Archives for July 2011

2011 Big East Football Betting Preview: WVU Favored, Look Out For Pitt

Our 2011 NCAA football betting preview continues with a look at the Big East and the college football odds for the top teams in the conference.

The Favorite: West Virginia Mountaineers (+250) – We know that the Big East is absolutely wide open this year, but the Mountaineers probably have the most talented team in the bunch. NCAA football betting fans are going to look forward to what Geno Smith can do in this, his second season at the helm for the ‘Neers under center.

The question is what the fallout will look like from a tumultuous offseason in which Bill Stewart was replaced by new Head Coach Dana Holgorsen. Still, the toughest tasks along the way this year in conference are at Cincinnati and at South Florida, but getting the Backyard Brawl at home against Pittsburgh is absolutely key.

Team To Avoid: Pittsburgh Panthers (+350) – The Panthers just had too many changes in the offseason to try to back at this type of a price. Todd Graham really thought that he was staying with Tulsa after the coaching carousel had appeared to stop turning, but alas, after the dismissal of Michael Haywood from the coaching position just days after he acquired it, Graham has taken his crazy offense to the Big East. However, will it all work? We tend to doubt it, at least right now. The talent just isn’t there beyond the running back position, where U-Pitt is tremendously stacked.

The good news is that there are only three road games on the conference slate at Rutgers, Louisville, and West Virginia, but we just don’t get the feeling that this is a team that is holding serve at Heinz Field this year.

Dark Horse to Watch: Syracuse Orange (+1300) – Give the Orange and Head Coach Doug Marrone a whole heck of a lot of credit for making it to a bowl game last year after the program suffered through a number of dismal seasons. Don’t confuse Syracuse for a team that is the best in the conference, but as the Big East has proven over the years, it’s not always the best team, but the one that just finds a way to win some tight, gritty conference clashes that gets the job done.

The road slate only features three games, and if the ‘Cuse can take care of a team like West Virginia at home, you never know whether these last few games of the year are going to make or break their season.

Improving Team: Louisville Cardinals (+800) – This probably isn’t quite the year for Head Coach Charlie Strong and company yet, but there is no doubt that the Cardinals are on the rise again in the Big East and should end up bowling this year thanks to a weak non-conference schedule. The Redbirds had the best recruiting class in the Big East, and many think that they had it by a country mile. Though those kids won’t all be able to get the job done quite yet, 2012 will be Louisville’s year with just three road games in conference. Still, this will be a fun team to watch grow throughout 2011-12.

Odds to win Big East Conference:

– West Virginia +200
– South Florida +250
– Pittsburgh +350
– Louisville +500
– Cincinnati +550
– Syracuse +800
– Rutgers +1000
– Connecticut +2000

Also see: 2012 BCS Champion Odds | Heisman Front Runner Odds

College Football Over-Under Win Totals 2011 Regular Season

Online Sportsbook BODOG released their 2011 college football teams over-under win totals this past weekend. will have analysis and predictions for the win total odds below later this week.

In the meantime, our friends over at put together a very nice analysis of the odds.

College Football Win Totals Are Sponsored By Bodog
Super Bowl Odds

Alabama Crimson Tide
Over 10 (-155)
Under 10 (+125)

Arizona Wildcats
Over 6.5 (+155)
Under 6.5 (-190)

Auburn Tigers
Over 6.5 (+105)
Under 6.5 (-135)

Baylor Bears
Over 6.5 (+110)
Under 6.5 (-140)

Boise State Broncos
Over 10 (-250)
Under 10 (+195)

Clemson Tigers
Over 7 (-135)
Under 7 (+105)

Florida Gators
Over 8 (+145)
Under 8 (-175)

Florida State Seminoles
Over 10 (+135)
Under 10 (-165)

Georgia Bulldogs
Over 8 (-180)
Under 8 (+150)

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
Over 6 (-130)
Under 6 (EVEN)

Iowa Hawkeyes
Over 8 (+150)
Under 8 (-180)

Kansas State Wildcats
Over 5.5 (-135)
Under 5.5(+105)

Kentucky Wildcats
Over 6 (-120)
Under 6 (-110)

LSU Tigers
Over 9.5 (+115)
Under 9.5 (-145)

Miami Hurricanes
Over 8 (-115)
Under 8 (-115)

Michigan Wolverines
Over 7 (-135)
Under 7 (+105)

Michigan State Spartans
Over 7 (-250)
Under 7 (+195)

Mississippi State Bulldogs
Over 7 (-175)
Under 7 (+145)

Missouri Tigers
Over 7.5 (-145)
Under 7.5 (+115)

Nebraska Cornhuskers
Over 10 (+125)
Under 10 (-155)

Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Over 9 (+105)
Under 9 (-135)

Ohio State Buckeyes
Over 9 (+160)
Under 9 (-200)

Oklahoma Sooners
Over 10 (-130)
Under 10 (EVEN)

Oklahoma State Cowboys
Over 8 (-170)
Under 8 (+140)

Oregon Ducks
Over 9.5 (-130)
Under 9.5 (EVEN)

Oregon State Beavers
Over 7 (+160)
Under 7 (-200)

Penn State Nittany Lions
Over 8 (+110)
Under 8 (-140)

South Carolina Gamecocks
Over 9 (-130)
Under 9 (EVEN)

South Florida Bulls
Over 8 (+105)
Under 8 (-135)

Stanford Cardinal
Over 8.5 (-190)
Under 8.5 (+155)

Syracuse Orange
Over 6 (-115)
Under 6 (-115)

TCU Horned Frogs
Over 9 (-140)
Under 9 (+110)

Tennessee Volunteers
Over 6.5 (-115)
Under 6.5 (-115)

Texas Longhorns
Over 8.5 (+120)
Under 8.5 (-150)

Texas A&M Aggies
Over 8.5 (-190)
Under 8.5 (+155)

Texas Tech Red Raiders
Over 7.5 (-110)
Under 7.5 (-120)

UCLA Bruins
Over 5.5 (-115)
Under 5.5 (-115)

USC Trojans
Over 7.5 (-135)
Under 7.5 (+105)

Virginia Tech Hokies
Over 10 (-140)
Under 10 (+110)

West Virginia Mountaineers
Over 9 (-105)
Under 9 (-125)

Wisconsin Badgers
Over 9 (-180)
Under 9 (+150)

WAC Football Predictions & Vegas Odds For 2011

The 2011 College Football Betting season is almost upon us, and after beginning our series of conference previews with three major conferences, we now take a look at one of the smaller conferences in the WAC.

The WAC will never be the same, as Boise State has already jumped ship and Hawaii will join Boise in the Mountain West Conference next year. That leaves the door open for Nevada to win the WAC this season despite some key defections.

Here is our predicted order of finish:

1 – Nevada Wolf Pack:The loss of dual threat quarterback Colin Kaepernick will be hard to overcome, but Nevada still looks like the favorite to win this watered down conference this season. The Wolf Pack were co-champs in the WAC last season along with Boise State and Hawaii when they went 13-1, and while they lost Kaepernick, running back Vai Taua and tight end Virgil Green, they do have an experienced offensive line and have plenty of depth at running back for Coach Chris Ault’s ‘Pistol’ offense to not skip a beat.

2 – Fresno State Bulldogs: This is not the best Bulldogs team that Coach Pat Hill has ever had, but Fresno seems quite capable of improving after back-to-back 8-5 seasons. Yes, Fresno has a killer non-conference schedule per usual with California, Nebraska, Mississippi and San Diego State on its slate. However, that should have the positive effect of toughening the Bulldogs up for conference play. Also note that Derek Carr, younger brother of former Fresno State QB and NFL number one draft pick David Carr, is set to be the starting quarterback.

3 – Hawaii Warriors: Hawaii had the best passing offense in the country last season, as quarterback Brian Moniz threw for over 5,040 yards with 39 touchdowns. However, Moniz can see his numbers go down this season, and it has nothing to do with his ability. First, wide receivers Kealoha Pilares and Greg Salas are now gone, and second and most alarmingly, the offensive line could be in shambles as it returns only one starter. Now the Warriors will still score a ton of points once that lines become more cohesive, but it may take a while.

4 – Louisiana Tech Bulldogs: The Bulldogs recovered from a 1-4 start last season to finish at 5-7 and just miss becoming bowl eligible. The offense was fine but the defense allowed 462.1 yards per game, Keep in mind though that a lot of those yards came in two games vs. Boise State and Hawaii. Boise State is gone and Hawaii seems more vulnerable this year with an extremely young offensive line. Besides, Louisiana Tech should be improved defensively with I.K. Enempkali and Matt Broha leading the way.

5 – Utah State Aggies: Utah State is coming off of a disappointing 4-8 campaign, but the Aggies welcome back running back Robert Turbin this year after he missed last season with an injury. Turbin rushed for 1,296 yards and 18 touchdowns in 2009, and anything close to that this time around should result in Utah State’s ascension in the standings.

The bottom three…

6 – Idaho Vandals
7 – San Jose State Spartans
8 – New Mexico State Aggies

Also see: Odds to win WAC Conf. | BCS Champ Odds | Heisman Odds

2011 ACC College Football Predictions & Vegas Odds

Our 2011 NCAA football betting preview picks up with a look at the ACC and the college football odds for the top teams in the conference.

The Favorite: Florida State Seminoles (+175) – Head Coach Jimbo Fisher knows that he has his Noles heading in the right direction after a 10-4 season and a win in the Chic-Fil-A Bowl against a tough set of South Carolina Gamecocks. Christian Ponder is gone and was surprisingly a middle of the road first round draft choice, but now, QB EJ Manuel has control of the offense and is going to be looking to come up with a big time year.

The offensive line has been improving every single season, and now, it is a strength of the team. We already know that a speedy defense is going to be chock full of stars as well. This is finally going to be the year in that the Seminoles get back to the top of the pack in the ACC.

Team To Avoid: Miami Hurricanes (+400) – We’re really not all that sure why the Canes are getting that much respect this year. Head Coach Al Golden wasn’t the university’s optimal choice for its next man in charge, and as a result, many think that this is the last year in which the school is really going to challenge. Still, road games at Virginia Tech, Maryland, North Carolina, and Florida State is just a curse and a half, and there is no way that “The U” is getting through all of this unscathed. We’re really not even sure that Jacory Harris is going to be good enough to get this team to a bowl game with non-conference tilts set to go against Ohio State, Kansas State, and South Florida.

Dark Horse to Watch: North Carolina Tar Heels (+650) – What a schedule the Heels have this year! Remember that this team really put forth some solid games last season in spite of the fact that its defense was tortured by NCAA violations right before the year started. Still, Head Coach Butch Davis has done a remarkable job keeping this team together, and now, there is a real chance to win the conference.

There really shouldn’t be a loss on the schedule until perhaps a two game roadie at Georgia Tech and East Carolina to end September and start October. Miami invades Chapel Hill as well. Florida State is dodged to boot. The problem is going to start in November, and even then, the biggest game of the year against Virginia Tech on the road is going to come on the heels of a bye week.

Improving Team: Wake Forest Demon Deacons (+10000) – No, the Demon Deacons aren’t going to challenge in the ACC in all likelihood, but there are 17 starters returning to Head Coach Jim Grobe’s team; the most in the conference. Things can’t possibility be any worse than they were last year defensively when they allowed 431 yards per game, and we wouldn’t be shocked to see a relatively weak ACC end up giving Wake a few wins in what looks to be another down season for the conference.

Also see: Odds to be 2011 ACC Champ | BCS Champ Odds | Heisman Odds

BIG 12 College Football Preview & Predictions 2011

We are getting closer and closer to the start of the 2011 College Football betting season, so with that in mind, we continue our series of conference previews with the Big 12 Conference.

Remember that the Big 12 is now down to 10 teams this season with the defections of the Nebraska Cornhuskers to the Big Ten and the Colorado Buffaloes to the Pac-12. The Oklahoma Sooners are expected to contend for the national title, so they are the logical choice to win the conference. However, do not sleep on the Aggies of Texas A&M.

Here is our predicted order of finish:

1 – Oklahoma Sooners: The Sooners are legitimate contenders to win the BCS Championship, as they had virtually no holes to fill after playing so many underclassmen last season. They also got great news with wide receiver Ryan Broyles and linebacker Travis Lewis each returning for their senior year. Broyles could be the best receiver in Sooners’ history while Lewis is a three-time All-Big 12 selection. Quarterback Landry Jones, who is a Heisman Trophy candidate, is also back, as is running back Roy Finch, who averaged an impressive 4.7 yards per carry last season.

2 – Texas A&M Aggies: The Aggies look like the biggest threats, as they return 18 starters from a year ago, when the defense performed well all year and the offense caught up in the last six regular season games after Ryan Tannehill took over at quarterback. The defense should be just as strong this season while the offense should be improved with Tannehill running the show from the get-go. Also back is running back Cyrus Gray, who closed out last season with seven straight 100-yard rushing games, and underrated wide receiver Jeff Fuller, who had over 1000 receiving yards and 12 touchdown catches.

3 – Oklahoma State Cowboys: The Cowboys are just loaded on offense this year with quarterback Brandon Weeden and wide receiver Justin Blackmon returning for another year to go along with blue-chip running back Herschel Sims heading a great recruiting class. The only reason we are picking the Cowboys third is that their offense should only be slightly better than A&M’s as long as Tannehill wasn’t a mirage last year, and the Aggies’ defense seems vastly superior.

4 – Missouri Tigers: The Tigers lost quarterback Blaine Gabbert, but their defense could reach elite status this season, and Missouri could win a lot of games just on the strength of its dominant defensive line alone. Star linebacker Luke Lambert was granted an extra year of eligibility after having his seasons cut short with injuries each of the last two years. Back on offense, James Franklin and Blaine Gabbert’s younger brother Tyler should be fighting for the quarterback job, and whoever wins will have a game-breaker to throw to in wide receiver James Franklin

5 – Texas Longhorns: The Longhorns were one of the biggest busts in the country in 2010, and it started with quarterback Garrett Gilbert, as he threw only 10 touchdown passes and led the country with 17 interceptions. The running game was non-existent, but that could all change this year with the arrival of celebrated recruit Malcolm Brown.

And the rest…

6 – Baylor Bears
7 – Texas Tech Red Raiders
8– Kansas State Wildcats
9 – Iowa State Cyclones
10 – Kansas Jayhawks

Also see: Odds to win BIG 12 Conf. | BCS Champ Odds | Heisman Odds

PAC-12 Football Betting Preview: Vegas Likes Stanford, Utah May Surprise

Our 2011 NCAA football betting preview continues with a look at the PAC-12 and the college football odds for the top teams in the conference.

The Trendy Pick: Stanford Cardinal (+250) – Sure, Oregon is favored in this conference (more on that in a second), but NCAA football betting fans have to realize that the real value in this conference is on the Cardinal. Head Coach Jim Harbaugh flew the coup, but it is clear that QB Andrew Luck is the best in the nation and should be putting up some amazing numbers. This offense will be even better this season than it was a year ago, and with that being the case, if the ‘D’ can at the very least slow down some of Stanford’s opponents, it could be a year in which the Tree gets all the way to the top of the mountain!

Team to Avoid: Oregon Ducks (+125) – Are we crazy? The Ducks were arguably the best team in the nation last year in spite of the fact that they lost the National Championship Game, and it is clear that the combination of QB Darron Thomas and RB LaMichael James is going to put up just a slew of offensive numbers this year. However, we really do question this schedule. Games at Arizona and Stanford are not going to be fun, and it is clear that this is a team that has a huge bulls-eye on its back. At least Utah is dodged, but even if the U of O gets into the Pac-12 Championship Game, the Utes might be there waiting for them.

Dark Horse to Watch: Utah Utes (+500) – It’s pretty clear to us that the Utes aren’t the best team in this conference this year. However, with USC still on probation and unable to play for the Pac-12 title this year, Utah really might watch the door swing wide open. Both Stanford and Oregon are dodged on the schedule, while the only tough road game in its side of the division is the one at Arizona. If Head Coach Kyle Whittingham and his staff can keep the conference losses down to two, or maybe even three, there is a great chance that the Utes could be playing in the Pac-12 Championship Game out of the South Division, where they could have a real chance at making it to the BCS as a power conference team for the first time.

Improving Team: Washington State Cougars (+10000) – Wazzu can’t possibly get any worse, right? QB Jeff Tuel is going to be the man that has the ability to turn this program around. The Cougs were able to beat Oregon State last year on the road, and they hung with Cal and Washington as well at the end of the year. No, WSU isn’t beating any of the top Pac-12 contenders this year, but it really could pull off a few upsets of teams that are hoping to go bowling. In the end, five wins would be a triumph, but 2011 could be the beginning of something truly special in Pullman.

Also see: Odds to win PAC 12 Conf. | BCS Champ Odds | Heisman Odds

2011 SEC College Football Predictions & Vegas Odds

2011 SEC Football Predictions

The 2011 College Football Betting season will be here before you know, and we now continue our series of conference previews with the conference that has dominated college football the last five years, the SEC.

We think that the SEC will again be the best conference in football from top to bottom this year, but unlike past seasons, we see only one potentially dominant team capable of giving the conference a sixth straight championship.

Here is our predicted order of finish for each division:

West Division

1 – LSU Tigers: The Tigers are loaded everywhere except the most important position, where incumbent quarterback Jordan Jefferson is holding off talented JUCO transfer Zach Mettenberger for now. If the Tigers get just adequate play out of the QB position, they are legitimate threats to win the BCS Championship. We are banking on either Mettenberger taking over the job or at the very least bringing out the best in Jefferson knowing his starting job is in jeopardy.

2 – Alabama Crimson Tide: The Tide slipped last season and they lose quarterback Greg McElroy, running back Mark Ingram and wide receiver Julio Jones. However, the rest of the West looks weaker also, and the Tide have another Heisman Trophy candidate at running back in Trent Richardson, a solid defense and an intelligent quarterback in A.J. McCarron. Alabama looks like the second best team in the West, and it can beat LSU at home if the Tigers’ QB situation is unsettled.

3 – Arkansas Razorbacks: The Razorbacks lost quarterback Ryan Mallet, but they still possibly have the best receiving corps in college football, making the transition to new QB Tyler Wilson easier. The Hogs do have an inexperienced offensive line, so blue-chip recruit guard Brey Cook should play a major role in the success of this team. Wilson lacks Mallet’s arm strength though, and the defense could also regress after probably overachieving last season.

The rest…

4 – Mississippi State Bulldogs
5 – Auburn Tigers
6 – Mississippi Rebels

Also see: Odds to win SEC Conference | BCS Champ Odds | Heisman Odds

East Division

1 – Georgia Bulldogs: We are calling for a major upset in the East, which looks like the weakest SEC division in many years this season. Yes, the Bulldogs lost All-World receiver A.J, Green, but have probably the best returning quarterback in the SEC in Aaron Murray, and remember that this was a young team last year that should benefit from the experience; the loss of Green notwithstanding.

2 – South Carolina Gamecocks: The Gamecocks took advantage of a weak East Division last year, only to become Auburn’s sacrificial lamb in the SEC Championship Game. South Carolina is not a bad team, but they are not an elite team than can be counted on to win back-to-back division titles, especially with Coach Steve Spurrier and quarterback Stephen Garcia feuding once again. The Cocks overachieved last year and won’t do so again.

3 – Florida Gators: The Gators disappointed last year as their heir apparent to Tim Tebow,
John Brantley, was miserable as the field general in Gainesville. This will now be a transition year for the Gators with Will Muschamp taking over as head coach and Charlie Weis becoming the new offensive coordinator. Florida will be hard-pressed to match the success of the Urban Meyer era with a questionable quarterback leading its charge.

The rest…

4 – Tennessee Volunteers
5 – Kentucky Wildcats
6– Vanderbilt Commodores

SEC Championship Game Prediction: LSU over Georgia

Big Ten Football Predictions & Vegas Odds For 2011

2011 Big 10 Football Predictions

We are now under the two month countdown for the start of the 2011 College Football Betting season, so we are continuing our series of conference previews with the Big Ten Conference.

Remember that the Big Ten is now actually comprised of 12 teams this season with the addition of the Nebraska Cornhuskers, who are expected to be big players in their inaugural season. With the expansion, the Big Ten will now be divided into two divisions called the Legends Division and the Leaders Division.

The two division winners will then meet in the first ever Big Ten Championship Game at Lucas oil Stadium in Indianapolis, IN.

Here is our predicted order of finish for each division:

Legends Division

1 – Michigan State Spartans: The Spartans won 11 games last season, and they are returning quarterback Kirk Cousins, top two running backs Edwin Baker and Le’Veon Bell and veteran wide receivers B.J. Cunningham, Keshawn Martin and Keith Nichol. The biggest losses come on defense with the defections of linebackers Greg Jones and Eric Gordon, but if their replacements are adequate, the Spartans could be smelling roses.

2 – Nebraska Cornhuskers: The Huskers are favored to win the Legends, but duel threat quarterback Taylor Martinez will be going against bigger and better defenses than he faced in the Big 12, and the running game took a big hit, losing Roy Helu, Jr. The defensive front seven is as good as any in the country, but we still think that there will be a transitional period with the change in leagues.

3 – Northwestern Wildcats: The Wildcats are the best of the rest as long as quarterback Dan Persa can stay healthy all year after having his 2010 season cut short by a ruptured Achilles. Northwestern returns four starters on the offensive line as well as running back Mike Trumpy and wide receiver Jeremy Ebert. The Cats also have a senior laden defense and a relatively easy schedule with their toughest games at home.

The rest…

4 – Michigan Wolverines
5 – Iowa Hawkeyes
6– Minnesota Golden Gophers

Also see: Odds to win Big 10 Conference | BCS Champ Odds | Heisman Odds

Leaders Division

1 – Wisconsin Badgers: The Badgers lost a lot this year, but running backs Montee Ball and James White are back, so Wisconsin can win the Leaders with their power running game alone. The Badgers lost quarterback Scott Tolzien and wide receiver David Gilreath, but this is a run-first team anyway. The defense is solid, especially in the backfield where Aaron Henry and Antonio Fenelus were both All Big Ten last year.

2 – Ohio State Buckeyes: The Buckeyes’ troubles are well documented, but they should still finish second in what easily looks like the weaker of the two divisions. Ohio State did have great depth last season, and those back-ups will be put to the acid test now.

3 – Penn State Nittany Lions: Somebody has to be third in this division, and the fact that the Nittany Lions should be improved on defense with eight returning starters offsets the fact that they are still looking for an adequate replacement for running back Evan Royster. The offense will bog down at times, but their defense is better than the remaining three teams in the division, so we give Penn State the nod for third.

The rest…

4 – Illinois Fighting Illini
5 – Purdue Boilermakers
6– Indiana Hoosiers

Big Ten Championship Game Prediction: Michigan State over Wisconsin