It was a great week for us in Week 8 as we went 9-3 ATS overall, and we went 2-1 outright with our Upset Specials, scoring with the Colts and Falcons. Let’s try and duplicate that success in Week 9.
Denver (-3½) over Cincinnati – The Bengals are 0-3 vs. teams that currently have winning records this season after going 0-7 vs. such teams last year, and the Broncos are on a nice roll as of late. (Live Odds – Expert Picks – Bet %)
Green Bay (-11) over Arizona – The Packers basically took last week off while beating Jacksonville 24-15, but don’t expect Aaron Rodgers to have two sub-par performances in a row. Besides, Arizona has no offensive line and can’t score. (Live Odds – Expert Picks – Bet %)
Miami (-2½) over Indianapolis – The Dolphins are finally getting some respect with this line after being underrated all year, as they have one of the best defenses in football that apparently nobody knows about. (Live Odds – Expert Picks – Bet %)
Baltimore (-3½) over Cleveland – The Ravens are coming off of a bye and should be breathing fire after getting beat down 43-13 at Houston for just their second loss of the year two weeks ago. Could Cleveland win two in a row? (Live Odds – Expert Picks – Bet %)
Buffalo (+10½) over Houston – Both of these teams are coming off a bye, so we will simply take the double-digits with the team that needs the game more. Buffalo still only trails New England by one game in the AFC Least. Houston has bigger games coming up. (Live Odds – Expert Picks – Bet %)
Washington (-3) over Carolina – The Redskins may be the best 3-5 team in the league and the Panthers figure to have a letdown after a game effort where they blew a 12-point lead in Chicago. (Live Odds – Expert Picks – Bet %)
Detroit (-3½) over Jacksonville – Speaking of letdowns after game efforts, the Jaguars gave the Packers a scare in Green Bay. The Lions need to keep winning to have any chance at the playoffs. (Live Odds – Expert Picks – Bet %)
Chicago (-3) over Tennessee – The 6-1 Bears have a number-one seed in their sites, so they cannot afford to slip up in winnable games like this, even if it is out of conference. (Live Odds – Expert Picks – Bet %)
Upset Special #1 Minnesota (+5) over Seattle – This line seems like an overreaction to the Vikings’ ugly nationally televised loss to Tampa Bay, as Seattle would have been -3 a week ago. (Live Odds – Expert Picks – Bet %)
Tampa Bay (+1½) over Oakland – The Buccaneers have been in high gear offensively since their bye, averaging 34.0 points in three games. The Raiders feasted on cupcakes the last two weeks. (Live Odds – Expert Picks – Bet %)
Upset Special #2 Pittsburgh (+3½) over NY Giants – The Giants would have lost to the Cowboys if not for six Dallas turnovers, and the Steelers look like their old selves with the running game clicking. (Live Odds – Expert Picks – Bet %)
Upset Special #3 Dallas (+4) over Atlanta – The Cowboys would have beaten the Giants if not for six Dallas turnovers (sound familiar?), and although Atlanta is 7-0, the Falcons are allowing 5.1 yards per rush and have feasted upon much lesser opposition in remaining undefeated. (Live Odds – Expert Picks – Bet %)
New Orleans (-3) over Philadelphia – The Philadelphia offensive line is so bad that even the Saints can pressure Michaels Vick into mistakes, and nobody slows down Drew Brees in the Superdome. (Live Odds – Expert Picks – Bet %)
[...] Underdog Picks November 9, 2011 By Mike Rose Leave a Comment It was an ugly NFL Week 9 as we went 5-8 ATS. We did nail our outright Upset Special with Cincinnati over Tennessee. There is a full schedule [...]