Live Eagles @ Giants Point Spread – Week 14 NFL Picks – NFL Public Bet % – NFL ATS Standings
On Sunday Night, NFC East division rivals will meet for the last time of the season when the 8-4 Philadelphia Eagles travel to East Rutherford to play the7-5 New York Giants on NBC. Week 8 was the last time these teams met with the Eagles routing the Giants 40-17 as a 1 point underdog. McNabb threw for 3 touchdowns with the McCoy and Weaver rushing tandem adding 180 yards on the ground. For the Giants, this was their 3rd straight loss, having been outscored 112-61 during that span with Eli throwing 6 interceptions to only 3 touchdowns. Fast forward to week 14, the line again has Philadelphia is as a 1 point dog. The Eagles are winners of 3 straight, coming off a 34-7 victory over Atlanta. The Giants will come into this game needing a win in order to keep their playoff hopes alive. With the erratic play of Eli this season, the Giants will have to lean heavily on Jacobs to carry the load in order to slow the Eagles offense down.
The New York Giants have certainly had their share of up’s and down’s this season. After starting the season 5-0, the team went on to lose 5 of their next 6 games. Eli Manning has had one of his worst statistical seasons in years while trying to work through what appears to be a series of foot related injuries. The one constant for New York has been their defense or so one would think. Ranking as one of the league’s best in yards allowed per game at an even 300 yards; the Giants are one of the worst when it comes to points allowed. Opponents are averaging 23.8 points per game which is good for 25th in the league. Big plays in the secondary have killed New York all season. The Giants have given up over 24 points 6 times this year with 3 of those teams scoring over 40. The weak secondary has exposed the Giants to almost every team’s vertical threats, giving up 1.8 passing touchdowns per game this season, tied for 4th worst in the league. The Eagles already put up 40 points in their first meeting with McNabb going for 3 touchdowns. 5 of those completions went for over 16 yards with his longest being a 54 yard touchdown reception to WR DeSean Jackson. Expect more of the same Sunday night as the Eagles will continue to use their passing game to set up their running attack this week.
The Giants will absolutely need Brandon Jacobs to have a big game to pull out a victory. History has shown that Jacobs likes playing the Eagles, averaging over 85 yards in their previous 5 meetings with 86 in the week 8 game. If and this is a big if for New York, if they are able to establish the run and keep Jacobs moving downhill, the Giants are 5-1 when Jacobs can get at least 20 carries a game. This not only protects the Giants from their own terrible secondary it also protects them from the inconsistent play of Eli Manning. Despite this recent success, I still do not think Jacobs alone will be enough to carry the team. Ranking 7th in the league in rushing defense, allowing 98 yards per game, the Eagles are fully capable of shutting down this attack.
The highs and lows of the Giants season have been most affected by the play of Eli Manning. When the Giants win, Eli has a QB rating of 108.8 with 15 touchdowns to only 4 interceptions. When the Giants lose, Eli has a QB rating of 67.5 with 5 touchdowns and 7 interceptions. Like most quarterbacks in this league, when given time to throw, they can and will pick teams apart, but when under pressure, mistakes are made. In games the Giants have won, Eli has been sacked only 4 times. In games they lost, Eli has been sacked 14 times. Never has this been more crucial as the Eagles and their 5th ranked pass rush might be going up against a depleted Giants offensive line. Chris Snee, arguably the Giants best lineman is listed as a game time decision after injuring his knee against Dallas last week.
The line for the game has been posted with the New York Giants as 1 point favorites. This season, New York is 5-6-1 ATS. In their last 7 games they are 1-6 ATS, 2-4-1 ATS in their last 7 games at home, and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games when playing at home against Philadelphia. Philadelphia is 7-5 ATS this season with a 16-7 record ATS in their last 23 games. The over-under is listed at 44 points with the Giants at 7-4 and the Eagles 8-4 O/U this year. The total has gone OVER in 4 of the NY Giants last 6 games at home, but their games have gone UNDER in 5 of the NY Giants last 7 games when playing Philadelphia and UNDER in 11 of the NY Giants last 13 games when playing at home against Philadelphia. For Philadelphia the total has gone OVER in 9 of their last 13 games.
Eagles vs. Giants Sunday Night Pick: From an oddsmakers perspective, Philadelphia although the better team in my eyes, will be seen as the upset victory on Sunday Night. Nothing has really changed since week 8 so how can I suddenly expect the outcome to be any different. The Eagles win easily. History has shown when these two teams play, the game goes UNDER. It is time to buck that trend as the last meeting showed us why, take the OVER for this game.
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