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Ravens vs. Saints MNF Odds & Picks Week 12

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Week 12 of the season wraps up on Monday Night Football in the Bayou. The New Orleans Saints have lost two consecutive games at home, and they are going to try to avoid a third straight defeat at the hands of the Baltimore Ravens. The oddsmakers are still showing a lot of confidence in the Saints, posting them at -3. The ‘total’ is a relatively high 49.5.


RAVENS – SAINTS MNF POINT SPREAD WEEK 12 2014:

OPEN: SAINTS -3 | CURRENT: SAINTS-3 | O/U: 50
 

1. Why the RAVENS will cover the spread: Is anyone really that sure that the Saints are any good whatsoever this year? New Orleans hasn’t done a thing to prove that it is anywhere near an elite team. On top of that, the AFC North has absolutely embarrassed the NFC South this year. From an on-the-field standpoint, the Ravens are coming off of their bye week, and they should be well-rested at this point and ready to rock and roll again.

This offense has had the potential to be explosive all season long, and 26.1 points per game shows just that. Odds have it, it will take at least that many points to knock off the Saints in their hometown.


RAVENS vs. SAINTS Expert Picks | Odds To Win 2015 Super Bowl



2. Why the SAINTS will cover the spread: The Saints can’t really lose three games in a row at home… can they? QB Drew Brees has barely averaged six yards per pass attempt over the course of each of his last two games. He has gone against two really good secondaries in that stretch, though. This week, he is going against a Baltimore secondary which just recently lost DB Jimmy Smith for the season.

History will tell you that the second corner has had a terrible time defending big time wide receivers. Now, without Smith in there, the Ravens are going to be stuck with a pair of corners who could be very vulnerable.


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3. Total Talk SAINTS/RAVENS: The Ravens have been an incredibly balanced team this year in terms of ‘totals’, going a level 5-5 for the ‘over’ and the ‘under’. However, Baltimore has played three straight ‘over’ games on the road, and here at the Superdome, that could end up being the case once again.

New Orleans has played five of its last seven games ‘over’ the ‘total’, including taking three of its last four here at home past the number.

4. Betting Trends for SAINTS/RAVENS: The Saints really looked like they were about to go on a tear. They had covered three straight games off of their bye. However, they have run into two straight duds here at home where they have been beaten both SU and ATS.

Baltimore has gone just 1-2-1 ATS this season when playing on the road, though its one cover did come in its other game on the road against an AFC South foe. The Ravens beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 48-17 in a game in which QB Joe Flacco threw five touchdowns in the first 18 minutes.

RAVENS – SAINTS WEEK 12 MNF PREDICTION 2014:

Ravens 38 – Saints 31


Cowboys vs. Giants SNF Point Spread Preview, Expert Picks & Prediction Week 12

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There aren’t many rivalries like that of the Dallas Cowboys and the New York Giants. They’ll renew that rivalry on Sunday Night Football in Week 12. Dallas has opened up as a 2.5-point choice of the oddsmakers. The ‘total’ has been set at 47.


COWBOYS – NY GIANTS SNF POINT SPREAD WEEK 12 2014:

OPEN: COWBOYS -2.5 | CURRENT: COWBOYS -3 | O/U: 47


1. Why the COWBOYS will cover the spread: The Giants have a very suspect defensive line, especially against the run. RB DeMarco Murray had 128 yards when these two teams met the first time this year, and the fact that he was able to do what he wanted up front gave QB Tony Romo plenty of time to make up his mind what he wants to do in the pocket.

Dallas is coming off of its bye week, which will only surely help as well, especially after the physical game which the Giants played last week in their loss to the San Francisco 49ers. On top of that, QB Eli Manning is coming off of a five-interception game, and if history repeats itself, he could be set to go on a horrid stretch for the G-Men.


GIANTS vs. COWBOYS Expert Picks | Odds To Win 2015 Super Bowl



2. Why the NY GIANTS will cover the spread: It’s really tough to justify right now how the Giants are going to win games like these. They have failed to cover or win five games in a row, and they haven’t come closer than six in any of those duels.

However, if you’re looking for bright spots for Big Blue, there are some weapons here offensively. RB Rashad Jennings is healthy, and he carried the full workload last Sunday against the Niners. WR Odell Beckham Jr. scored two touchdowns when these two teams met in Week 7, and he could be in line for another really good game this week as well.


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3. Total Talk Cowboys/Giants: The Giants had watched three straight games go past the ‘total’ before last week when they played to just a total of 26 points against San Francisco.

Dallas started off the year with two straight ‘under’ games, but since that point, it is 5-2-1 for ‘over’ backers. Four straight games in this series have made it past the ‘total’ as well.

4. Betting Trends for Cowboys/Giants: We have seen the Cowboys dominate in this series over the course of the last year and a half. They are 3-0 SU and ATS in the three games these two have played, and as we mentioned earlier, all three have managed to go past the number. The Giants are 0-5 SU and ATS in their last five, and the favored team in their games is now 6-0 SU and ATS.

Dallas has been a good cover team this season, going 6-3 ATS in its last nine games, including picking up that 31-21 victory at home back on October 19th. In games which Romo has both started and finished, the Cowboys are 6-1 ATS since losing in Week 1 of the season to the 49ers.

COWBOYS – NY GIANTS SNF PREDICTION 2014:

Cowboys 30 – Giants 17


NFL Upset Picks Week 12: TB Bucs over the Bears?

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NFL UPSET PICKS ATS RECORD YTD: 23-10

There are a few big underdogs every week who seem to bark in the NFL, and Week 12 certainly won’t be an exception. There will be a few pups every week who look like ridiculous steals by the time the clock reaches 0:00, and we’re going to highlight a few of those in on the NFL betting odds in Week 12.

Cleveland Browns (+150 ML) @ Atlanta Falcons – The AFC North has dominated the NFC South this year, and we’re a bit surprised that the oddsmakers are showing any fait whatsoever here in Atlanta. Sure, the Falcons would be hosting a playoff game if the postseason started today, but we know that they aren’t amongst the best 20 teams in the league. They have only beaten divisional teams, and they are 0-6 against the rest of the NFL. Cleveland hasn’t really beaten all that many great teams either, but at least it has a game plan going into this one.

Expect the Browns to be able to move the ball on the ground a lot better than they did last week against the Houston Texans, and when they end up doing that, they should open up the passing game more as well. QB Brian Hoyer won’t be under nearly as much pressure this week as he was last week, and the Browns will make the oddsmakers look silly for making them underdogs.


All Week 12 Expert Picks | Odds To Win 2015 Super Bowl



Cincinnati Bengals (+113 ML) @ Houston Texans – The Texans are playing for their playoff lives right now, and now that the public has gotten a first look at QB Ryan Mallett, many are going to be on their side. That said, this is a bad matchup for the Bengals. QB Andy Dalton has an explosive set of receivers at his disposal, and we would expect that WR Mohammed Sanu and WR AJ Green could be in for huge days against the lousy Houston corners.

We aren’t all that sure if RB Arian Foster will be back in this one or not for the Texans. If he doesn’t, it will put all the more pressure on Mallett, and we doubt that he can pull this one out if he doesn’t have help from the rest of his mates.


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Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+205 ML) @ Chicago Bears – How poetic would it be if the Buccaneers were able to go on the road and win in Chicago? Head Coach Lovie Smith and QB Josh McCown have to think that this is the equivalent of the Super Bowl. The Bears did beat the Minnesota Vikings last week, but for our money, this is a tougher challenge, especially with all of the motivation that Tampa Bay is going to have on its side.

The Buccaneers are coming off of their second win of the season, and they have proven that they can go on the road and win games. This is going to be a fantastic price on a team which has really played great football for a bad team ever since its bye week.





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NFL UPSET PICKS ATS RECORD YTD: 21-9

There are a few big underdogs every week who seem to bark in the NFL, and Week 11 NFL Picks certainly won’t be an exception. There will be a few pups barking in November that may have looked awful in September and October, and we’re going to highlight a few of those on the Week 10 NFL odds.
 

Houston Texans (+155) @ Cleveland Browns – This really just isn’t a good matchup for the Browns as we see it. Houston is coming off of its bye, and it has made a change at the quarterback position. QB Ryan Mallett is a complete unknown, but he could end up being the real deal, especially with two weeks to get ready for the biggest game of his career. Cleveland’s defense is rock solid, but the team is going to try to run the ball at least 30 times we would think. That’s not a bad recipe against most teams to loosen up for the passing downs with QB Brian Hoyer, but it won’t be the formula to beat the Texans.

Houston’s weakness is over the top, and if Hoyer can’t pick on these corners, we don’t see a ton of long, sustained drives to produce points. On top of that, no one is underestimating Cleveland right now after a 6-3 start to the season, but it has still been living life dangerously for the most part in 2014.


All Week 11 Expert Picks | Odds To Win 2015 Super Bowl



New York Giants (+180) vs. San Francisco 49ers – For about a half of football, the Giants were able to hang in there against the Seahawks. This time around though, they are getting a San Francisco team making its second straight trip to the East Coast. The reserves are on their way for the 49ers, as they should be getting back LB Aldon Smith this week.

However, this long trip, especially after essentially playing five quarters of football last week in a surprisingly physical game against the New Orleans Saints, could end up taking a toll. We still don’t think that the Niners are quite right this year. Sure, winning in the Bayou could have changed all that, but we’ll take our chances at nearly a full 2 to 1 that QB Eli Manning can generate an upset.


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New England Patriots (+130) @ Indianapolis Colts – This is a really, really big game for sure. If the Pats can go on the road and win this one, their path to the #1 seed in the AFC is wide open with wins over both of the top contenders. The Colts know that they need to win this one to prove that they can beat good teams. However, after watching QB Ben Roethlisberger tear up this defense for six touchdown passes, we can only imagine what QB Tom Brady is going to do, especially off of his bye week.

Just as we found it a bit odd that New England was a dog against the Broncos a few weeks ago, we find it equally odd this time around against Indy.





College Football Championship Odds

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College Football National Title Odds from SPORTSBOOK.AG
(updated 11/18/14)

Alabama 5/2
Oregon 4/1
Florida State6/1
Ohio State 6/1
TCU 7/1
Baylor 8/1
Mississippi State 8/1
Georgia 25/1
Ole Miss33/1
UCLA 50/1


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The 2014-15 college football betting season is closer than you think, and this season is like none other, knowing that there is a playoff pitting the four best teams in America against each other. Will it make a difference in deciding the National Champions? We’ll check in with some of the best teams in the land this year and analyze their chances of winning the whole enchilada. Finally, we can say “see ya” to the BCS system.

Florida State Seminoles (9/2): You really have no choice but to start your discussion for the National Championship with the garnet and gold. The Seminoles legitimately have one of the best teams in the land again, and the schedule is going to set up once again in such a way that there won’t be a game in which FSU isn’t favored in.

That said, even with the defending Heisman Trophy winner returning under center in Jameis Winston, it’s going to be really, really tough to go wire-to-wire and win a second straight title. Head Coach Jimbo Fisher has a defense with a number of holes that need to be replaced. Remember that the Noles could have three men drafted in the first round of the upcoming NFL Draft.

Alabama Crimson Tide (6/1): There really isn’t a tremendous knock on the Tide once again this year, and we have to think that they will get luckier this season going against an Auburn team which they probably should have beaten in the Iron Bowl this past season. Jacob Coker comes in from FSU, and he could legitimately be as good as the departing AJ McCarron.

The SEC, believe it or not, could be down this year, and if that really is the case, the Tide could once again roll towards a perfect season. Even going 11-1 should be good enough to get Alabama into the playoff.

Baylor Bears (28/1): It isn’t all that likely that Baylor is going to end up going undefeated deep into the season once again this year, but we will say this: Head Coach Art Briles can flat out coach, and Bryce Petty isn’t afraid to chuck the ball all over the field.

There isn’t another team in the Big XII which scares us this year, and this could be the first time since the departure of Robert Griffin III that Baylor is legitimately one of the best teams in the nation once again.


Titans vs. Steelers MNF Betting Preview & ATS Picks

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The Pittsburgh Steelers are going to be playing in their 11th game in a row to start the season on Monday Night Football when the take on the Tennessee Titans at LP Field. Pittsburgh, which will go on bye next week, is -6 on the road. The ‘total’ has opened up this week at 47.


STEELERS – TITANS MNF POINT SPREAD WEEK 11 2014:

OPEN: STEELERS -6 | CURRENT: STEELERS -6 | O/U: 47
 

1. Why the STEELERS will cover the spread: The Titans have dropped three games in a row, and they really don’t look comfortable offensively at all. The Pittsburgh defense hasn’t been fantastic statistically, but it has been getting after the passer, something that could cause some real problems for rookie QB Zach Mettenberger in his first primetime start.

You also have to think that last week’s loss to the New York Jets was a bit of an anomaly, as the Steelers are favored by more points now than they were last week against New York when they were handed their first setback in nearly a month.


STEELERS vs. TITANS Expert Picks | Odds To Win 2015 Super Bowl



2. Why the TITANS will cover the spread: Teams get tired when they have to play three consecutive months of games without a bye week, and we wonder if we saw some of that last week with the Steelers in New York. That said, Pittsburgh just hasn’t been good on the road this year. The win over the Carolina Panthers is looking worse and worse with each passing loss for QB Cam Newton and the gang, and there are three-touchdown losses in the mix as well against the Cleveland Browns and the Baltimore Ravens.

QB Ben Roethlisberger just isn’t the same guy away from Heinz Field that he is at home. In fact, he had more touchdown passes in those two games against the Ravens and the Indianapolis Colts than the entire Pittsburgh team has had in five road games this season.


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3. Total Talk STEELERS/TITANS: After playing three straight ‘over’ contests, the Steelers came back to earth last week with an ‘under’ game that was never even all that close to the number. In fact, Pittsburgh has been a much different team for ‘total’ bettors at home (5-0 towards the ‘over’) than it has been on the road (4-1 towards the ‘under’). Tennessee has played three of its last four games ‘under’ the number, though the ‘total’ is only 1-1 in games in which Mettenberger has started.

4. Betting Trends for STEELERS/TITANS: There’s a lot of recent history between these two, but there aren’t a lot of trends from that. Pittsburgh has been the favored team in each of the last two meetings in this series, but it has been beaten in each of those games SU. Last year, the Titans came on the road and held the Steelers without a touchdown in a 16-9 victory. We don’t see that same sort of result this time around, as we think this has the potential to be a slightly higher scoring game than that, but in the end, taking the points is still probably a good call.

STEELERS – TITANS MNF PREDICTION 2014:

Steelers 23 – Titans 20


Colts vs. Patriots Odds, Point Spread Picks & Score Prediction 2014

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Two of the best offenses in the NFL will square off on Sunday Night Football in Week 11, as the New England Patriots will meet the Indianapolis Colts in what very well could be an eventual playoff showdown in the AFC. These two are very familiar with each other, and home field advantage is usually quite key. The Colts are giving 2.5 in this one, while the ‘total’ is not surprisingly high at 57.


COLTS – PATRIOTS POINT SPREAD WEEK 11 2014:

OPEN: COLTS -2.5 | CURRENT: COLTS -3 | O/U: 57


1. Why the COLTS will cover the spread: Home field advantage is key at Lucas Oil Field, and you know that the Drum is going to be rocking on Sunday. Though WR Reggie Wayne will have a one-way ticket to Revis Island on Sunday, WR TY Hilton could be in for a big game with off coverage.

New England has had problems slowing down pass-catching running backs this year, and that could play right into the hands of RB Ahmad Bradshaw, who has had a massive year out of the backfield. The defense for the Colts could be tested, but they have a history of getting after the passer even against great offensive lines such as this one.


COLTS vs. PATRIOTS Expert Picks | Odds To Win 2015 Super Bowl



2. Why the PATRIOTS will cover the spread: Indianapolis’ strength is in throwing the ball with QB Andrew Luck, and we just don’t see the New England secondary giving up tons of big plays. Sure, the Pats were torched for over 400 yards by QB Peyton Manning two weeks ago in a very similar offense, but Luck relies more on the big play and less on the screen game to move the ball up the field. This is where New England excels.

On top of that, QB Tom Brady is on fire right now, and he surely will have watched tape of the Colts struggling in bunch formations over the course of his last two weeks. It could be a huge day for WR Julian Edelman and TE Rob Gronkowski once again.


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3. Total Talk Colts/Pats: This number is just insanely high, and there’s a chance that it could end up being the highest ‘total’ in a game in NFL history when it’s all said and done with. That said, the Colts are one of the best ‘over’ teams in the league this year at 7-2. New England has played six straight ‘over’ contests as well, and these last two have gotten to 74 and 64 points.

4. Betting Trends for Colts/Pats: New England has covered four of its last five games, and it is regularly a strong team off of its bye week. The Colts have covered six out of seven, and they are rolling as well. This is a tough one to call, but history will suggest that the advantage here could go to the veteran Brady over the young gun Luck. The Pats are 4-0 SU in their last four games in this series, including winning the two Brady vs. Luck meetings 43-22 and 59-24 respectively.

COLTS – PATRIOTS SNF PREDICTION 2014:

Patriots 28 – Colts 20


Eagles-Panthers MNF Betting Line Picks & Score Prediction

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The Mark Sanchez era is about set to get started in the City of Brotherly Love, as he will guide the Philadelphia Eagles into battle on Monday Night Football against the Carolina Panthers. In spite of the fact that Sanchez is going to be starting, Philadelphia is giving six points in this game. The ‘total’ is set at 48, a very high number considering the fact that this duel features a defensive-minded team and a team which is playing with its backup quarterback.


PANTHERS – EAGLES 2014 MONDAY NIGHT WEEK 10 SPREAD:

OPEN: EAGLES -6 | CURRENT: EAGLES -7 | O/U: 48


1. Why the PANTHERS will cover the spread: Carolina’s defense hasn’t been anywhere near good this year, but when you go back and look at it, things aren’t as bad as 26.2 points per game against suggests. The Panthers have played against a brutal schedule this season, and when they have played against teams which have been suspect, they have, for the most part, done the job.

We’re not saying that the Eagles are suspect, but there are at least some questions about Sanchez and whether he is going to be able to get the job done when he has to prepare all week as a starter as opposed to coming off of the bench.



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2. Why the EAGLES will cover the spread: The Panthers have lost three straight games, and they haven’t won a game since October 5th. The bigger concern if you’re an Eagles fan is how the ball is going to get into the hands of WR Jeremy Maclin more often. Maclin is the real deal, and he has had two massive games in a row. Can the Panthers really slow him down? We doubt that they can. On top of that, RB LeSean McCoy looks like he has found his stride after rushing for over 100 yards against the Houston Texans last week.



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3. Total Talk: You’d think of the Eagles as a high scoring team, but after three straight ‘over’ games to start off the campaign, they have failed to get to the number in three of the last five, and last week’s game against Houston was only a field goal beyond the number. Carolina’s offense has been embarrassing these last few weeks, and that’s why its last two games have stayed ‘under’ the number. Still, the ‘over’ was reached in five prior games, so it’s definitely something to consider.

4. Betting Trends for PANTHERS/EAGLES: These two teams have met eight times against each other, and the Eagles are 3-1 SU and ATS in their last four games. That said, the last meeting was the one, as Carolina came here to the City of Brotherly Love and won 30-22. The Panthers have won and covered three straight games against NFC East games, including that win last year against the Eagles. This could be an interesting game, something that we haven’t seen a lot of on Monday Night Football duels. We want the points on our side.



EAGLES – PANTHERS 2014 MNF Score Prediction:

Panthers 24 – Eagles 21






Bears vs. Packers SNF Point Spread Preview, Expert Picks, Score Prediction

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Old NFC North rivals will duke it out on Sunday Night Football this week, as the Chicago Bears take on the Green Bay Packers. The Pack are giving 7.5 in what could be a cold and blustery day at Lambeau Field. The ‘total’ opened up this week at a relatively high 52.5.


BEARS – PACKERS 2014 SUNDAY NIGHT WEEK 10 SPREAD:

OPEN: PACKERS -7.5 | CURRENT: PACKERS -7 | O/U: 52.5


1. Why the BEARS will cover the spread: A week off might be just what the doctor ordered for the Bears. They aren’t nearly as bad as 3-5 makes it sound like they are, and they still have five home games coming after this one is said and done with. The schedule has been absolutely brutal, so the numbers on both sides of the ball are going to be shoddy.

WR Alshon Jeffrey and WR Brandon Marshall still create ridiculous matchup problems for anyone whom they face, and Green Bay’s defense isn’t exactly lights out. RB Matt Forte could end up with over 1,000 yards both as a rusher and a receiver this year, and he has had a great history playing against the Packers, too.



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2. Why the PACKERS will cover the spread: Assuming that QB Aaron Rodgers is healthy, this passing attack is as good as it gets. WR Jordy Nelson is able to really stretch the field, and WR Randall Cobb has scored a touchdown in five straight games. Sure, the rushing attack hasn’t been great this year, but when you’ve got Rodgers in the saddle, you don’t need all that much of a ground game.

Yes, we’re worried about the 153.4 rushing yards per game that the Packers are allowing, but Forte can only do so much damage on the ground. This feels like a game where Rodgers can throw for 400 yards, and if he does, it could be an easy game for the Pack.



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3. Total Talk: Ever since Rodgers told Green Bay fans “R-E-L-A-X,” the ‘over’ has cashed in five straight Packers games. Now, they get to play at home once again in this one, and they are 3-0 for ‘over’ backers in those games this season. Chicago has played five of its past seven past the number as well. The first game this season resulted in 55 points and an easy ‘over’ for these clubs.

4. Betting Trends for BEARS/PACKERS: Chicago has just one SU victory in this series dating back to the start of the 2010 season. The Bears are only 1-7 ATS in those eight games. Green Bay has won all three of its games played at Lambeau Field this year, and it is 2-0-1 ATS. The Packers have scored a total of 71 points in their last two games against the Bears, but the Bears haven’t eclipsed 28 points in a game in this series since 2004.

We aren’t all that sure that the Bears are going to be able to hold this game inside the number even if they do score 28 points, though we think they’ll end up short of that figure when it’s said and done with anyway.


BEARS – PACKERS 2014 SNF Score Prediction:

Packers 34 – Bears 24






College Football Upset Picks: KSU over TCU? LSU over Bama?

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We’re are moving into the final stretch of the season in college football betting action. Join us for our teams that are on upset alert for Week 11 College Football Picks of the campaign.

UPSET #1: Kentucky (+315 ML) vs. Georgia

The Wildcats have been out of this world this year at home, and that includes pulling off a relatively similar upset of the South Carolina Gamecocks. QB Patrick Towles is evolving into a fantastic quarterback, and though he has some ups and some downs, his ceiling is incredibly high. Georgia won’t have RB Todd Gurley once again in this game, and though RB Nick Chubb is a good back in his own right, he isn’t nearly as explosive. On top of that, QB Hutson Mason is a man we have no confidence in whatsoever. He had no command of this offense last week against the Florida Gators, and he could find himself in a lot worse spot this week on the road against the Kentucky.

This is a typical sandwich game between the rivalry against the Gators and next week’s game against the Auburn Tigers. This might be the biggest game of the year for Head Coach Mark Stoops and the gang, and it will surely show.


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UPSET #2: Kansas State (+190 ML) @ TCU 

Doesn’t it just feel like the Horned Frogs are going to end up punting one of these games at some point? They have been living dangerously, and though they did get clipped by the Baylor Bears, this could be another deadly game, too. Kansas State, remember, only has one loss this year, and that was a game against the Auburn Tigers that very well could have been won.

QB Trevone Boykin was held down last week by the West Virginia Mountaineers, and for our money, this is a much tougher test. Head Coach Bill Snyder and the gang always are able to go on the road and win games like these, and we definitely see this one as a potential upset.


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UPSET #3: LSU (+210 ML) vs. Alabama

The SEC West has been wild this year, and almost exclusively, home teams have been winning games like these. LSU has been one of the most improved teams in the nation over the course of the last month or so, and it’s the defensive side of the ball where Head Coach Les Miles is seeing the most improvement. For our money, the Crimson Tide have managed to prove absolutely nothing on the road this year. They should have been beaten by the Arkansas Razorbacks, and they were taken down by the Ole Miss Rebels.

QB Blake Sims just isn’t as strong as some of these previous Alabama quarterbacks, and this will be another day when he and the Tide take a step in the wrong direction. Alabama’s National Championship hopes could be dashed in the Bayou on Saturday night.




Colts vs. Giants Monday Night Spread & Picks Week 9

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The Indianapolis Colts are still in control of the AFC South, but if they slip as 3 point favorites on the road against the New York Giants on Monday Night Football, they will at least leave the door open in the second half of the season for their competitors. The ‘total’ in this one is set at 50.5, one of the highest numbers to beat of the week, but after watching Indy allow over 500 passing yards and 51 points to the Pittsburgh Steelers last week, anything is possible.


COLTS – NY GIANTS 2014 MONDAY NIGHT WEEK 9 SPREAD:

OPEN: COLTS 03 | CURRENT: COLTS -3 | O/U: 51


1. Why the COLTS will cover the spread: The defense for the Colts clearly isn’t as bad as 522 yards and 51 points against Pittsburgh will tell you. Remember that this is the same team that shut out the Bengals and held the Ravens to just 13 points. That’s more along the lines of what we think we can expect on a week in, week out basis. That said, QB Andrew Luck and the offense have put up at least 20 points in every game this season, and that’s going to put a lot of pressure on the Giants, who have been consistently inconsistent for the better part of the last three seasons in games like these.



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2. Why the NY GIANTS will cover the spread: The best thing to like about the Giants is that it will have been 15 days since they have been on the field. They know that the NFC East is still there for the taking if the Cowboys slip up just a bit. New York has been good at home this year, and that loss to the Cardinals, even with Drew Stanton at quarterback, doesn’t seem all that bad. History will tell you if QB Eli Manning can figure out how to hold onto the football, good things will come for the Giants. That’s a big “if” for sure, but it’s one that is worth considering.



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3. Total Talk: You might immediately think that this game is an ‘over’ contest waiting to happen, and you very well might be right. However, we have to remember that, in spite of the fact that Indy has played five straight road games past the ‘total’, that two of the best receivers that would be on the field, WR Reggie Wayne and WR Victor Cruz, are both out for this one. RB Rashad Jennings could be missing as well, which only makes matters worse for a New York offense which was already lacking weapons.

4. Betting Trends for COLTS/GIANTS: The Giants don’t really have a history of playing well off of bad games. Granted, the bye might help, but the fact of the matter is that they are just 1-6 ATS in their last seven games following a duel in which they allow more than 30 points. They’re also just 1-4 ATS in their last five games against teams with winning records, a stark contrast from the 6-0 ATS that the Colts are on the road in their last six against teams with losing records.


COLTS – NY GIANTS 2014 MNF Score Prediction:

Colts 23 – Giants 19






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