2012 Election Odds: Who Will Be GOP Vice President Candidate?
Placing a wager on a political election is something that has been in play for a long, long time. I’m not just talking about the end all, be all of elections either. While the Presidential race will likely get the bulk of the action just because it is the Presidency of the United States, the Vice Presidential pick is likely get some attention as well.
As we get closer to the critical 2012 election, let’s run through some of the possible GOP candidates to line up next to newly-named GOP presidential candidate, Mitt Romney.
One reason, is that Rubio is a senator for what figures to be a very key state in the 2012 Presidential election. Another one of his key assets is his Hispanic background. With that he would not only be helpful in Florida, but other heavy Latino voter states as well. Such as California, Nevada, Colorado, and New Mexico.
Rubio (11/4 odds), is also thought of in a high regard in terms of his verbal communication skills. With the potential to get the Republican base riled up. His only real downfall is his inexperience.
His two-year term as the senator of Florida is his only experience in office, but if that is his only pitfall, I would say he has a pretty good chance. These factors make him one of the favorites in my opinion.
A key asset of his is, while he is socially conservative, he is much less confrontational when he chooses to express his conservatism as opposed to other candidates. People who want to reduce the federal spending as well as the ones who want the government to cut taxes will also be pro Ryan (17/2 odds). As he will likely be helpful in both of those areas.
Nevertheless, Ryan is another candidate in which inexperience could be a factor. Not overall experience, but in terms of foreign policies he would not exactly be the countries go-to-guy. When you attempt to couple him with a guy like Romney, who also has inexperience in that regard, it doesn’t seem like that good of a match. However, Ryan is still near the top of the list as of now.
Next in line, is Chris Christie (52/2 odds), the current governor in the state of New Jersey. Which is pretty impressive from a Republican standpoint as the Garden State has been dominated by the Democratic party in recent years.
Christie was often mentioned as a possible Presidential candidate in this election, but he was not interested in running. Moderate views, and a strong personality could be just what the doctor ordered though to help balance out the GOP party, and Christie has the panache.
His only downfall really is his success. There may be little value for him to play second fiddle when he can possibly get into the head chair in the 2016 race. Making him a weak pick as far as betting is concerned.
Finally, state of Indiana governor, Mitch Daniels is another member of the group that declined to run for the GOP seat this year. His key asset is that he is extremely popular in the state in which he resides, which could translate to success in the rest of the Midwest. An area that Obama enjoyed success back in 2008. With Romney’s lack of popularity in this region, Daniels (25/1 odds) would be a nice fit for Mitt.
His only downfall is that he is associated with the Bush campaign, and more specifically the Iraq War. Something that sours even the most staunch Republican voter.
It’s hard to predict the vice presidency. That pick relies so much on what the current climate is. With that being said, I still think that Rubio is a smart choice for a VP candidate. He is popular in a key state and he can help pull Hispanic votes. With immigration going to be a hot topic in the 2012 election debates, someone with some pull in the Latino community will be important.