We opened up the 2012 NFL campaign by going 1-2 straight up with our Week 1 upsets as the Cowboys came through at +160 vs. the defending champion Giants. Our selections went 2-1 ATS with the Jaguars covering in an overtime loss, blowing the upset at +190 odds in the final seconds of regulation time. And now we move on to Week 2.
UPSET #1: Kansas City Chiefs (+3) +150 over Buffalo Bills – Our third upset call was on the Bills last Sunday, but someone forgot to give them a wake-up call in a 48-28 loss to the Jets in a game they trailed 41-7 before some cosmetic scoring brought them closer. The supposed improved pass rush did nothing, not recording a sack, and Buffalo allowed 384 total yards. Now the Chiefs lost 40-24 to the Falcons, but at least they had the excuse of having five defensive players inactive including starters Brandon Flowers and Tamba Hali, and they were only down 20-17 at halftime before their lack of depth caught up to them in the second half vs. Atlanta’s hurry-up offense. Hali will definitely be back this week as could a couple of the other walking wounded, and the Chiefs’ offense did produce 393 total yards. Sure, Matt Cassel has his faults, but unlike Matt Ryan last week, he is now facing an equal in Ryan Fitzpatrick.
UPSET #2: Baltimore Ravens (+2½) +120 over Philadelphia Eagles – We admit that we are not going out on a limb here and Baltimore is actually the better team, but hey, as long as the Ravens are underdogs, it qualifies as an upset right? Much like the Chicago Bears over in the NFC, the Ravens have gone from relying on their defense to opening up the offense this year, and Baltimore looked great in the no-huddle vs. the Bengals in a 44-13 victory, accumulating 430 yards without committing a turnover. Meanwhile, the Eagles were life and death to get by the pitiful Browns 17-16 with Michael Vick throwing four interceptions, and Philadelphia would have gotten upset if Cleveland quarterback Brandon Weeden did not have the worst game of any Week 1 starting quarterback. We feel that the Eagles are overrated as it is, and now Vick’s primary receiver Jeremy Maclin is questionable with a right hip flexor.
UPSET #2: New York Jets (+5½) +210 over Pittsburgh Steelers – Now we step out with a bigger dog, and we feel the Jets are well worth it at this price. Poor Ben Roethlisberger was supposed to have things easier this season behind an improved offensive line after getting beat up physically the last couple of years, so what happens? First, the biggest reason for the line’s improvement, first round draft pick David DeCastro, suffers both a torn MCL and dislocated kneecap in preseason and is out until at least December. Then two more offensive linemen, Ramon Foster and Marcus Gilbert, left last week’s 31-19 loss to the Broncos with injuries. The Jets were apparently playing possum in preseason as the offense exploded against Buffalo. The Jets also played good pass defense before relaxing with a 41-7 lead, and the good news is that Darrelle Revis will not play this week after leaving that game with a mild concussion. Yes the rushing defense was shoddy, but the Steelers can’t run right now.