The 2011 NFL betting season has finally arrived, and here at BetVega, we’re thrilled to be preparing for the first clash of the season between the New Orleans Saints and the Green Bay Packers!
BETTING ODDS: OPEN: Packers -4.5 | CURRENT: Packers -4 | O/U: 47
1. Why New Orleans will cover the spread: You know that there has been a ton of ill feeling building up inside of the Saints since their epic failure at the Seattle Seahawks in the playoffs last year. What better way to prove that they are back and still in Super Bowl form than to go into the house of the defending champs and pull off the upset? New Orleans also only lost two games by more than four points of any consequence whatsoever on the road a year ago.
2. Why Green Bay will cover the spread: Many think that this is the best team in football once again this year, particularly after the lockout shortened training camp. QB Aaron Rodgers might be the best in the biz, and he is getting back two of his critical pieces to the puzzle that weren’t around for the Super Bowl run a season ago; TE Jermichael Finley and RB Ryan Grant.
3. Total Talk: Historically, it feels like these two teams should be playing high scoring games. After all, they both scored over 380 points a season ago, and both clearly have the ability to put 30+ points up in a game. However, just remembering some of those high scoring playoff games, like the one that Green Bay played against Atlanta and the one that New Orleans played against Seattle is probably not a good idea. The Packers only went 6-10 for ‘over’ bettors a season ago, while New Orleans went an iffy 8-8.
4. Betting Trends for the game: These two teams haven’t met each other since 2008, and they have only met four times since 1995. The Saints have played well, going 3-1 SU and ATS in that stretch, including posting a big 34-27 win at Lambeau Field in ’06. Of late though, New Orleans hasn’t been all that impressive, failing to cover five of its last seven games of last season. Green Bay went 9-7 ATS in 2010, but it also stormed through the postseason with four straight SU wins and covers against the closing NFL lines.
5. Outcome Prediction: These two teams are awfully similar in nature, and we were actually surprised to not see them both hanging around deep into the playoffs a season ago. QB Drew Brees is a forgotten man though, and he has a great young back in RB Mark Ingram who has the potential to shine. People tend to forget that the Saints were battered by injuries last season and were still the real deal. Don’t be overly shocked if they pull off the upset at Lambeau Field on Thursday night to start off the season.