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Packers vs. Saints SNF Week 8 Spread & Picks

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The New Orleans Saints are really running into some troubles six games into the season. They’re going to be up against it on Sunday Night Football for sure against the Green Bay Packers. If the line moves much in the wrong way in this game, it will be the first time since November 2012 that the Saints have been underdogs in their own building. They’re -1.5 for now, while the ‘total’ is not surprisingly as big of a number as we have seen all year at 54.5.


PACKERS – SAINTS 2014 SUNDAY NIGHT WEEK 8 SPREAD:

OPEN: SAINTS PK | CURRENT: SAINTS -1 | O/U: 55


1. Why the PACKERS will cover the spread: The Packers aren’t going to back down for sure, and the bottom line is that they could be running into a team that just flat out isn’t all that great. QB Aaron Rodgers has been throwing darts all over the field of late. He had a virtually perfect game last week against the Carolina Panthers, throwing for 255 yards and three TDs. He has now had six straight games without a pick, and he has a 13/0 TD/INT ratio in his last four games with a QB rating of almost 140 since that point.



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2. Why the SAINTS will cover the spread: The Saints really need this game. They’ve got the Panthers, 49ers, Bengals, Ravens, Steelers, Panthers, and Bears coming up, and even if they do have two easy games at the end of the year, they are going to need to be at least at seven wins before that point to have a shot of getting into the postseason. That means that New Orleans has to go 5-3 in these next eight games to have a fighting shot.

The Packers don’t have a great secondary or a solid defensive line, and that could come back to really hurt them in this one. QB Drew Brees could have a field day, especially if TE Jimmy Graham really is 100 percent healthy at this point.



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3. Total Talk: There really isn’t such a thing as a ‘total’ that seems to be high enough in a Saints game. They are 5-1 for ‘over’ bettors on the campaign, and the only game in which they didn’t allow at least 24 points was against the Minnesota Vikings in the debut game for QB Teddy Bridgewater. The Packers are 6-1 for ‘over’ bettors, and if you take out a 19-7 loss to the Detroit Lions, they’re averaging 53.3 points per game.

4. Betting Trends for PACKERS/SAINTS:
Green Bay has covered four games in a row, and it has put up at least 38 points in three of those four games. The Saints are 2-0 SU at home, and they have won 10 straight games here at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome. They’re 8-2 ATS in those 10 games in this building over the course of the last two years. It’s reasonable to think that New Orleans, in what might be a do-or-die game, can manage a way to beat a very good Green Bay outfit.


PACKERS – SAINTS 2014 SNF Score Prediction:

Saints 28 – Packers 24






Cowboys vs. Redskins Monday Night Spread & Picks Week 8

cowboys-redskins-week-8-picks-2014The Dallas Cowboys all of a sudden have one of the top teams in the NFL, and they are looking like Super Bowl contenders. They’re double-digit favorites in an NFC East duel against the Washington Redskins on Monday Night Football in what could be a blowout if the Skins aren’t careful.


COWBOYS – REDSKINS 2014 MONDAY NIGHT WEEK 8 SPREAD:

OPEN: COWBOYS -7.5 | CURRENT: COWBOYS -9.5 | O/U: 50


1. Why the REDSKINS will cover the spread: Maybe QB Colt McCoy is going to provide a shot in the arm for a Washington offense which really needs one. QB Kirk Cousins was a disaster, and we have to think that he has taken his last snap for the Redskins barring an injury to McCoy. We know that Washington’s defense is capable of doing some damage to the Cowboys, as QB Tony Romo has had a suspect career against it, but the best hope that we have if we are backing the visitors here is that they end up clinging to all of those points that they are getting.



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2. Why the COWBOYS will cover the spread: He’s Colt McCoy. He’s not a world-beating quarterback by any stretch of the imagination, and we have a tough time imagining that the Cowboys are going to end up giving up more than maybe 17 points in this one. RB DeMarco Murray will probably break down at some point, but for now, he is putting up the best numbers in the league for any running back. That’s taking the pressure off of QB Tony Romo, and all of a sudden, he looks like a quarterback who might very well be capable of winning the big time game for a change instead of choking it away.

Washington’s secondary isn’t good enough to force Romo into making huge errors time and time again in this one, and that’s the only thing that would keep Dallas from winning and most likely covering as well.



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3. Total Talk: You think of these two teams as high scoring teams, and the fact of the matter is that the last three games in this series have all reached at least 46 points. However, that wouldn’t be enough to beat the ‘total’ in this game, and it hasn’t been enough in the last three meetings either.

Teasing either side of the ‘total’ has paid off in the last three meetings though, so that is definitely an option for those of you who either want more points with the Redskins or fewer points to lay with Dallas.

4. Betting Trends for COWBOYS/REDSKINS:
The Cowboys have suddenly won six in a row and have covered five of the six after struggling in Week 1 against the 49ers, while Washington has failed to cover all four games that were started by Cousins. This series though, is one which belongs to the Redskins from an ATS standpoint. Washington is only 3-5 SU in its last eight against Dallas, but it is 7-1 ATS in those seven games. We could see the same sort of script play out on Monday.


COWBOYS – REDSKINS 2014 MNF Score Prediction:

Cowboys 27 – Redskins 20






NFL Upset Picks Week 8: Raiders over Browns?

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There are a few big underdogs every week who seem to bark in the NFL, and Week 8 NFL Picks certainly won’t be an exception. There will be a few pups barking in October that may look like ridiculous steals by the end of the year, and we’re going to highlight a few of those on the Week 8 NFL odds.
 

Carolina Panthers (+200) vs. Seattle Seahawks – The champs are only a .500 team right now, and they really do look human. Last season when these two teams met, QB Russell Wilson had all sorts of problems when he was able to escape the pocket, and the ground game was nary a threat. Carolina hasn’t exactly been good either, and its defense has been the main culprit. That said, if the hosts can find a way to make this a low scoring game once again as they did last year when the Seahawks came to Tobacco Road, there is a good shot at the upset.

Remember that Seattle has played two straight games here on the East Coast in 1:00 ET starts, and that travel and time differential could really end up wearing on them when push comes to shove.


All Week 8 Expert Picks | Odds To Win 2015 Super Bowl



Philadelphia Eagles (+125) @ Arizona Cardinals – You’re giving us better than even money on the Eagles off of their bye week. Yes, please. For our money, Head Coach Chip Kelly is one of the best coaches in the league, and he has had two weeks to try to figure out how to get his offense back on track. We know that QB Nick Foles really isn’t one of the best 10 quarterbacks in the league, but it’s only a matter of time until RB LeSean McCoy gets back on track. When the Eagles successfully start running the ball, they should be able to open up the offense again to men like TE Zach Ertz and WR Jeremy Maclin, both of which have been relatively quiet.

The Cards are playing well, but we just don’t trust them entirely. Their defense is legit, but it has proven to be shredded by aerial attacks all season long. It’s a great price on the Eagles in the desert.


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Oakland Raiders (+270) @ Cleveland Browns – The bottom line is that the Browns are overrated here. This article is all about finding good value, and Oakland has some great value on Sunday at the Dawg Pound. QB Derek Carr is improving with each passing week, and though the Raiders aren’t incredible by any stretch of the imagination, they’re going to win some games this year, this perhaps being chief amongst them.

The last we saw of the Browns, they were getting smoked 24-6 by the Jacksonville Jaguars. You’d like to think if they are a playoff contender, they’ll bounce back in this one, but one more bad quarter or half of football for QB Brian Hoyer, and we could end up with Oakland at +270 against QB Johnny Manziel.





Texans vs. Steelers MNF Week 7 Odds & Picks

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The Houston Texans and the Pittsburgh Steelers both have to believe that they have a heck of a shot of getting into the playoffs in the wide open AFC this year. They’ll face off in a really important Monday Night Football duel in the Steel City in Week 7. Houston is getting 3.5 points on the NFL betting lines, while the ‘total’ has been set at 44.5.


TEXANS – STEELERS 2014 MONDAY NIGHT WEEK 7 SPREAD:

OPEN: STEELERS -4 | CURRENT: STEELERS -3 | O/U: 44


1. Why the TEXANS will cover the spread: This defense is fierce. Forget about those 33 points given up to the Indianapolis Colts. Focus instead, on the fact that the Texans allowed just nine points to Indy for the last three quarters of the game. They haven’t really had a bad game yet this year from start to finish aside from that duel against the New York Giants, and we have a tough time believing that Pittsburgh is going to get into the 20s in this one, especially if LB Jadeveon Clowney is set to come back to the lineup as he and the team expect him to.

The Texans offense will just have to take care of the football to be able to win games like these against middling teams. It’s not a given to think that QB Ryan Fitzpatrick won’t turn the ball over, but if he doesn’t, Houston should eke out a road win.



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2. Why the STEELERS will cover the spread: You’ve got to have the feeling that this is a “man up” game for the Steelers. They just didn’t play well at all in last week’s romp on the road against the Cleveland Browns, and now that they have been woken up, they could be in for a dominating game. The Pittsburgh defense isn’t the best, but it is going against a bad quarterback in Fitzpatrick, and that could end up making all the difference in the world.



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3. Total Talk: Houston might be 3-2 for ‘over’ bettors in its last five games, but there isn’t a game in that mix where you look at what the offense has done and think that that should be the case. The Texans are 5-0 towards the ‘under’ in their last five following an ATS loss. Pittsburgh has kept seven straight games played in October ‘under’ the ‘total’, including both of the games played in the last two weeks.

4. Betting Trends for TEXANS/STEELERS:
Monday Night Football has certainly not been kind to Texans bettors. They have failed to cover six in a row on MNF, and they are going against a team which they have only beaten or covered against once since their inaugural season in 2002. The Steelers have generally shown resiliency after having bad games, as they are 4-0 ATS in their last four after allowing at least 30 points in the prior game.

This could be one where Pittsburgh comes to play, but if it is going to have to cover this one, it is going to have to do so with its defense. It’ll be a close call.



TEXANS – STEELERS 2014 MNF Score Prediction:

Steelers 17 – Texans 13






49ers vs. Broncos SNF Week 7 Odds & Picks

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NFL history very well could be made on Sunday Night Football, as the Denver Broncos are going to host the San Francisco 49ers in a battle of teams who have perennially been fantastic of late. Denver is normally favored by double-digits at home, especially in primetime games, but it is only laying a TD thanks to the fact that the Niners are so darn strong. The ‘total’ of 49.5 is one of the highest of the week.


SF 49ERS – BRONCOS 2014 SUNDAY NIGHT WEEK 7 SPREAD:

OPEN: BRONCOS -7.5 | CURRENT: BRONCOS -7 | O/U: 49


1. Why the SF 49ERS will cover the spread: You almost get the feeling that the more San Francisco has going against it, the better off that it plays. The team was facing the ultimate difficult time last year in the NFC Championship Game against the Seattle Seahawks, and that game could have ultimately been won. Three straight weeks, San Fran was on the ropes in games, and in three straight weeks, it has come back to win and cover as relatively short favorites. We’ve got a spread to work with now, and the 49ers generally make every point count.



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2. Why the BRONCOS will cover the spread: The 49ers have had all sorts of problems trying to run the ball of late, and if G Mike Iupati isn’t back in this one, it isn’t going to be any easier to do. On top of that, it just feels like it’s going to be a really special night for QB Peyton Manning. He’s the best quarterback in the league, and he should throw for at least three TDs in this one.

If he does that, he’ll break the all-time record for touchdown passes in a career, breaking the record of QB Brett Favre at 508. Manning rarely loses games like this in the spotlight, and with a defense which has been dominating up front of late, it’s got the feeling of a really special night in the Rockies.



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3. Total Talk: The ‘over’ is 10-2 in Denver’s last 12 home games against teams with winning records, as the club just tends to really come forward with something special offensively when its back is up against the wall against good defensive teams. However, the 49ers are 4-0 in their last four for ‘under’ bettors against teams with winning records overall, proof that they are usually able to slow down some of the best offenses that are out there.

4. Betting Trends for 49ERS/BRONCOS: Quietly, Denver is 14-6-1 ATS in its last 21 games played on natural grass, but it is only 2-5 ATS in its last seven games played here at Sports Authority Field at Mile High. The 49ers are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 games overall, including covering three in a row to reach that stout mark. More impressively, San Francisco is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games on the road, and it is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 road games against teams with winning records.


SF 49ERS – BRONCOS 2014 SNF Score Prediction:

Broncos 31 – 49ers 27






49ers-Rams MNF Betting Preview, Expert Picks & Score Prediction

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If the San Francisco 49ers are going to get back to the playoffs this season, they have to figure out how to win divisional games like these. However, the oddsmakers are giving the St. Louis Rams a fighting chance, lining them at just +3 on the NFL betting lines for the first ever Monday Night Football game for QB Austin Davis. The ‘total’ for this one is set at 43.5 in spite of the fact that these are two of the best defenses in the league going at one another.


49ERS – RAMS 2014 MONDAY NIGHT WEEK 6 LINE:

OPEN: 49ERS -3.5 | CURRENT: 49ERS -3 | O/U: 43.5


1. Why the SF 49ERS will cover the spread: The Niners have a history of not punting games like these, and it seems as though they are getting more and more focused on the goal with every passing bit of controversy that goes on involving Head Coach Jim Harbaugh. San Fran has gone on 12 scoring drives in its last two games, and that’s proof that it is on the verge of something really special. However, the fact that nine of those 12 scoring drives ended in field goals was depressing, to say the least.

QB Colin Kaepernick has to do a better job of converting field goal drives into touchdown drives more often, and when that starts to happen, look out. This could once again be one of the best teams in the NFL.



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2. Why the STL RAMS will cover the spread: The Rams really do have some talent here at the quarterback position. Davis may or may not be the answer in the long run, but we think that what he did last week against the Eagles will be a microcosm of his season. He’ll have some ups (375 yards, 3 TDs), and some downs (2 fumbles, one of which was returned for a touchdown, and one which was nearly returned for a touchdown).

We also know that at some point, the defensive line is really going to start shining for the Rams. They have just one sack in four games after having a fantastic season last year. Can they pick it up this week? The Niners have allowed 13 sacks on the season, so there is some potential for sure.



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3. Total Talk: History suggests that these games are going to be lower scoring. In fact, this is the first time that the ‘total’ has been higher than 42.5 in a game in this series since 2008. That said, three of the last five and five of the last eight have gone ‘over’, though very few of those games really exceeded that number by any significant margin.



4. Betting Trends for 49ERS/RAMS: The 49ers swept the season series last year both SU and ATS, and they have dominated on Monday Night Football, going 8-1 ATS in their last nine visits to the premier viewing slot in the football hierarchy. However, the Rams are 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine games played here at the Edward Jones Dome when going against teams with winning records.



49ERS – RAMS 2014 MNF Score Prediction:

Rams 20 – 49ers 17






Giants vs. Eagles SNF Preview, Expert Picks, Score Prediction

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The NFC East is all of a sudden shaping up to be one of the best divisions in the game. That makes this game between the New York Giants and the Philadelphia Eagles all the more important, as the winner will likely end up being in first place in the division when it’s all said and done with. The men from the City of Brotherly Love are 2.5-point favorites, while the ‘total’ for Sunday Night Football is one of the higher numbers we’ve seen all season at 50.


EAGLES – GIANTS 2014 SUNDAY NIGHT WEEK 6 LINE:

OPEN: EAGLES -2.5 | CURRENT: EAGLES -2.5 | O/U: 50


1. Why the NY GIANTS will cover the spread: At some point, luck has to run out for the Eagles. They’ve recovered five fumbles in five games this year, and they have scored seven TDs on defense and special teams. That’s just an insane number for an entire season, let alone just for a third of the campaign. On top of that, the Giants have really started to get this West Coast offense moving.

QB Eli Manning has posted a QB rating of at least 100 in three straight games, and he is on a really hot streak. WR Odell Beckham Jr. is the real deal, and he could be the difference maker of this offense now that he has recovered from his hamstring injury.



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2. Why the EAGLES will cover the spread: With an offensive line that is improving game by game, we know that it is only a matter of time until RB LeSean McCoy ends up with a heavier workload and more success. McCoy will eventually start to get going at some point, and if that turns out to be the case, this could be a long day for this defense. For as lucky as the Eagles have been scoring defensively and on special teams, their secondary has been beaten up for little reason.

Sure, no quarterback has posted lower than an 80 quarterback rating against this unit this year, but because of the non-offensive scores, the defense has been on the field a ton, and teams have been chasing games. The Eagles are better defensively than they have shown.



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3. Total Talk: Two of the last three games in this series have flown past the ‘total’, and the one that didn’t was the meeting these two teams had last year in the City of Brotherly Love. The Eagles were held without an offensive point because QB Matt Barkley was stuck playing most of the game. Take that away though, and history suggests that this could be a high scoring game.

4. Betting Trends for EAGLES/GIANTS: The Eagles have owned this series of late from a betting standpoint. Take out that game where QB Michael Vick got hurt (while Nick Foles was already nursing an injury), and the Eagles are 9-2 SU and ATS in the 11 games in this series since the end of the 2011 season. It should also be noted that the Giants have been killed in their last three games against teams which won at least 10 games a season ago.



EAGLES – GIANTS 2014 SNF Score Prediction:

Eagles 24 – Giants 19






Bengals-Patriots Point Spread Preview, Expert Picks & Score Prediction

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There’s only one undefeated team left standing in the AFC, and of all of the teams that could still be unbeaten, the Cincinnati Bengals wouldn’t have been our first guess. They’re short 1.5-point favorites on the road on Sunday Night Football though, as they take on QB Tom Brady and the New England Patriots. The ‘total’ has opened at 47 for this Sunday night soiree at Gillette Stadium.


BENGALS – PATRIOTS SUNDAY NIGHT WEEK 5 LINE:

OPEN: BENGALS PK | CURRENT: BENGALS -1 | O/U: 46


1. Why the BENGALS will cover the spread: This defense is no joke whatsoever, and the fact that it is coming off of a bye is only going to help men like DT Geno Atkins who could use some extra recovery time. The New England offense, save for the first half of the first game of the season, has really been relatively woeful, and that could end up being real bad news for one of the favorites in the AFC.

On top of that though, the Bengals are healthy again. WR AJ Green should be fine to play off of the bye week, and that gives QB Andy Dalton all the weapons in the world that he needs to move the ball up and down the field.



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2. Why the PATRIOTS will cover the spread: The Patriots aren’t insinuated to be the better of these two teams, but we aren’t so sure that still isn’t the case. New England has only played four games this year, and already, most are writing it off as a team that might win the AFC East but is nowhere near equipped to challenge for a Super Bowl title. We respectfully still disagree. Brady is still Brady, and eventually, this offense is going to get into some sort of rhythm again.

There was every reason in the world to struggle last Monday against the Kansas City Chiefs, but when you put a chip on the Patriots’ shoulders and give them home field advantage in a primetime game, you’re going to find some success.



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3. Total Talk: ‘Under’ is the word so far this year for Cincinnati. The Bengals have played all three of their games ‘under’ the ‘total’, while the Pats are level at two games on each side of the number. Last year when these two teams played, there were only a grand total of 589 yards and 19 points in a 13-6 win for the Bengals. That game easily stayed ‘under’, but four of the previous five between these teams had exceeded the ‘total’.

4. Betting Trends for Bengals/Patriots: The Bengals have covered 20 of their last 29 games overall, and Head Coach Marvin Lewis has to be thrilled with that stat. That said, they aren’t all that hot on the road like they were at Paul Brown Stadium, and they have a tendency to be a losing team away from the Queen City. New England has covered four straight home games against teams with winning road records, and the time is here for the Pats to get back on the horse and take down a big victory.


BENGALS – PATRIOTS 2014 SNF Score Prediction:

Patriots 28 – Bengals 17






Seahawks-Redskins MNF Point Spread Preview & Score Prediction

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The Washington Redskins put forth one of the most abysmal performances of the season last week when they were trashed 45-14 by the New York Giants. That’s not even the worst news. The really bad news? The defending champion, Seattle Seahawks are about set to pay a visit to FedEx Field. The oddsmakers have reacted, and they have made them 7.5-point underdogs on the NFL odds, while the ‘total’ has been set at 45.5.


SEAHAWKS – REDSKINS MONDAY NIGHT WEEK 5 LINE:

OPEN: SEAHAWKS -7 | CURRENT: SEAHAWKS -7.5 | O/U: 45.5


1. Why the SEAHAWKS will cover the spread: Head Coach Pete Carroll and his defense have to be laughing right now at what they see out of the Redskins. Their offensive line is perilously thin, their receiving corps outside of WR DeSean Jackson is laughable, and QB Kirk Cousins is coming off of a game in which he turned the ball over five times against a team that just flat out isn’t all that great defensively.

If Seattle can hold onto the football and not turn it over, there’s no reason not to think that this won’t be an easy one for the visitors even though they have to fly across the country for this one.



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2. Why the REDSKINS will cover the spread: It’s a lot of points. That’s not all that we can say for the Redskins, but that’s the best part about what we can say for them. Cousins absolutely cannot play as badly as he did last week against the Giants, and just that alone should swing at least two or three touchdowns. On top of that, this isn’t the same Washington team that we saw take the field against the G-Men.

TE Jordan Reed will be back, and both OT Trent Williams and TE Niles Paul, both of which left that game early against New York, should be back in the lineup. Give Cousins a little more protection and a few more big targets to throw the ball to, and we might have ourselves a different story on our hands than the one that most figure will be told on Monday Night Football.



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3. Total Talk: You think of Seattle as a team which plays all these games into the 30s or so, but that just hasn’t been the case of late. The offense has scored at least 21 in seven straight games dating back to the end of last season, and the team has played three out of four ‘overs’ as a result.

All four games have gotten to at least 46 points, and that would be enough to beat the number in this one. The ‘Skins have played two straight ‘over’ contests after playing two ‘unders’ to start off the year.

4. Betting Trends for Seahawks/Redskins: The Seahawks have failed to cover each of their last two games when they have played on the road off of their bye week. Washington though, only went 1-6 SU and ATS last season against playoff teams, and we have to assume that the Seahawks are once again going to be headed back to the postseason in 2014.


SEAHAWKS – REDSKINS 2014 MNF Score Prediction:

Seahawks 30 – Redskins 10






Patriots vs. Chiefs MNF Point Spread Preview & Score Prediction

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After busting out of their slump last week, the Kansas City Chiefs are going to look to take out the New England Patriots on Monday Night Football in Week 4. The oddsmakers have installed Head Coach Bill Belichick and the Pats at -3.5 on the road, while the ‘total’ from Arrowhead Stadium comes in at 45.


KC CHIEFS – PATRIOTS MONDAY NIGHT WEEK 4 LINE:

OPEN: PATRIOTS -4 | CURRENT: PATRIOTS -2.5 | O/U: 46


1. Why the CHIEFS will cover the spread: This is sort of a matter of fact statement, but the Patriots just don’t look that great to us right now. They are a good team for sure, and they really should win the AFC East going away this year, but they don’t look as dominating as they had looked in the past or as dominating as many expected them to look this year.

Kansas City is at home, and it is getting more than a field goal, which sort of insinuates that on a neutral field, the Pats would be laying a full touchdown. Is that really an accurate statement against a team that really should have been in the Divisional Round of the playoffs a year ago?


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2. Why the PATRIOTS will cover the spread: It used to be you’d just be able to say that it’s Tom Brady on Monday Night Football, and that would be enough justification to place a bet on the Patriots. That just isn’t the case any longer, as Brady only has a quarterback rating so far this year of 82.9, and he is leading an offense that is accounting for just 301.3 yards and 22.0 points per game so far this year.

However, what we have learned about the Patriots this year is that they can win games with their defense. They are allowing just 272.7 yards per game on the season, and that combined with the fact that KC’s best weapon, Jamaal Charles is still dinged up and could be limited, if he plays at all, is what makes New England a team you can bet on in Week 4.


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3. Total Talk: Both of these offenses are struggling, so it’s easy to point the finger at the ‘under’ on MNF. Both of these clubs have played two of their three games ‘under’ the ‘total’ this year, though we think it’s more notable to look at the Chiefs and their defense at home more than anything else. They played their first five home games ‘under’ the number a year ago, and a Week 1 home game against the Tennessee Titans played out the same way.



4. Betting Trends for Chiefs/Patriots: The Chiefs have failed to cover six straight games at home, but New England is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine games played on the road. The Patriots might be a 5-1 ATS team in their last six Monday Night Football games, but that doesn’t mean they are viable in this one on the road in one of more raucous environments that the NFL has to offer.


KC Chiefs – Patriots 2014 MNF Score Prediction:

Chiefs 23 – Patriots 20






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