Cowboys vs. Saints Betting Line, Spread Picks, Score Prediction 2014
The New Orleans Saints and the Dallas Cowboys will be back in action in Week 4, as the two do battle it what could be one of the higher scoring games of the week. The ‘total’ is understandably high at 53, while the Saints are favored by a field goal on the road.
1. Why the COWBOYS will cover the spread: The Saints might rank 9th in the NFL against the run this year at 101.3 yards per game allowed, but they haven’t run across a running back like RB DeMarco Murray quite yet. On top of that, we haven’t really seen New Orleans play against an elite quarterback either. For all of his warts, QB Tony Romo is a better quarterback than either Matt Cassel, Teddy Bridgewater, or Brian Hoyer, and the one time the Saints went on the road and played against a solid quarterback, they gave up 37 points to the Atlanta Falcons.
Granted, Romo is going to have to figure out how to hold onto the football to win this one, something that we just aren’t all that confident in his ability of doing, but if he does, the Cowboys could easily cover this one.
2. Why the SAINTS will cover the spread: We have to think that the New Orleans offense is going to get this figured out at some point, right? QB Drew Brees has had a history of really beating the snot out of the Cowboys, but he just doesn’t seem to be clicking on all cylinders yet. Sure, he has five TDs in three games, and he is completing near 71% of his passes, but it just doesn’t feel like he’s being Drew Brees.
That said, the Cowboys just made Austin Davis look like Joe Montana. If Davis and a ragtag group of receivers who really aren’t all that good can figure out how to torch this defense, we can only imagine what Brees and TE Jimmy Graham are going to manage to do.
3. Total Talk: When these two teams played against each other last year, the Cowboys were destroyed 49-17 in the Bayou, and that’s been par for the course in this series. Each of the last three have easily gone past the number. That said, the Saints have played two of their three games to 50 points or fewer this year, while Dallas has played two of its three games to 45 points or fewer. Asking this one to get into the mid-50s is going to be a really tough proposition.
4. Betting Trends for Cowboys/Saints: You can’t talk about the Saints in this one without mentioning how bad they have been on the road. They’re already 0-2 SU and ATS this year away from home, and they were favored in both games. In fact, they have played six games over the course of the last two seasons on the road in which they were favorites; they are 2-4 SU and 0-6 ATS in those games.
Saints 28 – Cowboys 27