Ravens vs. Lions Point MNF Spread Preview, Expert Picks, Score Prediction
Week 15 is set to wrap in the Motor City where the Detroit Lions will look to bounce back from last week’s disappointing result in the City of Brotherly Love against a Baltimore Ravens outfit that enters on the completely different end of the spectrum. In one of the wildest finishes in NFL history, the Ravens took their third lead of the game in the last three minutes to topple what proved to be a game Vikings team. The news wasn’t nearly as good for the Lions who choked away what looked to be a surefire win against the Eagles by giving up 28 points in the 4th quarter.
OPEN: LIONS -5 | CURRENT: LIONS -6 | O/U: 48
1. Why the RAVENS will cover the spread: Regardless of the personnel lost this past off-season, you simply can’t count this team out. Coach John Harbaugh and his staff have been through the wars with this team, so they’re fully capable of once again leading this franchise to the promised land even with a bevy of new faces in the mix. On top of that, they’re still the defending champs, and the players that won it all last season don’t look to be the least bit willing of just handing that title over. Last week’s insane last second win over the Vikings checked in as the team’s third straight win, and it catapulted them into the 6th seed in the AFC due to holding the tiebreaker over the Dolphins. The Ravens have covered six of their L/8 MNF appearances.
2. Why the LIONS will cover the spread: Redemption and desperation. The Lions looked well on their way towards securing an enormous road win and cover at Philly on Sunday after taking a 14-0 lead into the 4th quarter in one of the more spectacular looking snow games ever to be played on the gridiron. But things got away from Coach Schwartz’s team fast after RB LeSean McCoy found his footing and rumbled for 200+ yards and a pair of scores en route to leading the Eagles to their fifth straight win. With the Cowboys doing them no favors in Chicago last Monday night, Detroit now only sits atop the NFC North due to owning the tiebreaker over the Bears.
Any more slipups, and they’re liable of choking away the division lead and being forced to do a whole heck of a lot of scoreboard watching the L/2 weeks of the season. Detroit’s covered its L/2 MNF appearances (1-1 SU).
3. Total Talk: These teams have combined for high scorers in six of their L/8 played games with the average combined score coming out to 46.9 PPG. Baltimore has cashed ‘over’ tickets in three of its L/4 road games and in four of six overall. Detroit has combined with its opponents for high scorers in five of six overall at home and averaged scoring 31.7 PPG in those games. The ‘over’ is 4-1 the L/5 times the Ravens ran up against a +.500 home team, while the ‘over’ has cashed at a 19-9-1 clip in the Lions L/29 December games.
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4. Betting Trends for RAVENS/LIONS:This non-con MNF battle is a match-up of the Top 10 Ravens defense against the Lions Top 6 ranked offense. Who wins out? In this day and age of the NFL that sees yellow flags fly anytime an offensive player is breathed on the wrong way, one would likely say the Lions hold the upper hand in this one. However, this club has dropped some head-scratchers over the last month (PIT, TBY, PHI) and I’m just not a believer in Schwartz or his staff being able to get this club to put its best foot forward when it matters most; Detroit’s 3-7 SU 2-8 ATS its L/10 December games. Detroit failed to cover each of its previous three home games against the Buccaneers, Cowboys, and Bengals before smashing the Packers on Turkey Day.
Baltimore is a proud franchise that’s still the owner of the Lombardi Trophy. While they might not win this one SU, I can’t help but take the points here with them 7-3 ATS their L/10 on field turf and owning that solid resume under the Monday Night Lights. Look for Flacco and company to keep it close!
Detroit 27 – Baltimore 24