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College Football: Who is the Public Betting On?

Who is the public betting on today in NCAA College Football? BetVega.com provides daily public betting trends from a collection of online sportsbooks providing betting public consensus picks percentages.


TIMEMATCHUPBETTING%ACTION
7:30pmS Carolina vs Auburn (SEC)
Expert Picks
Auburn 68.90%
S Carolina 31.10%
3396 Bets
3:30pmMississippi St vs Kentucky (CBS)
Expert Picks
Kentucky 8.82%
Mississippi St 91.18%
4488 Bets
7:00pmSyracuse vs Clemson (ESPNU)
Expert Picks
Syracuse 12.18%
Clemson 87.82%
1872 Bets
3:30pmC Michigan vs Buffalo U
Expert Picks
C Michigan 87.50%
Buffalo U 12.50%
480 Bets
3:30pmBoston College vs Wake Forest
Expert Picks
Wake Forest 15.28%
Boston College 84.72%
864 Bets
5:00pmTemple vs C Florida (CBC)
Expert Picks
Temple 44.87%
C Florida 55.13%
936 Bets
3:30pmGeorgia Tech vs Pittsburgh U (ESPNU)
Expert Picks
Georgia Tech 60.00%
Pittsburgh U 40.00%
1260 Bets
4:00pmVanderbilt vs Missouri (SEC)
Expert Picks
Vanderbilt 8.82%
Missouri 91.18%
1632 Bets
4:00pmUNLV vs Utah St (ESPNN)
Expert Picks
UNLV 5.95%
Utah St 94.05%
1008 Bets
2:30pmKent vs Miami Ohio
Expert Picks
Miami Ohio 64.29%
Kent 35.71%
336 Bets
3:30pmTexas Tech vs TCU (FOX)
Expert Picks
TCU 89.52%
Texas Tech 10.48%
2520 Bets
3:30pmOregon St vs Stanford (ESPN2)
Expert Picks
Stanford 64.49%
Oregon St 35.51%
1284 Bets
7:30pmAlabama vs Tennessee U (ESPN2)
Expert Picks
Tennessee U 5.43%
Alabama 94.57%
3756 Bets
3:30pmMichigan vs Michigan St (ABC)
Expert Picks
Michigan St 91.27%
Michigan 8.73%
3984 Bets
7:00pmWyoming vs Colorado State
Expert Picks
Colorado State 94.44%
Wyoming 5.56%
864 Bets
7:15pmMississippi vs LSU (ESPN)
Expert Picks
Mississippi 71.55%
LSU 28.45%
2784 Bets
6:00pmArizona U vs Washington St (PAC12)
Expert Picks
Arizona U 72.12%
Washington St 27.88%
1248 Bets
10:00pmUSC vs Utah (FS1)
Expert Picks
Utah 40.87%
USC 59.13%
1380 Bets
3:30pmLouisiana Tech vs SO Mississippi
Expert Picks
Louisiana Tech 71.43%
SO Mississippi 28.57%
252 Bets
7:00pmUTEP vs Tex San Antonio
Expert Picks
UTEP 20.00%
Tex San Antonio 80.00%
180 Bets
3:30pmFlorida Atlantic vs Marshall (FS1)
Expert Picks
Marshall 85.57%
Florida Atlantic 14.43%
1164 Bets
7:00pmTexas St vs UL Monroe
Expert Picks
UL Monroe 70.00%
Texas St 30.00%
240 Bets
4:00pmOld Dominion vs W Kentucky
Expert Picks
W Kentucky 77.78%
Old Dominion 22.22%
324 Bets
3:30pmW Virginia vs Oklahoma St (ESPN)
Expert Picks
Oklahoma St 36.55%
W Virginia 63.45%
1740 Bets
8:00pmOhio St vs Penn St (ABC)
Expert Picks
Penn St 8.56%
Ohio St 91.44%
3504 Bets
10:45pmArizona St vs Washington U (ESPN)
Expert Picks
Washington U 26.55%
Arizona St 73.45%
1356 Bets
12:00amNevada vs Hawaii
Expert Picks
Hawaii 21.05%
Nevada 78.95%
456 Bets
4:05pmSabres vs Sharks
Expert Picks
Sabres 5.00%
Sharks 95.00%
240 Bets
7:05pmBruins vs Maple Leafs
Expert Picks
Bruins 50.00%
Maple Leafs 50.00%
24 Bets
7:05pmRangers vs Canadiens
Expert Picks
Rangers 22.22%
Canadiens 77.78%
108 Bets
7:05pmDevils vs Senators
Expert Picks
Devils 50.00%
Senators 50.00%
24 Bets
7:05pmStars vs Islanders
Expert Picks
Islanders 0.00%
Stars 100.00%
12 Bets
7:05pmRed Wings vs Flyers
Expert Picks
Flyers 50.00%
Red Wings 50.00%
48 Bets
8:05pmBlackhawks vs Blues
Expert Picks
Blackhawks 62.50%
Blues 37.50%
96 Bets
8:05pmPenguins vs Predators
Expert Picks
Penguins 66.67%
Predators 33.33%
36 Bets
8:05pmLightning vs Wild
Expert Picks
Lightning 28.57%
Wild 71.43%
84 Bets
9:05pmPanthers vs Coyotes
Expert Picks
Panthers 40.00%
Coyotes 60.00%
60 Bets
10:05pmCapitals vs Flames
Expert Picks
Capitals 75.00%
Flames 25.00%
48 Bets








In the NFL, using public betting percentages can tell you a whole heck of a lot about a game, and seemingly more often than not, if you’re on the right side of those plays, you’re going to be a winner. In college football, the game is a little bit different, and using college football betting percentages is a much trickier game.

The reason that there is so much trickery in using the college football public betting percentages is because far too often, bettors just assume that a team that has so much betting action on it must end up being the better side to wager on. Often times that does end up being true in spite of the fact that it is contrary to the thoughts of conventional wagering which suggests that you want to be going against the public. However, line movement is the key item that you really have to look at.

The oddsmakers can’t possibly put as much time into handicapping out their college football odds as they do their NFL odds. The simple reason is that it comes down to quantities. There are 32 NFL teams, and on a week where no one is on bye, there are only 16 games to line. In college football, there are 126 teams at the FBS level as of 2014, and there could be 70 games per week to handicap, including the games between FBS and FCS teams. On top of that, oddsmakers have also been releasing betting lines for FCS vs. FCS games too, and that adds another several dozens of games to try to handicap on a weekly basis.

However, assuming we’re just sticking with the FBS vs. FBS games, college football public betting percentages don’t tell the whole story. The Florida State Seminoles, who won the National Championship in 2013, have become a popular team to bet against in 2014. They were -23.5 at one point against the NC State Wolfpack in the middle of the season, but by the time the game kicked off, that line was down to -16.5.

Just using the college football betting percentages, you’d see that around 60 percent of the betting action was on NC State, and one would assume right away that the Wolfpack were sharp. In this case, you’d be right. In fact, even if that number was up in the 70 percent range, we would still think that the oddsmakers just got that line wrong and all of the betting action, both sharp and square, was on the right side with NC State.

However, you have to stay true to looking at both the college football public betting percentages and the line movement. Had that FSU/NC State line not moved a full touchdown, the Seminoles would have been sharp, as the line would have not moved, and yet only 40 percent of the action would have been on the garnet and gold. You’ll often see this where unranked teams are favored over ranked teams or where perceived better teams are only short favorites on the road over perceived worse teams. Often times, you’ll see that the perceived better team is getting 70 percent of the betting action, yet the line isn’t going anywhere. That’s how you know that the perceived lesser team is one that is sharp, and then, you’ve mastered the art of using college football public betting percentages.


Trev Rogers

Trev Rogers

CEO of BetVega.com
Trev Rogers founded BetVega in 2004 and has grown the site into one of the largest sports information and handicapping web sites on the internet today. Trev and his team of writers covers the latest news in the world of sports, specializing in the NFL, NBA, MLB baseball, college football and college basketball. BetVega employs sports writers and handicappers that specialize in different sports, ensuring that our articles are well-written and offer a unique take on the betting odds for these events. Follow Trev on Twitter and Google+ . You can also see Trev Rogers Picks here on BetVega.com.
Trev Rogers

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Trev Rogers

Trev Rogers

CEO of BetVega.com
Trev Rogers founded BetVega in 2004 and has grown the site into one of the largest sports information and handicapping web sites on the internet today. Trev and his team of writers covers the latest news in the world of sports, specializing in the NFL, NBA, MLB baseball, college football and college basketball. BetVega employs sports writers and handicappers that specialize in different sports, ensuring that our articles are well-written and offer a unique take on the betting odds for these events. Follow Trev on Twitter and Google+ . You can also see Trev Rogers Picks here on BetVega.com.
Trev Rogers