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Trev Rogers

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Steve Merril

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Jimmy Boyd

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Jack Jones

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College Football: Who is the Public Betting On?

Who is the public betting on today in NCAA College Football? BetVega.com provides daily public betting trends from a collection of online sportsbooks providing betting public consensus picks percentages.


TIMEMATCHUPBETTING%ACTION
8:00pmArkansas St vs U.L. Lafayette (ESPN2)
Expert Picks
Arkansas St 44.83%
U.L. Lafayette 55.17%
1392 Bets
10/23 7:00pmConnecticut vs E Carolina (ESPNU)
Expert Picks
E Carolina 91.67%
Connecticut 8.33%
144 Bets
10/23 8:00pmMiami Florida vs Virginia Tech (ESPN)
Expert Picks
Virginia Tech 68.42%
Miami Florida 31.58%
228 Bets
10/24 7:30pmTroy vs S Alabama (ESPNU)
Expert Picks
Troy 33.33%
S Alabama 66.67%
36 Bets
10/24 7:00pmS Florida vs Cincinnati U
Expert Picks
Cincinnati U 50.00%
S Florida 50.00%
96 Bets
10/24 9:00pmBYU vs Boise St
Expert Picks
BYU 28.57%
Boise St 71.43%
336 Bets
10/24 10:00pmOregon vs California
Expert Picks
Oregon 71.43%
California 28.57%
168 Bets
10/25 12:00pmS Carolina vs Auburn
Expert Picks
Auburn 75.00%
S Carolina 25.00%
96 Bets
10/25 1:00pmNO Illinois vs E Michigan
Expert Picks
NO Illinois 75.00%
E Michigan 25.00%
48 Bets
10/25 3:30pmMississippi St vs Kentucky
Expert Picks
Kentucky 9.68%
Mississippi St 90.32%
372 Bets
10/25 12:00pmSyracuse vs Clemson
Expert Picks
Syracuse 75.00%
Clemson 25.00%
96 Bets
10/25 12:00pmMinnesota U vs Illinois
Expert Picks
Illinois 0.00%
Minnesota U 100.00%
24 Bets
10/25 2:00pmAkron vs Ball St
Expert Picks
Ball St 0.00%
Akron 100.00%
12 Bets
10/25 3:30pmC Michigan vs Buffalo U
Expert Picks
C Michigan 100.00%
Buffalo U 0.00%
12 Bets
10/25 2:00pmOhio U vs W Michigan
Expert Picks
Ohio U 0.00%
W Michigan 100.00%
204 Bets
10/25 5:00pmTemple vs C Florida
Expert Picks
Temple 0.00%
C Florida 100.00%
48 Bets
10/25 12:30pmN Carolina vs Virginia
Expert Picks
Virginia 77.78%
N Carolina 22.22%
216 Bets
10/25 3:30pmGeorgia Tech vs Pittsburgh U
Expert Picks
Georgia Tech 83.33%
Pittsburgh U 16.67%
72 Bets
10/25 12:00pmMaryland vs Wisconsin
Expert Picks
Wisconsin 22.22%
Maryland 77.78%
108 Bets
10/25 4:00pmVanderbilt vs Missouri
Expert Picks
Vanderbilt 40.00%
Missouri 60.00%
60 Bets
10/25 2:00pmMassachusetts vs Toledo
Expert Picks
Toledo 0.00%
Massachusetts 100.00%
12 Bets
10/25 2:00pmUCLA vs Colorado
Expert Picks
Colorado 33.33%
UCLA 66.67%
36 Bets
10/25 12:00pmRutgers vs Nebraska
Expert Picks
Nebraska 66.67%
Rutgers 33.33%
36 Bets
10/25 2:30pmKent vs Miami Ohio
Expert Picks
Miami Ohio 100.00%
Kent 0.00%
12 Bets
10/25 12:00pmAla Birmingham vs Arkansas
Expert Picks
Ala Birmingham 0.00%
Arkansas 100.00%
60 Bets
10/25 3:30pmTexas Tech vs TCU
Expert Picks
TCU 70.00%
Texas Tech 30.00%
120 Bets
10/25 12:00pmMemphis vs SMU
Expert Picks
Memphis 100.00%
SMU 0.00%
24 Bets
10/25 3:30pmOregon St vs Stanford
Expert Picks
Stanford 0.00%
Oregon St 100.00%
60 Bets
10/25 3:30pmAlabama vs Tennessee U
Expert Picks
Tennessee U 16.00%
Alabama 84.00%
300 Bets
10/25 3:30pmMichigan vs Michigan St
Expert Picks
Michigan St 95.65%
Michigan 4.35%
276 Bets
10/25 7:00pmWyoming vs Colorado State
Expert Picks
Colorado State 100.00%
Wyoming 0.00%
36 Bets
10/25 7:15pmMississippi vs LSU
Expert Picks
Mississippi 84.85%
LSU 15.15%
396 Bets
10/25 6:00pmArizona U vs Washington St
Expert Picks
Arizona U 61.54%
Washington St 38.46%
156 Bets
10/25 10:00pmUSC vs Utah
Expert Picks
Utah 20.00%
USC 80.00%
120 Bets
10/25 2:00pmGeorgia Southern vs Georgia St
Expert Picks
Georgia Southern 100.00%
Georgia St 0.00%
12 Bets
10/25 12:00pmN Texas vs Rice
Expert Picks
Rice 0.00%
N Texas 100.00%
48 Bets
10/25 3:30pmLouisiana Tech vs SO Mississippi
Expert Picks
Louisiana Tech 100.00%
SO Mississippi 0.00%
12 Bets
10/25 3:30pmFlorida Atlantic vs Marshall
Expert Picks
Marshall 94.74%
Florida Atlantic 5.26%
228 Bets
10/25 4:00pmOld Dominion vs W Kentucky
Expert Picks
W Kentucky 100.00%
Old Dominion 0.00%
24 Bets
10/25 3:30pmW Virginia vs Oklahoma St
Expert Picks
Oklahoma St 33.33%
W Virginia 66.67%
144 Bets
10/25 12:00pmTexas vs Kansas St
Expert Picks
Texas 16.67%
Kansas St 83.33%
360 Bets
10/25 8:00pmOhio St vs Penn St
Expert Picks
Penn St 6.67%
Ohio St 93.33%
360 Bets
10/26 12:00amNevada vs Hawaii
Expert Picks
Hawaii 0.00%
Nevada 100.00%
24 Bets
7:05pmSharks vs Bruins
Expert Picks
Bruins 50.00%
Sharks 50.00%
72 Bets
7:05pmRangers vs Devils
Expert Picks
Rangers 16.67%
Devils 83.33%
72 Bets
7:05pmMaple Leafs vs Islanders
Expert Picks
Islanders 83.33%
Maple Leafs 16.67%
144 Bets
7:35pmRed Wings vs Canadiens
Expert Picks
Canadiens 95.45%
Red Wings 4.55%
264 Bets
8:05pmCoyotes vs Predators
Expert Picks
Coyotes 0.00%
Predators 100.00%
300 Bets
8:05pmHurricanes vs Winnipeg Jets
Expert Picks
Hurricanes 25.00%
Winnipeg Jets 75.00%
48 Bets
8:35pmFlyers vs Blackhawks
Expert Picks
Flyers 0.00%
Blackhawks 100.00%
132 Bets
8:35pmCanucks vs Stars
Expert Picks
Stars 66.67%
Canucks 33.33%
36 Bets
9:05pmLightning vs Flames
Expert Picks
Lightning 50.00%
Flames 50.00%
24 Bets
9:05pmPanthers vs Avalanche
Expert Picks
Panthers 0.00%
Avalanche 100.00%
180 Bets








In the NFL, using public betting percentages can tell you a whole heck of a lot about a game, and seemingly more often than not, if you’re on the right side of those plays, you’re going to be a winner. In college football, the game is a little bit different, and using college football betting percentages is a much trickier game.

The reason that there is so much trickery in using the college football public betting percentages is because far too often, bettors just assume that a team that has so much betting action on it must end up being the better side to wager on. Often times that does end up being true in spite of the fact that it is contrary to the thoughts of conventional wagering which suggests that you want to be going against the public. However, line movement is the key item that you really have to look at.

The oddsmakers can’t possibly put as much time into handicapping out their college football odds as they do their NFL odds. The simple reason is that it comes down to quantities. There are 32 NFL teams, and on a week where no one is on bye, there are only 16 games to line. In college football, there are 126 teams at the FBS level as of 2014, and there could be 70 games per week to handicap, including the games between FBS and FCS teams. On top of that, oddsmakers have also been releasing betting lines for FCS vs. FCS games too, and that adds another several dozens of games to try to handicap on a weekly basis.

However, assuming we’re just sticking with the FBS vs. FBS games, college football public betting percentages don’t tell the whole story. The Florida State Seminoles, who won the National Championship in 2013, have become a popular team to bet against in 2014. They were -23.5 at one point against the NC State Wolfpack in the middle of the season, but by the time the game kicked off, that line was down to -16.5.

Just using the college football betting percentages, you’d see that around 60 percent of the betting action was on NC State, and one would assume right away that the Wolfpack were sharp. In this case, you’d be right. In fact, even if that number was up in the 70 percent range, we would still think that the oddsmakers just got that line wrong and all of the betting action, both sharp and square, was on the right side with NC State.

However, you have to stay true to looking at both the college football public betting percentages and the line movement. Had that FSU/NC State line not moved a full touchdown, the Seminoles would have been sharp, as the line would have not moved, and yet only 40 percent of the action would have been on the garnet and gold. You’ll often see this where unranked teams are favored over ranked teams or where perceived better teams are only short favorites on the road over perceived worse teams. Often times, you’ll see that the perceived better team is getting 70 percent of the betting action, yet the line isn’t going anywhere. That’s how you know that the perceived lesser team is one that is sharp, and then, you’ve mastered the art of using college football public betting percentages.


Trev Rogers

Trev Rogers

CEO of BetVega.com
Trev Rogers founded BetVega in 2004 and has grown the site into one of the largest sports information and handicapping web sites on the internet today. Trev and his team of writers covers the latest news in the world of sports, specializing in the NFL, NBA, MLB baseball, college football and college basketball. BetVega employs sports writers and handicappers that specialize in different sports, ensuring that our articles are well-written and offer a unique take on the betting odds for these events. Follow Trev on Twitter and Google+ . You can also see Trev Rogers Picks here on BetVega.com.
Trev Rogers

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Trev Rogers

Trev Rogers

CEO of BetVega.com
Trev Rogers founded BetVega in 2004 and has grown the site into one of the largest sports information and handicapping web sites on the internet today. Trev and his team of writers covers the latest news in the world of sports, specializing in the NFL, NBA, MLB baseball, college football and college basketball. BetVega employs sports writers and handicappers that specialize in different sports, ensuring that our articles are well-written and offer a unique take on the betting odds for these events. Follow Trev on Twitter and Google+ . You can also see Trev Rogers Picks here on BetVega.com.
Trev Rogers