First place in the SEC West and perhaps a spot in the BCS National Championship Game will be on the line in college football betting action this weekend, when the Alabama Crimson Tide and LSU Tigers lock horns for the third time in the last calendar year.
Alabama is favored by 10 points going into the Bayou at night, something that generally isn’t good news for most opponents. The Crimson Tide have a chance to run the table this year if this game is won, potentially wrapping up the season at 14-0 to be known as one of the best teams in college football history. LSU is trying to get back in the win column in this series after getting killed in the BCS National Championship Game 21-0 last year in a game that was never even that close.
1. Why Alabama will cover the spread: The Crimson Tide will cover the spread if they flex their defensive muscles. They didn’t allow LSU to get into their own territory last year in the title game. Though that is a lofty goal this time around of course, there is no doubt that this is the most dominating defense in the country. The way to take a crowd out of the game is making sure that there are no big plays, and it is just painfully near impossible to get a long one on the Crimson Tide.
2. Why LSU will cover the spread: LSU will cover the spread because it is just darn near impossible to win in the Bayou when the lights are on. All sorts of teams have ventured into Baton Rouge and been beaten under the lights, including a bunch of teams that were once ranked No. 1 in the country. The home field advantage is about the only thing that Head Coach Les Miles knows that he has on his side aside from the fact that there was a bye week for the men in purple and gold last week, as he clearly does not have the more talented of these two teams.
3. Total Talk: LSU’s offense only scored three field goals in two games against the Crimson Tide last year, and now, its offense is arguably a whole heck of a lot worse now than it was then. QB Zach Mettenberger has failed to put more than 23 on the board against any of the good defenses that he has faced this year. Alabama is still scoring at least 33 on everyone that it faces, but this defense just refuses to allow more than 14 in a game.
4. Betting Trends for LSU-ALABAMA: Alabama has covered three straight games, and it seems to just be toying with all of its foes. In this series though, the Tigers and Crimson Tide have been insanely evenly matched, as both teams are 4-4-1 ATS over the course of the last nine. Alabama has won just four of those nine games, but it won the one last year that mattered the most. Could revenge be on the minds of the Tigers?
LSU 17 – Alabama 14