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MLB  |  Apr 19, 2014
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets
Atlanta Braves
-125
  at  PINNACLE
in 43m

Jack's Free Pick Saturday: Atlanta Braves -125

Great value here with the Atlanta Braves (11-5) over the New York Mets (8-8) in Game 2 of this NL East series.  Not only are the Braves the much better team, but they have a massive edge on the mound tonight as well.

Ervin Santana has been one of the more underrated starters in the league over the last several years.  Despite pitching in the American League prior to 2014, Santana has posted a 3.92 ERA or better in three of his past four seasons.  He went 9-10 with a 3.24 ERA in 32 starts with the Royals last year.

The switch to the National League usually works wonders for pitchers, and the same can be said for Santana.  The right-hander has been untouchable thus far, going 1-0 with a 0.64 ERA and 0.643 WHIP while allowing just one earned run and nine base runners over 14 innings and striking out 17 batters.

Bartolo Colon has been a tremendous story over the past couple seasons in Oakland, but he's now past his prime, and his run has come to an end.  The 40-year-old has gone 1-2 with a 6.00 ERA and 1.556 WHIP in three starts this season, giving up 12 earned runs, 6 homers and 28 base runners in 18 innings.

New York is 28-51 (-24.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last three seasons.  The Mets are 16-51 in their last 67 games as a home underdog.  Bet the Braves Saturday.

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NBA  |  Apr 20, 2014
Portland Trailblazers vs. Houston Rockets
Total
214 ov-115
  at  BOVADA
in 1d

Portland @ Houston

 
By Tony George
 
 
The Blazers looked like the team to beat early in the season but fell from grace somewhat down the stretch and in the mid season, but one thing is for sure, Houston will have their hands full in the first round of the NBA Playoffs with the Blazers.  The Rockets with Howard and Harden plus a supporting cast are not going to be an easy out for anyone this playoff season either.  This should be a high flying affair with the Rockets winning this series.  
 
Another thing that is for sure is that the scorekeeper and scoreboard are going to be busy in this series, as both teams can flat out light it up.  Houston ranks second in the NBA in scoring and Portland ranks fourth.  The Rockets averaged 116 ppg against Portland this year and the Blazers averaged 109 against the Rockets.  Some concern with Hardens injury here for the Rockets laying 5 points in this opener but one thing you can bank on is some high scoring affairs in this one and I am all over the Total in game 1 as a free Pro Pick.  
 
Lean to the OVER 214.5 
 
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MLB  |  Apr 19, 2014
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres
San Francisco Giants
-127
  at  PINNACLE
in 2h

This is a 1* Free Play on the San Francisco Giants.

 

The Giants fell to the Padres last night in a close 2-1 pitchers duel. I think San Fran is the better team here and finds a way to bounce back and get a win on the road. San Francisco sends veteran Tim Hudson (2-0, 2.35 ERA) to the hill looking to bounce back from a recent rough start. The righty has been pitching very well this season but just gave up four runs in 7 1/3 innings in a no decision against the Rockies in his last outing. Hudson has been downright dominant in 12 career starts versus the Padres though, boasting a 6-1 record with a stingy 2.35 life time ERA. The home side will send Eric Stults (0-2, 5.52) to counter.  Stults has struggled to start the year and I think the southpaw will continue to slide, he has a very pedestrian 5.21 ERA versus the Giant in 15 careers starts. Even more telling here is San Francisco’s collective .301 batting average versus him. Hunter Pence has gone 6 for 17 with two homers and a double off him. Crawford also has a pair of homers off Stults, and Pablo Sandoval is 12 for 22 with three doubles and a triple lifetime against him. The Giants sat two of their best hitters in Michael Morse and Buster Posey in yesterday’s lost. I think they jump in rested and ready to help the team score enough runs here to back Tim Hudson. Consider laying the price.

 

AAA

MLB  |  Apr 19, 2014
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets
New York Mets
+118
  at  BOVADA
in 43m

FREE PLAY for 4/19

NY Mets +118

The Key: The Mets are showing value at this price at home with Colon on the hill.  They are 5-0 in their last five games following a loss.  Plus, Colon is 4-0 with an ERA of 1.20 in four starts versus Atlanta.  He threw seven scoreless innings in a 4-0 victory over the Braves April 8.  In addition, Colon's clubs are an impressive 27-13 in his last 40 starts.  Santana has had a pair of strong performances this season with one of them coming against the Mets, but he hasn't shown he deserves to be getting this much respect on the road where his clubs are 8-11 in his last 19 starts.  Bet the Mets.

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MLB  |  Apr 19, 2014
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets
Total
7 un-110
  at  PINNACLE
in 43m

Saturday's MLB Free Pick  ---Mets/Braves UNDER 7---


Atlanta will be sending out Ervin Santana, who has been lights out since joining the rotation. Santana has allowed just 1 earned runs on 7 hits with 17 strikeouts over 14 innings in his first two starts. One of those starts came against the Mets, where he allowed just 3 hits over 8 shutout innings. I look for another strong outing from Santana.

New York counters with veteran Bartolo Colon, who threw 6 shutout innings at Atlanta earlier this month. Colon improved to 4-0 with a 1.20 ERA and 0.967 WHIP over 4 career starts versus the Braves. While Atlanta scored 6 runs in the series opener, their offense has total just 7 runs over their last 3 games combined.

The UNDER is 16-5 in Atlanta's last 21 games when listed as a favorite of -110 to -150, 19-6-1 in their last 26 after scoring 5 or more runs in their last game and 40-17-3 in their last 60 games with a total set between 7 and 8.5 runs. The UNDER is also 9-1-1 in the Mets last 11 home games with a total set between 7 and 8.5 runs and 13-5 in their last 18 versus a team that's won more than 60% of their games. BET THE UNDER!


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  • http://none roger

    Been in all sports for over 50 years . On both ends taking, ang playing . I havent come across any worth while handicappers. A question always by my sport friends Why should i pay for handicappers . If they are so good why the hell dont they play thier own games using thier own money , REASON USING YOUR HARD WORKING MONEY TO PAY FOR THIER LOST PLEASE NEED A straight not a BULLSHIT ANSWER. Thanks

  • Trev Rogers

    Roger,

    Many touts are scumbags.

    That is why BetVega.com handicappers have every pick documented. If they go 5-0 or 0-5, it is there for all to see.

    http://www.betvega.com/handicapper-rankings/

  • http://betvega dixfree

    Clicked on “free picks” and just like all the other Bull Shxters all ya get is a bunch of sales bull. Or the other favorite “check back later.”

  • Trev Rogers

    DixFree,

    You can always check out my free NFL picks page here: http://www.betvega.com/free-nfl-betting-picks/

    Looking like a 8-2 start to the NFL preseason if the Panthers +3 holds on tonight.

  • http://juswinners.com juswinners

    Today’s freebe is Whitcha St. over Cal Poly. No brainer…I’d also expect the over at 125.

  • jayvega

    With the way the dogs are hitting early today, WSU should be solid.

    Very heavy money on Iowa State tonight as well…..looking to fade.