Astros, Dodgers, Brewers, Braves putting MLB Bettors in the poor-house
The first month of the 2010 MLB betting season is almost in the books; crazy how time flies! With that being the case, baseball bettors now have a decent grasp of how the National League ranks out. We took a look at the best $$$-Makers last week, but this time around, we’re going to focus on the NL teams you should look to fade until they turn their fortunes around. Without further ado, here they are:
Houston Astros (8-17, -$783) This should come as no surprise to MLB betting enthusiasts who know that when you only win eight of your first 25 games, you’re sure to carry a nasty deficit along with you. Well, that’s exactly where the Astros sit heading into the first week of May. Brad Mills’ first go round as a manger hasn’t gotten off to the greatest of starts. Makes you wonder if he should have given up that cushy bench position in Boston. That said; the Astros have produced the fewest runs in all of baseball (2.92 RPG) and they have the league’s worst OPS (.606). When you can’t score to save your life, and every starting pitcher not named Roy Oswalt has surrendered more hits than innings pitched, you got yourself a problem! Yes Houston, you have another problem! With the team the healthiest it’s been all season, maybe it will start to turn its fortunes around. Heck, the team won eight of 10 after it opened the year 0-8. If it loses to Arizona tonight, it will mark their second eight-game losing streak of the season. Do you dare back them over their next 10?
Los Angeles Dodgers (11-14, -$778) What the heck has gone on out west with Torre’s Dodgers? This team was very balanced a year ago getting equal contributions from both the hitting and pitching. In 2010, only the Dodgers hitters have played a role as the pitching staff is the main reason why this club sits four-games under .500 heading into their three-game set with the Brew Crew. Save for Hiroki Kuroda, Clayton Kershaw, and Chad Billingsley, the Dodgers haven’t had anyone step up in the 4th and 5th starter slot. The bullpen has been a mess as well. Broxton has one freaking save! However, LA’s only played 10 games at home (7-3, +$141) and 15 on the road (4-11, -$919). With 13 of their next 19 games being played at Chavez Ravine, let’s check back at the end of May and see if the Dodgers are still killing their betting backers.
Milwaukee Brewers (10-15, -$739) MLB bettors knew coming into the season that Prince Fielder and company were going to be able to hit a ton. Good thing for manager Ken Macha that the unit has held up its end of the bargain, as the Brewers rank 7th in scoring (5.12 RPG), 12th in batting average (.268), 5th in OPS (.795), and 9th in HR’s (28). The reason for Milwaukee’s 2010 misfortune has been a very poor pitching staff that boasts the 26th ranked team ERA (5.09) and has only churned out 11 quality starts (#28). The bullpen as a hole has been a gas can just waiting to get lit up every time it gets called upon. It ranks only ahead of Arizona, Pittsburgh, and Kansas City in terms of unit ERA (5.27). Until the Brewers shore up their pen problems, look to fade and play the over since its cashed at a 64 percent clip thus far.
Atlanta Braves (11-14, -$522) Manager Bobby Cox’ last go round as the Braves skipper has been very disappointing to say the least. At three-game sunder .500, they’re nothing much of an afterthought in the NL East with the other four teams stealing all the headlines. Still, they’re only 3.5-games back with plenty of time remaining in the season. For them to make any kind of noise from here on out though, the offense is going to have to wake up from its slumber and the defense is going to have to stop booting balls. Atlanta ranks 23rd in the league scoring an average of just 4.08 RPG, and the defense ranks 28th having already committed 23 errors in 25 total games played. When you have problems scoring yourself, it’s never wise to give your opponent more than the 27 chances given to beat you. Their set to pay a pair of hitter friendly ballparks a trip over the next week (@ Philadelphia, @Milwaukee); maybe they can rediscover their offensive stroke.
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