49ers vs. Redskins Monday Night Point Spread Preview, Picks, Score Prediction
Week 12 of the 2013 regular season is set to close out in our nation’s capital where both the San Francisco 49ers and Washington Redskins will look to put an end to personal two-game losing streaks. The Niners got no help from the refs en route to falling to the Saints down on the Bayou 23-20, while the Redskins allowed the Philadelphia Eagles to capture their first home win in a less than inspiring 24-16 defeat.
San Francisco currently checks in as a 5-point favorite for this MNF match-up with the ‘total’ lined at 47-points.
SF 49ERS – REDSKINS 2013 WEEK 12 MNF LINE:
OPEN: 49ERS -5 | CURRENT: 49ERS -5.5 | O/U: 47
1. Why the 49ERS will cover the spread: Dual-threat QBs have had their way with the Redskins defense this season. Vick threw for 203 yards and 2 TDs and ran for another 54 yards and a score back in Week 1. Christian Ponder completed 17-of-21 passes for 174 yards and 2 TD strikes two weeks ago, and Nick Foles threw for just under 300 yards and ran for another 47 and a score last week. Colin Kaepernick has been held under wraps each of the L/2 weeks against two of the tougher defenses the league possesses in Carolina and New Orleans. He’ll no doubt be anxious to hit the gridiron so as to get a piece of this Washington stop unit that ranks 28th in yardage allowed and 30th in points allowed.
2. Why the REDSKINS will cover the spread: Half of the 49ers losses have come on the road this season (Seattle/New Orleans), but if the ‘Skins are to mimic the efforts of the Seahawks and Saints, the offense must be able to match the points San Fran is certain to put on the scoreboard after being held under wraps each of the L/2 weeks. San Fran possesses one of the stingier run defenses (#13 at 103.8 YPG allowed), but RB Alfred Morris has been running real well of late having gone for an average of 108.2 YPG over the L/5 games.
His success on the ground will allow for the home team to compete in the time of possession battle as well as help soften up the underbelly of a 49ers defense that will no doubt invade D.C. pissed after it was robbed by the zebras last week.
3. Total Talk: The ‘total’ has split in the Niners 10 games played to date with the ‘over’ 3-2 in their five road games. Washington has played to high scorers on six of 10 occasions with the ‘over’ cashing in three of their four games played in front of the hometown faithful. San Francisco has played it a bit looser when in the visitor’s role with the ‘over’ 6-2 its L/8 away from Candlestick, and it’s cashed ‘over’ bettor’s tickets each of the L/4 times it ran up against a sub .500 opponent. Four of the Redskins L/5 have combined to surpass the closing number.
4. Betting Trends for Patriots/Panthers: This has been nothing more than a lost season for the Redskins who gave their rabid fan base a glimpse of the future a short year ago. Injuries, poor execution, and a sub-par return from injury season from Robert Griffin III finds the Skins in last place of the NFC East. San Francisco on the other hand still has some unfinished business to tend to. The defending NFC Champs will enter this spot extremely hungry after losing a pair of white knuckled brawls each of the L/2 weeks, and will be looking to improve their wild card chances.
Washington simply doesn’t have the defensive personnel to stop what the Niners will throw at them, and with Garcon nursing an ankle injury and Reed questionable (concussion), I just don’t see Alf and RG III being able to do enough against a locked in 49ers defense that will no doubt pack its “A” game with them to D.C. San Fran has covered each of its L/4 on the road and has shined under the Monday Night lights in going 21-5 ATS its L/26 appearances.
San Francisco 38 – Washington 17