The Patriots are coming off a 13-win season, and along with the Packers has odd makers, boosting up the win total for 2012 in anticipation of another run a Super Bowl title for Tom Brady and recently signed TE Rob Gronkowsk. With quite possibly the easiest schedule in the NFL–with their combined opponents having less than a .500 winning percentage last year. I would expect the Patriots to go OVER here.
A mediocre 8-8 season ended with a three-game losing skid, ultimately knocking the Jets out of playoff contention. It was a brutal letdown for a team that struggled without captain and wide receiver–Santonio Holmes. New York’s total was posted at 10 last year, so it’s not surprising to see that number drop. Now amid a quarterback storm that is brewing, and a talent-depleted roster, I have to say I expect no more than another pedestrian finish, and the UNDER.
Until the Dolphins can make up their mind who will be their starting quarterback, this team remains an enigma from most football prognosticators. They finished much better than I expected last season, and if they decide to go with Matt Moore under center, I would tend to lean more towards the OVER here.
Historically, the Bills have always been an under bet, and despite rattling off four wins in their first six games to begin the 2011 campaign. Buffalo imploded, winning just two of its last 10. Nevertheless, if C.J. Spiller and Steve Johnson are effective, and if Ryan Fitzpatrick can build on last year’s progress, this team could inch closer to an eight-game win season.