Colts vs. Patriots Odds, Point Spread Picks & Score Prediction 2014
Two of the best offenses in the NFL will square off on Sunday Night Football in Week 11, as the New England Patriots will meet the Indianapolis Colts in what very well could be an eventual playoff showdown in the AFC. These two are very familiar with each other, and home field advantage is usually quite key. The Colts are giving 2.5 in this one, while the ‘total’ is not surprisingly high at 57.
COLTS – PATRIOTS POINT SPREAD WEEK 11 2014:
New England has had problems slowing down pass-catching running backs this year, and that could play right into the hands of RB Ahmad Bradshaw, who has had a massive year out of the backfield. The defense for the Colts could be tested, but they have a history of getting after the passer even against great offensive lines such as this one.
2. Why the PATRIOTS will cover the spread: Indianapolis’ strength is in throwing the ball with QB Andrew Luck, and we just don’t see the New England secondary giving up tons of big plays. Sure, the Pats were torched for over 400 yards by QB Peyton Manning two weeks ago in a very similar offense, but Luck relies more on the big play and less on the screen game to move the ball up the field. This is where New England excels.
On top of that, QB Tom Brady is on fire right now, and he surely will have watched tape of the Colts struggling in bunch formations over the course of his last two weeks. It could be a huge day for WR Julian Edelman and TE Rob Gronkowski once again.
3. Total Talk Colts/Pats: This number is just insanely high, and there’s a chance that it could end up being the highest ‘total’ in a game in NFL history when it’s all said and done with. That said, the Colts are one of the best ‘over’ teams in the league this year at 7-2. New England has played six straight ‘over’ contests as well, and these last two have gotten to 74 and 64 points.
4. Betting Trends for Colts/Pats: New England has covered four of its last five games, and it is regularly a strong team off of its bye week. The Colts have covered six out of seven, and they are rolling as well. This is a tough one to call, but history will suggest that the advantage here could go to the veteran Brady over the young gun Luck. The Pats are 4-0 SU in their last four games in this series, including winning the two Brady vs. Luck meetings 43-22 and 59-24 respectively.
Patriots 28 – Colts 20