The Philadelphia Eagles were tabbed +5000 underdogs on the Super Bowl odds to raise the Lombardi Trophy in LII. The Los Angeles Rams, Jacksonville Jaguars and Buffalo Bills all went off the board with +10000 or greater odds to win the big game heading into last season. All four teams qualified for the playoffs to offer up astute futures bettors fantastic hedging opportunities once the second season came around.
Bottom line, there was some fantastic line value to take advantage of save for backing the New England Patriots who opened chalk to win the big game and remained that way up until it kicked off. Who will be this season’s big dogs overlooked by linemakers? Which chalks should be targeted? Let’s dig in and put some of the Super Bowl 53 futures odds movement under the microscope and see if the early betting hype is for real or hot steam.
2019 Super Bowl 53 Vegas Favorites:
|New England Patriots +650||Carolina Panthers +3500|
|Philadelphia Eagles +850||Denver Broncos +4000|
|Pittsburgh Steelers +1000||Tennessee Titans +4500|
|Los Angeles Rams +1100||Baltimore Ravens +5500|
|Minnesota Vikings +1100||Detroit Lions +5500|
|Green Bay Packers +1400||Seattle Seahawks +6000|
|New Orleans Saints +1800||Tampa Bay Buccaneers +7000|
|Houston Texans +1800||Indianapolis Colts +7000|
|San Francisco 49ers +2000||Washington Redskins +7500|
|Atlanta Falcons +2000||Cleveland Browns +8000|
|Los Angeles Chargers +2200||Arizona Cardinals +10000|
|Jacksonville Jaguars +2200||Buffalo Bills +10000|
|Oakland Raiders +2800||Cincinnati Bengals +10000|
|Kansas City Chiefs +3000||Chicago Bears +10000|
|New York Giants +3300||Miami Dolphins +15000|
|Dallas Cowboys +3300||New York Jets +20000|
NFL Wise guys are of the belief linemakers either got it wrong or are hunting for line value early on with the Arizona Cardinals (+7500), Baltimore Ravens (+4000), Buffalo Bills (+8000), Cleveland Browns (+6600), Indianapolis Colts (+5000), Miami Dolphins (+10000), New York Jets (+10000) and Seattle Seahawks (+5000).
I’m not buying any Browns shares at this point in time, but you can’t help but think Cleveland will put a more cohesive and formidable team onto the gridiron with the moves made this past offseason. Their 4.5 game season win total is one game fewer than that of the Arizona Cardinals who saw their odds to win SB LIII shorten up by $2500 since first opening.
I’m not buying Arizona either, but a healthy David Johnson will no doubt do wonders for its offense. Remember, Zona is just two seasons removed from playing in the NFC Championship Game. But are you willing to throw your money on Sam Bradford, Mike Glennon or Josh Rosen leading this franchise to Super Bowl glory? Didn’t think so.
Of this group of early NFL Odds line movers, the only team of intrigue is the Baltimore Ravens. This is a proud franchise with excellent upper management that’s fallen upon hard times the last couple seasons. Without a playoff appearance in three years mostly due to a struggling offense, Baltimore went out and brought Joe Flacco in some new toys to play with.
He’s already built a solid rapport with newcomer Willie Snead, and the additions of Michael Crabtree and John Brown might actually pump new life into what’s been a stagnant passing attack. Add a resurgent passing game to a promising ground game with Alex Collins leading the charge, and the Ravens can get back to playing their style of ball. Don’t forget about Kenneth Dixon returning from a season-long injury. The defense is still legit, but lacks depth so injuries will be of utmost concern.
Though the Steelers are the decided -275 favorites to win the AFC North, the Ravens have the team in place to chase them down and they’re hungry!
On the chalky side of things, the defending Super Bowl champion Philadelphia Eagles continue to get some preseason love on the futures odds. They opened at +850 to go back-to-back, but the payoff now sits at +705. There haven’t been successive Super Bowl winners since the Patriots pulled the feat in the 2004 and 2005 seasons. The franchise never won the big game up until last season. Sorry Philly, you’re not winning it again this year but I do foresee another fun season going down in the City of Brotherly Love.
The Los Angeles Rams, Minnesota Vikings and New Orleans Saints are all receiving some interest with each expected to win their respective division’s title. None of the trio currently has less than a 9.5 game season win total. The Vikes check in at 10 after winning 13 to cruise to the NFC North championship a second straight season. I foresee LA and Minnesota putting forth exceptional seasons once again, but I’m not sold on “Who Dat Nation.” The NFC South looks to once again be one of the toughest divisions in football.
A team getting a ton of love from the betting public since the futures offs first opened are the Los Angeles Chargers. Anthony Lynn’s troops opened at 22-1 to win LIII, but have since been bought down all the way to 13-1! Remember, this is a team that lost its first four games of last season, some in heartbreaking fashion, and then went on to close the year on 9-3 SU and 8-4 ATS win streaks.
One of the league’s best defenses snagged depth in the NFL Draft, and Philip Rivers is back under center to navigate what ended up being the No. 4 ranked offense from a season ago. All the pieces are in place for LA to make a deep run. If the team can get out to a better start this time around and most importantly avoid the injury bug, the Chargers just might finally be able to live up to the preseason hype they’ve grossly failed to do in year’s past.