Texans vs. Steelers MNF Week 7 Odds & Picks
The Houston Texans and the Pittsburgh Steelers both have to believe that they have a heck of a shot of getting into the playoffs in the wide open AFC this year. They’ll face off in a really important Monday Night Football duel in the Steel City in Week 7. Houston is getting 3.5 points on the NFL betting lines, while the ‘total’ has been set at 44.5.
TEXANS – STEELERS 2014 MONDAY NIGHT WEEK 7 SPREAD:
1. Why the TEXANS will cover the spread: This defense is fierce. Forget about those 33 points given up to the Indianapolis Colts. Focus instead, on the fact that the Texans allowed just nine points to Indy for the last three quarters of the game. They haven’t really had a bad game yet this year from start to finish aside from that duel against the New York Giants, and we have a tough time believing that Pittsburgh is going to get into the 20s in this one, especially if LB Jadeveon Clowney is set to come back to the lineup as he and the team expect him to.
The Texans offense will just have to take care of the football to be able to win games like these against middling teams. It’s not a given to think that QB Ryan Fitzpatrick won’t turn the ball over, but if he doesn’t, Houston should eke out a road win.
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2. Why the STEELERS will cover the spread: You’ve got to have the feeling that this is a “man up” game for the Steelers. They just didn’t play well at all in last week’s romp on the road against the Cleveland Browns, and now that they have been woken up, they could be in for a dominating game. The Pittsburgh defense isn’t the best, but it is going against a bad quarterback in Fitzpatrick, and that could end up making all the difference in the world.
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3. Total Talk: Houston might be 3-2 for ‘over’ bettors in its last five games, but there isn’t a game in that mix where you look at what the offense has done and think that that should be the case. The Texans are 5-0 towards the ‘under’ in their last five following an ATS loss. Pittsburgh has kept seven straight games played in October ‘under’ the ‘total’, including both of the games played in the last two weeks.
4. Betting Trends for TEXANS/STEELERS:
Monday Night Football has certainly not been kind to Texans bettors. They have failed to cover six in a row on MNF, and they are going against a team which they have only beaten or covered against once since their inaugural season in 2002. The Steelers have generally shown resiliency after having bad games, as they are 4-0 ATS in their last four after allowing at least 30 points in the prior game.
This could be one where Pittsburgh comes to play, but if it is going to have to cover this one, it is going to have to do so with its defense. It’ll be a close call.
Steelers 17 – Texans 13