LSU Favored By 3 Over Florida – Betting Trends Point To LSU Win
The SEC season is in full stride now for the LSU Tigers and the Florida Gators, and they are both going to hope to beat the NCAA football betting lines in this one in the Swamp in a battle of Top 10 teams on Saturday.
Florida knows that it still has a major road to travel down if it is going to win the SEC this year, and this is the first of those major steps. The team went 4-0 to start last year before falling apart and barely going bowling, and it won’t want this game to be the start of the decline. LSU meanwhile, has lost two spots in the polls, one in each of the last two weeks, and it would love to get back on track. It has the chance to do so as 3.5-point road favorites in Gainesville.
1. Why LSU will cover the spread: Because it surely has the more experienced and talented team. Sure, QB Zach Mettenberger is raw, but this defense is simply second to none in most of college football, and these Gators are no exception. We haven’t seen any tricks come out of Head Coach Les Miles’ bag over the course of the last few weeks, and some of those tricks might just have been reserved for this trip to Gainesville.
2. Why Florida will cover the spread: Florida will cover the spread if QB Jeff Driskel keeps his head on straight and doesn’t turn the ball over. He has done a good job of that over the course of the first four games of the season, but he and QB Jacoby Brissett looked like fish out of water last year when they played in Baton Rouge against the Bayou Bengals. UF’s defense is good enough to hold down the Tigers, but if the offense isn’t taking care of the football and consistently putting the ‘D’ in a position to fail, there is no way that the Gators can win this game; even in front of the Swamp faithful. (Check out SaturdayDownSouth’s take)
3. Total Talk: The name of this game is defense. Both coaches know that they are going to put the ball in the hands of their running backs, and they aren’t going to put their quarterbacks into too many positions to fail against such athletically gifted players. Florida has now posted 82:33 of scoreless football in a row, and it is going to try to keep that up for as long as possible, something that might indeed be attainable considering the fact that the last two games away from Baton Rouge that the Tigers have played, they have scored 12 and 0 points.
4. Betting Trends for the game: This series has gone in cycles over the course of the last few years. LSU has covered two in a row since QB Tim Tebow left, but before that, the Gators had covered five in a row and won three of the five. LSU is 7-2 ATS in its last nine conference games, but Florida is 4-1 ATS in its last five following an off week, which is what it had coming into this one. The road team has covered eight of the L/11 over meetings, while the ‘under’ has cashed five of the L/7 times these rivals locked horns in Gainesville.
Florida 27 – LSU 16