Alabama vs. VaTech Odds, Picks, Score Prediction Week 1 2013
The cherry on the sundae of the 2013 college football opening weekend will be the Chick-fil-A Kickoff Classic on Saturday night when the Alabama Crimson Tide take on the Virginia Tech Hokies. Few can forget what Alabama did to Michigan in this game last year, and Virginia Tech is hopeful it will not be little more than a speed-bump.
Alabama opened as a massive 18.5 point betting favorite in this game coming off of last year’s dominating BCS Title Game victory over Notre Dame. The total for this one has been set at 46.
ALABAMA – VIRGINIA TECH WEEK 1 BETTING LINE:
OPEN: BAMA -18 | NOW: BAMA -20 | O/U: 46
[ALABAMA vs. VATECH EXPERT BETTING PICKS]
1. Why Alabama will cover the spread: They are Alabama. They have won three of the last four national championships and have dominated every single one of those games. Oh, and they bring back pretty much the entire offense from last year’s squad, losing only Eddie Lacy, DJ Fluker, Chance Warmack, and Barrett Jones. Even if they lost more, it doesn’t matter. Alabama doesn’t rebuild, Alabama reloads.
Alabama starts the season off as the #1 team in the country for a reason and against a Virginia Tech team that is rebuilding and has been affected by injuries in the lead-up to the season, things could get ugly. If Nick Saban wants to make a statement, Alabama could easily win this game by 30+.
2. Why Virginia Tech will cover the spread: Honestly, Virginia Tech’s best chance is to hope that Saban pulls the starters and the Hokies get to cover thanks to garbage time. Virginia Tech is a good squad, but Alabama is on another level right now and no team is less than a double digit underdog against the Crimson Tide this year.
The Hokies will need the mercurial Logan Thomas to have a good game if they want to cover in this one, but after his stink bombs in the rivalry game against Virginia and in the Russell Athletic Bowl against Rutgers, that seems unlikely.
3. Total Talk:The Hokies last two games of the season both easily went ‘Under’ the total, and four of their last six found themselves well under the mark too. The ‘under’ could have hit in all six too, with the two that went ‘Over’ coming by way of just a combined three points above the posted total.
Alabama isn’t known for its offense, but the Crimson Tide went ‘Over’ the total in their last three games of 2012 thanks to an offense that averaged 43 PPG in that span.
4. Betting Trends for Alabama/VaTech: Virginia Tech was not good for bettors in 2012 in going just 4-9 ATS. The Hokies were just terrible on the road failing to cover a single spread away from Lane Stadium, with an 0-6 mark ATS. Alabama was great on the moneyline, but being perceived as the best team in football makes for big spreads and the Crimson Tide were just 7-7 ATS last season. Last year, Alabama was at least a seven point favorite in every game and a double-digit chalk in 12 out of 14.
Alabama 41 – Virginia Tech 10