Ravens-Broncos Week 1 Point Spread Preview, Expert Picks, Score Prediction
Football is almost upon us and the first game on the plate for Week 1 is a re-match of the best playoff game of last year with the Denver Broncos hosting the Baltimore Ravens. It’s only the regular season, but Denver will look to avenge one of the most heartbreaking losses in franchise history after a gut-wrenching 38-35 double OT loss to Baltimore made them one and done in the playoffs last year.
The oddsmakers believe that Denver will be more than capable of exacting a little revenge as the Broncos are eight point favorites in this one. The total is set at 47.5 which is somewhat surprising considering the caliber of the defenses involved.
RAVENS – BRONCOS WEEK 1 BETTING LINE:
OPEN: BRONCOS -8 | CURRENT: BRONCOS -7.5 | O/U: 49
1. Why Baltimore will cover the spread: Time waits for no man, and the clock is really starting to tick on Peyton Manning. When quarterbacks lose it, it seems to just happen overnight and this might be the year #18 can’t handle the job anymore. The Ravens lost a lot in the offseason, but QB Joe Flacco took a jump into elite status with his stunning postseason performance last year. Baltimore also has one of the best coaches in the game in John Harbaugh and will be more than prepared coming into this game.
2. Why Denver will cover the spread: Revenge is a dish best served cold and the Broncos have had eight agonizingly long months to ponder their loss to the Ravens. Denver only got better in the offseason too with the acquisition of WR Wes Welker giving Manning yet another top target. Denver’s WR corps could be the best in the league between Welker, Eric Decker and Demaryius Thomas and Baltimore will have trouble matching up in its first game without the veteran presence of Ed Reed steadying the secondary.
3. Total Talk: Baltimore scored at least 24 points in every postseason game, even lighting up defenses as solid as the 49ers and Broncos units. Last year, the Broncos were one of the best teams to bet on to go ‘Over’ the total, going 11-5-1 between the regular season and postseason in 2012. Denver also ended the season by scoring at least 30 points in four straight games. These two teams met twice last season and both games ended up going ‘Over’ with a combined 124 points scored.
4. Betting Trends for Ravens/Broncos:Before falling to the Ravens in a stunning playoff defeat, the Broncos had reeled off four straight wins against the betting line, covering a double-digit line in three of those four. Last year, the Broncos went 4-0 ATS versus the AFC North and all four of those games also went over the total for gamblers looking to double their money through parlays. Baltimore covered their last four games (all postseason) including three as underdogs en route to its Super Bowl title last season. However, the Ravens also finished the regular season on a major skid, going just 1-4 ATS with four losses in their last five games.
Denver 31 – Baltimore 20