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Who is offically on the "Bubble"?

 

March Madness is just about here and as always there will be teams that squeak into the NCAA Tourney and those who are left out. Take a look at 10 teams who need to get off the bubble to ensure their spot in the field of 65. 

1. UNLV (20-6, 32nd RPI): UNLV is actually looking pretty good at this point to make the tournament, but they still need to go down to New Mexico, another bubble team, and they have Utah at home, who beat them earlier this year.  They look good, but.....

 

 

2008 NCAA Tourney Odds - See the Potential Bracket

 

UNLV (20-6, 32nd RPI): UNLV is actually looking pretty good at this point to make the tournament, but they still need to go down to New Mexico, another bubble team, and they have Utah at home, who beat them earlier this year.  They look good, but if they lose two out of three (or drop the inconceivable shocker to TCU) then things can turn for the Rebels very quickly.

 

USC (17-9, 39th RPI): USC started out the season flat, though they've had flashes of being very good since then.  That being said, they still sit with only 17 wins, and even though most of those losses were to very good teams, the problem is the remaining schedule is no cake walk with Arizona, Cal, Arizona State, and Stanford left, and these three teams are a combined 3-1 against USC this year.  A couple wins should be good, but if these team slides, and the injury to Daniel Hackett isn't going to help, things could still go south.

 

Arizona State (17-9, 69th RPI): Arizona State's chances don't look so good.  They started out hot against weak competition, but have been poor in Pac-10 play.  Two of the last four games are definitely winnable, but they need to steal a game from USC or UCLA, and win against Oregon and Oregon State to have a good shot at the tourney.  It is possible, but not likely based on how they've played in Pac-10 competition so far this year.

 

Davidson (21-6, 60th RPI): Despite the good looking record, Davidson is on the outside looking in.  They need to win out and win their conference.  While looking great in conference, they haven't done so hot against out of conference competition, and they are in the weakest section of the conference.  If they can win out they're in, but that's likely the only way, unless a lot of other things go right.

 

Florida (20-7, 57th RPI): An extremely weak schedule hurts the Gators, as does the fact that they've lost a lot of games to only quasi-decent teams.  That loss to LSU was devastating for their chances, but they did win back to back championships, and fair or not, if they have 22-23 wins they're probably going to get in.  No more room for screw ups, though.

 

West Virginia (19-8, 38th RPI): Most of the Big East teams are already decided, either in or out, but West Virginia is still on the bubble, and they have a chance to move in.  Two of their last four opponents have losing records, and Pittsburgh is a quasi-bubble team.  Beating them and finishing 3-1 out of the last four should be enough to get them in.

St. Joseph's (17-8, 44th RPI): Xavier is a lock to get in from the Atlantic 10 conference, but St. Joseph's has put together a really solid season.  Most of their losses have been extremely close, including two in overtime, and have been against very good teams, as indicated by the RPI.  If they win three of their last four games they are probably in, and if they upset Xavier, consider it a lock.

 

Maryland (17-11, 66th RPI): Maryland is hurting, especially after losing to Virginia Tech, but the schedule gives them a chance.  It's not an easy road at the end, with Wake Forest and Clemson in the way, but if they can win out and make some noise, they could sneak in on a late seed.

 

Baylor (18-8, 33rd RPI): Baylor started out as one of the surprise stories, and this is a very good record for a team with a 33rd RPI.  Problem for Baylor is that they've lost six of their last eight games after a hard fought win over Texas A&M.  Baylor needs to win some more games to shore up their record, and with a fairly weak Big 12 slate left, with A&M the one exception, all Baylor needs to do is finish business and make some noise in the Big 12 tourney and they'll be in.

 

South Alabama (23-5, 31st RPI): South Alabama is one of several fringe teams eyeing those very last at large bids.  With a solid record and RPI, I think South Alabama wins out and has a very good chance of getting in—especially if they beat borderline bubble team Western Kentucky.  If they finish 25-5, it'll be hard to keep them out.

 

These are ten teams that bear watching during these next couple great weeks of college basketball.

 
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