drafts are dropping Gabbert all over the place to the point that he might even be out of the Top 10; but then again, he might still end up going No. 3 to the Buffalo Bills when it’s all said and done. We could also see someone want to hop over the Arizona Cardinals at No. 5 to make sure that they snare the former Mizzou Tiger field general. The bottom line is that there has to be at least a 45 percent chance that Gabbert is off the board before the Cards hit the clock on Thursday, and we plan on taking full advantage of this line.

2011 NFL Draft Odds: Draft Prop Bets By Position Picks

The 2011 NFL Draft is here, and NFL betting fans will love to sink their teeth into another great year of props available at

Check out some of the juiciest props on the board for this season!

Number of Running Backs Drafted in Round 1 (Over 0.5 -300) – We know that we are more or less putting all of our eggs into just one basket, but we know that Mark Ingram is almost certainly going to get picked in the first round as long as the New England Patriots don’t end up trading out of the first round with their second pick. Ingram has had some health concerns, but there is no way that another great Alabama running back is going to end up falling out of the first 32 picks, especially with so many teams with running backs needs in the back end of the first round. Don’t be surprised, especially with the ties between Head Coach Bill Belichick and Nick Saban, that the Tide bruiser ends up wearing Pats gear at the end of this first round.

Number of Wide Receivers & Tight Ends Drafted in Round 1 (Over 2.5 -105) – The slam dunks in the first round of the draft are Alabama’s Julio Jones and Georgia’s AJ Green. Aside from that, there are a few questions that could crop up into the back end of the first round, though we know that we might be sweating all the way down to the last pick of the round with the Green Bay Packers. Randall Cobb is starting to fly up draft boards, but the man that really isn’t getting a lot of publicity right now is Kyle Rudolph, out of Notre Dame. The Fighting Irish tight end would’ve been a slam dunk first round pick had he not gotten injured this year, and we tend to think that someone is going to grab him at the tail end of the first round and get a heck of a target in the passing game as a result.

Also see: 2012 Super Bowl Odds | NFL Draft Odds | 2011 MNF Schedule

Number of Quarterbacks Drafted in Round 1 (Over 3.5 -170) – We’re really taking a bit of a gamble here that there will be a run on signal callers at some point in the first round. There are just too many teams that are out there that can’t be left without quarterbacks. We’re banking on the likes of the Jacksonville Jaguars and the Minnesota Vikings doing some damage to this prop in the middle of the first round, or ideally, trading into the back end of the round and doing the same thing, where it would be more palatable to take a QB like a Christian Ponder, a Jake Locker, or a Ryan Mallett. Of course, we’re also assuming that both Blaine Gabbert and Cam Newton end up going off of the board in the Top 7 picks, which leaves a lot of pressure on a ton of other teams to make moves for at least two of these other three signal callers.

Daily Joust


NFL Draft Odds: Bet on Number of QB’s, RB’s, WR’s, Linemen Drafted in Round One

Number of Quarter Backs taken in Round One (Position Per

– Over 3.5 (-160)
– Under 3.5 (+130)

Number of Running Backs taken in Round One (Position Per

– Over 0.5 (-190)
– Under 0.5 (+150)

Number of Wide Receivers+Tight Ends taken in Round One (Position Per

– Over 2.5
– Under 2.5 (-120)

Number of Offensive Linemen taken in Round One (Position Per

– Over 6.5 (-160)
– Under 6.5 (+130)

Number of Defensive Tackles taken in Round One (Position Per

– Over 4.5 (-155)
– Under 4.5 (+125)

Number of Defensive Ends taken in Round One (Position Per

– Over 7.5 (even)
– Under 7.5 (-130

MLB Betting: Bottom 3 MLB Teams & Pitchers Taking Money From Bettors

We may be just a few weeks into the 2011 Major League Baseball Betting season, but it is not too early to stop and take a look at which teams and pitchers have been overrated by the oddsmakers at this early stage.

In fact, identifying them early may be beneficial, as it then gives us plenty of time to fade these money burners the rest of the year; or until they get back on track.

Bottom 3 MLB Betting Teams:

Boston Red Sox: After a disappointing 2010, the Red Sox were supposed to be back this year, so the last thing they needed was to start out 5-10 while already dropping 9.84 units. This team ranks dead last in the Major Leagues with a team ERA of 5.58, and the Red Sox are 0-6 on the road. Keep in mind that Boston finished just 21st with a 4.20 ERA last season, so the bad pitching is not a total anomaly.

Seattle Mariners: Now this is a team that was expected to be bad, and the Mariners have accommodated by going 5-12 and losing 7.24 units. This club simply cannot hit, ranking dead last in the American League with a dismal .217 batting average including .193 vs. right-handed pitching. Even the reigning Cy Young Award winner Felix Hernandez is 1-2 with a 4.33 ERA, as the starting pitchers feel they need to be perfect to offset the offense’s ineptitude.

New York Mets: The Mets had a great first week of 2011, but then reality set in and they are currently 5-11 for a loss of 5.54 units. The best part is that the Mets are almost always overrated while playing in the New York market, so they should be great fades the rest of the year. That is good news for bettors for a team with a .238 batting average and a horrific 5.26 ERA.

Also see: 2011 World Series Odds & Vegas MLB Expert Picks

Bottom 3 MLB Betting Pitchers:

Chris Carpenter: Carpenter is generally considered one of the best pitchers in baseball, but he is off to an 0-2 start with a 4.13 ERA, and the Cardinals as a team are 0-4 for a loss of 6.37 units when he takes to the bump. Now we have no doubt that Carpenter will turn things around, but he should also be overvalued all year because his greatness is no secret. Even when St. Louis went 22-13 in his starts last season, he only picked up 0.42 units.

Clay Buchholz: Speaking of overvalued, the Red Sox are down 4.59 units while going 0-3 in the games that Buchholz has started, as he is personally 0-2 with a bloated 6.60 ERA and 1.73 WHIP. Clay may have had a career season a year ago when he was 17-7 with a 2.33 ERA after never showing that kind of ability before, so he may be in line for a correction in 2011.

Michael Pelfrey: Pelfrey tailed off after the All-Star break last season after being 10-4 at the break, and that has carried over to this year as he is 0-2 with a horrific 9.72 ERA and 2.34 WHIP with the league hitting .382 off of him; the Mets are 0-4 and have dropped 4.00 units in his ’11 starts. While he may not be as bad as his current numbers, he is not as good as he looked in the first half last year either.

Baseball Betting: Top 3 MLB Teams & Pitchers Making Money For Bettors

The 2011 Major League Baseball Betting season is still in its infancy, but that does not mean we cannot stop and take a look at which teams and pitchers have been underrated by the sportsbooks to this point.

As a matter of fact, now may be the perfect time to identify these clubs and hurlers, as there is plenty of season left to jump on these money makers to boost that bankroll!

MLB Teams Cashing In For Bettors:

Cleveland Indians: This team was expected to be one of the doormats in the American League Central, but the Indians are off to a 12-4 start while earning 10.43 units for their supporters. Cleveland is second in the American League in batting average at .269 and they are also second in the AL in bullpen ERA at 2.68; a combination that will win you a lot of games in the bigs.

Texas Rangers: You don’t have to be an unknown commodity to make this list, as the defending American League Champions are 11-5 while picking up 6.38 units, and the Rangers became the second World Series participant in history to win nine of its first 10 games the following season. Now the Rangers are known for their offense, and they do rank third in the American League with a .268 batting average, but the key to their early season success has been a pitching staff that is second in the Major Leagues with a 2.83 ERA.

Colorado Rockies: The Rockies have a reputation for strong finishes and for dominating at home in the altitude. Well, they are off to an uncharacteristically fast start this year at 12-4 for 6.23 units gained, and the most encouraging part about their start is that they are 7-1 on the road! If they can keep that up, they will be contenders in the National League West this season, as you know that they will build on their mediocre 5-3 home start.

Also see: 2011 World Series Odds & Vegas MLB Expert Picks

MLB Pitchers Cashing In For Bettors:

Max Scherzer: The Tigers are 4-0 in games that Scherzer has started for +4.50 units, while he is personally 3-0, albeit with a high 4.30 ERA. Keep in mind though that while his velocity is down right now, that has always been the case with the Mighty Max early in the year, and he always gets stronger and gains velocity as the season moves along. Last year, his ERA and strikeouts per nine innings improved steadily over each calendar month through August before just a slight decline in September.

Brian Duensing: Duensing may be just 1-0, but he always gives the Twins a chance to win as they are 3-0 for +4.16 units in all of his starts. While has allowed four runs in seven innings in his seasonable debut, he has rebounded with back-to-back Quality Starts where he allowed exactly two earned runs each time to improve his ERA to 3.60. Duensing is not a fluke either, as he now has a 3.07 ERA and 1.27 WHIP in 80 career games.

Carlos Zambrano: The volatile Zambrano is 2-0, but the Cubs are 4-0 and up 4.07 units in the games that he has started. While Big Z is best known for his temper tantrums, don’t lose sight of the fact that he has not been tagged with a loss since last June, as he went 8-0 with a fantastic 1.58 ERA after the All-Star break.