Top Cappers on betvega

Trev Rogers

Trev Rogers

#1 RANKED FOOTBALL HANDICAPPER - 2nd Year in a Row!

Steve Merril

Steve Merril

Steve Merril is on a SWEET 53-29 (65%) MLB sides run!

Jimmy Boyd

Jimmy Boyd

#5 Handicapper Overall! $1,000 Players Are Up Over $32,600 YTD!

Jack Jones

Jack Jones

Jack is the No. 2 Ranked Overall Handicapper on BetVega in 2014!

NFL Odds To Lead The League In Receiving Yards 2014

bet-on-nfl-player-stats-2014

Seven NFL WR’s finished with at least 1,400 receiving yards last season, and the possibilities are there for many more, some you probably would have never thought of, to do it again this year. Today, we’ll look at the NFL betting lines regarding the receiver to lead the league in pass catching yards in 2014.

Calvin Johnson (+300) – Megatron is going to get the ball thrown his way a ton once again this year, but now, the Lions have a bigger threat on the opposite side of the field in WR Golden Tate, and they’ve got what could be a massive star in the middle of the field in TE Eric Ebron. That’s a lot more work that opposing secondaries have to put in. With all of that extra attention going elsewhere, the combination of QB Matthew Stafford to Johnson could be the best in the league in 2014.

Demaryius Thomas (+500) – We’re a bit worried about Thomas being the second favorite this year at 5 to 1. Sure, he had 92 catches last season and was fourth in the league, and sure, WR Eric Decker isn’t there any longer to hog up the receptions from QB Peyton Manning, but we still wonder whether Manning has 5,000 yards in him again this year. There’s a point that his shelf life as an elite quarterback is going to run out, and if that’s the case, Thomas might not even crack the 1,000-yard barrier. The other problem with Thomas is that we never know what in the heck Manning is going to do with the ball in any given game. None of these receivers care more about their stats than wins. Thomas will be good again this year, but to think that he is going to lead the league in receiving is a bit ludicrous.

AJ Green (+2000) – We’re going to skip around just a bit here, as we just don’t think that there are any other receivers amongst the favorites worth backing. Green though, always has been the favorite target of QB Andy Dalton, and now that the West Coast style of offense is gone with the departure of OC Jay Gruden, there is a real chance to stretch the field out more. That probably means good things for the former Georgia Bulldog, who has had at least 1,000 yards in each of his first three seasons in the NFL and at least 1,350 yards in each of his last two campaigns.

Jimmy Graham (+6000) – It seems to be a bit of a longshot that Graham could lead the league in receiving, but the presence of WR Brandin Cooks on the outside could open up things a lot more for QB Drew Brees’ best friend in the passing game. Graham was down for most of the end of the season, but he came out of the blocks last season with four games in his first five with at least 100 yards. The idea of Graham getting to 1,500 yards this year doesn’t seem totally out of the realm of possibility.

Who Will Lead the NFL in Receiving Yards?

Calvin Johnson +300
Demaryius Thomas +500
Dez Bryant +800
Julio Jones +1200
Antonio Brown +2000
AJ Green +2000
Brandon Marshall +2000
Alshon Jeffery +2500
Andre Johnson +3000
Jordy Nelson +3000
Pierre Garcon +3500
Vincent Jackson +3500
TY Hilton +4500
Larry Fitzgerald +4500
Keenan Allen +4500
Randall Cobb +5000
Roddy White +5000
Torrey Smith +5000
Mike Wallace +5000
Victor Cruz +5000
Cecil Shorts III +5000
Jimmy Graham +6000
DeSean Jackson +7000
Marques Colston +7500
Wes Welker +7500
Julian Edelman +10000
Rob Gronkowski +10000
Dwayne Bowe +10000
Percy Harvin +10000
Reggie Wayne +10000
Michael Crabtree +10000
Sammy Watkins +10000
Michael Floyd +10000
Eric Decker +10000
Rueben Randle +15000
Golden Tate +15000
Cordarrelle Patterson +15000
James Jones +15000
Brian Hartline +15000
Greg Jennings +15000
Riley Cooper +15000
Emmanuel Sanders +15000
DeAndre Hopkins +15000
Marqise Lee +20000
Tavon Austin +20000
Hakeem Nicks +20000
Mike Evans +20000
Kenny Stills +20000
Nate Washington +20000
Aaron Dobson +20000
Julius Thomas +30000

Odds To Lead NFL In Rushing Yards 2014


Finding an elite running back who can be on the field for all three downs is one of the toughest things in the NFL nowadays. There are still a few left remaining though, and we’ll try to take a stab on which back will end up winning the rushing title in 2014.

Adrian Peterson (+300) – The only problem that we have with Peterson is that the Vikings are going to end up counting on him so much that teams are just going to stack nine guys in the box and dare QB Teddy Bridgewater to beat them. That being said, that’s the same thing that happened two seasons ago, and AP still ran for over 2,000 yards and nearly broke the record for the most rushing yards in a season in NFL history. Peterson’s season was cut short with two games left to play, but he was still fifth in the league in rushing with 1,266 yards at the time.

LeSean McCoy (+450) – Shady led the league in rushing last season with 1,607 yards, and he was the beneficiary of all of those extra touches generated by the Chip Kelly offense. What really was impressive though, was the fact that McCoy averaged 5.12 yards per carry last season, and though that didn’t lead the league (DeMarco Murray did with 5.17 yards per carry), it was still really impressive because it came over 314 carries. McCoy is certainly headed to at least 1,200 yards again this season, and that might make him the best back in the league.

Arian Foster (+1500) – Head Coach Bill O’Brien is going to have to be careful with Foster this year, knowing that he broke down last season and was only able to play in eight games. The good news for prospective bettors on Foster though, is that Houston’s offensive line wasn’t the problem last season, and the team should be playing from ahead a lot more this year than it did in 2013. On top of that, RB Ben Tate is gone, and with that probably goes the running back tandem theory in Houston. It’s not a good prospect for Foster’s long-term career, but if he stays healthy, he’ll probably end up with 300 overall carries.

Chris Johnson (+7500) – It’s some major speculation on our part, but we definitely don’t think there is only a 1 in 75 chance that CJ2K ends up leading the league in rushing now that he has been picked up by the New York Jets. Granted, Johnson has lost a step for sure, but he is going to be in a backfield that he could lead on all three downs if he has the tread in his tires, and Head Coach Rex Ryan almost has no choice but to find out with QB Geno Smith leading an anemic passing game. Remember that Johnson still had 1,077 yards last season in spite of the fact that he was just so bad with the Titans. Maybe a change of scenery will help the former highlight machine.

Who Will Lead the NFL in Rushing?

Adrian Peterson +300
LeSean McCoy +450
Marshawn Lynch +1200
Arian Foster +1500
Jamaal Charles +1500
Alfred Morris +1800
Montee Ball +1800
Doug Martin +2000
Matt Forte +2000
Eddie Lacy +2500
Giovani Bernard +3000
Zac Stacy +3000
DeMarco Murray +3000
Stevan Ridley +4000
Ryan Mathews +4000
CJ Spiller +4000
Andre Ellington +5000
Toby Gerhart +5000
LeVeon Bell +5000
Ben Tate +6000
Frank Gore +7500
Steven Jackson +7500
Rashad Jennings +7500
Ray Rice +7500
Chris Johnson +7500
Knowshon Moreno +10000
Bishop Sankey +10000
Fred Jackson +10000
Trent Richardson +10000
Joique Bell +10000
Bernard Pierce +10000
DeAngelo Williams +10000
Reggie Bush +10000
Darren McFadden +10000
Colin Kaepernick +10000
Lamar Miller +10000
Chris Ivory +10000
Pierre Thomas +15000
Mark Ingram +15000
Robert Griffin III +15000
Cam Newton +15000
Maurice Jones-Drew +15000

NFL Over-Under Wins Predictions 2014

NFL-vegas-over-under-wins-2014

2014 season NFL win totals have already been posted, and we are just 1 week away from training camp being open and the start of the preseason. There’s no better time than now to get on the backs of the teams that should be overachieving, and we’re here to break the best of the best down.

OVER PICKS

Jaguars Over 5 Wins (-107) – The Jaguars were much better in the second half of the season than they were in the first half last year, and that’s a testament to Head Coach Gus Bradley and the work he has put into this franchise. He’s got a few more of “his guys” on the team now, and he basically has two first round picks this year coming in with LT Luke Joeckel, last year’s No. 2 pick, finally coming off of his torn ACL which he suffered last preseason. The schedule is light, and we think that, just in division, the Jags can legitimately win four games. We wouldn’t be shocked to see Jacksonville finish with a .500 record this year.

Patriots Over 10.5 Wins (-170) – It’s a chalky play for sure, and it’s a ton of wins that have to be notched. However, is there really any way that, assuming QB Tom Brady stays healthy, the Pats don’t win at least 11 games this year? There’s no real reason to lose a game in division, and playing the NFC North gives what should be easy wins against Minnesota and Detroit. There isn’t a game on the schedule until at least the middle of November in which the Pats won’t be favored, including a home game against QB Peyton Manning and the Broncos. By the time the Patriots go on bye in Week 10, we expect this team to be at least 7-2, and from there, it’s probably a coast home with the last three games all being division tussles.

Buccaneers Over 7 Wins (-150) – Head Coach Lovie Smith has a history of winning games in the regular season, and he has built a team this year that we think can contend for the NFC South title. QB Josh McCown is the man going forward, and he has a ton of huge targets to look for in the red zone. The team’s running game will be bolstered by the return of RB Doug Martin, who missed most of the end of the season injured, and this young defense, which was middle of the road last year, should be a lot better this season.

Cardinals Over 7.5 Wins (-150) – The Cards were awfully good last year and won 10 games, and we aren’t so sure why the oddsmakers believe that they are going to take that many steps backwards this season. There aren’t any real appreciable losses to discuss from the roster, and Head Coach Bruce Arians is certainly going to keep this offense going. It’s still a third place schedule that Arizona is playing, and though there are two games against both the 49ers and the Seahawks, we would still need this team to be just above average the rest of the way if it was to get to eight wins


UNDER PICKS

Falcons Under 8.5 Wins (-125) – The NFC South is getting better and better as the years go on, and many believe that the disaster that was the 2014 season for the Falcons is going to improve this year. We don’t see it. QB Matt Ryan has a good arm, but he isn’t one of the truly elite quarterbacks in this league. The defense has very few notable names on it, and TE Tony Gonzalez has retired. The ground game will be non-existent unless RB Steven Jackson finds the Fountain of Youth in these next several weeks. It’s just not a good formula for Atlanta to finish above .500. Head Coach Mike Smith should be worried about his job.

Ravens Under 8.5 Wins (+105) – This is another one of these teams that, based upon what we know about it historically, should be a no-brainer ‘over’ in most instances. However, we really question whether Baltimore can tally nine wins this season. It’s anyone’s guess whether RB Ray Rice will be ready to roll again, and if he isn’t ready to become an elite back again, we aren’t sure that there is enough here to carry this offense under QB Joe Flacco. The defense wasn’t nearly as good last season as it had been in years past with all of the defections from the offseason, and not a lot has been done to change that this time around either. Don’t worry about the names on the fronts of the jerseys. Baltimore isn’t nearly as good as the oddsmakers would like you to believe.

Titans Under 7 Wins (+105) – QB Jake Locker is going to have this whole team on his back this year, and there really isn’t a man here who can bail him out. He’s probably one of the worst three or four starting quarterbacks in the league, and we don’t see him leading this club to all that many victories. RB Chris Johnson is gone, and there really wasn’t a notable man to come in and replace him, so the running game is going to be a real question mark every passing week. The schedule isn’t all that tough for Tennessee, but this might be the worst team in a bad AFC South.

Redskins Under 7.5 Wins (-105) – It’s going to be a tough year for Head Coach Jay Gruden as we see it. The offense did get a big time weapon in WR DeSean Jackson, who is surely going to want to prove that he still has the goods to be mentioned as one of the best in the biz, but the West Coast style of offense that Gruden prefers to run isn’t going to mesh with QB Robert Griffin III as we see it. The defense has a ton of holes to fill from last season’s team, and it wasn’t a good defense in the first place. The meat grinder known as the NFC East won’t help matters any either, especially if there are only two wins out of six games or so to be earned within division.

NFL Win Totals 2014 from BOVADA:

Arizona Cardinals – 2014 Regular Season Win Total
Over 7½ (-150)
Under 7½ (+120)

Atlanta Falcons – 2014 Regular Season Win Total
Over 8½ (EVEN)
Under 8½ (-130)

Baltimore Ravens – 2014 Regular Season Win Total
Over 8½ (-140)
Under 8½ (+110)

Buffalo Bills – 2014 Regular Season Win Total
Over 6½ (-150)
Under 6½ (+120)

Carolina Panthers – 2014 Regular Season Win Total
Over 8½ (EVEN)
Under 8½ (-130)

Chicago Bears – 2014 Regular Season Win Total
Over 8½ (-150)
Under 8½ (+120)

Cincinnati Bengals – 2014 Regular Season Win Total
Over 9 (-125)
Under 9 (-105)

Cleveland Browns – 2014 Regular Season Win Total
Over 6½ (-150)
Under 6½ (+120)

Dallas Cowboys – 2014 Regular Season Win Total
Over 8 (+120)
Under 8 (-150)

Denver Broncos – 2014 Regular Season Win Total
Over 11½ (-105)
Under 11½ (-125)

Detroit Lions – 2014 Regular Season Win Total
Over 8½ (EVEN)
Under 8½ (-130)

Green Bay Packers – 2014 Regular Season Win Total
Over 10½ (EVEN)
Under 10½ (-130)

Houston Texans – 2014 Regular Season Win Total
Over 7½ (-150)
Under 7½ (+120)

Indianapolis Colts – 2014 Regular Season Win Total
Over 9½ (EVEN)
Under 9½ (-130)

Jacksonville Jaguars – 2014 Regular Season Win Total
Over 4½ (-165)
Under 4½ (+135)

Kansas City Chiefs – 2014 Regular Season Win Total
Over 8 (-130)
Under 8 (EVEN)

Miami Dolphins – 2014 Regular Season Win Total
Over 8 (+110)
Under 8 (-140)

Minnesota Vikings – 2014 Regular Season Win Total
Over 6 (-140)
Under 6 (+110)

New England Patriots – 2014 Regular Season Win Total
Over 10½ (-150)
Under 10½ (+120)

New Orleans Saints – 2014 Regular Season Win Total
Over 9½ (-150)
Under 9½ (+120)

New York Giants – 2014 Regular Season Win Total
Over 8 (-115)
Under 8 (-115)

New York Jets – 2014 Regular Season Win Total
Over 7 (-130)
Under 7 (EVEN)

Oakland Raiders – 2014 Regular Season Win Total
Over 4½ (-150)
Under 4½ (+120)

Philadelphia Eagles – 2014 Regular Season Win Total
Over 9 (EVEN)
Under 9 (-130)

Pittsburgh Steelers – 2014 Regular Season Win Total
Over 8½ (-140)
Under 8½ (+110)

San Diego Chargers – 2014 Regular Season Win Total
Over 8 (-115)
Under 8 (-115)

San Francisco 49ers – 2014 Regular Season Win Total
Over 10½ (-130)
Under 10½ (EVEN)

Seattle Seahawks – 2014 Regular Season Win Total
Over 11 (-115)
Under 11 (-115)

St. Louis Rams – 2014 Regular Season Win Total
Over 7½ (-150)
Under 7½ (+120)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers – 2014 Regular Season Win Total
Over 7 (-130)
Under 7 (EVEN)

Tennessee Titans – 2014 Regular Season Win Total
Over 7 (EVEN)
Under 7 (-130)

Washington Redskins – 2014 Regular Season Win Total
Over 7½ (EVEN)
Under 7½ (-130)

NFL Surprise Teams: Who Will it Be in 2014?

NFL Sleeper Teams

Every year, there are a few teams who are sitting in the weeds who come out of nowhere to contend for their division titles. Today, we’ll take a look at the teams who could end up being splashy this year and make big moves from the bottom of the pack to the playoffs with a real shot to win the Super Bowl.

Cleveland Browns (+550 to win AFC North) – Here’s what we have to remember about a Browns team which went 4-12 last season: The club went 3-0 with QB Brian Hoyer playing a big role in the proceedings. Between Hoyer and QB Johnny Manziel, there is a real chance here for Cleveland to take a big step in the right direction, especially with one of the best cornerback tandems in the league with DB Joe Haden and DB Justin Gilbert. The signings of LB Karlos Dansby and S Donte Whitner will only help as well.

The Steelers and Ravens are trending in the wrong direction as we see it, and the Bengals are never going to be better than a nine or 10-win type of team that can only get past the wild card round under QB Andy Dalton. If there is a club which can make a drastic turnaround in this division, this is it.

Washington Redskins (+425 to win NFC East) – The Redskins weren’t nearly as good as they were two years ago, but they weren’t nearly as bad as they were last year either. This is a wide open division which any team can win. Running a West Coast offense is going to be good for QB Robert Griffin III as we see it. Yes, his legs are going to be taken away just a bit, but the reads are much easier for a quarterback to make.

The question is going to be whether the defense can really step it up this season or not. There are tons of changes on that side of the ball, but if we had to guess, Head Coach Jay Gruden has a plan in place to limit possessions in game. The NFC East is wide open once again.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+650 to win NFC South) – For all of the talk about how brutal the NFC West is (and it is), the argument could be made that the NFC South is every bit as difficult. The Falcons were a disaster last season, but they might be just a few pieces away from bringing this all back together again. The Saints and the Panthers were the class of the division last year, but as we have historically seen in the NFC South, none of that matters. Teams go from worst to first all the time. Head Coach Lovie Smith is a proven “regular season” winner, and his team has made some good moves here in the offseason.

This is a young team which is only going to get better over time this year, but this is also a club which looks a bit like some of those Bears teams which Smith did a great job with over the course of the last decade. QB Josh McCown can take care of the football, and if he does that, he’s got big enough targets in the middle of the field to make teams pay. The Bucs are definitely sneaky in 2014.




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Odds To Win AFC Championship 2015: Vegas Favors Denver Broncos

odds-to-win-AFC-2015

Save for the Denver Broncos and the New England Patriots, most believe that there isn’t much of a chance for anyone else to win the AFC this year. We’ll take a look at both of those clubs as well as two others we think can really make a case to reach the Super Bowl this season.

TOP FAVORITES

Denver Broncos (+225) – The reason the Broncos are the favorites here is because they still don’t have much of a division to match up against. The only question we have is when (and if) QB Peyton Manning is going to break down. He clearly didn’t last year when he put up arguably the best season an NFL quarterback has ever had, but how much longer can it really possibly last? If Manning takes any steps in the wrong direction, the Broncos defense clearly won’t be able to hold up.

New England Patriots (+350) – If you ignore the wide receiver position, it’s hard to find many flaws with the Patriots this year. Picking up DB Darrelle Revis only further solidifies a defense which was a lot better than what most people recognize. Remember that the Pats reached the AFC Championship Game last year without DE Tommy Kelly or DT Vince Wilfork. If New England is able to avoid the injury bug this year, look out. For our money, this is the best team that the NFL has to offer.

Indianapolis Colts (+1000) – For a team which legitimately could end up with a first round bye in the playoffs, this is a heck of a price on Indianapolis. The AFC South is incredibly weak this year, especially if you believe that Houston still has major problems to work out in its first year under Head Coach Bill O’Brien. QB Andrew Luck is only going to get better with time, and the rest of these young players who made up this offense two years ago are now three years in. All the potential in the world is there for Indianapolis, and it has a shot to go 11-5 or better. If the Colts don’t get the No. 2 seed though, there’s little hope for these odds to win the AFC to pan out.

LONGSHOT!

Jacksonville Jaguars (+10000) – Laugh all you want about the Jags, but then go back and realize what they really have done recently. After starting off at 0-8 last season, the team went 4-4 down the stretch, and the games it ultimately came up short in, it was in all the way through. DE Red Bryant rejoins his former defensive coordinator from his Seattle days, and he is one of the what might end up being nine new starters on the defensive side of the ball for Head Coach Gus Bradley. With QB Chad Henne taking care of things for the time being, seeing this team go 8-8 is entirely possible (sneak into the playoffs) with four games against Houston and Tennessee as well as home games against the Steelers, Browns, Dolphins, Cowboys, and Giants.

Odds To Win AFC Conference 2014-2015

Denver Broncos 9/4
New England Patriots 3/1
Indianapolis Colts 8/1
Pittsburgh Steelers 12/1
Cincinnati Bengals 16/1
Baltimore Ravens 18/1
Kansas City Chiefs 18/1
San Diego Chargers 18/1
Houston Texans 22/1
Cleveland Browns 25/1
Miami Dolphins 25/1
New York Jets 28/1
Buffalo Bills 40/1
Tennessee Titans 40/1
Oakland Raiders 50/1
Jacksonville Jaguars 100/1


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Heisman Odds 2014: Jameis Winston 5/2 Odds To Repeat

hesiman-odds-2014

We’re still several months away from strapping on the gear and heading back to the collegiate gridiron, but we are always ready to take a look at some of the college football futures betting lines. Today, we’re looking at the early Heisman Trophy odds, as we look to see if Jameis Winston can defend his crown, or whether someone else will crop up and steal the honor from him.

Jameis Winston (5/2): What must be noted here about Winston is that there is a lot of baggage here. Remember that no one aside from Archie Griffin has won the Heisman twice in his collegiate career, and as we have seen with so many athletes with off the field issues, the Heisman Trust isn’t going to want to vote for someone who has all sorts of legal problems as Winston may have. The frosh though, was so darn good last year that there really wasn’t much of a choice.

He’s the best player on what is going to open up as the No. 1 team in the country, and just from that standpoint, there is no doubt that Winston needs to be the favorite. It will however be extremely tough to ultimately repeat as the Heisman winner.

ALSO SEE: [2015 COLLEGE FOOTBALL PLAYOFF CHAMPION ODDS]

Marcus Mariota (5/1): The pivot for the Ducks has elected to come back to school, and that was probably a wise choice considering the plethora of quarterbacks in this year’s NFL Draft. Whether it ultimately helps him become a Heisman Trophy winner this year is still up in the air. The bottom line for Mariota is that Oregon has to win. We know that he is going to come up with all sorts of awesome stats. Last year, he had 31 TDs against four picks, threw for 3,665 yards, and ran for 715 more.

If those are the numbers he puts up this year, Mariota will be in the Big Apple as a Heisman Trophy favorite. The reason he didn’t win the honor last year? Losses to Stanford and Arizona. No matter how good these numbers are, Mariota flat out needs to win if he wants to win the Heisman.

Jacob Coker (OTB): Now here’s an intriguing possibility. Coker was the backup to Winston last year at Florida State before transferring to Alabama. Most figure that he can step right in and be the starter for the Tide, and if that’s the case, why wouldn’t you want to consider him as a Heisman Trophy player? Remember that Winston’s name was nowhere on the board for the first few weeks of last season, but as soon as he hit, he became a popular bet to take home the hardware. Coker is an experienced quarterback who is going to step in and run Nick Saban’s system.

If he can live up to the billing as a legit NFL talent as his former coach, Jimbo Fisher touted him to be, Coker might be able to step in and make a real run at the Heisman Trophy. There’s no doubt that this team is going to win. The question is whether Coker can put up the stats. We think that he can. Keep a close eye on him going forward into the fall.

Odds To Win The Heisman Trophy 2014:

Jameis Winston (QB Florida State) 13/4
Marcus Mariota (QB Oregon) 11/2
Braxton Miller (QB Ohio State) 7/1
Nick Marshall (QB Auburn) 9/1
Bryce Petty (QB Baylor) 12/1
Todd Gurley (RB Georgia) 12/1
Everett Golson (Notre Dame) 14/1
Brett Hundley (QB UCLA) 16/1
T.J. Yeldon (RB Alabama) 16/1
Trevor Knight (QB Oklahoma) 16/1
Melvin Gordon (RB Wisconsin) 18/1
Derrick Henry (RB Alabama) 25/1
Connor Cook (QB Michigan State) 28/1
Mike Davis (RB South Carolina) 28/1
Ameer Abdullah (RB Nebraska) 33/1
Duke Johnson (RB Miami) 33/1
Karlos Williams (RB Florida State) 33/1
Myles Jack (LB UCLA) 33/1
Sean Mannion (QB Oregon State) 33/1
Dak Prescott (QB Mississippi State) 40/1
Rakeem Cato (QB Marshall) 50/1
Taylor Kelly (QB Arizona State) 50/1
Matt Johnson (QB Bowling Green) 66/1

Kentucky Derby Predictions 2014

2014-kentucky-derby-picks

We’re headed down the stretch of the prep season for the Kentucky Derby, and that means that the Run for the Roses is just a few weeks away. Join us today as we break down the best colts in what will surely be a full field once again on the horse racing betting lines in the first leg of the Triple Crown.

We aren’t all that sure that there is going to be a massive favorite here in the Derby, but if there is, that horse is going to be California Chrome. This is one of the three-year old ponies who many think could be one to challenge for the Triple Crown. That being said, California Chrome has really only had three races of any note in his career, most recently the Santa Anita Derby and the San Felipe Stakes. He did win both of those races, but we’re also wary of the fact that he finished sixth best at the Del Mar Futurity last year as a two-year old. The fact that California Chrome is going to be a big favorite even though he is flawed is a reminder of just how wide open this field really could be. Right now, California Chrome is listed at +400, making him the big favorite of the race.


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Wicked Strong and Cairo Prince are going to be the next two in line in all likelihood. Cairo Prince only has one win in two races this year though, while Wicked Strong isn’t even ranked in the Top 20 amongst three-year olds in earnings, but they both have awesome pedigrees and the history which suggests they could be dangerous.

We prefer Samraat who, up until a few weeks ago, was definitively the best three-year old horse in our eyes. The fact that you can get Samraat right now at 16 to 1 is a steal as we see it. Samraat was undefeated up until his last race, and though he has never really run up against the big boys, one can tell just in his stride that he is going to be one of the horses to beat. A stalker by nature, Samraat has the biggest kick we’ve seen in the field at 1 1/16 miles in the last two furlongs, and assuming that he can make it the full 1 1/4 miles at Churchill Downs, we think that he has the best opportunity to be a big cash in.

Keep an eye on Constitution and Vicar’s in Trouble as well, as these were two of the top three earning horses as three-year olds this year. Vicar’s in Trouble is one of the middle of the pack horses at 20 to 1, while Constitution, a longshot winner of the Florida Derby back in March, is 50 to 1.

Other notables on the Kentucky Derby odds right now include Danza (+1000), Hoppertunity (+1500), Tapiture (+2400), and Ride on Curlin (+2500). All of these horses are very likely to end up with much lower odds at the track on Derby Day, so now might very well be the time to get on their backs if you think that any of these can be the top three-year old this year.

Odds To Win Kentucky Derby 2014:

(updated 5/3/14)

1. VICAR’S IN TROUBLE – M. Maker/R. Napravnik 22/1
2. HARRY’S HOLIDAY – M. Maker/C. Lanerie 50/1
3. UNCLE SIGH – G. Contessa/I. Ortiz Jr 33/1
4. DANZA – T. Pletcher/J. Bravo 9/1
5. CALIFORNIA CHROME – A. Sherman/V. Espinoza 5/2
6. SAMRAAT – R. Violette Jr/J. L Ortiz 16/1
7. WE MISS ARTIE – T. Pletcher/J. Castellano 33/1
8. GENERAL A ROD – M. Maker/J. Rosario 22/1
9. VINCEREMOS – T. Pletcher/J. Rocco Jr 50/1
10. WILDCAT RED – J. Garoffalo/L. Saez 18/1
12. DANCE WITH FATE – P. Eurton/C. Nakatani 12/1
13. CHITU – B. Baffert/M. Garcia 25/1
14. MEDAL COUNT – D. Romans/R. Albarado 20/1
15. TAPITURE – S. Asmussen/R. Santana Jr 22/1
16. INTENSE HOLIDAY – T. Pletcher/J. Velazquez 12/1
17. COMMANDING CURVE – D. Stewart/S. Bridgmohan 33/1
18. CANDY BOY – J. Sadler/G. Stevens 18/1
19. RIDE ON CURLIN – W. Gowan/C. Borel 18/1
20. WICKED STRONG – J. Jerkens/R. Maragh 8/1



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College Football Championship Odds

College-Football-Champion-Odds-2015

The 2014-15 college football betting season is closer than you think, and this season is like none other, knowing that there is a playoff pitting the four best teams in America against each other. Will it make a difference in deciding the National Champions? We’ll check in with some of the best teams in the land this year and analyze their chances of winning the whole enchilada.

Florida State Seminoles (9/2): You really have no choice but to start your discussion for the National Championship with the garnet and gold. The Seminoles legitimately have one of the best teams in the land again, and the schedule is going to set up once again in such a way that there won’t be a game in which FSU isn’t favored in.

That said, even with the defending Heisman Trophy winner returning under center in Jameis Winston, it’s going to be really, really tough to go wire-to-wire and win a second straight title. Head Coach Jimbo Fisher has a defense with a number of holes that need to be replaced. Remember that the Noles could have three men drafted in the first round of the upcoming NFL Draft.

Alabama Crimson Tide (6/1): There really isn’t a tremendous knock on the Tide once again this year, and we have to think that they will get luckier this season going against an Auburn team which they probably should have beaten in the Iron Bowl this past season. Jacob Coker comes in from FSU, and he could legitimately be as good as the departing AJ McCarron.

The SEC, believe it or not, could be down this year, and if that really is the case, the Tide could once again roll towards a perfect season. Even going 11-1 should be good enough to get Alabama into the playoff.

Ohio State Buckeyes (9/1): There isn’t going to be a debate about the Buckeyes being in the playoff this year if they run the table, even if Alabama and Florida State do run the table. The question is whether Braxton Miller and the gang are really going to be able to beat one of these top teams in the nation, let alone two in a short span.

That said, Head Coach Urban Meyer has a history of really dominating with his teams around this time when he takes a new job, and this is where you would think that Ohio State finally sees it all the way through.

Baylor Bears (28/1): It isn’t all that likely that Baylor is going to end up going undefeated deep into the season once again this year, but we will say this: Head Coach Art Briles can flat out coach, and Bryce Petty isn’t afraid to chuck the ball all over the field.

There isn’t another team in the Big XII which scares us this year, and this could be the first time since the departure of Robert Griffin III that Baylor is legitimately one of the best teams in the nation once again.


College Football National Title Odds from BOVADA SPORTSBOOK

Alabama 11/2
Florida State 11/2
Oregon 7/1
Oklahoma 9/1
Auburn 10/1
Ohio State 12/1
UCLA 14/1
Georgia 18/1
LSU 20/1
Michigan State 25/1
USC 25/1
Baylor 28/1
Florida 33/1
South Carolina 33/1
Stanford 33/1
Wisconsin 33/1
Mississippi 40/1
Michigan 50/1
Notre Dame 50/1
Texas 50/1
Clemson 66/1
Missouri 66/1
Nebraska 66/1
Texas A&M 66/1
Arizona 100/1
Iowa 100/1
Kansas State 100/1
Louisville 100/1
Miami 100/1
North Carolina 100/1
Washington 100/1
Arizona State 100/1
BYU 150/1
Mississippi State 150/1
Oklahoma State 150/1
Tennessee 150/1
Virginia Tech 150/1
TCU 200/1
Texas Tech 200/1
Cincinnati 250/1
Arkansas 300/1
Boise State 300/1
West Virginia 300/1
Boston College 500/1
Georgia Tech 500/1
Oregon State 500/1
Pittsburgh 500/1
South Florida 500/1
UCF 500/1
California 1000/1
Rutgers 1000/1

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Kentucky vs. UConn Championship Odds, Spread Picks & Score Prediction

odds-to-win-final-4-2014

KENTUCKY vs. UCONN POINT SPREAD:

2014 Final Four Champion Odds from BOVADA (FREE $250 BET!)

KENTUCKY -2.5


UCONN +2.5, O/U 133


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A #7 seed versus a #8 seed for the 2014 NCAA Tournament Title? Many will say that we have been building towards this moment for quite some time, as the NCAA Tournament has become the equivalent of a crap shoot in the past decade.

If you are looking for a technical betting trend edge tonight, favorites are 7-2-1 ATS in the past 10 NCAA title games. A betting trend that goes completely against the previous trend is the higher-seeded is on a 8-2 streak both SU and ATS in NCAA Tourney champ games.

Kentucky vs. UConn Betting Trends:

- UConn is 6-1 SU and ATS past seven games as underdogs

- UConn is 10-2 ATS past 12 tournament games

- UConn is 7-1 SU, 6-2 ATS in Final Four games since 1999

- UConn is 3-1 SU in four games vs Wildcats since 2006

- Kentucky 11-0 SU, 8-1-2 ATS past 11 tournament games

- Kentucky is 8-2 SU in Final Four games since 1996

9 Must Bet SuperBowl Prop Bets

2014-super-bowl-prop-bets

[Also See: FREE $250 SUPER BOWL BET - CRAZY SUPER BOWL 48 PROP BETS]

Super Bowl XLVIII is set to kick this Sunday in East Rutherford, NJ where Peyton Manning will look to secure his second Lombardi Trophy in three tries against Richard Sherman and his detested Seattle Seahawks. While bets on the side and total of this game will likely come in at a record pace in the desert, let’s not forget about the other exciting aspect of betting the final game of every NFL season – the Props! Below are some of the props positions I’ll be taking this Sunday.

 

1. Total TDs Scored In Game By Seattle: 3 +275, 4 +550, 5 +1000, 6 or more +1400

Right off the bat, it must be known that I firmly believe SB XLVIII will be one in runaway fashion by the NFC entrants. I already positioned myself on the NFC throughout the playoffs, so I’m thrilled the betting public decided to turn Denver into the false favorite for this game. It set up me up nicely for all futures $$$-Line wagers and point-spread positions taken to at the very least guarantee a modest return should this game end up closer than I expect.

Still, I’ll be placing a unit on each of the following listed up above and only be in danger of losing a couple shekels if in fact 3 or less TDs are scored by the Seahawks – not happening!

 

2. Russell Wilson Total Passing Yards: Over 210.5 -110

Now I know #3 has only thrown for over 200 yards one of the L/4 times he took to the gridiron, but that one time came against the Niners in the NFC championship game and San Francisco possesses a much better pass defense than that of the Broncos. Denver actually excels in stopping the run (#7), and though it stymied the Patriots ground attack in the AFC title game, I simply don’t foresee it doing the same to a determined Marshawn Lynch.

Beast Mode’s ability to force Denver to cheat against the run will open up passing lanes for Wilson to connect for big strikes to Tate, Baldwin, and Kearse to allow for him to topple this pedestrian mark.

 

3. Total Punts Made In Game By Both Teams: Under 9.5 -150

I like this one for a number of reasons. Both teams just so happen to possess two of the best field goal kickers in the league in Matt Prater and Steven Hauschka. Any time either of these teams get past midfield, both head coaches lean more towards doing whatever it takes to at the very least get into field goal range. Their strong legs will take away from both punters seeing the field.

Adding to the formula is the fact that I expect some points to be put on the board in this one hence taking the need to implement the punters to play the field position game. Denver trailing late will also reduce the punters chances of hitting the field with it forced to go on 4th down instead of punt the ball away.


BRONCOS vs. SEAHAWKS 2014 SUPER BOWL BETTING:

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4. Total Field Goals In The Game: Over 3.5 +120

This one somewhat plays into the prop from up above. With the wind not expected to be as big of a detriment as originally thought, I can see both Prater and Hauschka living up to the reputations they built up throughout the entirety of the regular season and playoffs. These two weapons are huge and will play an even bigger role should this game play out to being a lot closer than I expect it will be.

 

5. Will A FG Attempt Be Missed In The Game: No +120

Both kickers had the benefit of already playing a game at MetLife Stadium earlier this season. Hauschka successfully converted all three of his attempts, while Prater banged through his only attempt from 41 yards out. Combined, these kicker have missed only 3 in 61 overall attempts. That’s a 95 percent success rate – I’ll buy that for a dollar!

 

6. Will there Be A Defensive Or Special Teams TD Score In The Game: Yes +155

With the Seahawks defense adept at forcing turnovers into points, and both teams having exceptional return men in Golden Tate and Trindon Holiday, the possibility of this prop cashing looks pretty darned good on paper. Once this game gets out of hand, the opportunity to cash this ticket becomes even greater when play is forced.

 

7. Will Any Player Receive A Penalty For Excessive Celebration: Yes +300

8. Will Richard Sherman Get A Taunting Penalty In The Game: Yes +400

I can see it now. Manning’s pass gets deflected and falls right into the hands of the man everyone loves to hate – Richard Sherman. The Stanford grad then rumbles the length of the field while performing the cutthroat gesture the whole way. After he spikes the pigskin into the ground forcing a mini earthquake, he runs over to the Broncos cheerleading squad and twerks each and every one of them forcing the zebras to finally throw some yellow laundry as they laugh uncontrollably.

Sherman is a lightning rod for criticism these days, so any perceived move made in poor taste will no doubt warrant a flag. The guy might talk the talk and do things that bother most, but he backs it up on the playing field. Crazy how his excelled play causes nothing but controversy – he just can’t help himself!


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9. Player To Win The 2014 Super Bowl XLVIII MVP: Richard Sherman +3000

This award has gone to a QB each of the L/4 times and a defensive player has not secured the award since Dexter Jackson won it when the Tampa Bay Buccaneers throttled the Oakland Raiders in XXXVII. While I might be better off taking a BIC lighter to the Benjamin, I’ll throw down on the prop, I truly believe this match-up holds some very distinct similarities to that game. Rich Gannon had himself a year for the ages leading up to that game. Insert Peyton Manning. The Raiders offense put lofty point totals on the board all season long. Insert Broncos offense. The Buccaneers went off the betting board as underdogs even though they by far possessed the better overall defense. Ring a bell? Insert Seattle Seahawks defense.

It’s my belief that Seattle’s defense – or either NFC defense that made it to the Super Bowl – would hold a major advantage over the Broncos. Denver has not run up against a defense as sound as Seattle’s all season, and before they finally adjust to what the Seahawks are doing, they’ll be down three scores due to the stop units aggressive way in which it goes about its business.

 

Enjoy the game, but remember, just because it’s the final one of the year does not make it ok to wager beyond your means. Good luck!

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