It seems like a broken record now each season, but once again the odds to win the College Football Championship focus on Alabama, Clemson and Ohio State after 3 weeks of the 2018-2019 season.
Current College Football National Title Odds
(from BOVADA SPORTSBOOK – Updated 9/19/18)
Ohio State +650
Notre Dame +1600
Penn State +2800
Virginia Tech +5000
Miami (Florida) +5000
West Virginia +5000
Mississippi State +7000
Michigan State +7500
Central Florida +10000
Texas A&M +10000
Oklahoma State +10000
NC State +17500
Texas Tech +20000
Washington State +20000
Boston College +20000
South Carolina +30000
Arizona State +37500
Iowa State +37500
South Florida +50000
If you bought futures on Alabama, Georgia, Clemson and Oklahoma when the odds to win the College Football National Championship first opened in late August of 2017, you made yourself a mint. Good looking out! Just like the NFL, the futures market was dominated by big dogs that proved to have more bite than linemakers originally forecasted.
Save for the Alabama Crimson Tide who opened as the odds on favorites to bring yet another national title back home to Tuscaloosa, the other three participants of the CFP all offered up some big time payouts. Oklahoma originally opened with an 8-1 return that was bought all the way up to +1800.
Not many people expected Clemson making a third straight appearance. Because of it, they opened as 20-1 dogs to win it all and closed 36-1 before the season kicked off.
Imagine the hedging possibilities if you were daring enough to hit the Dawgs at either 30-1 where they opened or 35-1 where they ended up prior to their season opener against Appalachian State. If you had shares of both the Sooners and Bulldogs, watching their epic overtime thriller in the first round of the CFB Playoff is likely an experience you’ll never forget.
Let’s dig into the current college football national championship odds and see if we can’t weed out a couple winners that could have you whistling all the way back to the betting window to cash some tickets.
I’d never dissuade anyone from adding the Alabama Crimson Tide to their portfolio when it comes to investing in college football futures every season. Nick Saban has built a dynasty down in Tuscaloosa, and they’re the odds on favorites to win a sixth national title under his watch. Even though it’s near even money, it’s a wise investment.
However, we’re looking for the teams that offer up the juicy returns like three of the four entrants in last year’s College Football Playoff.
A team myself and many other pigskin prognosticators are high on are the Texas Longhorns. Tom Herman’s kids offer up a juicy 45-1 return on investment should they find a way to qualify for the CFP for the first time in program history and win it all. This is a team that took some nice steps forward last season in the inaugural year of the new regime by going 7-6 SU and a moneymaking 8-4-1 ATS.
A ton returns on both sides of the ball and Herman has recruited exceptionally well since arriving in Austin. Especially in the secondary where “Hook ‘Em” was abysmal last season. Should the team get more consistent quarterback play and the defense be more well-rounded, the schedule is conducive towards a big season and run to the Big 12 title game. All we need is skin in the game folks!
Next up are the Michigan State Spartans. How on god’s green earth do the Michigan Wolverines have shorter odds to win the B1G this season? Don’t linemakers know Dantonio has owned this rivalry going on the last decade in winning eight of the last 10 matchups? I get the Buckeyes being the favorites –with or without Urban – but it’s a slap in the face for the maize and blue and Penn State having shorter odds.
Sure, the Nittany Lions host Sparty this season, but MSU gets both Michigan and Ohio State in its own house. MSU also avoids Wisconsin in cross-divisional play. The Spartans return 21 starters from last year’s team that churned out the sixth double-digit win season in the last eight, and went a lucrative 8-5 ATS. How they have the longest odds of all the Big Ten heavyweights makes us question what the linemakers know and we don’t. Still, at 33-1 there’s simply too much value not to buy some shares of the kids from East Lansing.
Things have been real quiet in the desert for a number of years now. The Rich Rod experiment was an utter failure. To sweep the memories of that regime under the rug as quickly as possible, the Arizona Wildcats went out and signed Kevin Sumlin to a lucrative contract in hopes of turning the program’s fortunes around swiftly. He gets the benefit of having one of the most exciting players in the country running his offense in the form of Khalil Tate. The now junior won Pac-12 player of the week honors an unprecedented four straight times last season!
Dual-threat players like Lamar Jackson and Deshaun Watson have lit the college landscape afire in the past with their ability to run and pass the pigskin. Tate might be better than each. His passing game just needs a little fine tuning. Zona gets a peach of a schedule avoiding both Stanford and Washington in the regular season, and has nine players returning to a defense that should show some marked improvement. Should the Cats find a way to snap a five game losing streak to USC and at the very least split its tough road trip to Utah and UCLA in October, they’re odds to win it all will drop considerably. Do yourself a solid and throw some beer money on this potential bankroll booster at 250-1!