A pair of in-state rival undefeated teams are set to square off in a match-up filled with BCS ramifications when the Miami Hurricanes invade Bobby Bowden Field at Doak Campbell Stadium to run up against Jameis Winston and the surging Florida State Seminoles. Both of these squads come in ranked amongst the Top 10 in the nation, but recent results find the 7th ranked Hurricanes installed as 22-point underdogs to the 3rd ranked Seminoles; the ‘total’ has been lined at 61 points.
FLORIDA STATE – MIAMI 2013 BETTING LINE:
OPEN: FLORIDA STATE -22 | CURRENT: FLORIDA STATE -22 | O/U: 61
[FSU vs. MIAMI EXPERT BETTING PICKS]
1. Why MIAMI will cover the spread: The Canes will do themselves a major solid if they can limit the Noles through the air and force Jimbo Fisher to instead look to his ground attack to move the chains. That will in essence shorten the game and limit FSU’s chances of blowing this game wide open like it has each of the L/3 weeks provided Miami remains sound in the tackling department. The Hurricanes are yet to face an offense as potent as tonight’s opponent, but the offense has run up against a stiff Florida outfit, so at least it has that going for them in this one.
2. Why FLORIDA STATE will cover the spread: Florida State will cover the lofty number bestowed upon it by the oddsmakers if it continues to do exactly what it has done since getting a mini-scare in Chestnut Hill from BC back in Week 5. Since that game, QB Winston has played possessed in throwing for 1,129 yards and a TD/INT ratio of 11:2. Miami has been tremendous in defending the pass to date (#18 at 201.3 YPG allowed), but each of the L/2 QBs its faced (Renner/Price) either came close or surpassed the 300-yard plateau. WR’s Rashad Greene and Kelvin Benjamin have turned into the youngster’s favorite targets, and both look to be in store for heavy workloads once again.
3. Total Talk: Each of the L/2 meetings between these hated rivals combined to go ‘under’ the closing number with FSU scoring the 33-20 win last season and the 23-19 win the last time it welcomed the Canes into Tallahassee. All seven of FSU’s games have gone ‘over’ the total in 2013 with an average of 65.6 PPG. Miami has played to the ‘over’ six of the L/8 times it ventured away from Coral Gables.
I circled last week’s home game vs. NCST as a major letdown spot after going into Death Valley and spanking Clemson. Not only did Jameis and company not skip a beat, it took HC Fisher putting in the scout team to allow me to barely cash my +34 ticket with the Wolfpack. This Noles squad is for real folks! Miami is injured and by no means worthy of being tabbed a Top 10 team. Look for that to correct itself come late Saturday evening.
Florida State 55 – Miami 16