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Colts vs. Giants Monday Night Spread & Picks Week 9

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The Indianapolis Colts are still in control of the AFC South, but if they slip as 3 point favorites on the road against the New York Giants on Monday Night Football, they will at least leave the door open in the second half of the season for their competitors. The ‘total’ in this one is set at 50.5, one of the highest numbers to beat of the week, but after watching Indy allow over 500 passing yards and 51 points to the Pittsburgh Steelers last week, anything is possible.


COLTS – NY GIANTS 2014 MONDAY NIGHT WEEK 9 SPREAD:

OPEN: COLTS 03 | CURRENT: COLTS -3 | O/U: 51


1. Why the COLTS will cover the spread: The defense for the Colts clearly isn’t as bad as 522 yards and 51 points against Pittsburgh will tell you. Remember that this is the same team that shut out the Bengals and held the Ravens to just 13 points. That’s more along the lines of what we think we can expect on a week in, week out basis. That said, QB Andrew Luck and the offense have put up at least 20 points in every game this season, and that’s going to put a lot of pressure on the Giants, who have been consistently inconsistent for the better part of the last three seasons in games like these.



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2. Why the NY GIANTS will cover the spread: The best thing to like about the Giants is that it will have been 15 days since they have been on the field. They know that the NFC East is still there for the taking if the Cowboys slip up just a bit. New York has been good at home this year, and that loss to the Cardinals, even with Drew Stanton at quarterback, doesn’t seem all that bad. History will tell you if QB Eli Manning can figure out how to hold onto the football, good things will come for the Giants. That’s a big “if” for sure, but it’s one that is worth considering.



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3. Total Talk: You might immediately think that this game is an ‘over’ contest waiting to happen, and you very well might be right. However, we have to remember that, in spite of the fact that Indy has played five straight road games past the ‘total’, that two of the best receivers that would be on the field, WR Reggie Wayne and WR Victor Cruz, are both out for this one. RB Rashad Jennings could be missing as well, which only makes matters worse for a New York offense which was already lacking weapons.

4. Betting Trends for COLTS/GIANTS: The Giants don’t really have a history of playing well off of bad games. Granted, the bye might help, but the fact of the matter is that they are just 1-6 ATS in their last seven games following a duel in which they allow more than 30 points. They’re also just 1-4 ATS in their last five games against teams with winning records, a stark contrast from the 6-0 ATS that the Colts are on the road in their last six against teams with losing records.


COLTS – NY GIANTS 2014 MNF Score Prediction:

Colts 23 – Giants 19






College Football Upset Picks: Navy over Notre Dame?

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We’re into the nitty-gritty of the season in college football betting action, and we’re starting to get a bit of a feeling for who all of these teams really are. Join us for our teams that are on upset alert for Week 10 College Football Picks of the campaign.

UPSET #1: Navy (+435 ML) vs. Notre Dame

A whopping 17-point underdog is Navy, and that’s a huge number to be giving us. Last season, QB Keenan Reynolds and the Middies came really close to pulling off an upset at this number at Notre Dame Stadium. Now, they’re at home in Annapolis, and for once, Irish eyes could be smiling on them for a change. It has been a frustrating year for the Midshipmen, as they have been beaten three times as favorites. However, these experienced quarterbacks like Reynolds tend to have a good time against the Notre Dame defense.

We have seen it in the past, and that’s why this series all of a sudden became a heck of a lot more equitable. All of a sudden, Navy has a chance to change the whole scope of the nation this year, and we think there is at least a one-in-six chance or so that it can shock the world and knock off one of the Top 10 teams in America.


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UPSET #2: Florida Gators (+390 ML) vs. Georgia Bulldogs 

There are just too many unknown entities in this game to not give the Gators at least a little bit of a chance in this one. RB Todd Gurley, at least for the moment, remains suspended for UGA, while QB Treon Harris will get his first collegiate start in this one. Harris could be a complete bust, and the Gators could be beaten by 40 in the World’s Largest Cocktail Party.

However, if you really think about what Georgia has accomplished this year versus what it hasn’t accomplished, you can imagine a world in which the Gators, who have nothing left to play for at this point but to beat Georgia and Florida State, are able to shock the world and really shake up the SEC East and the National Championship picture.


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UPSET #3: West Virginia (+170 ML) vs. TCU

Isn’t it time for TCU to go away? We know that every year, these teams come out of the woodwork to challenge for the National Championship, but the Horned Frogs are a one-man show, and that normally doesn’t cut it. West Virginia has played really tough football this year, and the fact of the matter is that it has just two losses, those coming against Oklahoma and mighty Alabama. Milan Puskar Stadium is going to be rocking on Saturday afternoon for this one, and by the time night falls in Morgantown, QB Clint Trickett will once again be a hero, and the couch-burning will ultimately get started.

We’ve got a tough time seeing how the Horned Frogs are favorites in this game, let alone big enough favorites for us to be getting nearly 3 to 1 on our money on WVU.




NFL Upset Picks Week 9: NY Jets over the KC Chiefs!

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There are a few big underdogs every week who seem to bark in the NFL, and Week 9 NFL Picks certainly won’t be an exception. There will be a few pups barking in November that may have looked awful in September and October, and we’re going to highlight a few of those on the Week 9 NFL odds.
 

New England Patriots (+155) vs. Denver Broncos – QB Peyton Manning and the gang are packing their bags for Foxboro in Week 9, and we are a bit stunned that they are field goal favorites in this game over the Patriots, who are really starting to get things together offensively. If New England, which boasts one of the better pass defenses in the NFL, can figure out how to slow down Manning just a bit, the opportunity is going to be there for QB Tom Brady to once again have a huge game, albeit not nearly the way that he was able to manhandle the Chicago Bears last week.

The history between Manning and Brady hasn’t been a good one of late for the Michigan man, but this is a day where we think New England can set the tone for a potential AFC Championship Game duel, one which, all of a sudden, looks like it could be here at Gillette Stadium if the Pats continue on their roll.


All Week 9 Expert Picks | Odds To Win 2015 Super Bowl



New York Jets (+400) @ Kansas City Chiefs – It’s a perfect letdown spot for the Chiefs after they beat the snot out of the St. Louis Rams last week. And, on top of that, it’s a perfect spot for the Jets to do something very un-Jets-like and pull off a big upset against a team which has to feel like it can get into the playoffs this year for the second straight season. However, with QB Michael Vick now taking over under center, at least New York will have gotten a bit of a shot in the arm, and it could end up making some noise as a result.

Remember that we are only a week and a half away from the Jets legitimately challenging the previously mentioned Patriots on the road. Perhaps staying on the road in this one at Arrowhead Stadium is just what the doctor ordered for New York. Remember, this is the same Chiefs team which was killed by the lowly Tennessee Titans in Week 1.


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Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+250) @ Cleveland Browns – The Buccaneers are bad, but if the Browns are having a hard time moving the football on the ground, they are eventually going to collapse under the pressure and expectation of being a good team challenging for a playoff spot. We don’t see all that much difference between these two teams, and the four points that is being insinuated by the oddsmakers just feels like it is too many.

Thus, we’re getting some really good value on a team which we feel still has at least a shred of potential, and that potential could shine through on Sunday at the Dawg Pound.





Steelers vs. Ravens Sunday Night Point Spread Preview & Expert Picks

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All four teams in the AFC South are above .500 coming into Week 9 of the season, and the Ravens and the Steelers are both hoping to get to 6-3 this week. Only one can beat the NFL betting lines, and not surprisingly, the oddsmakers are having a tough time lining the game. Pittsburgh is favored by 1.5 right now, which is just about the value of home field advantage. The ‘total’ of 48 has already come up four points since the open and could continue to rise.


STEELERS – RAVENS 2014 SUNDAY NIGHT WEEK 9 SPREAD:

OPEN: STEELERS PK | CURRENT: STEELERS -1 | O/U: 47.5


1. Why the RAVENS will cover the spread: Quite simply, Pittsburgh hasn’t proven all that much to us. We know that they were able to win games at home these last two weeks, but being consistent is a much different question. In terms of what Baltimore has been able to do though, we love that the team can run the ball again. It figured to be a big time disappointment when RB Ray Rice was booted from the team for his off the field issues, but RB Justin Forsett and his backfield mates have combined for 128.4 yards per game this year, eighth best in the league.



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2. Why the STEELERS will cover the spread: Pittsburgh had its back against the wall these last few weeks, and it has come up with big answers and even bigger wins. QB Ben Roethlisberger is coming off of one of the best days an NFL quarterback has ever had, and he could be in line for a big one once again in this one. The defense is a bit concerning to us, but the offense has had the answers.

Big Ben did have that 522-yard game with six scores, but in the end, the ball possession was key with RB Le’Veon Bell. Bell has had at least 100 yards from scrimmage in all eight games this season, making him one of the top backs in the league.



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3. Total Talk: ‘Over’ is the easy assumption, especially after the Steelers had 53 and 85 points in their last two games and Baltimore has pushed four of its last six past the ‘total’ as well. However, the ‘over’ and the ‘under’ have been incredibly split in this series of late, going 3-3 over the course of the last three seasons. Earlier this year in Baltimore, the two teams combined for just 32 points in a 26-6 Ravens win.

4. Betting Trends for RAVENS/STEELERS: It’s really all about home field advantage in this series, and that’s why the Steelers are getting the nod from the oddsmakers. The home team has won and covered three straight in this series. Keep in mind that virtually all of the game are close, though. Before this year, five straight games in this series had been decided by three points or fewer, so don’t be all that stunned if this turns out to be another really close one.


STEELERS – RAVENS 2014 SNF Score Prediction:

Steelers 24 – Ravens 20






Packers vs. Saints SNF Week 8 Spread & Picks

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The New Orleans Saints are really running into some troubles six games into the season. They’re going to be up against it on Sunday Night Football for sure against the Green Bay Packers. If the line moves much in the wrong way in this game, it will be the first time since November 2012 that the Saints have been underdogs in their own building. They’re -1.5 for now, while the ‘total’ is not surprisingly as big of a number as we have seen all year at 54.5.


PACKERS – SAINTS 2014 SUNDAY NIGHT WEEK 8 SPREAD:

OPEN: SAINTS PK | CURRENT: SAINTS -2 | O/U: 55


1. Why the PACKERS will cover the spread: The Packers aren’t going to back down for sure, and the bottom line is that they could be running into a team that just flat out isn’t all that great. QB Aaron Rodgers has been throwing darts all over the field of late. He had a virtually perfect game last week against the Carolina Panthers, throwing for 255 yards and three TDs. He has now had six straight games without a pick, and he has a 13/0 TD/INT ratio in his last four games with a QB rating of almost 140 since that point.



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2. Why the SAINTS will cover the spread: The Saints really need this game. They’ve got the Panthers, 49ers, Bengals, Ravens, Steelers, Panthers, and Bears coming up, and even if they do have two easy games at the end of the year, they are going to need to be at least at seven wins before that point to have a shot of getting into the postseason. That means that New Orleans has to go 5-3 in these next eight games to have a fighting shot.

The Packers don’t have a great secondary or a solid defensive line, and that could come back to really hurt them in this one. QB Drew Brees could have a field day, especially if TE Jimmy Graham really is 100 percent healthy at this point.



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3. Total Talk: There really isn’t such a thing as a ‘total’ that seems to be high enough in a Saints game. They are 5-1 for ‘over’ bettors on the campaign, and the only game in which they didn’t allow at least 24 points was against the Minnesota Vikings in the debut game for QB Teddy Bridgewater. The Packers are 6-1 for ‘over’ bettors, and if you take out a 19-7 loss to the Detroit Lions, they’re averaging 53.3 points per game.

4. Betting Trends for PACKERS/SAINTS:
Green Bay has covered four games in a row, and it has put up at least 38 points in three of those four games. The Saints are 2-0 SU at home, and they have won 10 straight games here at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome. They’re 8-2 ATS in those 10 games in this building over the course of the last two years. It’s reasonable to think that New Orleans, in what might be a do-or-die game, can manage a way to beat a very good Green Bay outfit.


PACKERS – SAINTS 2014 SNF Score Prediction:

Saints 28 – Packers 24






Cowboys vs. Redskins Monday Night Spread & Picks Week 8

cowboys-redskins-week-8-picks-2014The Dallas Cowboys all of a sudden have one of the top teams in the NFL, and they are looking like Super Bowl contenders. They’re double-digit favorites in an NFC East duel against the Washington Redskins on Monday Night Football in what could be a blowout if the Skins aren’t careful.


COWBOYS – REDSKINS 2014 MONDAY NIGHT WEEK 8 SPREAD:

OPEN: COWBOYS -7.5 | CURRENT: COWBOYS -9.5 | O/U: 50


1. Why the REDSKINS will cover the spread: Maybe QB Colt McCoy is going to provide a shot in the arm for a Washington offense which really needs one. QB Kirk Cousins was a disaster, and we have to think that he has taken his last snap for the Redskins barring an injury to McCoy. We know that Washington’s defense is capable of doing some damage to the Cowboys, as QB Tony Romo has had a suspect career against it, but the best hope that we have if we are backing the visitors here is that they end up clinging to all of those points that they are getting.



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2. Why the COWBOYS will cover the spread: He’s Colt McCoy. He’s not a world-beating quarterback by any stretch of the imagination, and we have a tough time imagining that the Cowboys are going to end up giving up more than maybe 17 points in this one. RB DeMarco Murray will probably break down at some point, but for now, he is putting up the best numbers in the league for any running back. That’s taking the pressure off of QB Tony Romo, and all of a sudden, he looks like a quarterback who might very well be capable of winning the big time game for a change instead of choking it away.

Washington’s secondary isn’t good enough to force Romo into making huge errors time and time again in this one, and that’s the only thing that would keep Dallas from winning and most likely covering as well.



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3. Total Talk: You think of these two teams as high scoring teams, and the fact of the matter is that the last three games in this series have all reached at least 46 points. However, that wouldn’t be enough to beat the ‘total’ in this game, and it hasn’t been enough in the last three meetings either.

Teasing either side of the ‘total’ has paid off in the last three meetings though, so that is definitely an option for those of you who either want more points with the Redskins or fewer points to lay with Dallas.

4. Betting Trends for COWBOYS/REDSKINS:
The Cowboys have suddenly won six in a row and have covered five of the six after struggling in Week 1 against the 49ers, while Washington has failed to cover all four games that were started by Cousins. This series though, is one which belongs to the Redskins from an ATS standpoint. Washington is only 3-5 SU in its last eight against Dallas, but it is 7-1 ATS in those seven games. We could see the same sort of script play out on Monday.


COWBOYS – REDSKINS 2014 MNF Score Prediction:

Cowboys 27 – Redskins 20






Texans vs. Steelers MNF Week 7 Odds & Picks

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The Houston Texans and the Pittsburgh Steelers both have to believe that they have a heck of a shot of getting into the playoffs in the wide open AFC this year. They’ll face off in a really important Monday Night Football duel in the Steel City in Week 7. Houston is getting 3.5 points on the NFL betting lines, while the ‘total’ has been set at 44.5.


TEXANS – STEELERS 2014 MONDAY NIGHT WEEK 7 SPREAD:

OPEN: STEELERS -4 | CURRENT: STEELERS -3 | O/U: 44


1. Why the TEXANS will cover the spread: This defense is fierce. Forget about those 33 points given up to the Indianapolis Colts. Focus instead, on the fact that the Texans allowed just nine points to Indy for the last three quarters of the game. They haven’t really had a bad game yet this year from start to finish aside from that duel against the New York Giants, and we have a tough time believing that Pittsburgh is going to get into the 20s in this one, especially if LB Jadeveon Clowney is set to come back to the lineup as he and the team expect him to.

The Texans offense will just have to take care of the football to be able to win games like these against middling teams. It’s not a given to think that QB Ryan Fitzpatrick won’t turn the ball over, but if he doesn’t, Houston should eke out a road win.



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2. Why the STEELERS will cover the spread: You’ve got to have the feeling that this is a “man up” game for the Steelers. They just didn’t play well at all in last week’s romp on the road against the Cleveland Browns, and now that they have been woken up, they could be in for a dominating game. The Pittsburgh defense isn’t the best, but it is going against a bad quarterback in Fitzpatrick, and that could end up making all the difference in the world.



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3. Total Talk: Houston might be 3-2 for ‘over’ bettors in its last five games, but there isn’t a game in that mix where you look at what the offense has done and think that that should be the case. The Texans are 5-0 towards the ‘under’ in their last five following an ATS loss. Pittsburgh has kept seven straight games played in October ‘under’ the ‘total’, including both of the games played in the last two weeks.

4. Betting Trends for TEXANS/STEELERS:
Monday Night Football has certainly not been kind to Texans bettors. They have failed to cover six in a row on MNF, and they are going against a team which they have only beaten or covered against once since their inaugural season in 2002. The Steelers have generally shown resiliency after having bad games, as they are 4-0 ATS in their last four after allowing at least 30 points in the prior game.

This could be one where Pittsburgh comes to play, but if it is going to have to cover this one, it is going to have to do so with its defense. It’ll be a close call.



TEXANS – STEELERS 2014 MNF Score Prediction:

Steelers 17 – Texans 13






49ers vs. Broncos SNF Week 7 Odds & Picks

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NFL history very well could be made on Sunday Night Football, as the Denver Broncos are going to host the San Francisco 49ers in a battle of teams who have perennially been fantastic of late. Denver is normally favored by double-digits at home, especially in primetime games, but it is only laying a TD thanks to the fact that the Niners are so darn strong. The ‘total’ of 49.5 is one of the highest of the week.


SF 49ERS – BRONCOS 2014 SUNDAY NIGHT WEEK 7 SPREAD:

OPEN: BRONCOS -7.5 | CURRENT: BRONCOS -7 | O/U: 49


1. Why the SF 49ERS will cover the spread: You almost get the feeling that the more San Francisco has going against it, the better off that it plays. The team was facing the ultimate difficult time last year in the NFC Championship Game against the Seattle Seahawks, and that game could have ultimately been won. Three straight weeks, San Fran was on the ropes in games, and in three straight weeks, it has come back to win and cover as relatively short favorites. We’ve got a spread to work with now, and the 49ers generally make every point count.



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2. Why the BRONCOS will cover the spread: The 49ers have had all sorts of problems trying to run the ball of late, and if G Mike Iupati isn’t back in this one, it isn’t going to be any easier to do. On top of that, it just feels like it’s going to be a really special night for QB Peyton Manning. He’s the best quarterback in the league, and he should throw for at least three TDs in this one.

If he does that, he’ll break the all-time record for touchdown passes in a career, breaking the record of QB Brett Favre at 508. Manning rarely loses games like this in the spotlight, and with a defense which has been dominating up front of late, it’s got the feeling of a really special night in the Rockies.



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3. Total Talk: The ‘over’ is 10-2 in Denver’s last 12 home games against teams with winning records, as the club just tends to really come forward with something special offensively when its back is up against the wall against good defensive teams. However, the 49ers are 4-0 in their last four for ‘under’ bettors against teams with winning records overall, proof that they are usually able to slow down some of the best offenses that are out there.

4. Betting Trends for 49ERS/BRONCOS: Quietly, Denver is 14-6-1 ATS in its last 21 games played on natural grass, but it is only 2-5 ATS in its last seven games played here at Sports Authority Field at Mile High. The 49ers are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 games overall, including covering three in a row to reach that stout mark. More impressively, San Francisco is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games on the road, and it is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 road games against teams with winning records.


SF 49ERS – BRONCOS 2014 SNF Score Prediction:

Broncos 31 – 49ers 27






49ers-Rams MNF Betting Preview, Expert Picks & Score Prediction

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If the San Francisco 49ers are going to get back to the playoffs this season, they have to figure out how to win divisional games like these. However, the oddsmakers are giving the St. Louis Rams a fighting chance, lining them at just +3 on the NFL betting lines for the first ever Monday Night Football game for QB Austin Davis. The ‘total’ for this one is set at 43.5 in spite of the fact that these are two of the best defenses in the league going at one another.


49ERS – RAMS 2014 MONDAY NIGHT WEEK 6 LINE:

OPEN: 49ERS -3.5 | CURRENT: 49ERS -3 | O/U: 43.5


1. Why the SF 49ERS will cover the spread: The Niners have a history of not punting games like these, and it seems as though they are getting more and more focused on the goal with every passing bit of controversy that goes on involving Head Coach Jim Harbaugh. San Fran has gone on 12 scoring drives in its last two games, and that’s proof that it is on the verge of something really special. However, the fact that nine of those 12 scoring drives ended in field goals was depressing, to say the least.

QB Colin Kaepernick has to do a better job of converting field goal drives into touchdown drives more often, and when that starts to happen, look out. This could once again be one of the best teams in the NFL.



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2. Why the STL RAMS will cover the spread: The Rams really do have some talent here at the quarterback position. Davis may or may not be the answer in the long run, but we think that what he did last week against the Eagles will be a microcosm of his season. He’ll have some ups (375 yards, 3 TDs), and some downs (2 fumbles, one of which was returned for a touchdown, and one which was nearly returned for a touchdown).

We also know that at some point, the defensive line is really going to start shining for the Rams. They have just one sack in four games after having a fantastic season last year. Can they pick it up this week? The Niners have allowed 13 sacks on the season, so there is some potential for sure.



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3. Total Talk: History suggests that these games are going to be lower scoring. In fact, this is the first time that the ‘total’ has been higher than 42.5 in a game in this series since 2008. That said, three of the last five and five of the last eight have gone ‘over’, though very few of those games really exceeded that number by any significant margin.



4. Betting Trends for 49ERS/RAMS: The 49ers swept the season series last year both SU and ATS, and they have dominated on Monday Night Football, going 8-1 ATS in their last nine visits to the premier viewing slot in the football hierarchy. However, the Rams are 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine games played here at the Edward Jones Dome when going against teams with winning records.



49ERS – RAMS 2014 MNF Score Prediction:

Rams 20 – 49ers 17






Giants vs. Eagles SNF Preview, Expert Picks, Score Prediction

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The NFC East is all of a sudden shaping up to be one of the best divisions in the game. That makes this game between the New York Giants and the Philadelphia Eagles all the more important, as the winner will likely end up being in first place in the division when it’s all said and done with. The men from the City of Brotherly Love are 2.5-point favorites, while the ‘total’ for Sunday Night Football is one of the higher numbers we’ve seen all season at 50.


EAGLES – GIANTS 2014 SUNDAY NIGHT WEEK 6 LINE:

OPEN: EAGLES -2.5 | CURRENT: EAGLES -2.5 | O/U: 50


1. Why the NY GIANTS will cover the spread: At some point, luck has to run out for the Eagles. They’ve recovered five fumbles in five games this year, and they have scored seven TDs on defense and special teams. That’s just an insane number for an entire season, let alone just for a third of the campaign. On top of that, the Giants have really started to get this West Coast offense moving.

QB Eli Manning has posted a QB rating of at least 100 in three straight games, and he is on a really hot streak. WR Odell Beckham Jr. is the real deal, and he could be the difference maker of this offense now that he has recovered from his hamstring injury.



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2. Why the EAGLES will cover the spread: With an offensive line that is improving game by game, we know that it is only a matter of time until RB LeSean McCoy ends up with a heavier workload and more success. McCoy will eventually start to get going at some point, and if that turns out to be the case, this could be a long day for this defense. For as lucky as the Eagles have been scoring defensively and on special teams, their secondary has been beaten up for little reason.

Sure, no quarterback has posted lower than an 80 quarterback rating against this unit this year, but because of the non-offensive scores, the defense has been on the field a ton, and teams have been chasing games. The Eagles are better defensively than they have shown.



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3. Total Talk: Two of the last three games in this series have flown past the ‘total’, and the one that didn’t was the meeting these two teams had last year in the City of Brotherly Love. The Eagles were held without an offensive point because QB Matt Barkley was stuck playing most of the game. Take that away though, and history suggests that this could be a high scoring game.

4. Betting Trends for EAGLES/GIANTS: The Eagles have owned this series of late from a betting standpoint. Take out that game where QB Michael Vick got hurt (while Nick Foles was already nursing an injury), and the Eagles are 9-2 SU and ATS in the 11 games in this series since the end of the 2011 season. It should also be noted that the Giants have been killed in their last three games against teams which won at least 10 games a season ago.



EAGLES – GIANTS 2014 SNF Score Prediction:

Eagles 24 – Giants 19






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