NFL Week 16 Game Predictions & Underdog Upset Picks


It was another struggle for us in Week 15 as we went just 6-8 ATS and 1-2 on our Upset Specials. The lone highlight was calling the 49ers outright upset of the Patriots.

There is one non-lined game on the Week 16 slate that we are not including, which is Washington vs. Philadelphia. We do like the Redskins there regardless of the quarterback.


Tennessee (+12½) over Green Bay – We like a lot of dogs this week as there are quite a few inflated lines. The Packers will win but Chris Johnson vs. a Green Bay run defense allowing 4.5 YPC allows Tennessee to hang. (Expert Picks For This GamePublic Bet %)


Oakland (+8) over Carolina – The Panthers are on fire but have they done enough to be favored by more than a touchdown? We get that the Raiders beating the Chiefs means nothing but at least Oakland showed a pulse. (Expert Picks For This GamePublic Bet %)


Buffalo (+4½) over Miami – Buffalo is coming off of a 50-17 loss to Seattle. NFL teams coming off of huge losses usually do well the following week, with Arizona last week being a case in point. Upset Special #1 (Expert Picks For This GamePublic Bet %)


Cincinnati (+4) over Pittsburgh – We see this contest as a field goal game either way so getting more than three points is worth taking. Where has the Pittsburgh running game gone? (Expert Picks For This GamePublic Bet %)



Jacksonville (+14½) over New England – The Patriots are usually scary coming off of a loss, but we can’t give more than two touchdowns on the road in the NFL. (Expert Picks For This GamePublic Bet %)


Kansas City (+7) over Indianapolis – The Colts can clinch a playoff spot, but as bad as the Chiefs have looked, we are not ready to trust Indianapolis giving a touchdown on the road just yet.
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New Orleans (+3) over Dallas – The weather should be fine in Dallas, or else the roof will be closed anyway. Thus we should get the Saints team we usually see at home here. Upset Special #2 (Expert Picks For This GamePublic Bet %)


Tampa Bay (-3) over St. Louis – Well we couldn’t take every underdog on the board, could we? The Buccaneers lost 41-0 to the Saints so the “embarrassing loss” angle applies. (Expert Picks For This GamePublic Bet %)


Baltimore (+2½) over NY Giants – Both of these teams have struggled lately but the Ravens have a new offensive coordinator while the Giants have an injury riddled defense that can’t stop anyone. Upset Special #3 (Expert Picks For This GamePublic Bet %)


Minnesota (+7½) over Houston – The Vikings are still in the playoff hunt and Adrian Peterson is simply indefensible right now regardless of the quality of the run defense he is facing. (Expert Picks For This GamePublic Bet %)


Cleveland (+13) over Denver – The Browns had a three-game winning steak snapped by the Redskins but they continue to play hard and this line would have been closer to 10 if Denver weren’t playing for a two-seed. (Expert Picks For This GamePublic Bet %)


Chicago (-5½) over Arizona – The Bears are the only decent-sized favorite we like this week as they suddenly need to win and get help to make the playoffs after a 7-1 start. (Expert Picks For This GamePublic Bet %)


San Francisco (PICK) over Seattle – We know that Seattle is unbelievably tough at home, but we think that the Niners are the better team from top to bottom so look for San Francisco to clinch the division. (Expert Picks For This GamePublic Bet %)


San Diego (+2½) over NY Jets – This could be the ugliest game of the week so we will just take the points in what amounts to a coin flip. (Expert Picks For This GamePublic Bet %)


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