Heisman Odds

To the surprise of no one, the latest Heisman Odds place Alabama QB Tua Tagovailoa as the clear-cut favorite. Behind Tua is WVU QB Will Grier, OSU QB Dwayne Haskins, Wisconsin RB Jon Taylor and Oklahoma QB Kyler Murray.

At this point, it is Tuas’ trophy to lose. Bama looks unstoppable. Rolling into Ole Miss and dropping 62 pts is insane. As log as Tua can avoid injury, I would expect him to be posing with the Heisman Trophy come December.

Heisman Trophy Odds 2018:

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2018 HEISMAN TROPHY WINNER ODDS
Player Odds
Tua Tagovailoa (QB Alabama) -150
Dwayne Haskins (QB Ohio State) +450
Will Grier (QB West Virginia) +650
Kyler Murray (QB Oklahoma) +700
McKenzie Milton (QB UCF) +1200
Trace McSorley (QB Penn State) +1200
Jonathan Taylor (RB Wisconsin) +2000
Travis Etienne (RB Clemson) +4000
Trevor Lawrence (QB Clemson) +5000
Benny Snell Jr. (RB Kentucky) +6000
Justin Herbert (QB Oregon) +6600
David Sills (WR West Virginia) +8000
Ed Oliver (DL Houston) +8000
Bryce Love (RB Stanford) +10000
Drew Lock (QB Missouri) +10000
D’Andre Swift (RB Georgia) +10000
Jake Fromm (QB Georgia) +10000
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One of the best ways to guarantee a shot at Heisman Trophy glory is simply being a quarterback. A whopping 15 of the last 18 awards have gone to signal callers with the other three going to running backs Mark Ingram, Derrick Henry and Reggie Bush. Though a pair of running backs enter the 2018 season favored to win the award in Stanford’s Bryce Love and Wisconsin’s Jonathan Taylor, a bevy of quarterbacks find themselves in the mix as well. With no clear cut favorite to win the award, this year’s race is wide open.

That’s huge for value seekers that can jump into the mix early to create hedge opportunities further along down the road. We’re all about finding value with the season right around the corner. I’ve already thrown some beer money on the following recommendations, and suggest you do the same.

Willie Taggart offenses are fast paced and quick strike. The Oregon Ducks ran the snot out of the pigskin in his lone season in Eugene last season. Royce Freeman led the way with nearly 1,500 rushing yards and 16 touchdowns. Though the new coach in Tallahassee has a ton of work ahead of him rebuilding the Noles program, Cam Akers is sure to shine in his debut campaign. Now a sophomore, Akers will be looking to build off a phenomenal freshman campaign that saw him gouge opposing defenses for over 1,000 yards rushing and a 5.3 yard per carry average. Now a focal point of the offense, Akers has the potential to pay-off at nearly 27-1! That likely all depends on how quickly FSU takes to the new coaching staff’s schemes and comes together as a team.

Chris Petersen’s Washington Huskies once again look to be the class of the Pac-12. Though that was the case last season as well, U-Dub failed to live up to expectations. Owners of the fifth shortest odds to win the National Championship (+1350) and decided chalk to win the conference, I’m all in on Jake Browning making a run at the Heisman in his senior campaign. Only two years removed from ripping opposing defenses up for 3,430 passing yards and a 43:9 TD/INT ratio that equated into an insane 167.5 passer rating, Browning’s in line for a huge season with a veteran O-Line in front of him and Myles Gaskin forcing defenses to account for the run. After regressing terribly last season, I think Browning is in line for a memorable 2018 campaign.

Another quarterback with long odds of winning the Heisman is UCF’s McKenzie Milton. The junior was simply brilliant a year ago throwing for over 4,000 yards and tallying 37 touchdown strikes to go along with only nine interceptions. Though Scott Frost is now making his home in Lincoln, Milton still has an excellent coach at his disposal in the form of Josh Heupel who led Oklahoma to a shocking win in the National Championship game against Florida State back in 2001. He was Mizzou’s OC last season and coached Drew Lock up to the point that he ranked top five in passing efficiency and threw an FBS-high 44 touchdowns. If you thought the Knights played fast last season, you ain’t seen nothing yet! Heupel will have his offense working at a breakneck pace with Milton ending up one of the main beneficiaries.

Tavien Feaster and Travis Etienne each had 107 carries last season for the Clemson Tigers. However, the latter his pay dirt 13 times out of the backfield and rushed for an average of 7.2 yards per carry. Those are some crazy good numbers peeps, and it’s highly likely he improves upon that output with an experienced offensive line opening holes for him. Should Kelly Bryant falter, it will open the door for stud recruit Trevor Lawrence to step in and possibly be the missing ingredient that puts the Tigers over the top. His ability to make opposing defenses actually respect the passing game will make life a lot easier for Etienne and company. With Dabo’s kids likely heading back to the CFP, the national spotlight will be on Clemson. That’s a bonus when targeting Heisman contenders – sign me up for that 65-1 return!

Speaking of National Championship contenders, the Michigan State Spartans are in the thick of the mix. Mark Dantonio’s kids won 10 games a season ago and has the most starters in the country returning to this year’s team. While the schedule is no doubt a bear, it’s tailor made to send Sparty to the CFP should it be able to successfully navigate it. With that, I’ll be all in on throwing a couple shekels on Brian Lewerke once his odds to win the Heisman hit the board. A true dual-threat, the junior threw for nearly 2,800 yards and 20 touchdowns, while rushing for another 559 yards and five scores. With LJ Scott setting the tone in the backfield, all of his major pass catchers back, and an O-Line that returns four starters, MSU’s offense is going to be lethal and much more efficient this season. Add in a possible trip to the CFP, and the Spartans gunslinger should find himself in the Heisman mix come season’s end.

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PAST HEISMAN TROPHY WINNERS

YearPlayerSchool
2017Baker MayfieldOklahoma
2016Lamar JacksonLouisville
2015Derrick HenryAlabama
2014Marcus MariotaOregon
2013Jameis WinstonFlorida State
2012Johnny ManzielTexas A&M
2011Robert Griffin IIIBaylor
2010Cam NewtonAuburn
2009Mark IngramAlabama
2008Sam BradfordOklahoma
2007Tim TebowFlorida
2006Troy SmithOhio State
2005Reggie BushUSC
2004Matt LeinartUSC
2003Jason WhiteOklahoma
2002Carson PalmerUSC
2001Eric CrouchNebraska
2000Chris WeinkeFlorida State
1999Ron DayneWisconsin
1998Ricky WilliamsTexas
1997Charles WoodsonMichigan
1996Danny WuerffelFlorida
1995Eddie GeorgeOhio State
1994Rashaan SalaamColorado
1993Charlie WardFlorida State
1992Gino TorrettaMiami (FL)
1991Desmond HowardMichigan
1990Ty DetmerBYU
1989Andre WareHouston
1988Barry SandersOklahoma State
1987Tim BrownNotre Dame
1986Vinny TestaverdeMiami (FL)
1985Bo JacksonAuburn
1984Doug FlutieBoston College
1983Mike RozierNebraska
1982Herschel WalkerGeorgia
1981Marcus AllenUSC
1980George RogersSouth Carolina
1979Charles WhiteUSC
1978Billy SimsOklahoma
1977Earl CampbellTexas
1976Tony DorsettPittsburgh
1975Archie GriffinOhio State
1974Archie GriffinOhio State
1973John CappellettiPenn State
1972Johnny RodgersNebraska
1971Pat SullivanAuburn
1970Jim PlunkettStanford
1969Steve OwensOklahoma
1968O.J. SimpsonUSC
1967Gary BebanUCLA
1966Steve SpurrierFlorida
1965Mike GarrettUSC
1964John HuarteNotre Dame
1963Roger StaubachNavy
1962Terry BakerOregon State
1961Ernie DavisSyracuse
1960Joe BellinoNavy
1959Billy CannonLSU
1958Pete DawkinsArmy
1957John David CrowTexas A&M
1956Paul HornungNotre Dame
1955Howard CassadyOhio State
1954Alan AmecheWisconsin
1953John LattnerNotre Dame
1952Billy VesselsOklahoma
1951Dick KazmaierPrinceton
1950Vic JanowiczOhio State
1949Leon HartNotre Dame
1948Doak WalkerSMU
1947John LujackNotre Dame
1946Glenn DavisArmy
1945Doc BlanchardArmy
1944Les HorvathOhio State
1943Angelo BertelliNotre Dame
1942Frank SinkwichGeorgia
1941Bruce SmithMinnesota
1940Tom HarmonMichigan
1939Nile KinnickIowa
1938Davey O’BrienTCU
1937Clint FrankYale
1936Larry KelleyYale
1935Jay BerwangerChicago