The Pac-12 title race is heating up, and today, we are analyzing the college football betting odds in the ginormous game between the Oregon Ducks and USC Trojans.
The Men of Troy know that they need this game to stay in the Pac-12 Championship Game race. Oregon is a team that is still on the verge of the BCS National Championship, and winning five more games in succession will likely get it down to Miami for the title game this year. This 7:00 p.m. kickoff features the Ducks favored by just over a touchdown.
Why Oregon will cover the spread: The Ducks will cover the spread if this offense doesn’t have dull moments like it did last year when these two teams met. The Quack Attack went almost 25 minutes without scoring to start off the game. We have seen this team do this all year long. For example: Take the game against the Arizona State Sun Devils. Oregon scored 43 in the first half of that clash and looked like it would get to 100 if it wanted to. And then it got shut out in the second half. That just can’t happen in this spot if the Ducks expect to topple the Trojans in their own backyard.
Why Southern Cal will cover the spread: USC will cover the spread if it is mentally in the game. QB Matt Barkley did everything that he could last week to beat the Arizona Wildcats, but the defense just wasn’t in tune with what was going on. This game is at home, and it is clearly the biggest game of the year. The Trojans have proven in the past that they can hang with the Ducks, but their offense has to keep scoring at a rapid pace to be able to keep up.
Total Talk: One would figure that this is going to be a high scoring game. There were 73 that went on the board when these two met last year, and had Oregon’s last field goal attempt gone through, goodness knows how many points overtime could have yielded. Three straight in this series have gone ‘over’ the ‘total’ due to the fact that neither defense really had the full-time answer for the other’s offense. The Ducks have scored at least 42 points in all of their games this year, while the Trojans have put up 86 over the course of the last two weeks combined.
Betting Trends for USC-OREGON: Oregon enters this one on a three-game cover streak, while USC has failed to cover three out of four and six out of eight. Last year, USC was a 16.5-point underdog that ended up pulling off the upset to ruin Oregon’s season, but over the course of the previous four years, the Ducks were 3-1 SU and ATS. This should be a great game that comes down to the wire one way or the other, and if that’s the case, there is no reason to think that the Men of Troy won’t at least cover the closing number in front of a rabid home crowd.
Oregon 41 – USC 37