Bengals-Patriots Point Spread Preview, Expert Picks & Score Prediction
There’s only one undefeated team left standing in the AFC, and of all of the teams that could still be unbeaten, the Cincinnati Bengals wouldn’t have been our first guess. They’re short 1.5-point favorites on the road on Sunday Night Football though, as they take on QB Tom Brady and the New England Patriots. The ‘total’ has opened at 47 for this Sunday night soiree at Gillette Stadium.
BENGALS – PATRIOTS SUNDAY NIGHT WEEK 5 LINE:
1. Why the BENGALS will cover the spread: This defense is no joke whatsoever, and the fact that it is coming off of a bye is only going to help men like DT Geno Atkins who could use some extra recovery time. The New England offense, save for the first half of the first game of the season, has really been relatively woeful, and that could end up being real bad news for one of the favorites in the AFC.
On top of that though, the Bengals are healthy again. WR AJ Green should be fine to play off of the bye week, and that gives QB Andy Dalton all the weapons in the world that he needs to move the ball up and down the field.
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2. Why the PATRIOTS will cover the spread: The Patriots aren’t insinuated to be the better of these two teams, but we aren’t so sure that still isn’t the case. New England has only played four games this year, and already, most are writing it off as a team that might win the AFC East but is nowhere near equipped to challenge for a Super Bowl title. We respectfully still disagree. Brady is still Brady, and eventually, this offense is going to get into some sort of rhythm again.
There was every reason in the world to struggle last Monday against the Kansas City Chiefs, but when you put a chip on the Patriots’ shoulders and give them home field advantage in a primetime game, you’re going to find some success.
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3. Total Talk: ‘Under’ is the word so far this year for Cincinnati. The Bengals have played all three of their games ‘under’ the ‘total’, while the Pats are level at two games on each side of the number. Last year when these two teams played, there were only a grand total of 589 yards and 19 points in a 13-6 win for the Bengals. That game easily stayed ‘under’, but four of the previous five between these teams had exceeded the ‘total’.
4. Betting Trends for Bengals/Patriots: The Bengals have covered 20 of their last 29 games overall, and Head Coach Marvin Lewis has to be thrilled with that stat. That said, they aren’t all that hot on the road like they were at Paul Brown Stadium, and they have a tendency to be a losing team away from the Queen City. New England has covered four straight home games against teams with winning road records, and the time is here for the Pats to get back on the horse and take down a big victory.
Patriots 28 – Bengals 17