It was a sensational Week 11 for us as our investments went 10-2 ATS with the only bad miss being Indianapolis, and those of you that waited and got the Ravens -3 instead of our -3½ went 10-1-1 ATS! We went 1-2 straight up with our Upset Specials winning with the Jets, although they did go 3-0 ATS with Cleveland and San Diego being the others.
This week’s rundown does not include non-lined game between the Steelers and Browns, Vikings and Bears, 49ers and Saints and Panthers and Eagles.
Oakland (+8) over Cincinnati – Yes the Raiders stink, but we can’t lay more than a touchdown with the Bengals either. The Raiders actually fall in a positive contrarian angle that has seen road underdogs go 203-163-7, 55.5 percent when coming off of at least two losses since 2005. (Expert Picks For This Game – Bet %)
Buffalo (+3) over Indianapolis – The Colts probably started their descent back to earth with the blowout loss to the Patriots, as this club is at least a year away from being a legitimate wild card contender. The Bills have had extra time to prepare for this after playing last Thursday. This would have been an Upset Special if we didn’t have three others. (Expert Picks For This Game – Bet %)
Kansas City (+10) over Denver – We are not crazy about this game, but we never give double-digits on the road in the NFL. Besides, the Broncos essentially wrapped up the AFC West by beating San Diego so they can afford a letdown for one week. (Expert Picks For This Game – Bet %)
Jacksonville (+3) over Tennessee – The Jaguars have the incredible stat of being 5-0 ATS on the road and 0-5 ATS at home this season! This could be the week that they not only cover but win outright at home because Tennessee should never be a road favorite. Upset Special #1 (Expert Picks For This Game – Bet %)
Atlanta (-1) over Tampa Bay – We love what the Buccaneers are doing right now, but this line might be an over-adjustment. A Tampa Bay win would pull the Bucs to within two games of the division lead and the Falcons will not let that happen. (Expert Picks For This Game – Bet %)
Miami (+3) over Seattle – Both of these teams have had long rest with the Seahawks coming off a bye and the Dolphins playing last Thursday. Seattle is 0-2 straight up as a road favorite and they are now favored in an early East Coast non-conference game. Upset Special #2 (Expert Picks For This Game – Bet %)
Baltimore (-1) over San Diego – The Ravens are in a bad sandwich spot between two meetings with the Steelers, but they would still like to maintain their two-game lead before the rematch and you can now stick a fork in the Chargers and probably Norv Turner after last week. (Expert Picks For This Game – Bet %)
St. Louis (+2.5) over Arizona – The Cardinals have the defense to make them dangerous as underdogs, but they are favored here and they are still a team that has lost six games in a row since a 4-0 start. (Expert Picks For This Game – Bet %)
Green Bay (+3) over NY Giants – The Giants have had a bye week to get healthier and prepare for this game, but the Packers have won five games in a row, are playing with playoff revenge, and Aaron Rodgers is always dangerous as an underdog. Upset Special #3 (Expert Picks For This Game – Bet %)