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Giants vs. Lions Odds, Spread Picks & Score Prediction Week 1

A pair of new offensive styles will be on display in the first of two Monday Night Football games in Week 1. The New York Giants will be displaying a new West Coast offense against the Detroit Lions and their new look with a bunch of new weapons for QB Matthew Stafford and new Head Coach Jim Caldwell.

With this game being played at Ford Field, the Lions are understandably 4.5-point favorites, though the oddsmakers are insinuating that these two teams are really close to one another. The ‘total’ is the higher of the two on Monday Night Football in Week 1 at 46.5.



1. Why the NY GIANTS will cover the spread: This really isn’t a matter of what the Giants can do, rather instead what the Lions can’t do. We really haven’t seen all that much out the Lions yet this preseason, and it is worrying the heck out of us. Granted, Caldwell has a history of really tanking it in the preseason, but penalties continue to be the thorn in this club’s side. Detroit is one of the most undisciplined teams in the league, and that isn’t going to stop here in Week 1 of the season.


2. Why the LIONS will cover the spread: If we’re going to pick on the Lions for what they can’t do, we may as well pick on the Giants for what they can’t do either. You would have thought that Head Coach Tom Coughlin would have his new West Coast offense installed comfortably in five preseason games this year when most only get four, but that just hasn’t been the case.

QB Eli Manning has consistently looked uncomfortable in the pocket, and coming off of the worst year of his career isn’t going to help matters any either. The Giants were a disaster at the start of last season, and they have made a history out of struggling early on. This may play right into that rule.

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3. Take the Over or Under?: Perception is there that men like Stafford and Manning should be able to put points up on the board, but we just aren’t so sure. Stafford has looked good, but we know that it is going to take some time to get a good rapport down with his new targets. Manning’s struggles have already been highlighted; it took him four games to throw his first TD pass in the preseason. Both of these teams finished the 2013 season with three straight ‘under’ performances.

4. Betting Trends for GIANTS/LIONS: The Giants were much better at the end of last year, going 7-4 ATS in their last 11 games after going 0-5 ATS in their first five. The Lions went the other direction. They went 0-4 SU and ATS in their last four games, and they were just 2-8 ATS and 3-7 SU in their last 10. That’s why former coach Jim Schwartz was fired.

In respect to the series between these two, the Giants have won all three games SU dating back to 2007, and they are 2-1 ATS in those clashes.


Giants 20 – Lions 17

Packers vs. Seahawks Week 1 Odds, Spread Picks & Score Prediction

The Super Bowl banner will be raised for the first time ever at CenturyLink Field, where the Seattle Seahawks will open up the 2014 NFL season against the Green Bay Packers.

The Packers, who are amongst the favorites in the NFC in their own right on the NFL betting lines, are 5.5-point dogs in the opening game of the season; the ‘total’ chimes in at 45.



1. Why the PACKERS will cover the spread: Green Bay very well could be one of the most underrated teams in the NFL. Remember, when this whole run of the Seahawks being unbeatable at home started, scab officials ended up ruining what should have been a Packers’ victory in primetime. QB Aaron Rodgers has the chance to be one of the best quarterbacks in the NFL this year, and though he doesn’t quite have the same quantity of weapons to choose from, there isn’t a duo of receivers that can blow a game open quite like WR Jordy Nelson and WR Randall Cobb.

The Packers are hurting defensively after losing DT BJ Raji for the rest of the season with an arm injury, but there is enough here to hold off the Seahawks if it turns out to be a tight game.


2. Why the SEAHAWKS will cover the spread: It’s tough to argue with the champs. The team has been beaten exactly one time at home in the QB Russell Wilson era, and there is no doubt whatsoever that he has been the best quarterback in the league in the preseason. Granted, it’s tough to put all that much stock in these exhibition games, but Wilson has been dominating, leading the Seahawks to nine straight scoring drives he has run, seven of which have gotten all the way to the end zone.

This defense is at the top of its game, and it is only going to continue to get better as the season wears on. Simply put, this is the best team in the NFL, and any time the spread is even relatively close to a pick ‘em, it’s tough to think that the Seahawks can’t win and cover.

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3. Take the Over or Under?: With the new and improved Seahawks offense, there is a real chance that we could see them get into the 30s quite a bit this year. That said, thanks to this defense, Seattle went through a seven-game stretch from the end of the regular season through the team’s first two playoff games without exceeding a ‘total’, and it’s tough to go the other direction from there.

However, the Packers scored at least 20 points in each of their last five games of the season last year, and much of that was done without Rodgers calling the shots. The potential is there to do better than that, even against this defense.

4. Betting Trends for PACKERS/SEAHAWKS: The Seahawks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games including going 2-1 ATS in the postseason and closing out the regular season with covers in six out of seven. That said, the Packers have had their way in this series. Green Bay is 3-1-2 ATS in the last six games, and as we started before, if not for the joke in primetime with the scab refs in 2012, the Pack would be 4-0-2 ATS in the last six instead.


Seahawks 27 – Packers 24

Broncos vs. Colts Odds, Point Spread Picks & Score Prediction

Andrew Luck and the Indianapolis Colts are going to have all sorts of problems trying to slow down Peyton Manning and the Denver Broncos in the Week 1 edition of Sunday Night Football from Invesco Field at Mile High.

With the Broncos clearly being one of the two easy choices to win the AFC this year, they’re understandably 7-point favorites at home against what, for our money, is definitively the third best team in the AFC. The ‘total’ is the highest of Week 1 at 55.5.



1. Why the COLTS will cover the spread: If you’re a believer that the Broncos were exposed in the Super Bowl, you could certainly make the argument that Head Coach Chuck Pagano will figure out how to lead his team in this one to slowing down Manning. QB Andrew Luck could be set to come into his own this year, as he is a sneaky pick to be one of the best quarterbacks in the league.

On top of that, this is a heck of a lot of points to be giving what, for our money, is one of the best 10 teams in the NFL, especially after having basically the whole offseason to prepare. There is also no doubt that the Colts are going to be incredibly sharp getting the points in a Sunday Night Football game.


2. Why the BRONCOS will cover the spread: How can you argue with Manning and this offense after the ridiculous numbers this team put up last year? The Colts don’t nearly have the same defense that the Seattle Seahawks did in the Super Bowl last year, and they are going to be playing without suspended DE Robert Mathis, who will sit for the first four games of the regular season for violating the league’s substance abuse policy. That’s a massive loss that probably won’t be overcome.

Denver’s defense could have a big hole that won’t be filled by the absence of LB Danny Trevathan, but we know that picking up DB Aqib Talib is going to help in a big time way.

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3. Take the Over or Under?: Any time Manning is on the field, the ‘over’ is certainly in play. The Broncos though, were a big time ‘under’ team at the end of last season, as surprising as that is. The Super Bowl only went past the ‘total’ because of the efforts of the Seahawks offensively, but the previous five games had all stayed beneath the number. That said, seven of the last eight games in this series have all surpassed the closing number.

4. Betting Trends for COLTS/BRONCOS: We know that the Luck version of the Colts has only played against the Manning version of the Broncos once, and on that day in 2013, it was Luck who was the better man. He beat Manning in his return to Lucas Oil Field last year 39-33 to improve Indianapolis to 6-0 SU and ATS against Denver since the 2005 playoffs. However, remember that Manning is still 5-1 SU and ATS in this series in that stretch, too.


Broncos 27 – Colts 24

NFL Upset Picks Week 1 2014

NFL Upset Picks 2014

There are a few big underdogs every week who seem to bark in the NFL, and Week 1 certainly won’t be an exception. There will be a few pups at the start of the season who look like ridiculous steals by the end of the year, and we’re going to highlight a few of those in on the NFL betting odds in Week 1.

Oakland Raiders (+180) @ New York Jets – The Jets are a trendy team this year with their defense, but they have some major problems at the cornerback position. We are wondering if QB Derek Carr is going to end up starting this game when push comes to shove for the Raiders, but regardless of whether he does or doesn’t, this is a nice spot for an upset. Head Coach Rex Ryan will probably overcommit his defense to try to get after the quarterback, and that’s going to leave suspect corners out on islands all over the field.

Oakland traveling on the road to the East Coast for a 1:00 ET game is bothersome, but I think there is a real chance here for an upset, especially with QB Geno Smith being committed to as the starting quarterback for Gang Green.

All Week 1 Expert Picks | Odds To Win 2015 Super Bowl

Cleveland Browns (+225) @ Pittsburgh Steelers – Take all of the names off of all of the uniforms in this game and tell us that the Steelers should really be favored over the Browns by any substantial number. We dare you. QB Brian Hoyer isn’t good, but he is 3-0 in his career as a starter and could be just what the doctor ordered for a Cleveland team we are high on in 2014.

The Steelers have to replace two of their three top receivers from a year ago, and they very well could be without both RB LeGarrette Blount and RB Le’Veon Bell, who could be facing a one-game suspension for getting busted with marijuana just a week ago. We’re not saying that the Browns are winning this game more often than not, but they could end up winning it at least one out of three times, and that would be more than good enough to make us a long-term winner.


Washington Redskins (+120) @ Houston Texans – Go ahead and look at the schedule for the Texans this year. Vegas has them favored in 10 of their 16 games. This is going to be an improved team from last year, but it isn’t a 10-6 football team. QB Ryan Fitzpatrick still stinks, and he has proven absolutely nothing to us in terms of really being capable of winning games. This defense is legit for Houston right now before injuries take their toll, but the Redskins could be dangerous.

QB Robert Griffin III has been shaky running new Head Coach Jay Gruden’s offense, but it seems inevitable at some point that the Texans lousy corners are going to find themselves chasing WR DeSean Jackson from behind. We’re not sure why the Texans are favored.

Florida State vs. Oklahoma State Spread Picks & Score Prediction Week 1

The 2014 season kicks off for the defending National Champions in Arlington, where the Florida State Seminoles will square off with a really quality foe in the Oklahoma State Cowboys.

FSU, a team which was dominating for bettors last season on the college football betting lines, is -17.5 to start the season, while the ‘total’ chimes in at 63.


OPEN: FSU -14 | CURRENT: FSU -17.5 | O/U: 63

1. Why FSU will cover the spread: Why wouldn’t Florida State cover the spread? The Seminoles went 11-3 ATS in their perfect 14-0 season, and if you take out a bad half of football against Auburn in the National Championship Game, there aren’t many halves that the team didn’t cover as well. The Seminoles have one of the better offenses in the nation, one which is led by Heisman Trophy holder QB Jameis Winston.

The Noles are going to score their 30+ in this one, and it wouldn’t be shocking if they get into the 40s or the 50s by the time the evening is said and done with. There are questions on defense, but there were questions on offense coming into last season as well, and we see how that all worked out.


2. Why OSU will cover the spread: Rule of thumb has to suggest that Florida State is overrated right now for betting purposes. The Noles are the defending champs, and they are coming off of a year where they brutalized literally everyone they came across. However, we have to remember that the Pokes are going to have some advantages here, the biggest of which is a full offseason to prepare for Florida State.

Okie State is also effectively playing at home. The team does only have 11 returning starters, which has to be a bit concerning, but we know that this is a team which is always chock full of talent under Head Coach Mike Gundy. The Cowboys won’t be easy pushovers.

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3. Take the Over or Under?: This is almost a puzzlingly low number for a ‘total’. Oklahoma State averaged 39.1 points per game last season, and its offense should be every bit as good as it was last year. The Seminoles were one of the few teams in the country to average over 300 passing yards and over 200 rushing yards per game. The end result was 51.6 points per game. It probably won’t be that bad for the Cowboys, but it could end up getting ugly. If you think the Cowboys are getting into the 20s, you have to think that this game is going to end up going past the number.

4. Betting Trends for FSU/OSU: There isn’t a lot of history here at all. These two teams only played against each other once, and that was back in 1985 in a bowl game. The Noles won and covered against the Cowboys by taking a 34-23 decision. This one is obviously played under much different circumstances in Week 1.


Florida State 51 – Oklahoma State 24

Georgia vs. Clemson Odds, Picks, Score Prediction Week 1



The Georgia Bulldogs and the Clemson Tigers both have high hopes this season of being teams which could ultimately contend for spots in the first ever college football playoff. The loser of this opening game between these two though, probably will already see those goals dashed, as we don’t see either one getting through their conference slate unscathed.

The Bulldogs are 7.5-point chalks on the college football lines at home in this opening game of the season, while the ‘total’ chimes in at 57.5.


1. Why Georgia will cover the spread: Clemson just isn’t nearly as talented of a team as it has been the last few seasons. QB Cole Stoudt could end up being a stud of a quarterback, but he isn’t QB Tajh Boyd, and he doesn’t have any receivers like WR DeAndre Hopkins or WR Sammy Watkins, both of which are now expected to be top-notch receivers in the NFL.

The Bulldogs are returning nine starters from a defense which was torched by the Tigers last season in Death Valley, and you can bet that Head Coach Mark Richt is reminding these guys of the 38-35 beating which they took last year that sent them on a bit of a tailspin before the meat and potatoes of the campaign even started.

2. Why Clemson will cover the spread: Stoudt is being billed as the next big thing at Clemson, and Head Coach Dabo Swinney has a knack of bringing in recruiting classes which can be high impact right away. That’s something that the Tigers need, as they have just 11 starters back from last year’s club, four of which are on the offensive side of the ball.

If the Tigers are going to win this one, they’re going to need to do so long their defensive line, where all four of their starters return, including DE Vic Beasley, who is one of the most feared pass rushers in the land.


3. Total Talk: Last season, these two teams opened up with a ‘total’ of 70.5 in Week 1, and not shockingly with a pair of senior quarterbacks and heavy senior-laden offensive units, the game did eke past the number with 73 points. However, this is a much different situation that we are talking about now. There are 16 total starters out of 22 between these two teams on the defensive side of the ball, and that could really end up posing a big problem for two offenses which are breaking in entirely new units, more or less.

4. Betting Trends for the game: There actually is a bunch of history between these two teams, though the only recent game of note was the 38-35 win last year for the Tigers at Memorial Stadium. Georgia had covered four of the previous five duels of these two, but those games date all the way back to 1991. The ‘over’ and the ‘under’ have been relatively split at 3-3 in the last six meetings.



Georgia 27 – Clemson 21

College Football Upset Alerts For Week 1 2014



Early in the season is the best time to get on the bandwagon of some of the big underdogs on the board on the college football betting lines. Check out some live dogs for Week 1 that could bark their way to the bank for you and cash some big moneyline underdog tickets.

1. California Golden Bears (+315) @ Northwestern Wildcats – The Wildcats got some really bad news a couple weeks back when they lost RB Venric Mark, who is transferring from the school. Already without their top wide receiver recruit for the season, this Northwestern offense all of a sudden looks a little shaky. Remember that the Golden Bears are now in the second year of the Sonny Dykes era, and that should give their offense a real jolt after a full offseason of trying to figure out the pace of this system. There are going to be gobs of points to be had in this game for sure.

If Cal can get to 30 or so, there is a real chance that this could end up being a big time upset. There is every reason in the world to believe that the Pac-12 is the superior of these two conferences represented in this game, and though California is towards the bottom of the Pac-12, this is a very winnable fixture.


2. Texas A&M Aggies (+315) @ South Carolina Gamecocks – There is a lot being made over the fact that the Aggies just aren’t going to be the same team without QB Johnny Manziel around any longer, but you have to remember that this was a really good team, even without Johnny Football in there. South Carolina did finish fourth in the nation last season, and by all accounts, this could be an 11-win team this year.

However, we’re searching for some value, and we think we have found it. Head Coach Kevin Sumlin really gets his boys up for games like this. This is where we will see whether A&M was really a one-man show for the last two years or not. We doubt that the Aggies were.

3. Miami Hurricanes (+145) @ Louisville Cardinals – There is a real chance here for the Hurricanes to exact some revenge from that brutal defeat they suffered in the Capital One Bowl last season at the hands of the Cards. Miami doesn’t have the best team in America by any stretch of the imagination, but this is a really talented squad that could challenge in the ACC Coastal Division this year.

Louisville only brings back four starters from a defense that put up dominating statistics last season, and of course, both QB Teddy Bridgewater and Head Coach Charlie Strong are gone as well. This is a line that feels like was set only half considering everything at hand. For our money, “The U” is the better of these two teams, and we think this is going to show in the form of a nice victory for the Canes on Labor Day night.

Odds To Make or Miss The NFL Playoffs in 2014


Every team in the NFL is starting off this season with the same goal: They all want to make the playoffs. It’s not as easy of a task as it seems, as the biggest favorite to get in the playoffs is only -450, while the biggest underdog to get into the postseason is +1200. Check out the best NFL betting lines we see on the board about who can and cannot get into the second season.

Seahawks To Make the Playoffs (-300) – It’s a chalky play, but we just don’t see how the Seahawks won’t defend their title in the playoffs this year, even with the rough and tumble NFC West schedule. They are still virtually unbeatable at CenturyLink Field, and even if you think that two foes will go in front of the “12th Man” and beat Seattle this season, that still leaves the team needing just a 4-4 record on the road to get the job done in all likelihood. There is not one piece to the puzzle that can be lost to make this team go into the tank, and though the defense isn’t going to be quite as dominating as it was last season, the Seahawks are still the best team in the NFL.

Bears To Make the Playoffs (+220) – We’re not really all that sure why there is such a level of pessimism around the Bears. Head Coach Marc Trestman is clearly an offensive genius, and he should have QB Jay Cutler healthy for the whole year. WR Alshon Jeffrey is rounding into one of the best receivers in the league, and he and WR Brandon Marshall really make this team formidable. The defense isn’t nearly as good as it has been, but in the NFC North, you need to be able to shoot it out with teams, and now, the Bears can. They’ve also improved a bit defensively.

Texans To Not Make the Playoffs (-370) – It’s almost a bit laughable just how bad the Texans were last season, and this year won’t be any better unless QB Tom Savage turns out to be the next great find like QB Russell Wilson. This defense has the makings of one which can be great up front, but the secondary is still one of the worst in the league as we see it. On top of that, WR Andre Johnson is disgruntled, and the team has a whole new staff that it is trying to break in. The Texans will win four or five more games this year than they did last season, but even in the lousy AFC South, this isn’t a playoff team.

Browns To Make the Playoffs (+700) – Oh, why not! Even without WR Josh Gordon, the Browns got appreciably better on both sides of the ball this offseason. The AFC North isn’t a division which scares us, as all three of the teams have gone in the wrong direction as we see it. Cleveland’s playing a last place schedule again, and we all know that it is only a matter of time until Johnny Football gets his time in the saddle. If the guy really is just a pure winner as some suggest, the Browns may be on their way to the playoffs this year.

Jaguars To Make the Playoffs (+1200) – Finish laughing first, then come back and read these next 100 words. The Jags are significantly better this year than they were last season, if for no other reason, they added basically an entirely new defensive line, one of which will look a lot more like the group that Head Coach Gus Bradley coached when he was in Seattle. The offense went ahead and regrouped at the wide receiver position through the NFL Draft, and last year’s top pick, LT Luke Joeckel, will play in his first regular season game this year. It’s like Jacksonville had four picks in the first 40 this year, and though yes, one of those was spent on QB

Who is Playoff Bound in 2014?

Broncos – Will They Make the Playoffs
Yes -500
No +375

Seahawks – Will They Make the Playoffs
Yes -300
No +235

49ers – Will They Make the Playoffs
Yes -250
No +200

Patriots – Will They Make the Playoffs
Yes -450
No +325

Packers – Will They Make the Playoffs
Yes -225
No +180

Saints – Will They Make the Playoffs
Yes -195
No +160

Bears – Will They Make the Playoffs
Yes +150
No -185

Colts – Will They Make the Playoffs
Yes -200
No +165

Eagles – Will They Make the Playoffs
Yes -140
No +110

Bengals – Will They Make the Playoffs
Yes +120
No -150

Steelers – Will They Make the Playoffs
Yes +135
No -165

Ravens – Will They Make the Playoffs
Yes +180
No -225

Panthers – Will They Make the Playoffs
Yes +235
No -300

Lions – Will They Make the Playoffs
Yes +200
No -250

Giants – Will They Make the Playoffs
Yes +220
No -285

Cowboys – Will They Make the Playoffs
Yes +260
No -340

Cardinals – Will They Make the Playoffs
Yes +325
No -450

Chiefs – Will They Make the Playoffs
Yes +280
No -360

Chargers – Will They Make the Playoffs
Yes +260
No -340

Rams – Will They Make the Playoffs
Yes +375
No -500

Falcons – Will They Make the Playoffs
Yes +240
No -320

Redskins – Will They Make the Playoffs
Yes +290
No -380

Texans – Will They Make the Playoffs
Yes +235
No -300

Dolphins – Will They Make the Playoffs
Yes +350
No -475

Browns – Will They Make the Playoffs
Yes +550
No -800

Jets – Will They Make the Playoffs
Yes +325
No -450

Bills – Will They Make the Playoffs
Yes +400
No -550

Buccaneers – Will They Make the Playoffs
Yes +450
No -650

Titans – Will They Make the Playoffs
Yes +300
No -400

Vikings – Will They Make the Playoffs
Yes +650
No -1000

Raiders – Will They Make the Playoffs
Yes +1000
No -2000

Jaguars – Will They Make the Playoffs
Yes +1200
No -2500

NFL Odds To Lead The League In Receiving Yards 2014


Seven NFL WR’s finished with at least 1,400 receiving yards last season, and the possibilities are there for many more, some you probably would have never thought of, to do it again this year. Today, we’ll look at the NFL betting lines regarding the receiver to lead the league in pass catching yards in 2014.

Calvin Johnson (+300) – Megatron is going to get the ball thrown his way a ton once again this year, but now, the Lions have a bigger threat on the opposite side of the field in WR Golden Tate, and they’ve got what could be a massive star in the middle of the field in TE Eric Ebron. That’s a lot more work that opposing secondaries have to put in. With all of that extra attention going elsewhere, the combination of QB Matthew Stafford to Johnson could be the best in the league in 2014.

Demaryius Thomas (+500) – We’re a bit worried about Thomas being the second favorite this year at 5 to 1. Sure, he had 92 catches last season and was fourth in the league, and sure, WR Eric Decker isn’t there any longer to hog up the receptions from QB Peyton Manning, but we still wonder whether Manning has 5,000 yards in him again this year. There’s a point that his shelf life as an elite quarterback is going to run out, and if that’s the case, Thomas might not even crack the 1,000-yard barrier. The other problem with Thomas is that we never know what in the heck Manning is going to do with the ball in any given game. None of these receivers care more about their stats than wins. Thomas will be good again this year, but to think that he is going to lead the league in receiving is a bit ludicrous.

AJ Green (+2000) – We’re going to skip around just a bit here, as we just don’t think that there are any other receivers amongst the favorites worth backing. Green though, always has been the favorite target of QB Andy Dalton, and now that the West Coast style of offense is gone with the departure of OC Jay Gruden, there is a real chance to stretch the field out more. That probably means good things for the former Georgia Bulldog, who has had at least 1,000 yards in each of his first three seasons in the NFL and at least 1,350 yards in each of his last two campaigns.

Jimmy Graham (+6000) – It seems to be a bit of a longshot that Graham could lead the league in receiving, but the presence of WR Brandin Cooks on the outside could open up things a lot more for QB Drew Brees’ best friend in the passing game. Graham was down for most of the end of the season, but he came out of the blocks last season with four games in his first five with at least 100 yards. The idea of Graham getting to 1,500 yards this year doesn’t seem totally out of the realm of possibility.

Who Will Lead the NFL in Receiving Yards?

Calvin Johnson +300
Demaryius Thomas +500
Dez Bryant +800
Julio Jones +1200
Antonio Brown +2000
AJ Green +2000
Brandon Marshall +2000
Alshon Jeffery +2500
Andre Johnson +3000
Jordy Nelson +3000
Pierre Garcon +3500
Vincent Jackson +3500
TY Hilton +4500
Larry Fitzgerald +4500
Keenan Allen +4500
Randall Cobb +5000
Roddy White +5000
Torrey Smith +5000
Mike Wallace +5000
Victor Cruz +5000
Cecil Shorts III +5000
Jimmy Graham +6000
DeSean Jackson +7000
Marques Colston +7500
Wes Welker +7500
Julian Edelman +10000
Rob Gronkowski +10000
Dwayne Bowe +10000
Percy Harvin +10000
Reggie Wayne +10000
Michael Crabtree +10000
Sammy Watkins +10000
Michael Floyd +10000
Eric Decker +10000
Rueben Randle +15000
Golden Tate +15000
Cordarrelle Patterson +15000
James Jones +15000
Brian Hartline +15000
Greg Jennings +15000
Riley Cooper +15000
Emmanuel Sanders +15000
DeAndre Hopkins +15000
Marqise Lee +20000
Tavon Austin +20000
Hakeem Nicks +20000
Mike Evans +20000
Kenny Stills +20000
Nate Washington +20000
Aaron Dobson +20000
Julius Thomas +30000

Odds To Lead NFL In Rushing Yards 2014

Finding an elite running back who can be on the field for all three downs is one of the toughest things in the NFL nowadays. There are still a few left remaining though, and we’ll try to take a stab on which back will end up winning the rushing title in 2014.

Adrian Peterson (+300) – The only problem that we have with Peterson is that the Vikings are going to end up counting on him so much that teams are just going to stack nine guys in the box and dare QB Teddy Bridgewater to beat them. That being said, that’s the same thing that happened two seasons ago, and AP still ran for over 2,000 yards and nearly broke the record for the most rushing yards in a season in NFL history. Peterson’s season was cut short with two games left to play, but he was still fifth in the league in rushing with 1,266 yards at the time.

LeSean McCoy (+450) – Shady led the league in rushing last season with 1,607 yards, and he was the beneficiary of all of those extra touches generated by the Chip Kelly offense. What really was impressive though, was the fact that McCoy averaged 5.12 yards per carry last season, and though that didn’t lead the league (DeMarco Murray did with 5.17 yards per carry), it was still really impressive because it came over 314 carries. McCoy is certainly headed to at least 1,200 yards again this season, and that might make him the best back in the league.

Arian Foster (+1500) – Head Coach Bill O’Brien is going to have to be careful with Foster this year, knowing that he broke down last season and was only able to play in eight games. The good news for prospective bettors on Foster though, is that Houston’s offensive line wasn’t the problem last season, and the team should be playing from ahead a lot more this year than it did in 2013. On top of that, RB Ben Tate is gone, and with that probably goes the running back tandem theory in Houston. It’s not a good prospect for Foster’s long-term career, but if he stays healthy, he’ll probably end up with 300 overall carries.

Chris Johnson (+7500) – It’s some major speculation on our part, but we definitely don’t think there is only a 1 in 75 chance that CJ2K ends up leading the league in rushing now that he has been picked up by the New York Jets. Granted, Johnson has lost a step for sure, but he is going to be in a backfield that he could lead on all three downs if he has the tread in his tires, and Head Coach Rex Ryan almost has no choice but to find out with QB Geno Smith leading an anemic passing game. Remember that Johnson still had 1,077 yards last season in spite of the fact that he was just so bad with the Titans. Maybe a change of scenery will help the former highlight machine.

Who Will Lead the NFL in Rushing?

Adrian Peterson +300
LeSean McCoy +450
Marshawn Lynch +1200
Arian Foster +1500
Jamaal Charles +1500
Alfred Morris +1800
Montee Ball +1800
Doug Martin +2000
Matt Forte +2000
Eddie Lacy +2500
Giovani Bernard +3000
Zac Stacy +3000
DeMarco Murray +3000
Stevan Ridley +4000
Ryan Mathews +4000
CJ Spiller +4000
Andre Ellington +5000
Toby Gerhart +5000
LeVeon Bell +5000
Ben Tate +6000
Frank Gore +7500
Steven Jackson +7500
Rashad Jennings +7500
Ray Rice +7500
Chris Johnson +7500
Knowshon Moreno +10000
Bishop Sankey +10000
Fred Jackson +10000
Trent Richardson +10000
Joique Bell +10000
Bernard Pierce +10000
DeAngelo Williams +10000
Reggie Bush +10000
Darren McFadden +10000
Colin Kaepernick +10000
Lamar Miller +10000
Chris Ivory +10000
Pierre Thomas +15000
Mark Ingram +15000
Robert Griffin III +15000
Cam Newton +15000
Maurice Jones-Drew +15000

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