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Super Bowl Betting Guide: How to bet on the 2012 Super Bowl

You’d think that since the Super bowl is the most wagered, single event in North America, there would be a book on how to bet on it. But there’s not.

Never to fear, because we here at BetVega.com have put together a simple guide to help you make the most return on your bet for this year’s big game.

While many people tend to fall into a very flawed line of thinking when placing their Super bowl bets, a few easy tips will help clear of some of the most common Super bowl betting gaffes, that leave the vast majority to over bet this game for a couple of different reasons.





LINE: -3 (New England), O/U 55

Prop Bets: CLICK HERE

Expert Picks: CLICK HERE

Free $100 Super Bowl Bet: CLICK HERE

The most common reason usually comes from how the teams have played during the regular season. It turns into a situation where people will try to “get it all back” in a single game. We cannot stress enough just how important it is to avoid betting the Super Bowl with that mind set.

Bettors should treat this just as they would any other game. Basically, do not bet just for the sake of betting. If you cannot find a clear edge, then you should do what you have done every other time in the same situation in the games leading up to this one. Pass or do more research.

So you still can’t find the edge you are looking for? That is when you can turn your attentions to the numerous amount of prop bets that are available for the Super bowl. This is where you have the opportunity to find some true, value plays.



Here are a few betting tips to help handicap the 2012 Super Bowl:



- Compare the game line to a reliable set of power ratings:


Some people do their own ratings, and there are a wealth of other reliable ratings out there, but the rating system preferred by most is the Sagarin Ratings. Jeff Sagarin has been providing ratings for USA TODAY since 1985, and the reason these are highly used amongst the betting community is because he has a set for every sport, and people like to stick to a certain comfort zone.


For this year’s Super bowl matchup, he has the teams about three points apart, with the Patriots holding a slight advantage. Does that look familiar? Well, it should as it is the overall line in this one.



- Compare the total to the average scores for the entire year for each team:

When combining the total points in New York’s games this season, you get a total of a little over 48. When switching focus over to the Patriots you get a number that is just shy of 53.


Then take into account the total of this game, which is 55. You can clearly see that both of the team’s totals fall short of that number. This is an early indicator that the under could have some value that is worth looking into a little more closely. But read on before you make up your mind.



- Compare the strengths and weaknesses of each offense to the strengths and weaknesses of each opposing defense and adjust the spread and/or total accordingly:

In this particular case, these two teams are quite similar all across the board. We’ll start on the offensive side of the ball.

Both of these teams are heavily reliant upon the passing game, and they both do this quite effectively as the Giants and Patriots sat in the top five in the league during the regular season. They are similar in the rushing department as well, in that they are both pretty poor in this area. The key difference on offense is in the giveaways. The Patriots were one of the best in this area all season long, while the Giants were pretty average.

If you are looking for one advantage between the two offenses, the turnovers is where you will find it.

Meanwhile, both New England’s and New York’s defense are also quite similar, in that they are both below average units with huge deficiencies in the passing department. With to pass-happy teams, this could end up being a shootout that is destined to go higher than their season averages would predict to date.

The one true advantage that the Giants hold in this match-up is that they get after the quarterback as well as any other team in football. Look for that to be a possible momentum shifter in this one.



- Take injuries for both teams into account:

Both of these teams could be without the services of a starting defensive player in this one.

The Giants could be without linebacker, Chase Blackburn. While he is a starter for this team, his impact is not quite as big as the possibility of New England’s star cornerback, Kyle Arrington missing out on Super Sunday. He was forced out of action against Baltimore and remains questionable for this one. This may end up being a big deal, as Arrington is a key contributor to the Patriots outstanding takeaway rate, as he led the NFL with seven interceptions during the regular season.
That could be a huge blow to an already bad pass defense for the Patriots.



- After getting an idea of how you think the game will play out, examine peripheral bets such as halves, quarters, and props:

The prop that deserves some attention is the total rushing yards on both sides. Given that this game is likely going to be decided through the air, the under on both of these should warrant a look.

Well, there you have it. Hopefully, this guide helps add a little more fun and excitement to your Super bowl betting experience.








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Crazy 2012 Super Bowl Prop Bets for Madonna, Tom Brady’s Son, MVP & TV Rating

Super Bowl XLVI between the New York Giants and the New England Patriots is set for Sunday, February 5, and as with most Super Bowls, not all the bets on the game will be on the straight ATS and/or total action.



That is because the Super Bowl has more props available on it than any other game of the year, and not all the props have anything to do with the game itself!



Here are 10 of the craziest Super Bowl Props we have found for the Big Game along with our best guesses on most of them. Keep in mind though that these should be recreational props only, as unlike real game props, these are all coin flip and should only be played for fun.




How long will it take Kelly Clarkson to sing the National Anthem? The ‘under’ 1:34 looks intriguing here because we have found four live versions of the anthem sung by Clarkson on You Tube and the longest version from first note to last was 1:32. See all Kelly Clarkson National Anthem Props





What will Kelly Clarkson wear to sing the National Anthem? We would opt for the Super Bowl XLVI or official NFL shirt at 2/1. In all four performances we saw, she wore the jersey of the home team. See all Kelly Clarkson National Anthem Props





What will Madonna be using to start the Super Bowl Halftime show? Based on concert footage we have seen of Madonna on television, Headset -200 looks like a slam dunk over Handheld Microphone. See all Madonna Halftime Props





How many times will Peyton Manning be shown on TV during the game? The ‘over’ 3½ seems almost too easy here with the game being played at Peyton’s Place and his brother quarterbacking one of the participants; not to mention all the drama with Mr. Irsay…See all Manning brothers Props






Patriots vs. Giants 2012 Super Bowl Betting:

- Patriots vs. Giants Expert Picks: CLICK HERE

- All Patriots vs. Giants Player Prop Bets: CLICK HERE

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How many times will David Tyree’s 2008 Super Bowl catch be shown on TV during the game? The ‘under’ 1 could be safe here, especially since showing it once would be a push. First of all, there would need to be a reason to show it at all, such as a great catch, and if that happens, is there a need to show it twice? See more whacky Super Bowl Props





How many times will Robert Kraft be shown on TV during the game? We like ‘under’ 3½ because more than three times for a non-player is overkill unless it is a hot wife. See all Robert Kraft Props





If Tom Brady’s son is shown on TV during the game will he be wearing a Tom Brady Jersey? We would opt for No at a nice +150. Speaking of hot wives, Gisele is more apt to dress their son as a boy model than in a football jersey. See more whacky SB 46 Props





What Color will the Gatorade (or liquid) be that is dumped on the Head Coach of the Winning Super Bowl Team? We like Yellow at 2/1 because it always looks yellow to us, unless it’s the beer goggles. See all Gatorade dump Props





Who will the Super Bowl MVP of the Game thank first? You have to go with Teammates at 2/1. It’s always teammates, especially since Tim Tebow has been eliminated, which would have given God a chance. See all Super Bowl 46 Props





What will the TV Rating be for the Super Bowl? Everything points to ‘over’ 47½, as these are two huge markets and this really should be a great game with varying opinions even among the top experts as to who will win the darn thing.


 








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2012 Super Bowl Predictions: 3 Reasons Why The Giants Will Win Super Bowl 46

It will be the New York Giants vs. the New England Patriots in Super Bowl XLVI from Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, IN on Sunday, February 5th, 2012 in a rematch of Super Bowl XLII when the Giants shocked the then 18-0 Patriots 17-14 as 13-point underdogs.

The line is nowhere near that high this time with the Patriots currently at -3 +110, as the Giants have been bet down from the opener of New England -3 -125. However, we do see the end result being the same as four years ago, as well as a Giants’ win in New England this season, and here are three reasons why.

ODDS: OPEN: PATRIOTS -3.5 | CURRENT: PATRIOTS -3 | O/U: 55


1. Giants ability to put pressure on Tom Brady: It is no secret that the best way to beat elite quarterbacks is to bring pressure on them up the middle, and the Giants have one of the best defensive lines in football when they are fully healthy, which they are now. The Giants were able to beat Brady up in the last two meetings, and we are not only talking about sacks as Brady also had countless hurries and he simply did not look comfortable vs. a defense not afraid to hit him even after he threw the ball.

The Giants have had the most impressive defense in the playoffs this year and they are tied for the most sacks during this post-season with nine. In other words, they again figure to make Brady’s life a living hell here. And the best thing of all is that the Giants can bring that pressure without blitzing, which should limit Brady’s options downfield when he is hurried.



PATRIOTS vs. GIANTS Expert Picks | Who is the public betting on?



2. Eli Manning vs. 31st ranked Patriots pass defense: Eli Manning was quoted as saying that he was an elite quarterback before the season, and while many scoffed at that, he has certainly backed those words up this year; especially in the playoffs. It certainly helps that Manning has a great receiving corps at his disposal, as he has two receivers in Hakeem Nicks and Victor Cruz that would be go-to guys on most teams and a third in Mario Manningham that would be a 1A or a two on many others.

That trio would be tough to defend even for good defenses, and the New England defense ranked 31st out of 32 NFL teams in both total defense and passing defense this season. Things have gotten so bad in the Patriots’ defensive backfield that they have resorted to using wide receiver Julian Edelman back there in recent weeks.




Patriots vs. Giants 2012 Super Bowl Betting:

- Patriots vs. Giants Expert Picks: CLICK HERE

- Patriots vs. Giants Player Prop Bets: CLICK HERE

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3. Giants can run effectively to set up the pass: Now the Giants finished dead last in the NFL during the regular season in both rushing yards per game and in yards per rush, but they have improved greatly now that Ahmad Bradshaw and Brandon Jacobs are both healthy at the same time, which they almost never were during the regular season.

The Giants are averaging 117.3 rushing yards per game on a nice 4.2 yards per rush during the playoffs and the Patriots have not been all that solid vs. the run either this year, allowing 4.5 yards per carry. Thus, the Giants should be able to run well enough to stay out of third-and-long situations and to keep the Patriots’ defense honest.








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2012 Super Bowl Predictions: 3 Reasons why the Patriots will defeat the Giants

Super Bowl XLVI between the New England Patriots and the New York Giants will take place on Sunday, February 5 at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, IN, and do not make a move on that game before reading this Super Bowl Preview.

The line on the Patriots is now down to -3 +110 after an opening line of -3 -125 as most of the early money has been on New York. However, this could be a case of sheep being led to the slaughter, as here are our three reasons why the Patriots will win and cover Super Bowl 46.

ODDS: OPEN: PATRIOTS -3.5 | CURRENT: PATRIOTS -3 | O/U: 55


1. Coach Bill Belichick with regular season revenge: Not only are the Patriots looking to avenge a loss to the Giants in Super Bowl XLII, but the Giants went into New England this season and beat the Patriots again 24-20 on November 6. This is significant because almost nobody beats Coach Bill Belichick in same season revenge situations. No other coach has been as clever as Belichick at devising ways to counteract what teams that beat him did in these rematches, and as a result, he is 28-10 against the spread with same season revenge as New England’s coach.

As if that weren’t scary enough, consider also that he has two full weeks to prepare for this contest, so you can bet he will find a way to defuse the Giants’ pass rush when the Patriots have the ball, which may be the biggest key of all to victory. He should also find ways to creatively cover the New York receivers when the defense is on the field.



PATRIOTS vs. GIANTS Expert Picks | Who is the public betting on?



2. Tom Brady never has two bad games in a row: Tom Brady had a rare bad game vs. the Ravens, completing only 22-of-36 passes for a low 239 yards and two interceptions with no touchdowns. How often has Brady had back-to-back bad games in the same playoff season? We would confidently say never, and if you go back to our first key to this game, it should be a safe bet that Belichick will implement a game plan to maximize Brady’s vast ability.

Remember that Brady lost his favorite target in tight end Rob Gronkowski for an extended time in the Ravens’ game due to an ankle injury, and thus the New England no-huddle offense did not run as smoothly as usual. Gronkowski should be fine with two weeks to recuperate, and that no-huddle has been unstoppable with the tight ends Gronkowski and Aaron Hernandez on the field at the same time.




Patriots vs. Giants 2012 Super Bowl Betting:

- Patriots vs. Giants Expert Picks: CLICK HERE

- Patriots vs. Giants Player Prop Bets: CLICK HERE

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3. Patriots bend-don’t-break defense is not as bad as many think: Everyone focuses on the fact that the Patriots ranked 31st out of 32 NFL teams in total defense this season, but what often goes overlooked is the fact that New England only allowed more than 25 points just once all season, and that was way back in Week 3 in a 34-31 loss at Buffalo where Brady uncharacteristically tossed four interceptions; as many as he threw all of last season.

Say what you will about all the yards the Patriots give up, but most of that is in front of the defense and allowing 20.5 points per game combining the regular season and playoffs is not bad at all when the offense is averaging a hefty 31.2 points!








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Super Bowl Betting Trends Last 10 Years Point To The Giants & Under 55 In Super Bowl 46

Super Bowl XLVI is now set and it will be the top seeded New England Patriots out of the AFC taking on the fourth seeded New York Giants out of the NFC.

So why are the Patriots such small (-3) favorites? Can part of the reason be that the NFC is the better of the two conferences?

Not only does that appear to be the case this season but the Packers’ win last season makes the NFC a lucrative 7-3, 70.0 percent against the spread in the last 10 Super Bowls! Yes, the Patriots have been to four Super Bowls over this span but they are 0-3 ATS since winning their first Super Bowl vs. the Rams in 2002, failing to cover in wins vs. Philadelphia and Carolina and losing outright to these Giants.



ODDS: OPEN: PATRIOTS -3.5 | CURRENT: PATRIOTS -3 | O/U: 55


Trends Favoring the NY Giants:

Furthermore, for those of you looking to play the Giants on the money line, the lower seeds are 7-2 straight up in those games. The only straight up losers were Carolina vs. the Patriots in 2004 and Arizona vs. Pittsburgh in 2009, but both of those dogs obviously covered.

Also, keep in mind that the Giants were underdogs in each of their last two wins, first winning at Green Bay and then winning at San Francisco. Well, in the last 10 years, four teams have made the Super Bowl coming off of back-to-back upset wins and those teams went a perfect 4-0 ATS in the biggest game of all!

What about the difference in the seedings between the two combatants this year you may ask? Well believe it or not, the Giants have recent history on their side there too. If we ignore Super Bowl XLIV between the Colts and Saints two years ago, which was the only time in the last 10 years that the two top seeds opposed each other, the lower seeded teams have gone 8-1 ATS!



Patriots vs. Giants 2012 Super Bowl Betting:

- Patriots vs. Giants Expert Picks: CLICK HERE

- Patriots vs. Giants Player Prop Bets: CLICK HERE

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Over-Under Super Bowl Betting Trends:

If you are looking to play the total in the Big Game, the ‘over’ and ‘under’ is split 5-5 the last 10 years, but what makes this game different is the very high posted total of 55½. You see, despite the total split since 2002, the average combined total score of those 10 games has been 47.4 points. Only three of the last 10 Super Bowls have exceeded 55 points, meaning the ‘under’ would be 7-3 vs. this year’s posted total.

Other viable options this year due to the high total are segmented total plays for the first half and the first quarter:

- The ‘under’ is 6-4 in the first half the last 10 years, but the posted first half total of 28 this season is higher than any first half total the last 10 years! The ‘under’ for the first half would be 8-2 vs. this year’s number, although the second ‘over’ did come last season when the Packers and Steelers combined for 31 first half points.

- As for the first quarter, the ‘under’ is 7-2-1 since 2002, again with the second ‘over’ coming last season with 14 points scored in the initial stanza. The posted total for the first quarter this year is 10½, and the ‘under’ would be 8-2 the last 10 seasons vs. this year’s number.







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Patriots vs. Giants Super Bowl Line, Point Spread Preview, Picks, Score Prediction

Super Bowl XLVI is set, and while one of the combatants was expected to be here as the New England Patriots have been the favorites to win the AFC all season, there was a lot of doubt about their opponents, the New York Giants, even making the playoffs about a month ago.



Well, the Giants have been the best team in the playoffs since they began, yes even better than the Patriots. Meanwhile, New England already got a glimpse of what the Giants will probably do defensively in its fortunate escape vs. the Ravens, except that the Giants have been doing it better the last three weeks and they already beat the Pats in Foxboro this year.



Thus, the Patriots are only (-3 -125) favorites in the Big Game, with the total set at 55½. We really want to pick the Giants in this game, we really do. But…



ODDS: OPEN: PATRIOTS -3.5 | CURRENT: PATRIOTS -3 | O/U: 55


1. Why New England will cover the spread: The Patriots will cover this spread if Tom Brady can bounce back from a sub-par performance vs. the Ravens with a more typical Brady effort. The Patriots had looked invincible in their no-huddle offense prior to the Ravens game and they could potentially be even better if that’s possible on a fast turf inside a dome. The Patriots will also cover the spread if Coach Bill Belichick can devise a game plan to neutralize the great Giants’ pass rush, and as you can see in the trends section below, Belichick has been terrific in same season revenge situations.

Belichick now having two weeks to prepare that game plan and Brady almost never having two bad games in a row are the main reasons why we are backing off of our gut instinct pick of the Giants here, especially with this spread so atypically low for a New England game.



PATRIOTS vs. GIANTS Expert Picks | Who is the public betting on?



2. Why New York will cover the spread: This one is easy to figure out, the Giants will cover this spread if their defensive line just continues to do what it has been doing and get to Brady before he has time to connect with his plethora of weapons. The fact that the Giants can do that without blitzing is a major positive here. The Giants will also cover the spread if they run the ball effectively. That would serve two purposes as it would eat up clock and keep Brady on the sideline, and it would also set things up for Eli Manning to continue his fantastic season throwing the ball.

Now one would assume that the Giants can do those things rather easily vs. the New England defense, but we said the same thing about the Ravens last week and the Pats were able to shut down Ray Rice.


Patriots vs. Giants 2012 Super Bowl Betting:

- Patriots vs. Giants Expert Picks: CLICK HERE

- Patriots vs. Giants Player Prop Bets: CLICK HERE

******* GET YOUR FREE $100 SUPER BOWL BET ********




3. Total Talk: The Giants should still score their share of points even with New England improved defensively and we think that Belichick will find a way to solve the Giants’ defense in two weeks, so we think this sneaks ‘over’.



4. Betting Trends for the game: Bill Belichick is 28-10 ATS in same-season revenge games. New England is 51-18 straight up and 40-28-1 ATS off of an ATS loss since 2001; Tom Brady’s rookie year. To top it off, Brady is 9-3 ATS in domes.



PATRIOTS vs. GIANTS 2012 SUPER BOWL PREDICTION:


New England 31 – New York 27








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Giants-Patriots Super Bowl Line, Vegas Odds, Spread Picks, Prop Bets 2012

Live Super Bowl SpreadPatriots vs. NY Giants PicksFREE $100 Super Bowl Bet!


- Giants vs. Patriots Super Bowl 2012 Game Date: Sunday February 5th, 2012

- Giants vs. Patriots Super Bowl 2012 Kickoff Time: 6:20pm (EST)

- Giants vs. Patriots Super Bowl 2012 TV Network: NBC

- Giants vs. Patriots Super Bowl 2012 Line: PATRIOTS -3 points

- Giants vs. Patriots Super Bowl 2012 Over-Under Odds: 55 points

- Giants vs. Patriots Super Bowl 2012 Expert Picks: CLICK HERE

- Giants vs. Patriots Super Bowl 2012 Prop Bets: PROP BETS


******* COLLECT YOUR FREE $100 SUPER BOWL BETTING BONUS TODAY ********


PATRIOTS vs. NY GIANTS 2012 Super Bowl Betting trends to consider:

NEW YORK
NY Giants are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the NY Giants last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the NY Giants last 5 games when playing New England
NY Giants are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing New England

NEW ENGLAND
The total has gone OVER in 7 of New England’s last 8 games
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New England’s last 5 games when playing NY Giants
New England is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing NY Giants
New England is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games when playing NY Giants




NY GIANTS vs. PATRIOTS 2012 Super Bowl Line:


- BOVADA SPORTSBOOK: Patriots vs. NY Giants Line: Patriots -3.5, Over-Under 54

Keep up to date on all Super Bowl 46 line movement by online sportsbooks on the BetVega.com Super Bowl Odds page.







BetOnline


Patriots-Giants Super Bowl Point Spread, Odds, Vegas Picks, Over-Under 2012

Live Super Bowl SpreadPatriots vs. NY Giants PicksFREE $100 Super Bowl Bet!


- Patriots vs. Giants 2012 Super Bowl Game Date: Sunday February 5th, 2012

- Patriots vs. Giants 2012 Super Bowl Kickoff Time: 6:20pm (EST)

- Patriots vs. Giants 2012 Super Bowl TV Network: NBC

- Patriots vs. Giants 2012 Super Bowl Point Spread: PATRIOTS -3.5 points

- Patriots vs. Giants 2012 Super Bowl Over-Under Odds: 54 points

- Patriots vs. Giants 2012 Super Bowl Spread Expert Picks: CLICK HERE



******* COLLECT YOUR FREE $100 SUPER BOWL BETTING BONUS TODAY ********




A few PATRIOTS vs. NY GIANTS 2012 Super Bowl Betting trends to consider:

NEW YORK
NY Giants are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the NY Giants last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the NY Giants last 5 games when playing New England
NY Giants are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing New England

NEW ENGLAND
The total has gone OVER in 7 of New England’s last 8 games
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New England’s last 5 games when playing NY Giants
New England is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing NY Giants
New England is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games when playing NY Giants




NY GIANTS vs. PATRIOTS 2012 Super Bowl Spread:

- BOVADA SPORTSBOOK: Patriots vs. NY Giants Line: Patriots -3.5, Over-Under 54

Obviously the lines above will be shifting up until kick off of 2012 Super Bowl 46. A good place to view different online sportsbook spreads for Super Bowl 46 is the BetVega.com Super Bowl Odds page.








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2 Reasons Why The Ravens Will Upset The Patriots And Advance To Super Bowl XLVI

The New England Patriots just toyed with Denver in the Divisional Playoffs as their offense looked unstoppable while running the no-huddle like it usually does, and the end result was a 45-10 shellacking.


Meanwhile, the Baltimore Ravens were rather fortunate to get by the Texans 20-13 as they took advantage of four Houston turnovers and were actually outgained in the game by 88 yards. Ray Rice rushed for only 60 yards on 21 carries and Joe Flacco looked lost at times while completing only 14-of-27 passes for just 176 yards.


Surely then, the Patriots are the obvious selection favored by only (-7½) in the AFC Championship Game, right? Well…



ODDS: OPEN: PATRIOTS -7 | CURRENT: PATRIOTS -7.5 | O/U: 50.5


Ravens Defense Will Shut Down 1 Dimensional Patriots: Just about the only way to beat the elite quarterbacks of the NFL is by applying constant pressure on them up the middle, preferably without the need to blitz any safeties. For proof, look no further than the last two New England losses this season, first at Pittsburgh and then here at home vs. the Giants, as those two teams were able to do just what we described. Well, the Ravens seem fully equipped to use that approach with their great defensive line, and remember that Baltimore tied for third in the NFL in sacks during the season with 48.

The Ravens are very physical and will punish opponents at every opportunity, and thus also finished third in the NFL in forced fumbles with 21. Given that The Patriots have no real running game to speak of, Baltimore can put all of its efforts into stopping Brady and beating up his receivers, which cannot be a pleasant feeling. Don’t forget that the last two times these clubs have met, the Patriots had to rally late in the fourth quarter to tie the game last season before winning 23-20 in overtime and the Ravens easily knocked the Pats out of the playoffs two years ago 33-14, and both of those games were here in Foxboro.



PATRIOTS vs. RAVENS Expert Picks | Who is the public betting on?



Patriots Defense Will Be Exposed: Yes, Flacco and Rice both looked sluggish vs. an excellent Houston defense, but defense is not a strong suit for the Patriots. New England ranked 31st out of 32 NFL teams in both total defense and in passing defense, and while it ranked 18th in rushing defense, that was only because the Patriots’ opponents were passing the ball so often, and they did allow 4.5 yards per rushing attempt, which ranked 24th in the league. Thus, look for Ray Rice to have a huge bounce-back game here, and remember that his did rush for a total of 247 yards in those last two meetings. Rice had probably his best NFL season this year, rushing for 1364 yards on 4.7 yards per carry while adding another 704 receiving yards on 9.3 yards per reception, putting him at 2068 yards from scrimmage.

Using Rice successfully in both capacities should allow the Ravens to control the clock and keep the New England offense on the sidelines, and it should also open things up for Flacco to have success downfield with deeper passes later.



Ravens-Patriots AFC Championship Prediction:


As usual in the playoffs, the much better defense will prevail and it will be the Ravens moving on to Super Bowl XLVI.


Baltimore 27 – New England 23









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Giants vs. 49ers NFC Championship Point Spread Preview, Expert Picks, Score Prediction

The Giants showed that their strong finish this year was not a fluke and that a fully healthy New York team is a legitimate Super Bowl threat by totally manhandling the previously 15-1 Packers 37-20 last week. Granted the Giants did not get as much out of the running game as expected but Eli Manning passed for 330 yards and the defense was terrific.

The 49ers were aided by five Saints’ turnovers in a thrilling 36-32 victory, but take nothing away from that win as Alex Smith drove the Niners right down the field after New Orleans had seemingly won the game with 1:37 remaining. In fact, the teams scored two touchdowns apiece in the final four minutes of the game.

The 49ers are (-2½) favorites in the NFC Championship Game, with the total set at 43.



ODDS: OPEN: SF 49ers -1.5 | CURRENT: SF 49ers -2.5 | O/U: 42.5


1. Why New York will cover the spread: The Giants will cover the spread and win outright if Eli Manning can match the performance he had vs. Green Bay in this game. Yes, the 49ers led the NFC in scoring defense and in total defense during the regular season, but their strength is stopping the run and Drew Brees exposed their secondary last week, passing for 462 yards.

Granted he threw the ball 62 times, but Manning also figures to air the ball out here as the inconsistent Giants’ running game does not figure to do much of anything vs. this run defense, and we expect Eli to be successful. Another key to a New York cover is containing the San Francisco running game, which produced 143 yards vs. the Saints.



49ERS vs. GIANTS Expert Picks | Who is the public betting on?



2. Why San Francisco will cover the spread: San Francisco will cover the spread if Alex Smith can do what he did last week vs. a mediocre defense when he throws into a Giants’ defense that has dominated both of its playoff opponents. While Smith deserves a world of credit for orchestrating the game-winning drive last week, if he is put in that position again, the result may be different vs. a much better defense that is peaking at the perfect time.

Another key for the Niners is establishing the run, as they probably do not want to get involved in another shootout.



3. Total Talk: We think that the 49ers will run the ball well this week, with even Alex Smith getting involved in the running game. Aaron Rodgers was the Packers leading rusher last week vs. the Giants with many of those yards gained on scrambles, and Smith should be able to do the same in addition to some called runs.

However, the Giants have more quick-strike ability, and with Manning expected to have another big game, the Niners know that they need to score points again this week. The question is can they, at least enough to win? We are looking for this game to sneak ‘over’ the total as the Giants win another thriller.



4. Betting Trends for the game: Teams that win straight up as home underdogs in the playoffs (49ers) are 6-22-1 ATS the following game since 1985. The Giants are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 playoff road games.



49ers-Giants NFC Title Game Prediction: New York 24 – San Francisco 23









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