When the 2012 college football betting season begins on Thursday, August 30, not all of the action will be on the sides, as total players will have some nice opportunities too. Official totals have now been posted, here are three games for opening weekend that we see going ‘over’ their projected totals.
San Jose State at Stanford Over 52 Points – Yes, Andrew Luck is gone from the Stanford team that beat San Jose State 57-3 and 42-17 the last two meetings with him under center, but don’t forget that the Cardinal also ranked 18th in the country in rushing last year averaging 210.7 yards per game on the ground on 5.3 yards per rush, and Stepfan Taylor is back to spearhead the attack. Taylor and whoever wins the quarterback job will be playing behind an outstanding offensive line that added two blue-chip recruits this year, so the offense will be just fine.
San Jose State is a program on the rise that fell just one win short of being bowl eligible last year, and its passing offense ranked 23rd nationally in 2011 and returns talented receiver Noel Grigsby. That passing game has a chance to put up at least some points on a Stanford secondary that is considered to be the weakest part of the whole team. Look for close to 60 total points in this year’s annual rivalry!
Ohio at Penn State Over 44.5 Points – No, we do not expect a shootout here, but we also anticipate a posted total in the low 40’s and our projected outcome is about a touchdown higher. Ohio U. won 10 games for the first time in 40 years last year, and returning quarterback Tyler Tettleton became the first Bobcat ever to throw for over 3000 yards. He is also a duel threat that added 658 yards on the ground. He should do most off his damage in the air here though vs. a thin Penn State secondary.
It is probably more important for Penn State to open the season with a win than it is for most other teams, but it will have to score points to do so, which may not be a given. Penn State should win the battle at the line of scrimmage though, and despite the off-the-field issues, the Nittany Lions do return quarterback Matt McGloin and two starting receivers. Expect something in the area of between 48 and 51 points to be scored in this week 1 tussle.
Arkansas State at Oregon Over 68 Points – The Oregon Ducks could potentially go ‘over’ the total themselves here, as they have never been shy about running up the score vs. non-conference opponents. That is a key reason why the ‘over’ is 24-8-2 in Oregon’s last 34 September games, and with Oregon now having the deepest group of offensive linemen in memory, running backs De’Anthony Thomas and Kenjon Barner should have no problem finding gaping holes to run through.
Arkansas State has a nice returning quarterback in Ryan Aplin, who threw for over 3500 yards and ran for 588 more, and the Red Wolves made a big hire at head coach in former Auburn offensive coordinator Gus Malzahn. We see at least 70 total points being scored here between the Red Wolves and Ducks.