Super Bowl XLVI between the New York Giants and the New England Patriots is set for Sunday, February 5, and while millions of dollars will be bet on the side and total, the props of the game probably offer the best money making opportunities with their softer lines.
With so many props offered on this game, there are bound to be quite a few weak numbers. Here are some of our favorite props for Eli Manning in the Big Game.
Total Passing Attempts – Eli Manning ‘over’ 39½: Yes, the Giants’ running game has improved over the past month but so has New England’s rush defense. Besides, the bigger mismatch from the Giants’ perspective in this game is their wide receivers vs. a 31st ranked Patriots’ pass defense that will at times use wide receiver Julian Edelman as a safety in nickel and dime coverages.
Manning has been fantastic in the playoffs and the Giants should have no qualms about asking him to throw the ball at least 40 times, and they will put the game in Manning’s hands in the fourth quarter of what should be a close game. The first two Giants’ wins of these playoffs were by double-digits, but when they were finally involved in a close game with the 49ers, Manning threw the ball 58 times.
Longest Completion – Eli Manning ‘over’ 45½: It seems that the Giants always have at least one big passing play per game, which is not surprising considering that Victor Cruz and Hakeem Nicks can both be game-breakers as the number one option on most teams. The Patriots cannot double team both of them and the New England defense has allowed a lot of big plays this season, so we love the chances of one of them breaking clear for at least one 50-yarder in this contest.
Total TD Passes – Eli Manning ‘over’ 2½ (+150): This play has everything to do with the game plan. The Giants know that the New England defense has defended the run well lately and that they should continue to do so. Thus, we look for Manning to throw the ball at least 40 times here and we like the chances of at least three of those throws going for scores. New York has the faster wide receivers in this game, so the Giants can score from anywhere on the field, and Manning has been throwing more to his tight ends in these playoffs in the red zone with nice success.
Patriots vs. Giants 2012 Super Bowl Betting:
- Patriots vs. Giants Expert Picks: CLICK HERE
- Patriots vs. Giants Player Prop Bets: CLICK HERE
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Total Rushing Yards – Eli Manning ‘under’ 3½: Neither quarterback in this game is known for his mobility, and since we don’t think that the shaky New England secondary can cover all of the Giants’ receiving weapons downfield, do not expect Manning to take off running due to great coverage anytime soon. Manning rushed for a grand total of 15 (count ‘em) yards in 16 games during the regular season.
Will Eli Manning throw a 4th Quarter TD Pass? Yes (-135): First of all, we expect this to be a close game in the fourth quarter. Secondly, Eli Manning led the NFL in fourth quarter quarterback rating this season. Thirdly, Manning has the NFL’s fourth quarter receiving yardage leader at his disposal in Victor Cruz.
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