After weeks of watching teams at the very top of the polls fall, the NCAA football betting affair between the Alabama Crimson Tide and the LSU Tigers this week in Baton Rouge has more or less been forgotten. We know that the winner of this one has an inside track to the SEC Championship though, and in all likelihood, that team also becomes the top one loss team in the country in the race for the BCS Championship Game.
Check out these three questions that will help us answer which one of these SEC juggernauts will topple the NCAA football betting lines.
– Alabama vs. LSU Point Spread: Alabama -6.5 points
– Alabama vs. LSU Over-Under: 44 points
– Alabama vs. LSU Expert Picks: Click Here
Alabama vs. LSU Key #1: Can the Alabama offense crack the code to the LSU defense?
We already know if Alabama has the key to the safe, it is going to be able to win this game going away. Even though the Tide have a great offense, so do a number of other teams that the Bayou Bengals have faced. The Auburn Tigers had the most success against them, but there isn’t anyone on this Crimson Tide squad that resembles Cam Newton. Their two running backs, Mark Ingram and Trent Richardson, might be the best tandem in the country though, and they’ll have to run wild to help keep the men in purple and gold down.
Alabama vs. LSU Key #2: Can Steven Ridley bust his slump?
Again, if he can’t, the Tigers just cannot win this game. Ridley hasn’t averaged more than 3.1 yards per carry in any of the Bayou Bengals’ L/3 games, and the only reason LSU is 2-1 in those outings is because the defense picked up the slack against the Florida Gators, and McNeese State is a lowly FCS club. Ridley is the key to the LSU offense. If he can successfully run, the two quarterbacks, Jordon Jefferson and Jarret Lee at least stand a chance. If not, the Tigers probably won’t be able to score without some trickeration.
Alabama vs. LSU Key #3: Alabama on the road: Trick or Treat?
We might be a week past Halloween by the time this one kicks off, but it’s certainly an apt question. We know that the Tide have had two great performances on the road against teams that aren’t going bowling, the Duke Blue Devils and Tennessee Volunteers. They have had two very iffy performances there against good teams though as well, a narrow escape against the Arkansas Razorbacks and a loss to the South Carolina Gamecocks. This is the hardest venue and probably the toughest team to tame of the five. The Tide have their work cut out for them.
It’s night. It’s in Baton Rouge. It’s perhaps the best team in the country coming to play. You can bet that Tiger Stadium is going to be rocking. The “Mad Hatter,” Les Miles was able to pull some tricks out of his pocket to beat the Florida Gators at the Swamp a few weeks ago, and you can bet that those tricks and more are in the bag waiting to be released. We love taking the 6.5 and are warning the Crimson Tide to be very, very careful. We think they’ll escape, but it should be a very close call.
Alabama 27 – LSU 26