We may be just a few weeks into the 2011 Major League Baseball Betting season, but it is not too early to stop and take a look at which teams and pitchers have been overrated by the oddsmakers at this early stage.
In fact, identifying them early may be beneficial, as it then gives us plenty of time to fade these money burners the rest of the year; or until they get back on track.
Bottom 3 MLB Betting Teams:
Boston Red Sox: After a disappointing 2010, the Red Sox were supposed to be back this year, so the last thing they needed was to start out 5-10 while already dropping 9.84 units. This team ranks dead last in the Major Leagues with a team ERA of 5.58, and the Red Sox are 0-6 on the road. Keep in mind that Boston finished just 21st with a 4.20 ERA last season, so the bad pitching is not a total anomaly.
Seattle Mariners: Now this is a team that was expected to be bad, and the Mariners have accommodated by going 5-12 and losing 7.24 units. This club simply cannot hit, ranking dead last in the American League with a dismal .217 batting average including .193 vs. right-handed pitching. Even the reigning Cy Young Award winner Felix Hernandez is 1-2 with a 4.33 ERA, as the starting pitchers feel they need to be perfect to offset the offense’s ineptitude.
New York Mets: The Mets had a great first week of 2011, but then reality set in and they are currently 5-11 for a loss of 5.54 units. The best part is that the Mets are almost always overrated while playing in the New York market, so they should be great fades the rest of the year. That is good news for bettors for a team with a .238 batting average and a horrific 5.26 ERA.
Bottom 3 MLB Betting Pitchers:
Chris Carpenter: Carpenter is generally considered one of the best pitchers in baseball, but he is off to an 0-2 start with a 4.13 ERA, and the Cardinals as a team are 0-4 for a loss of 6.37 units when he takes to the bump. Now we have no doubt that Carpenter will turn things around, but he should also be overvalued all year because his greatness is no secret. Even when St. Louis went 22-13 in his starts last season, he only picked up 0.42 units.
Clay Buchholz: Speaking of overvalued, the Red Sox are down 4.59 units while going 0-3 in the games that Buchholz has started, as he is personally 0-2 with a bloated 6.60 ERA and 1.73 WHIP. Clay may have had a career season a year ago when he was 17-7 with a 2.33 ERA after never showing that kind of ability before, so he may be in line for a correction in 2011.
Michael Pelfrey: Pelfrey tailed off after the All-Star break last season after being 10-4 at the break, and that has carried over to this year as he is 0-2 with a horrific 9.72 ERA and 2.34 WHIP with the league hitting .382 off of him; the Mets are 0-4 and have dropped 4.00 units in his ’11 starts. While he may not be as bad as his current numbers, he is not as good as he looked in the first half last year either.