Super Bowl Odds are on the move once again after another crazy week of NFL action. Depending on your sportsbook, the Patriots or LA Rams are now the top favorites to win the Super Bowl in February. The Rams continue to look dominant with 2 blow-out wins to open the season over the Raiders and Cards. The Patriots trade for WR Josh Gordon seems to have oddsmakers forgetting about their loss in Jacksonville.
You will see the opening Super Bowl Odds for each NFL team, along with their current odds to win the Super Bowl in February 2019.
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ODDS TO WIN THE SUPER BOWL:
Opening Super Bowl Odds Vegas Favorites:
The Philadelphia Eagles were tabbed +5000 underdogs on the Super Bowl odds to raise the Lombardi Trophy early last season. The Los Angeles Rams, Jacksonville Jaguars and Buffalo Bills all went off the board with +10000 or greater odds to win the big game heading into last season. All four teams qualified for the playoffs to offer up astute futures bettors fantastic hedging opportunities once the postseason came around.
Bottom line, there was some fantastic line value to take advantage of save for backing the New England Patriots who opened chalk to win the big game and remained that way up until it kicked off. Who will be this season’s big dogs overlooked by linemakers? Which chalks should be targeted? Let’s dig in and put some of the Super Bowl 53 futures odds movement under the microscope and see if the early betting hype is for real or hot steam. All odds mentioned are from MyBookie Sportsbook. See our exclusive MyBookie Promo Code.
Who Are the Wise Guys Picking To Win The Super Bowl?
NFL Wise guys are of the belief linemakers either got it wrong or are hunting for line value early on with the Arizona Cardinals (+7500), Baltimore Ravens (+4000), Buffalo Bills (+8000), Cleveland Browns (+6600), Indianapolis Colts (+5000), Miami Dolphins (+10000), New York Jets (+10000) and Seattle Seahawks (+5000).
I’m not buying any Browns shares at this point in time, but you can’t help but think Cleveland will put a more cohesive and formidable team onto the gridiron with the moves made this past offseason. Their 4.5 game season win total is one game fewer than that of the Arizona Cardinals who saw their odds to win SB LIII shorten up by $2500 since first opening.
I’m not buying Arizona either, but a healthy David Johnson will no doubt do wonders for its offense. Remember, Zona is just two seasons removed from playing in the NFC Championship Game. But are you willing to throw your money on Sam Bradford, Mike Glennon or Josh Rosen leading this franchise to Super Bowl glory? Didn’t think so.
Are the Ravens A Sleeper Pick To Win The Super Bowl?
Of this group of early NFL Odds line movers, the only team of intrigue is the Baltimore Ravens. This is a proud franchise with excellent upper management that’s fallen upon hard times the last couple seasons. Without a playoff appearance in three years mostly due to a struggling offense, Baltimore went out and brought Joe Flacco in some new toys to play with.
He’s already built a solid rapport with newcomer Willie Snead, and the additions of Michael Crabtree and John Brown might actually pump new life into what’s been a stagnant passing attack. Add a resurgent passing game to a promising ground game with Alex Collins leading the charge, and the Ravens can get back to playing their style of ball. Don’t forget about Kenneth Dixon returning from a season-long injury. The defense is still legit, but lacks depth so injuries will be of utmost concern.
Though the Steelers are the decided -275 favorites to win the AFC North, the Ravens have the team in place to chase them down and they’re hungry!
Lets Take A Look At The Super Bowl Favorites
On the chalky side of things, the defending Super Bowl champion Philadelphia Eagles continue to get some preseason love on the futures odds. They opened at +850 to go back-to-back, but the payoff now sits at +705. There haven’t been successive Super Bowl winners since the Patriots pulled the feat in the 2004 and 2005 seasons. The franchise never won the big game up until last season. Sorry Philly, you’re not winning it again this year but I do foresee another fun season going down in the City of Brotherly Love.
The Los Angeles Rams, Minnesota Vikings and New Orleans Saints are all receiving some interest with each expected to win their respective division’s title. None of the trio currently has less than a 9.5 game season win total. The Vikes check in at 10 after winning 13 to cruise to the NFC North championship a second straight season. I foresee LA and Minnesota putting forth exceptional seasons once again, but I’m not sold on “Who Dat Nation.” The NFC South looks to once again be one of the toughest divisions in football.
Super Bowl Futures Heavy On the Chargers?
A team getting a ton of love from the betting public since the futures offs first opened are the Los Angeles Chargers. Anthony Lynn’s troops opened at 22-1 to win LIII, but have since been bought down all the way to 13-1! Remember, this is a team that lost its first four games of last season, some in heartbreaking fashion, and then went on to close the year on 9-3 SU and 8-4 ATS win streaks.
One of the league’s best defenses snagged depth in the NFL Draft, and Philip Rivers is back under center to navigate what ended up being the No. 4 ranked offense from a season ago. All the pieces are in place for LA to make a deep run. If the team can get out to a better start this time around and most importantly avoid the injury bug, the Chargers just might finally be able to live up to the preseason hype they’ve grossly failed to do in year’s past.
SUPER BOWL ODDS LARGEST LINE MOVE:
While the main focus of sports wagering involves betting on individual games, futures wagers are also quite popular in sports betting. The most popular futures in NFL betting involves the Super Bowl.
Most bookmakers will release their Super Bowl odds in February of each year, right after the Super Bowl of the prior season is completed. Thus, the initial odds are primarily based on the results of the previous year. Once the first odds are released, there will be various shifts in the odds during the spring and summer based upon personnel changes for each team. The free agency period can also turn the fortunes of several teams in the offseason. The NFL Draft in May is closely monitored, and coaching changes can certainly lead to shifts in the odds.
During the offseason, the Super Bowl odds are based on speculation. After all, the actual teams have yet to play a game. Once the season begins, the odds have a deeper rooted foundation because bettors can evaluate the teams on the field each week. It is during the regular season when the Vegas and offshore books futures odds will fluctuate the most as teams move up and down, like stocks, depending on their perceived value.
Big Super Bowl long-shots are tougher to find
The appeal of Super Bowl betting to bettors involves the favorable odds of these wagers compared to the 10/11 odds of football point spread bets. It wasn’t uncommon to find teams at odds of 200/1 before the start of the season in the recent past. However, these kind of odds have basically disappeared since the 1999 St. Louis Rams and 2001 New England Patriots ended up winning Super Bowls after being in the 100/1 range at certain points during their championship seasons.
Still, some teams are priced in the 100/1 range prior to each season. These favorable football odds can attract serious professional gamblers and casual sports fans who want to take a shot with their favorite team.
Super Bowl Betting – Good bet for the house?
Super Bowl futures are usually a favorable bet for the house. There are 32 wagering options but only one winner. Because money is pumped in on a year-round basis, online sportsbooks have plenty of opportunities to adjust the odds in their favor. If certain teams are getting bet too heavily, their odds can be adjusted to a lower payout to make the clubs a less favorable wager. In addition, teams that aren’t getting much support can have their betting odds adjusted to a higher payout to lure in more wagers.
In the past decade, Super Bowl Prop Bets have become big business in the Vegas sportsbooks and offshore. The average bettor is very comfortable wagering on prop bets for a couple of reasons. #1, they have been watching these players all season long. They feel as if they know as much about the players as the oddsmakers. #2, with so many prop bets available from the coin toss, to the halftime show, bettors assume that some props are “soft” and can be easily won.
According to CBSNews.com, sports gamblers wagered a record $158.6 million on the Super Bowl at Nevada’s 198 sports books, over $20.1 million more than in 2017. The tallies released Monday by the Nevada Gaming Control Board showed sports books made a profit of only about $1.2 million on the action, around $9.8 million less than in 2017 and not even close to the $19.7 they cleared in 2014.
Previous Super Bowl Point Spreads
Have you ever wondered how favorites and underdogs have performed historically in the Super Bowl? How about, what was the point spread for the 1st Super Bowl? Or better yet what was the point spread for all Super Bowls? Has the Super Bowl Betting line gone over or under more often historically? The answers to all of the questions can be answered below in the Super Bowl Betting History table.
|Super Bowl||Year||Location||Matchup||Line (Total)||Score||ATS Result|
|LII||2018||Minneapolis, MN||Philadelphia vs. New England||New England -4 (49)||Philadelphia 41 New England 33||Underdog-Over|
|LI||2017||Houston, TX||Atlanta vs. New Enland||New England -3 (57)||New England 34 Atlanta 28 (OT)||Favorite-Over|
|L||2016||Santa Clara, CA||Carolina vs. Denver||Carolina -5 (43.5)||Denver 24 Carolina 10||Underdog-Under|
|XLIX||2015||Glendale, AZ||Seattle vs. New England||Pick 'em (47.5)||New England 28 Seattle 24||Patriots - Over|
|XLVIIl||2014||East Rutherford,New Jersey||Seattle vs Denver||Denver -2 (47)||Seattle 43 Denver 8||Underdog-Over|
|XLVII||2013||New Orleans, LA||SF vs. Baltimore||San Francisco -4.5 (48)||Baltimore 34 San Francisco 31||Underdog-Over|
|XLVI||2012||Indianapolis, IN||NY Giants vs. New England||New England -2.5 (53)||N.Y. Giants 21 New England 17||Underdog-Under|
|XLV||2011||Arlington, TX||Green Bay vs. Pittsburgh||Green Bay -3 (45)||Green Bay 31 Pittsburgh 25||Favorite-Over|
|XLIV||2010||Miami, FL||New Orleans vs. Indianapolis||Indianapolis -5 (57)||New Orleans 31 Indianapolis 17||Underdog-Under|
|XLIII||2009||Tampa, FL||Pittsburgh vs. Arizona||Pittsburgh -7 (46)||Pittsburgh 27 Arizona 23||Underdog-Over|
|XLII||2008||Glendale, AZ||NY Giants vs. New England||New England -12 (55)||N.Y. Giants 17 New England 14||Underdog-Under|
|XLI||2007||Miami, FL||Indianapolis vs. Chicago||Indianapolis -7 (47)||Indianapolis 29 Chicago 17||Favorite-Under|
|XL||2006||Detroit, MI||Pittsburgh vs. Seattle||Pittsburgh -4 (47)||Pittsburgh 21 Seattle 10||Favorite-Under|
|XXIX||2005||Jacksonville, FL||New England vs. Philadelphia||New England -7 (46.5)||New England 24 Philadelphia 21||Underdog-Under|
|XXXVIII||2004||Houston, TX||New England vs. Carolina||New England -7 (37.5)||New England 32 Carolina 29||Underdog-Over|
|XXXVII||2003||San Diego, CA||Tampa Bay vs. Oakland||Oakland -4 (44)||Tampa Bay 48 Oakland 21||Underdog-Over|
|XXXVI||2002||New Orleans, LA||New England vs. St. Louis||St. Louis -14 (53)||New England 20 St. Louis 17||Underdog-Under|
|XXXV||2001||Tampa, FL||Baltimore vs. NY Giants||Baltimore -3 (33)||Baltimore 34 N.Y. Giants 7||Favorite-Over|
|XXXIV||2000||Atlanta, GA||St. Louis vs. Tennessee||St. Louis -7 (45)||St. Louis 23 Tennessee 16||Push-Under|
|XXXIII||1999||Miami, FL||Denver vs. Atlanta||Denver -7.5 (52.5)||Denver 34 Atlanta 19||Favorite-Over|
|XXXII||1998||San Diego, CA||Denve vs. Green Bay||Green Bay -11 (49)||Denver 31 Green Bay 24||Underdog-Over|
|XXXI||1997||New Orleans, LA||Green Bay vs. New England||Green Bay -14 (49)||Green Bay 35 New England 21||Push-Over|
|XXX||1996||Tempe, AZ||Dallas vs. Pittsburgh||Dallas -13.5 (51)||Dallas 27 Pittsburgh 17||Underdog-Under|
|XXIX||1995||Miami, FL||SF vs. San Diego||San Francisco -18.5||San Francisco 49 San Diego 26||Favorite-Over|
|XXVIII||1994||Atlanta, GA||Dallas vs. Buffalo||Dallas -10.5 (50.5)||Dallas 30 Buffalo 13||Favorite-Under|
|XXVII||1993||Pasadena, CA||Dallas vs. Buffalo||Dallas -6.5 (44.5)||Dallas 52 Buffalo 17||Favorite-Over|
|XXVI||1992||Minneapolis, MN||Washington vs. Buffalo||Washington -7 (49)||Washington 37 Buffalo 24||Favorite-Over|
|XXV||1991||Tampa, FL||NY Giants vs. Buffalo||Buffalo -7 (40.5)||N.Y. Giants 20 Buffalo 19||Underdog-Under|
|XXIV||1990||New Orleans, LA||SF vs. Denver||San Francisco -12 (48)||San Francisco 55 Denver 10||Favorite-Over|
|XXIII||1989||Miami, FL||SF vs. Cincinnati||San Francisco -7 (48)||San Francisco 20 Cincinnati 16||Underdog-Under|
|XXII||1988||San Diego, CA||Washington vs. Denver||Denver -3 (47)||Washington 42 Denver 10||Underdog-Over|
|XXI||1987||Pasadena, CA||NY Giants vs. Denver||N.Y. Giants -9.5 (40)||N.Y. Giants 39 Denver 20||Favorite-Over|
|XX||1986||New Orleans, LA||Chicago vs. New England||Chicago -10 (37.5)||Chicago 46 New England 10||Favorite-Over|
|XIX||1985||Stanford, CA||SF vs. Miami||San Francisco -3.5||San Francisco 38 Miami 16||Favortie-Over|
|XVIII||1984||Tampa, FL||LA Raiders vs. Washington||Washington -3 (48)||L.A. 38 Washington 9||Favorite-Under|
|XVII||1983||Pasadena, CA||Washington vs. Miami||Miami -3 (36.5)||Washington 27 Miami 17||Underdog-Over|
|XVI||1982||Pontiac, MI||SF vs. Cincinnati||San Francisco -1 (48)||San Francisco 26 Cincinnati 21||Favorite-Under|
|XV||1981||New Orleans, LA||Oakland vs. Philadelpia||Philadelphia -3 (37.5)||Oakland 27 Philadelphia 10||Underdog-Under|
|XIV||1980||Pasadena, CA||Pittsburgh vs. LA Rams||Pittsburgh -10.5 (36)||Pittsburgh 31 L.A. Rams 19||Favorite-Over|
|XIII||1979||Miami, FL||Pittsburgh vs. Dallas||Pittsburgh -3.5 (37)||Pittsburgh 35 Dallas 31||Favortie-Over|
|XII||1978||New Orleans, LA||Dallas vs. Denver||Dallas -6 (39)||Dallas 27 Denver 10||Favorite-Under|
|XI||1977||Pasadena, CA||Oakland vs. Minnesota||Oakland -4 (38)||Oakland 34 Minnesota 14||Favorite-Over|
|X||1976||Miami, FL||Pittsburgh vs. Dallas||Pittsburgh -7 (36)||Pittsburgh 21 Dallas 17||Underdog-Over|
|IX||1975||New Orleans, LA||Pittsburgh vs. Minnesota||Pittsburgh -3 (33)||Pittsburgh 16 Minnesota 6||Favorite-Under|
|VIII||1974||Houston, TX||Miami vs. Minnesota||Miami -6.5 (33)||Miami 24 Minnesota 7||Favorite-Under|
|VII||1973||Los Angeles, CA||Miami vs. Washington||Miami -1 (33)||Miami 14 Washington 7||Favorite-Under|
|VI||1972||New Orleans, LA||Dallas vs. Miami||Dallas -6 (34)||Dallas 24 Miami 3||Favorite-Under|
|V||1971||Miami, FL||Baltimore vs. Dallas||Baltimore -2.5 (36)||Baltimore 16 Dallas 13||Favorite-Under|
|IV||1970||New Orleans, LA||KC vs. Minnesota||Minnesota -12 (39)||Kansas City 23 Minnesota 7||Underdog-Under|
|III||1969||Miami, FL||NY Jets vs. Baltimore||Baltimore -18 (40)||N.Y. Jets 16 Baltimore 7||Underdog-Under|
|II||1968||Miami, FL||Green Bay vs. Oakland||Green Bay -13.5 (43)||Green Bay 33 Oakland 14||Favorite-Over|
|I||1967||Los Angeles, CA||Green Bay vs. KC||Green Bay -14 (N/A)||Green Bay 35 Kansas City 10||Favorite|
You Can Even Bet on Super Bowl Commercials
One of the biggest reasons that the Super Bowl has huge TV ratings every year, is the anticipation of funny commercials and Super Bowl Prop Bets. The price for this exposure continues to rise, as advertisers will be asked to pay close to $4 Million Dollars for a 30 second commercial. The betting options for Super Bowl commercials normally range from which ad will be the highest rated.