Archives for August 2011

Week 1 College Football Point Spreads, Odds, Lines, Over-Unders

The 2011 college football betting season is finally here!

Check out Week 1 College Football Point Spreads below for games kicking off Thursday September 1st through Monday night September 5th.

Some BIG games of note for week 1:

Oregon -1 vs. LSU

Boise State -3 vs. Georgia

Notre Dame -10 vs. USF

– Also see Expert College Football Picks for week 1

2012 Election Odds: Rick Perry Gains Ground on President Obama

Placing a wager on the 2012 Presidential Election isn’t anything new. Why it’s probably been going on since we’ve had Presidential Elections. I would bet that many a gambler, maybe even a few, if not all of our founding fathers, have garnered some pretty hefty scores from betting on Presidential Elections.

And why the heck not? If your candidate succeeds in becoming the leader of the best nation in the free world. You win twice.

So, as the 2012 Presidential Election moves closer, it is shaping up to be very interesting, and there are some appealing odds that could return fairly large dividends for the savvy gambler. Sure, incumbent President Obama is the favorite to win on 2012 with odds of 1/2, but those numbers have declined in recent weeks, leaving even the most studious odds junkie to wonder if our fearless leader is really such a slam dunk.

With voters increasing unease with the slow recovery pace of the US economy, and unemployment rates reaching all-time highs, the entire Democratic Party, I am sure, are even having trouble seeing a landslide victory for their most-promising candidate.

However, with Obama’s repeal of “Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell,” and given his sustained popularity with the minority voters, he is a near certainty to represent the Democratic Party in November of 2012, barring some unforeseen event. But who will be the Republican’s Presidential nominee? Well the wait may be

Just 24 hours after announcing that he would run for the Presidency of the United States, Texas Governor Rick Perry skyrocketed to the top of the Presidential Primary pack, taking over as the No. 1 GOP candidate to defeat President Obama in November 2012.

While Obama talks of jobs, Perry’s state of Texas has led the US in recent years, accounting for more than 40 percent of all new jobs in the US in 2010. That is a huge advantage for Perry.

He’s got the support of social conservatives and many Tea Party members, but can he glean enough votes from conservative democrats who may view him as the next George W.

That advantage seems to be more pragmatic for former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney, who is currently offered at 4/1 odds to be the next President of the United States in 2012.

Uncle Mitt, despite being a devote Mormon, possesses the panache to get a few fringe non-party votes, but may have exiled himself from his own GOP supporters after signing a health care coverage bill that is not too different from the recently passed federal health care legislation that is so heatedly opposed by many, including many Tea Party operatives.

However, Romney has the a large campaign fund and a solid reputation for his economic know-how that should garner him enough votes from moderate Republicans.

Another GOP contender worth looking at, is Minnesota Congresswomen Michele Bachmann, who’s holding strong at 12/1 odds after regaining some much-needed momentum after rival and former Minnesota governor Tim Pawlenty withdrew from the race after being bested by Bachmann in an Iowa straw poll earlier this month.

While Romney brings the economic prowess and Bachmann does fit the Tea Party and social conservative profile, neither have Perry’s rock star-type style appeals to many.

Odds To Win 2012 Presidential Election

(the number next to each candidate is the payout on a $100 wager)

– Barack Obama -120

– Rick Perry +300

– Mitt Romney +500

– Chris Christie+3500

– Ron Paul+4000

– Jon Huntsman+4000

– Paul Ryan+4000

– Michele Bachmann+5000

– Sarah Palin+5000

– Herman Cain+7500

– Rudolph Giuliani+7500

– Michael Bloomberg+10000

– Rick Santorum+10000

– Newt Gingrich+20000

Notre Dame, Texas A&M, Boise State On Upset Alert In Week 1?

Looking for the dog with the biggest bark in NCAA football betting action this week? Check out our three-pack of potential upsets to go with here at BetVega!

South Florida Bulls (+10) @ Notre Dame
 Saturday, 3:30 ET


How many more times are the Irish going to fool us into thinking that they are that great of a team? Sorry, Notre Dame. You’re not that good. Head Coach Brian Kelly picked QB Dayne Crist to lead his team this year, a choice that we think might not really pay off. Sure, WR Michael Floyd is the real deal and is surely a first round NFL Draft type of talent, but aside from him, what does Notre Dame really have?

South Florida has a history of pulling off these upsets; just ask the Miami Hurricanes and the Florida State Seminoles in recent years. QB BJ Daniels looked awfully good the last time we saw him in the Meineke Car Care Bowl against the Clemson Tigers, and if he can put together that type of performance, USF can pull off this NCAA football betting upset as huge road pups.

Georgia Bulldogs (+3) vs. Boise St. Broncos Sat. 8:00 ET

BETTING ODDS: OPEN: Boise -3 | CURRENT: Boise -3.5 | OVER/UNDER: 51

The last time Boise State paid a visit to the Peach State, it was an ugly state of affairs for the orange and blue. The then darling Broncos were knocked off 48-13. In 2005, Boise was a 7.5-point underdog. This time around, it is a three-point favorite. The result won’t quite be the same, but we do think that this is Georgia’s game to lose.

The Broncos do return QB Kellen Moore, but the majority of the rest of the skill position players are gone. Meanwhile, Georgia does lose WR AJ Green, but QB Aaron Murray is back and should be one of the most improved signal callers in the land in this, his sophomore season.

Giving us three points with Georgia effectively at home at the Georgia Dome is generous. Don’t be shocked if the Broncos have their National Championship dreams squashed their first time out.

SMU Mustangs (+16) @ Texas A&M Aggies
 Sunday, 7:30 ET


Okay, maybe this is a tad farfetched. However, we definitely think that there isn’t all that much difference between these two teams in spite of the fact that A&M is a Top 10 ranked team in the country.

QB Ryan Tannehill was solid down the stretch last year, but the team just rallied around him; he wasn’t truly better than Jerrod Johnson was. The A&M defense really wasn’t all that great and shouldn’t be improved either.

SMU though, is going to be one of the more improved teams in Conference USA. QB Kyle Padron can tear this defense apart, and this is a whole heck of a lot of points to be giving a team on the College football odds. This is the game of the year though for the Mustangs, and they truly have nothing to lose against a team that is vastly overrated in my book.

Oregon-LSU Vegas Spread, Odds, Line, Picks, TV Kick-Off Time

See Live Football Odds & Expert Picks for LSU vs. Oregon

LSU vs. Oregon Week 1 Game: Saturday September 3rd, 2011

LSU vs. Oregon Week 1 Game Kickoff Time: 8:00pm (EST)

LSU vs. Oregon Week 1 Game TV Network: ABC

Who is the public betting on?: CLICK HERE

LSU vs. Oregon Week 1 Game Point Spread: Oregon -2.5

LSU vs. Oregon Week 1 Game Over-Under Odds: 55 points

LSU vs. Oregon Week 1 Expert Picks: CLICK HERE

When playing in September are 8-2
When playing on turf are 10-0
After being outgained are 8-2
When favored on the road are 9-1

When playing in September are 10-0
When playing on turf are 8-2
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When an underdog at home are 5-5

A few trends to consider:
Oregon is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games
Oregon is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games
LSU is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games

Next up:
Oregon home to Nevada, Saturday, September 10
LSU home to Northwestern State, Saturday, September 10

Georgia vs. Boise State Vegas Spread, Odds, Line, Picks, TV Kick-Off Time

See Live Football Odds & Expert Picks for Boise State vs. Georgia

Georgia vs. Boise State Week 1 Game: Saturday September 3rd, 2011

Georgia vs. Boise State Week 1 Game Kickoff Time: 8:00pm (EST)

Georgia vs. Boise State Week 1 Game TV Network: ESPN

Who is the public betting on?: CLICK HERE

Georgia vs. Boise State Week 1 Game Point Spread: Boise State -3.5

Georgia vs. Boise State Week 1 Game Over-Under Odds: 51 points

Georgia vs. Boise State Week 1 Expert Picks: CLICK HERE

Recent Trends
Boise State:
  • BOIST are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games overall.
  • Under is 27-12 in GEO last 39 games in September.


Recent Meetings
Yard Margins
Date Away Home H Line ATS Tot Rus Pas
9/3/05 BOIST 13 GEO 48 -7.5/55.5 W/O 282 11 271


5 Bold Predictions for the 2011 College Football Season

Kickoff is nearly here for the 2011 NCAA football betting campaign!

Here at BetVega, we are making our five bold predictions for the 2011 season that you surely won’t want to miss out on!

#1 The Oklahoma Sooners Will Go Undefeated

Sure, we hear about all of the problems that the Sooners had defensively last season, which includes allowing 362.5 yards per game. However, we know that QB Landry Jones has the ability to throw for 5,000 yards, and he has the best receiver in the nation returning in the form of Ryan Broyles. The only sticking points this year might be roadies at Florida State and Oklahoma State, but we know that the Sooners are going to be the heavy favorites in those two outings. No one else in the Big XII should be stopping this team. Even with a loss to FSU, the Sooners should still run the table from there, which would be good enough to go to the title game in all likelihood. Not only that, but…

(See the latest odds to win the 2012 BCS Championship)

#2 Landry Jones Will Win the Heisman Trophy

Forget about all of the talk about RB LaMichael James or QB Andrew Luck. Don’t worry about any of them. The only reason why Jones wasn’t a finalist last year for the Heisman is because of the fact that he played on a team that was never in BCS contention. This year, that all changes, and Jones will throw for over 5,000 yards and 40 TDs to ultimately land him college football’s biggest individual honor.

(See the latest odds to win the 2011 Heisman Trophy)

#3 The Florida State Seminoles are Extremely Overrated

Don’t get us wrong. We do think that the Noles are one of the Top 20 teams in the land… But to say that they are No. 5 in the country is absurd. The polls are looking at the ACC this season and figuring that FSU is going to walk away from the pack, but that just isn’t going to be the case. Head Coach Jimbo Fisher has an improving team each and every season, but the loss of QB Christian Ponder might hurt more than many think. QB EJ Manuel isn’t quite there yet. The Noles are overmatched against Oklahoma for sure, and we aren’t sure that they are getting through the ACC anywhere near unscathed.

(Check Out The Latest College Football Futures Odds)

#4 The Georgia Bulldogs are the Team to Watch in the SEC

The SEC East is weak this year… really, really weak. Florida is down, and South Carolina is the trendy pick, but no one else appears to be a contender. However, we love UGA’s chances this year with QB Aaron Murray. Murray is the real deal, and he improved down the stretch of his freshman campaign quite a bit. Don’t be surprised if the Dawgs come out and upset Boise State to start the season, and then roll to a few major upsets in conference play. SC and Florida are coming Between the Hedges, and Alabama and LSU are both dodged on the schedule.

(See Odds To Win SEC Conference Championship)

#5 The Conference USA Winner is Crashing the BCS Party

No disrespect intended to the likes of TCU and Boise State, but the best mid-major conference in America this year is Conference USA. Tulsa, Houston, and UCF all have a golden opportunity to win 12 games this year, and if any of these three teams can run the table, they’ll end up in the BCS. Don’t be shocked if all three of these clubs end up ranked at the end of the season as well!

Ravens vs. Redskins Thursday Point Spread, Odds, Expert Picks

See Expert NFL Picks for Redskins vs. Ravens

Ravens-Redskins Thursday Preseason Game: August 25th, 2011

Ravens-Redskins Thursday Preseason Game Kickoff Time: 8:00pm (EST)

Ravens-Redskins Thursday Preseason Game TV Network: ESPN

Ravens-Redskins Thursday Preseason Game Point Spread: Ravens -5

Ravens-Redskins Thursday Preseason Game Over-Under Odds: 33.5 points

Ravens-Redskins Thursday Expert Picks: CLICK HERE

Recent Meetings
Washington Baltimore
Date Away Home Line ATS Tot Rus Pas Tot Rus Pas
8/21/10 BAL 23 WAS 3 -3/37.5 BAL/U 390 25 365 396 143 253
8/13/09 WAS 0 BAL 23 -3/31.5 BAL/U 196 56 140 500 101 399
12/7/08 WAS 10 BAL 24 -6/34.5 BAL/U 254 62 192 281 147 134
8/25/07 BAL 7 WAS 13 3.5/32 WAS/U 120 32 88 153 55 98
8/31/06 BAL 17 WAS 10 3/33 BAL/U 310 118 192 291 101 190
9/1/05 WAS 20 BAL 26 -4.5/35 BAL/O 318 100 218 372 79 293
10/10/04 BAL 17 WAS 10 1/34 BAL/U 107 52 55 232 156 76
8/23/03 BAL 3 WAS 24 -3/36.5 WAS/U 0 0 0 0 0 0
10/15/00 BAL 3 WAS 10 -3.5/34.5 WAS/U 246 101 145 199 91 108
10/26/97 BAL 20 WAS 17 -5.5/44.5 BAL/U 249 67 182 332 199 133

NFL Betting

Eagles-Browns Thursday Line, Spread, Odds, Expert Picks

See Expert NFL Picks for Eagles vs. Browns

Eagles vs. Browns Thursday Preseason Game: August 25th, 2011

Eagles vs. Browns Thursday Preseason Game Kickoff Time: 7:30pm (EST)

Eagles vs. Browns Thursday Preseason Game TV Network: Local

Eagles vs. Browns Thursday Preseason Game Point Spread: Eagles -7

Eagles vs. Browns Thursday Preseason Game Over-Under Odds: 40 points

Eagles vs. Browns Thursday Expert Picks: CLICK HERE

NFL Betting

Bears-Giants Monday Night Spread, Line, Odds, Expert Picks

See Expert NFL Picks for Bears vs. NY Giants

Bears vs. NY Giants MNF Preseason Game: August 22nd, 2011

Bears vs. NY Giants MNF Preseason Game Kickoff Time: 8:00pm (EST)

Bears vs. NY Giants MNF Preseason Game TV Network: ESPN

Bears vs. NY Giants MNF Preseason Game Point Spread: NY Giants -4.5

Bears vs. NY Giants MNF Preseason Game Over-Under Odds: 35 points

Bears vs. NY Giants MNF Expert Picks: CLICK HERE

Football Betting

Recent Meetings
Chicago N.Y. Giants
Date Away Home Line ATS Tot Rus Pas Tot Rus Pas
10/3/10 CHI 3 NYG 17 -3.5/44 NYG/U 110 59 51 372 189 183
8/22/09 NYG 3 CHI 17 -3/35.5 CHI/U 323 150 173 170 119 51
12/2/07 NYG 21 CHI 16 1.5/39.5 NYG/U 312 68 244 356 175 181
11/12/06 CHI 38 NYG 20 -1/37 CHI/O 352 118 234 249 150 99
11/7/04 CHI 28 NYG 21 -9/35 CHI/O 231 122 109 258 91 167
9/17/00 NYG 14 CHI 7 -1.5/43 NYG/U 222 48 174 407 172 235
8/5/00 CHI 20 NYG 8 -3/37.5 CHI/U 0 0 0 0 0 0
11/26/95 CHI 27 NYG 24 2.5/41.5 CHI/O 0 0 0 0 0 0
9/5/93 NYG 26 CHI 20 -1/35 NYG/O 0 0 0 0 0 0
9/21/92 NYG 27 CHI 14 -6/37 NYG/O 0 0 0 0 0 0


TCU vs. Baylor Point Spread Preview, Expert Picks, Score Prediction

Two members of the old Southwest Conference square off on the opening weekend of the 2011 College Football Betting season, when the TCU Horned Frogs pay a visit to the Baylor Bears on Friday, September 2nd.

The Horned Frogs crushed the Bears 45-10 back home in Fort Worth last season en route to their perfect 13-0 season, and they are -6½ on the road in this rematch with the total set at 55 points.


1. Why TCU will cover the spread: New Horned Frogs quarterback Casey Pachall, taking over for the departed Andy Dalton, should have immediate success vs. a Baylor secondary that returns only one starter from last season, with the other three defensive backfield positions filled by a junior and two sophomores. In fact, the returning starter Chance Casey is a junior himself, meaning that the Bears’ secondary is comprised of four underclassmen.

Besides Pachall, track star turned wide receiver Skye Dawson will also get a chance to shine vs. a very young secondary. As for the running game, TCU’s three headed monster of Ed Wesley, Matthew Tucker, and Waymon James gets to exploit a Baylor front seven that lost its best lineman in Phil Taylor and both outside linebackers.

2. Why Baylor will cover the spread: Dual threat quarterback Robert Griffin III could atone for having his worst game of the season vs. these Horned Frogs last year, especially with Baylor returning five receivers that caught at least 40 passes in 2010 and going up against an inexperienced TCU secondary.

If Griffin has success early, it could force the Horned Frogs to drop some linebackers into coverage, which would in turn allow Griffin to do his best Michael Vick impersonation with some improvised runs. Remember that besides throwing for 3500 yards and 22 touchdowns last season, Griffin also added over 600 rushing yards and eight more scores on the ground.

3. Total Talk: The TCU defense was one of the best in the country last season, and the front seven is still good enough to cover up for the inexperienced backfield, with experienced linebackers and Braylon Broughton, Stansly Maponga, and D.J. Yendrey returning on the defensive line. Griffin should have a better game than last season, but it is not as if he will light up the Frogs defense, especially with the Baylor running backs being so suspect. That should allow TCU to focus on Griffin, and while he may hit on some big passes, he probably will not have the time to do so consistently.

On the other side of the ball, the Pachall to Dawson hook-up could potentially be awesome, but remember that this is the first game for each as a starter, so some mistakes will happen. The Horned Frogs’ running game is a better bet to be successful, given its experience and the Bears’ losses up front. All things considered, this posted total seems way too high.

4. Betting Trends TCU/Baylor: TCU is 6-2 against the spread in its last eight games vs. Big 12 opponents, with the ‘under’ going 6-1-1 on those games. Baylor is only 3-7 ATS the last 10 times it went off the board a home underdog, going a woeful 0-10 straight up in those games.

TCU/Baylor Prediction: TCU 27-Baylor 16