There are some people in certain circles that feel Oklahoma State has a chance to crash the BCS Championship Game with a big win over Oklahoma on Saturday. We are not one of those people, as we feel that an LSU vs. Alabama rematch is already etched in stone regardless of what LSU does this week.
That should be a moot point though, as we are looking for Oklahoma to upset the Cowboys in Stillwater this Saturday, quite possibly knocking Oklahoma State out of the BCS bowl picture entirely. Oklahoma State is a (-3½) favorite at home, with the total set at 74.
Oklahoma-OSU Offenses:People are enamored with the Oklahoma State offense, and rightfully so as it is averaging 49.8 points and 562.6 total yards per game, and those figures rise to an unbelievable 55.8 points and 607.2 yards when playing here in Stillwater! That said, the Cowboys have probably not faced a defense as good as Oklahoma’s all year, and Oklahoma State is coming off of its worst offensive performance of the entire season in a shocking 37-31 overtime loss at Iowa State.
Besides, the Cowboys have probably had the far superior offense in every one of their games this season, and Oklahoma is much closer to them in offensive performance than the other teams they have faced. The Sooners are averaging 43.0 points and 547.9 yards per game, and their numbers do not slip when they go on the road, where they average 44.2 points and 533.6 yards. Remember that Oklahoma State was a small favorite in this matchup here in Stillwater last season, and the Sooners still prevailed 47-41 to make it seven straight wins for Oklahoma in this head-to-head series.
Oklahoma-OSU Defenses:The defensive side of the ball is where Oklahoma has a huge advantage, and that’s the reason the Sooners will not only cover but win this game outright! Oklahoma has a good defense by Big 12 standards, allowing 20.8 points and 373.0 yards per game while surrendering just 3.4 yards per rush and 6.9 yards per pass attempt. Now we get that nobody shuts down the Oklahoma State offense entirely, but this defense is good enough to at least keep the Cowboys in check, allowing the Sooners’ offense to win this game for them.
The Oklahoma State defense is more typical of the Big 12, as that unit is allowing 27.3 points and 453.6 total yards per game. The Cowboys have been vulnerable to the run, allowing 4.4 yards per rush, so with Oklahoma averaging a nice 4.8 yards per carry on the ground, look for the Cowboys to get worn down up front and for Sooners’ quarterback Landry Jones to then pick apart a tired defense.
Oklahoma-OSU “Bedlam” Prediction:The big advantage that the Sooners’ defense has over the Oklahoma State defense here seems to outweigh the much smaller advantage that the Cowboys’ offense has over the Oklahoma offense. Do not be surprised if Oklahoma State is held below 40 points for the second straight game.
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