Packers vs. Saints SNF Week 8 Spread & Picks
The New Orleans Saints are really running into some troubles six games into the season. They’re going to be up against it on Sunday Night Football for sure against the Green Bay Packers. If the line moves much in the wrong way in this game, it will be the first time since November 2012 that the Saints have been underdogs in their own building. They’re -1.5 for now, while the ‘total’ is not surprisingly as big of a number as we have seen all year at 54.5.
PACKERS – SAINTS 2014 SUNDAY NIGHT WEEK 8 SPREAD:
1. Why the PACKERS will cover the spread: The Packers aren’t going to back down for sure, and the bottom line is that they could be running into a team that just flat out isn’t all that great. QB Aaron Rodgers has been throwing darts all over the field of late. He had a virtually perfect game last week against the Carolina Panthers, throwing for 255 yards and three TDs. He has now had six straight games without a pick, and he has a 13/0 TD/INT ratio in his last four games with a QB rating of almost 140 since that point.
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2. Why the SAINTS will cover the spread: The Saints really need this game. They’ve got the Panthers, 49ers, Bengals, Ravens, Steelers, Panthers, and Bears coming up, and even if they do have two easy games at the end of the year, they are going to need to be at least at seven wins before that point to have a shot of getting into the postseason. That means that New Orleans has to go 5-3 in these next eight games to have a fighting shot.
The Packers don’t have a great secondary or a solid defensive line, and that could come back to really hurt them in this one. QB Drew Brees could have a field day, especially if TE Jimmy Graham really is 100 percent healthy at this point.
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3. Total Talk: There really isn’t such a thing as a ‘total’ that seems to be high enough in a Saints game. They are 5-1 for ‘over’ bettors on the campaign, and the only game in which they didn’t allow at least 24 points was against the Minnesota Vikings in the debut game for QB Teddy Bridgewater. The Packers are 6-1 for ‘over’ bettors, and if you take out a 19-7 loss to the Detroit Lions, they’re averaging 53.3 points per game.
4. Betting Trends for PACKERS/SAINTS:
Green Bay has covered four games in a row, and it has put up at least 38 points in three of those four games. The Saints are 2-0 SU at home, and they have won 10 straight games here at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome. They’re 8-2 ATS in those 10 games in this building over the course of the last two years. It’s reasonable to think that New Orleans, in what might be a do-or-die game, can manage a way to beat a very good Green Bay outfit.
Saints 28 – Packers 24