Oregon vs. Ohio State: Who is the Public Betting On?

Who is the public betting on today in NCAA College Football? BetVega.com provides daily public betting trends from a collection of online sportsbooks providing betting public consensus picks percentages.


CFB: WHO IS THE PUBLIC BETTING ON?
TIMEMATCHUPBETTING%ACTION
11/03 8:00pmNO Illinois vs Toledo
Expert Picks
NO Illinois 44.44%
Toledo 55.56%
108 Bets
11/04 8:00pmOhio U vs Bowling Green
Expert Picks
Ohio U 33.33%
Bowling Green 66.67%
72 Bets
11/05 7:30pmBaylor vs Kansas St
Expert Picks
Baylor 60.00%
Kansas St 40.00%
60 Bets
11/05 7:30pmArkansas St vs Appalachian St
Expert Picks
Arkansas St 50.00%
Appalachian St 50.00%
24 Bets
11/05 7:30pmBall St vs W Michigan
Expert Picks
W Michigan 50.00%
Ball St 50.00%
24 Bets
11/05 9:00pmMississippi St vs Missouri
Expert Picks
Mississippi St 80.00%
Missouri 20.00%
60 Bets
11/05 10:30pmNevada vs Fresno St
Expert Picks
Fresno St 0.00%
Nevada 100.00%
12 Bets
11/06 8:00pmTemple vs SMU
Expert Picks
Temple 100.00%
SMU 0.00%
48 Bets
11/07 1:00amBYU vs San Jose St
Expert Picks
San Jose St 100.00%
BYU 0.00%
12 Bets
11/07 12:00pmIllinois vs Purdue
Expert Picks
Purdue 100.00%
Illinois 0.00%
12 Bets
11/07 12:00pmDuke vs N Carolina
Expert Picks
N Carolina 66.67%
Duke 33.33%
36 Bets
11/07 12:00pmTexas Tech vs W Virginia
Expert Picks
Texas Tech 100.00%
W Virginia 0.00%
252 Bets
11/07 12:00pmKentucky vs Georgia
Expert Picks
Kentucky 66.67%
Georgia 33.33%
36 Bets
11/07 3:30pmIowa vs Indiana U
Expert Picks
Iowa 71.43%
Indiana U 28.57%
84 Bets
11/07 12:00pmVanderbilt vs Florida
Expert Picks
Vanderbilt 0.00%
Florida 100.00%
36 Bets
11/07 12:30pmSyracuse vs Louisville
Expert Picks
Syracuse 0.00%
Louisville 100.00%
12 Bets
11/07 12:00pmCincinnati U vs Houston U
Expert Picks
Cincinnati U 0.00%
Houston U 100.00%
12 Bets
11/07 2:30pmE Michigan vs Miami Ohio
Expert Picks
Miami Ohio 0.00%
E Michigan 100.00%
12 Bets
11/07 12:30pmPenn St vs Northwestern
Expert Picks
Northwestern 66.67%
Penn St 33.33%
36 Bets
11/07 4:00pmNew Mexico St vs Texas St
Expert Picks
New Mexico St 50.00%
Texas St 50.00%
24 Bets
11/07 8:00pmKansas vs Texas
Expert Picks
Kansas 0.00%
Texas 100.00%
12 Bets
11/07 1:00pmStanford vs Colorado
Expert Picks
Stanford 100.00%
Colorado 0.00%
48 Bets
11/07 3:30pmUtah St vs New Mexico
Expert Picks
Utah St 100.00%
New Mexico 0.00%
12 Bets
11/07 7:30pmUtah vs Washington U
Expert Picks
Washington U 0.00%
Utah 100.00%
36 Bets
11/07 10:30pmArizona U vs USC
Expert Picks
Arizona U 0.00%
USC 100.00%
36 Bets
11/07 7:00pmIowa St vs Oklahoma
Expert Picks
Iowa St 100.00%
Oklahoma 0.00%
12 Bets
11/07 3:30pmTCU vs Oklahoma St
Expert Picks
Oklahoma St 33.33%
TCU 66.67%
36 Bets
11/07 3:30pmNavy vs Memphis
Expert Picks
Memphis 100.00%
Navy 0.00%
12 Bets
11/07 3:30pmWisconsin vs Maryland
Expert Picks
Wisconsin 100.00%
Maryland 0.00%
12 Bets
11/07 8:00pmLSU vs Alabama
Expert Picks
Alabama 50.00%
LSU 50.00%
72 Bets
11/07 3:30pmUL Monroe vs Troy
Expert Picks
UL Monroe 0.00%
Troy 100.00%
12 Bets
11/07 10:30pmCalifornia vs Oregon
Expert Picks
Oregon 100.00%
California 0.00%
12 Bets
11/07 12:00pmNotre Dame vs Pittsburgh U
Expert Picks
Notre Dame 66.67%
Pittsburgh U 33.33%
36 Bets
11/07 3:30pmArkansas vs Mississippi
Expert Picks
Mississippi 100.00%
Arkansas 0.00%
12 Bets
11/07 8:00pmMinnesota U vs Ohio St
Expert Picks
Minnesota U 60.00%
Ohio St 40.00%
60 Bets
11/07 7:30pmAuburn vs Texas A&M
Expert Picks
Texas A&M 0.00%
Auburn 100.00%
12 Bets
11/07 3:30pmArizona St vs Washington St
Expert Picks
Washington St 66.67%
Arizona St 33.33%
36 Bets
11/07 3:00pmIdaho vs S Alabama
Expert Picks
Idaho 50.00%
S Alabama 50.00%
24 Bets








In the NFL, using public betting percentages can tell you a whole heck of a lot about a game, and seemingly more often than not, if you’re on the right side of those plays, you’re going to be a winner. In college football, the game is a little bit different, and using college football betting percentages is a much trickier game.

The reason that there is so much trickery in using the college football public betting percentages is because far too often, bettors just assume that a team that has so much betting action on it must end up being the better side to wager on. Often times that does end up being true in spite of the fact that it is contrary to the thoughts of conventional wagering which suggests that you want to be going against the public. However, line movement is the key item that you really have to look at.

The oddsmakers can’t possibly put as much time into handicapping out their college football odds as they do their NFL odds. The simple reason is that it comes down to quantities. There are 32 NFL teams, and on a week where no one is on bye, there are only 16 games to line. In college football, there are 126 teams at the FBS level as of 2014, and there could be 70 games per week to handicap, including the games between FBS and FCS teams. On top of that, oddsmakers have also been releasing betting lines for FCS vs. FCS games too, and that adds another several dozens of games to try to handicap on a weekly basis.

However, assuming we’re just sticking with the FBS vs. FBS games, college football public betting percentages don’t tell the whole story. The Florida State Seminoles, who won the National Championship in 2013, have become a popular team to bet against in 2014. They were -23.5 at one point against the NC State Wolfpack in the middle of the season, but by the time the game kicked off, that line was down to -16.5.

Just using the college football betting percentages, you’d see that around 60 percent of the betting action was on NC State, and one would assume right away that the Wolfpack were sharp. In this case, you’d be right. In fact, even if that number was up in the 70 percent range, we would still think that the oddsmakers just got that line wrong and all of the betting action, both sharp and square, was on the right side with NC State.

However, you have to stay true to looking at both the college football public betting percentages and the line movement. Had that FSU/NC State line not moved a full touchdown, the Seminoles would have been sharp, as the line would have not moved, and yet only 40 percent of the action would have been on the garnet and gold. You’ll often see this where unranked teams are favored over ranked teams or where perceived better teams are only short favorites on the road over perceived worse teams. Often times, you’ll see that the perceived better team is getting 70 percent of the betting action, yet the line isn’t going anywhere. That’s how you know that the perceived lesser team is one that is sharp, and then, you’ve mastered the art of using college football public betting percentages.