Colts vs. Giants Monday Night Spread & Picks Week 9
The Indianapolis Colts are still in control of the AFC South, but if they slip as 3 point favorites on the road against the New York Giants on Monday Night Football, they will at least leave the door open in the second half of the season for their competitors. The ‘total’ in this one is set at 50.5, one of the highest numbers to beat of the week, but after watching Indy allow over 500 passing yards and 51 points to the Pittsburgh Steelers last week, anything is possible.
COLTS – NY GIANTS 2014 MONDAY NIGHT WEEK 9 SPREAD:
1. Why the COLTS will cover the spread: The defense for the Colts clearly isn’t as bad as 522 yards and 51 points against Pittsburgh will tell you. Remember that this is the same team that shut out the Bengals and held the Ravens to just 13 points. That’s more along the lines of what we think we can expect on a week in, week out basis. That said, QB Andrew Luck and the offense have put up at least 20 points in every game this season, and that’s going to put a lot of pressure on the Giants, who have been consistently inconsistent for the better part of the last three seasons in games like these.
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2. Why the NY GIANTS will cover the spread: The best thing to like about the Giants is that it will have been 15 days since they have been on the field. They know that the NFC East is still there for the taking if the Cowboys slip up just a bit. New York has been good at home this year, and that loss to the Cardinals, even with Drew Stanton at quarterback, doesn’t seem all that bad. History will tell you if QB Eli Manning can figure out how to hold onto the football, good things will come for the Giants. That’s a big “if” for sure, but it’s one that is worth considering.
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3. Total Talk: You might immediately think that this game is an ‘over’ contest waiting to happen, and you very well might be right. However, we have to remember that, in spite of the fact that Indy has played five straight road games past the ‘total’, that two of the best receivers that would be on the field, WR Reggie Wayne and WR Victor Cruz, are both out for this one. RB Rashad Jennings could be missing as well, which only makes matters worse for a New York offense which was already lacking weapons.
4. Betting Trends for COLTS/GIANTS: The Giants don’t really have a history of playing well off of bad games. Granted, the bye might help, but the fact of the matter is that they are just 1-6 ATS in their last seven games following a duel in which they allow more than 30 points. They’re also just 1-4 ATS in their last five games against teams with winning records, a stark contrast from the 6-0 ATS that the Colts are on the road in their last six against teams with losing records.
Colts 23 – Giants 19