Boise State-Oregon State Bowl Game Point Spread Preview, Expert Picks, Score Prediction
While both the Oregon State Beavers and Boise State Broncos qualified for the bowl season, things didn’t go necessarily as planned for both programs throughout the 2013 regular season. Last we saw the Beavers, they dropped a 36-35 heartbreaker to the in-state rival Oregon Ducks in the Civil War. As for Boise State, it dropped two games in MWC play for the first time ever and will enter this game without its fearless leader calling the shots after Chris Peterson took the U-Dub job.
BOISE STATE-OREGON STATE HAWAII BOWL BETTING LINE:
1. Why BOISE STATE will cover the spread: Oregon State enters the second season having dropped five games in a row after kicking their 2013 campaign off with wins in six of their first seven games. The Beavers are also very much so one-dimensional on offense, so if the Broncos can manage to get some stops, it could run away from Oregon State on the scoreboard by using a heavy dose of their electric ground attack. The Beavers conceded an average of 193.2 rushing YPG (#92), so that means RB Jay Ajayi is in line for a big game on the island; he rushed for 1328 yards and 16 TDs this season.
2. Why OREGON STATE will cover the spread: In year’s past, the Broncos sported one of the stop units in the nation at defending both the run and the pass. That was far from the case in 2013 however with Boise State getting gouged to the tune of 410.0 total YPG with 248.4 of those yards coming through the air. Well, the Beavers just so happen to possess one of the best passing attacks in the country (#3) spearheaded by QB Sean Mannion who torched opposing defenses for 4403 yards and a TD/INT ratio of 36:14. He and WR Brandin Cooks (120 receptions/17 TDs) form one of the most lethal pass/catch combos in the country, and they figure to get real fat in this match-up with the Broncos.
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3. Total Talk: Combined, these teams played to 14 overs through 24 games played in the regular season with each combining for four overs and two unders the six times they hit the gridiron away from their home digs. Oregon State has played to high scorers eight of the L/9 times it partook in a game when favored or dogged by up to 3-points, while the Broncos have played to the over in four of their L/5 neutral site games as well as in each of their L/2 bowl games.
4. Betting Trends for BSU/OSU: These teams have met seven times dating back to 1986, and it was the home team that came out on the right side of the scoreboard in six of those games. But with this being a neutral site affair, that trend doesn’t hold much water; Boise State did go 3-1-1 ATS in the L/5 most recent skirmishes. Seriously though, you’re probably better off flipping a coin in trying to predict the overall winner of this one! But what you should expect is a boatload of points to be put on the board with each team’s defensive weakness a strength of the opposing offense.
I expect these squads to exchange points throughout the game’s entirety. Boise State surrendered 30+ points in three of its L/5 games, while each of Oregon State’s L/4 opponents went for 30+ and tallied an average of 41.5 points. Each of the Beavers L/4 neutral site battles combined to go over the closing number, and I expect that trend to remain perfect after this one concludes.
Oregon State 41 – Boise State 40