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Trev Rogers

Trev Rogers

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Steve Merril

Steve Merril currently #5 ranked all sports capper for 2014!

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Jack Jones

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NFL Consensus Picks: Who is the Public Betting On?


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TIMEMATCHUPBETTING%ACTION
11/27 12:30pmBears vs Lions
Expert Picks
Bears 42.86%
Lions 57.14%
1008 Bets
11/27 4:30pmEagles vs Cowboys
Expert Picks
Cowboys 60.78%
Eagles 39.22%
612 Bets
11/27 8:30pmSeahawks vs 49ers
Expert Picks
49ers 39.13%
Seahawks 60.87%
828 Bets
11/30 1:00pmRedskins vs Colts
Expert Picks
Redskins 10.53%
Colts 89.47%
456 Bets
11/30 1:00pmTitans vs Texans
Expert Picks
Titans 28.57%
Texans 71.43%
84 Bets
11/30 1:00pmGiants vs Jaguars
Expert Picks
Giants 95.65%
Jaguars 4.35%
276 Bets
11/30 1:00pmBengals vs Bucs
Expert Picks
Bucs 25.93%
Bengals 74.07%
324 Bets
11/30 1:00pmRaiders vs Rams
Expert Picks
Rams 96.15%
Raiders 3.85%
624 Bets
11/30 1:00pmPanthers vs Vikings
Expert Picks
Panthers 13.33%
Vikings 86.67%
180 Bets
11/30 4:05pmCardinals vs Falcons
Expert Picks
Cardinals 61.11%
Falcons 38.89%
432 Bets
11/30 4:25pmPatriots vs Packers
Expert Picks
Packers 38.24%
Patriots 61.76%
816 Bets
11/30 8:30pmBroncos vs Chiefs
Expert Picks
Broncos 67.86%
Chiefs 32.14%
672 Bets



You’ve heard of the terms “sharp” and “square” before for sure if you’re a seasoned bettor. The best way to tell whether you’re making a sharp play or a square play every week in the NFL is to analyze the NFL public betting percentages.

Every week at BetVega and various other sites, we have a listing of all of the games on the docket and what percentage of total bets are coming in on both sides of the game. Just because you see that one team has a massive percentage of the bets though, doesn’t mean that you can just assume that that is the square side, though it is often a good indication.

You also have to consider how early in the week it is, as well as what has happened to the betting lines and whether it makes sense for those line moves. Early on in the week in the NFL, it doesn’t take much in the way of big bets to move the betting lines. On top of that, line moves often fall in place with what we should be seeing with betting lines.

If a team moves from -2 to -3, you would think that over 60 percent of the bets would be on one side of the game. That’s what we see quite often, especially early in the week before lines tend to settle down a bit and move far less often.

There are also certain circumstances where lines move and you have to be aware that they might not mean as much as it seems like. Especially in th NFL, when a team goes from -6.5 to -7, it’s a big time move. It’s not such a big move to go from +9 to +7.5. Sometimes, sportsbooks will get a little cute and move a game from say, -3 (-120) to -3.5 (+105). You would think that the NFL public betting percentages would insinuate that a line move was warranted. Instead, there really isn’t all that much of a line move in actuality, and what we’re getting is a bit of a false line move that amounts to be virtually nothing.

That said, any time you see a line that isn’t moving or is moving in the opposite direction of what the NFL public betting percentages suggest, you know that a play is one to watch out for.

We see this all the time, especially with short road favorites or with big underdogs who have been playing terrible football. Teams that are big dogs beyond two touchdowns are often only garnering 30 percent of the betting action. However, when we see the line move from, say +16.5 to +15 and yet all of that betting is on the favored side, you know that the underdogs are sharp.

Keep in mind that you’ll see favored teams as sharp teams at times, but it isn’t all that often. Usually, it occurs with small favorites who are at home and playing against what is perceived to be a better team.

NFL public betting percentages are always your friend, as you know that you can figure out who the sharps and big bettors are betting on just by looking at the movement.

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Who is the public betting on? Get the latest NFL public betting information below.
Whether you fade the public or believe in strong money moves, our NFL public betting information consensus picks percentages will provide your answer.





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Trev Rogers

Trev Rogers

CEO of BetVega.com
Trev Rogers founded BetVega in 2004 and has grown the site into one of the largest sports information and handicapping web sites on the internet today. Trev and his team of writers covers the latest news in the world of sports, specializing in the NFL, NBA, MLB baseball, college football and college basketball. BetVega employs sports writers and handicappers that specialize in different sports, ensuring that our articles are well-written and offer a unique take on the betting odds for these events. Follow Trev on Twitter and Google+ . You can also see Trev Rogers Picks here on BetVega.com.
Trev Rogers

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Trev Rogers

Trev Rogers

CEO of BetVega.com
Trev Rogers founded BetVega in 2004 and has grown the site into one of the largest sports information and handicapping web sites on the internet today. Trev and his team of writers covers the latest news in the world of sports, specializing in the NFL, NBA, MLB baseball, college football and college basketball. BetVega employs sports writers and handicappers that specialize in different sports, ensuring that our articles are well-written and offer a unique take on the betting odds for these events. Follow Trev on Twitter and Google+ . You can also see Trev Rogers Picks here on BetVega.com.
Trev Rogers