Cowboys vs. Giants Week 1 Point Spread Preview, Expert Picks, Score Prediction
Games in the NFC East are always crucial with as evenly matched as these four teams always seem to be, and this year is going to be no exception. The Dallas Cowboys are going to open up the season at home against the New York Giants, who are hoping to end their season at home with a Super Bowl celebration right in their backyard at MetLife Stadium.
The oddsmakers can’t separate these teams by anything more than the value of home field advantage. Dallas is the slight favorite (-3), but the chalk suggests that the Giants are just ever so slightly the better team. This Week 1 total is lofty for sure at 48, though the numbers have been creeping up across the board on the NFL odds.
OPEN: COWBOYS -3 | CURRENT: COWBOYS -3.5 | O/U: 49
1. Why Dallas will cover the spread: The pass rush for the Cowboys could turn out to be stellar this season with new DC Monte Kiffin dialing up blitz packages. The switch back to the 4-3 defense could take some time, but it could cause some confusion for the offensive line of the Giants as well. QB Tony Romo has a ton to prove, and winning this first game of the year will do wonders for him. Romo and the Dallas Cowboys also came out of the blocks last season and won at MetLife Stadium to start the season.
2. Why New York will cover the spread: New York will probably cover the spread in this game because it has been a long time since the team lost a game in division on the road by more than two points. The three road games last year were decided by a total of just eight points, and though only one of those games was one (at Dallas, no less), that doesn’t take away from what is coming up the road this year. QB Eli Manning has a knack for winning games like these, and though his running game seems suspect, his receivers are top class and could run wild against a struggling Dallas secondary.
3. Total Talk: Dallas closed out its season last year with ‘over’ contests in four of its last six. New York though, has been an ‘under’ machine, going 13-5 for ‘under’ bettors in its last 18 games dating back to the 2012 postseason. This was a traditional ‘over’ series for quite some time, as the ‘over’ cashed in five straight meetings from 2009 through 2011, but since that point, two of the three games failed to reach the number.
4. Betting Trends for the game: The Giants are 12-7 SU and 13-5-1 ATS since 2004 in this series against the Cowboys, and that includes going 4-0 SU and ATS in the L/4 years here in Big D. On top of that, New York is 8-3-1 ATS since 2002 here in the Lone Star State, and it has scored at least 29 points six of the L/8 times these hated division rivals locked horns in JerryWorld.
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New York 31 – Dallas 16