Bears vs. Eagles Point Spread Preview, Expert Picks, Score Prediction Week 16
Both the Chicago Bears and Philadelphia Eagles will look to take one step closer towards securing division titles when they meet under the lights in the final Sunday night NBC game of the season in Week 16. The Bears will look to push their win streak to three in a row and take advantage of the Lions choke last Monday night, while the Eagles will look to regroup off a loss at Minnesota back at home where they’ve won their L/3 games.
1. Why the EAGLES will cover the spread: Save for Forte and Charles, there hasn’t been a better running back in the NFL than LeSean McCoy who has combined for 1851 scrimmage yards to go along with eight overall TDs. He’s averaged an even 5.0 YPC to date and just so happens to be running up against a Bears defense that’s been gouged to the tune of 152.4 rushing yards per game (#32) at 5.2 yards per carry; also dead last!
The last time McCoy took to the Linc Gridiron, he rumbled for 217 yards and 2 TDs in a driving snow storm against a Detroit Lions outfit that ranks out much better than Chicago in defending the run. The potential follow up to his huge Week 14 output has his fantasy owners grinning from ear-to-ear.
2. Why the BEARS will cover the spread: Since dropping two in a row to the Rams and Vikings in back-to-back weeks on the road, Coach Trestman’s squad has seemingly gotten back on track by laying the screws to the Dallas Cowboys on MNF and following it up with a solid offensive performance in Cleveland last week. It hasn’t mattered if it was Josh McCown or Jay Cutler leading the potent attack, as the offense got it done in those two games by posting 45 and 35 points respectively.
The Eagles just gave up 48 points to the Vikings and possess one of the league’s worst passing (#31) and overall (#30) defenses. The trio of Marshall, Jeffery, and Forte should once again eat.
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3. Total Talk: While this is the highest number in a Bears game to date, it looks to be well warranted with Chicago going ‘over’ the closing number in four of its L/5 by averaging better than 29.0 PPG in those contests; five of their seven road games have played to high scorers with an average of 63.3 points scored. As for Philadelphia, it sports an overall 8-6 O/U tally but only two of their seven home games have surpassed the closing number. The ‘over’ does however check in 6-2 the L/8 times it retook the field following a SU defeat
4. Betting Trends for Bears/Eagles: The Bears have had a good go of it recently in the City of Brotherly Love where they’ve won and covered each of their L/2 visits as decided underdogs; Chicago’s also 4-1 SU & ATS in the L/5 overall meetings. But isn’t it so like the Bears to laugh in the face of the football gods and return to sender the gift they just handed down last Monday night? While I’m hardly sold on the Eagles being a viable Super Bowl contender, they get this one at home where they’ve played some good ball of late. They also stand 2-1 SU & ATS against the NFC North and beat the same Detroit Lions team in this venue that already swept the season series from the Bears earlier this season.
The recent series trends state to back Chicago in this one as does Philly’s hard to stomach 5-20-1 ATS run at home, but with the Bears just 2-8 ATS following their L/10 SU wins and 1-3 SU & ATS their L/4 on the road as a 3-point or less underdog, I’ll instead look the way of the home team who would do themselves a major solid by winning this game with a trip scheduled for Big D next week.
Philadelphia 34 – Chicago 27