First place in the SEC East is going to be on the line on Saturday night at 7:00 ET from Ben Hill Griffin Stadium in Gainesville, where college football betting fanatics will get a chance to sink their teeth into the duel between the Florida Gators and the South Carolina Gamecocks.
The team that wins this one is ultimately going to be in the driver’s seat for the SEC East title, though both know that there are plenty more games that have to be won to stay there. The loser is probably going to be out of the race for the BCS National Championship as well, especially for South Carolina, which invades “The Swamp” off a tough two-point loss to the LSU Tigers. Expect this to be a tight one, knowing that Florida is only lined at -3.
1. Why South Carolina will cover the spread: The Gamecocks will cover the spread if they can get a ground game going. Florida has one of the best defenses in the land, and last week, South Carolina had all sorts of problems trying to get the running game going. Part of the problem came from QB Connor Shaw, who ended up with -1 yard on 12 carries. RB Marcus Lattimore had 13 rushes for just 35 yards and a touchdown, and he is going to have to be a heck of a lot more involved in this one for the Cocks to pull the outright win in Gainesville.
2. Why Florida will cover the spread: Florida will cover the spread if its defense continues to be as good in the second half as it has been over the course of its first six. In fact, last week’s win against the Vanderbilt Commodores marked the first time the defense allowed a single point in the fourth quarter this year. Do the Gators have the best defense in the nation? They very well could, as they rank sixth in the nation in scoring at 12.3 points per game allowed.
3. Total Talk: Obviously, we have done a lot of talking about defenses in this game, and it shouldn’t be all that surprising knowing that this game will be a struggle to get some points on the board. That doesn’t mean that the game is going to end up staying beneath a very low ‘total’ though, knowing that men like Shaw, Lattimore, and QB Jeff Driskel really can move the football against anyone in the nation. Though the points will be hard to come by, they really might exist.
4. Betting Trends for FLORIDA/SOUTH CAROLINA: South Carolina has won back to back games in this series, including coming here to the Swamp two years ago and smashing the Gators 36-14 as 6.5-point underdogs. That was the first time that former Florida coach Steve Spurrier came back to the Swamp and won a game. The Gamecocks have covered each of the L/3 in the recent series, and they’ve gone a moneymaking 7-1 ATS the L/8 times they played off a SU defeat. Florida has covered each of its L/5 games played within the conference, but stands just 2-6 ATS its L/8 vs. +.500 opposition.
South Carolina 27 – Florida 24