MLB Betting: Bottom 3 MLB Teams & Pitchers Taking Money From Bettors

We may be just a few weeks into the 2011 Major League Baseball Betting season, but it is not too early to stop and take a look at which teams and pitchers have been overrated by the oddsmakers at this early stage.

In fact, identifying them early may be beneficial, as it then gives us plenty of time to fade these money burners the rest of the year; or until they get back on track.

Bottom 3 MLB Betting Teams:

Boston Red Sox: After a disappointing 2010, the Red Sox were supposed to be back this year, so the last thing they needed was to start out 5-10 while already dropping 9.84 units. This team ranks dead last in the Major Leagues with a team ERA of 5.58, and the Red Sox are 0-6 on the road. Keep in mind that Boston finished just 21st with a 4.20 ERA last season, so the bad pitching is not a total anomaly.

Seattle Mariners: Now this is a team that was expected to be bad, and the Mariners have accommodated by going 5-12 and losing 7.24 units. This club simply cannot hit, ranking dead last in the American League with a dismal .217 batting average including .193 vs. right-handed pitching. Even the reigning Cy Young Award winner Felix Hernandez is 1-2 with a 4.33 ERA, as the starting pitchers feel they need to be perfect to offset the offense’s ineptitude.

New York Mets: The Mets had a great first week of 2011, but then reality set in and they are currently 5-11 for a loss of 5.54 units. The best part is that the Mets are almost always overrated while playing in the New York market, so they should be great fades the rest of the year. That is good news for bettors for a team with a .238 batting average and a horrific 5.26 ERA.

Also see: 2011 World Series Odds & Vegas MLB Expert Picks

Bottom 3 MLB Betting Pitchers:

Chris Carpenter: Carpenter is generally considered one of the best pitchers in baseball, but he is off to an 0-2 start with a 4.13 ERA, and the Cardinals as a team are 0-4 for a loss of 6.37 units when he takes to the bump. Now we have no doubt that Carpenter will turn things around, but he should also be overvalued all year because his greatness is no secret. Even when St. Louis went 22-13 in his starts last season, he only picked up 0.42 units.

Clay Buchholz: Speaking of overvalued, the Red Sox are down 4.59 units while going 0-3 in the games that Buchholz has started, as he is personally 0-2 with a bloated 6.60 ERA and 1.73 WHIP. Clay may have had a career season a year ago when he was 17-7 with a 2.33 ERA after never showing that kind of ability before, so he may be in line for a correction in 2011.

Michael Pelfrey: Pelfrey tailed off after the All-Star break last season after being 10-4 at the break, and that has carried over to this year as he is 0-2 with a horrific 9.72 ERA and 2.34 WHIP with the league hitting .382 off of him; the Mets are 0-4 and have dropped 4.00 units in his ’11 starts. While he may not be as bad as his current numbers, he is not as good as he looked in the first half last year either.

MLB Betting: Top 5 Teams Providing Highest ROI for Baseball Bettors

Expert Baseball PicksOdds to win 2010 World Series

With every club having 30+ games under their belts in the 2010 MLB betting season, baseball bettors have a more definitive view as to what each respective team is all about. The following list entails the biggest $$$-makers of the season to date.

1. Washington Nationals (19-15, +$1293) Having lost 100+ games each of the last two seasons, the Nationals strong start to their 2010 baseball betting campaign has come as quite the surprise. Last season, this club didn’t win its 18th game until June 17th. However this year, manager Jim Riggleman’s club sits tied for second place in the NL East 2.5-games in back of the Philadelphia Phillies. They don’t do anything exceptionally well evidenced by them being ranked in the bottom third of the league in RPG (4.18), team ERA (4.46), quality starts (15), and errors (25). They do however boast a tremendous back end of the bullpen with Tyler Clippard and (7-1) and closer Matt Capps (14 saves). The Nationals have proven to be very resilient going a $$$-making 12-3 SU (+$1376) when playing off a loss this season.

2. San Diego Padres (20-12, +$940) The Padres and their atrocious road uniforms are back in the MLB betting spotlight after winning a total of 138 games the L/2 seasons. Get used to it folks as this club is for real, and it will hang around in the NL West as long as the Giants continue failing to hit and the Dodgers starting staff continues to struggle. The offense is far from impressive with a team batting average of .243 (#24), but when it manages to get someone on base, the Padres waste no time trying to advance as they rank 1st in the league with 40 stolen bases. What’s mainly gotten the job done for SD is its pitching staff (#2 with a 2.77 ERA); the bullpen has allowed just 33 ER’s through 108 total innings of work. Manager Bud Black’s club has been money in the second game of a series winning 22 of the L/27 times.

3. Tampa Bay Rays (23-10, +$793) With manager Joe Maddon’s Rays boasting the best record in all of baseball heading into Wednesday night’s game in Anaheim, it’s only fitting that it ranks amongst the league’s most profitable teams to back. What’s been most impressive however has been this club’s ability to win ball games on the road as it’s played 18 away from Tropicana Field and stands 14-4 overall (+$1013). Offensively, there isn’t a unit better than Tampa’s whose plated an average of 5.61 RPG. It also gets the job done on the base paths already swiping 31 bases overall. If having the league’s top ranked offensive attack isn’t enough, the Rays also boast one of the premiere pitching staffs around having already churned out 23 quality starts (#2). The Rays have dominated sub .500 opponents going 15-4 on the year (+$800).

4. Toronto Blue Jays (20-16, +742) Many had the Blue Jays pegged as one of the bottom feeders in the AL East at the onset of the season, but manager Cito Gaston’s club has battled to become one of just six teams to have amassed 20 wins or more to date. Like Tampa Bay, the Jays have been road warriors going 13-6 overall and putting $1000+ profit in their MLB betting backers pockets. Offensively, the BJ’s swing big sticks as they lead the league in HR’s (52) and rank 11th scoring an average of 4.75 RPG. Pitching is not a strength as the unit ranks 18th overall (4.24 ERA) and the bullpen ranks 20th (4.24 ERA) allowing 48 ER’s in 102 total IP. The Blue Jays have upped the ante against +.500 clubs winning 12 of 15 overall.

5. New York Yankees (21-11, +$616) The defending champs have picked right back up where they left off a year ago by taking it to their opponents night in and night out. In its 11 series played to date, the Yankees have dropped two of them most recently falling in the first two games of their current series with the Tigers. The offense ranks in the top five in RPG (5.52), batting average (.276), OPS (.819), and home runs (41); it also ranks 8th with 27 stolen bases. The club’s not hurting in the pitching department either as it ranks 7th in ERA (3.57) and 5th in WHIP (1.25). The bullpen ranks 12th with a 3.68 unit ERA and has allowed just 32 ER’s through 78.1 IP. New York’s made a mint for its MLB betting backers against righties going 14-4 to date (+$820).

MLB Betting: Starting Pitchers To Fade

Odds to win World SeriesExpert Baseball Betting Picks

Even though starting pitcher’s like Kyle Davies, Ubaldo Jimenez, Livan Hernandez, Andy Pettitte, and Francisco Liriano have been lights out for their baseball betting backers to start the year, there’s always guys on the opposite end of the totem pole coming up far short of expectations. Here’s a look at some of baseball’s worst $$$ pitchers to kick off the 2010 MLB betting season.
Jeremy Guthrie (0-6, -$600) While Guthrie has been far from terrible to start the year, he’s gotten absolutely no support from his offense in his six 2010 starts. Only an average of 7.17 runs per game have been put on the board in his outings to date, but unfortunately, the Orioles have managed an average of just 2.33 RPG in those outings. In short, Guthrie is just one of many tough-luck losers in the Orioles starting rotation as four of the starting five sport ERA’s of 4.78 and below. In the rough and tugged AL East, that’s not too shabby. He’s been at his best on the road allowing just 25 hits and 11 ER’s through 26 IP (3.81 ERA), so maybe he can earn his first win of the season at Target Field later in the week.
Joe Saunders (1-5, -$541) After going 16-7 with a 4.60 ERA and being one of baseball’s biggest $$$-makers a short season ago, lefty Joe Saunders has gotten off to a nightmarish start to his 2010 campaign. The Angels have won just one of his six overall starts, and his stat line is nauseating to say the least. He owns a 7.04 ERA & 1.79 WHIP striking out 13 while issuing 14 free passes. He’s allowed 41 hits and 26 runs through just 30.2 total IP. His lone victory was a beauty at Toronto where he tossed eight innings of two-run ball, but he’s surrendered four or more ER’s in four of his other six starts. Maybe the weak hitting Mariners will get him back on track in his next start.
Kenshin Kawakami (0-5, -$536) Since taking his game over to the state’s and becoming a member of the Braves, Kawakami has had to deal with a lack of run support. That has been the case once again in the 2010 MLB betting season as the Japanese import has received just 1.60 runs of support in his five overall starts. His numbers aren’t terrible (5.47 ERA, 1.48 WHIP), but he hasn’t been durable only making it through the sixth inning in two of his starts. His day (3.00 ERA)/night (6.20 ERA) splits show a huge disparity. Though he’s had just one start under the sun, he’s been lit up at night. So, if the value calls to back Kawakami down the road, keep your fingers crossed and hope it’s a day start.
Felipe Paulino (0-5, -$511) Now in his second full season as a MLB hurler, Paulino hasn’t gotten off to the start manager Brad Mills would like to see. He’s 0-4 overall and carries a lofty 5.53 ERA. For an Astros team that’s struggled considerably at the plate (#30 at 2.81 RPG), they’re almost up against it every time he takes to the bump considering he’s allowing nearly twice the amount of runs they’ve averaged scoring on the year. While he throws smoke (23 K’s), he’s proven to be wild walking 18 batters through just 27.2 total innings of work. He’s been better at home, but not by much. Until this youngster starts to pitch and not just throw, he remains in fade mode.
Thanks for reading our article! Want to know who the best MLB handicappers in the nation are? CLICK HERE

Astros, Dodgers, Brewers, Braves putting MLB Bettors in the poor-house

Odds to win World SeriesMLB Betting Picks

The first month of the 2010 MLB betting season is almost in the books; crazy how time flies! With that being the case, baseball bettors now have a decent grasp of how the National League ranks out. We took a look at the best $$$-Makers last week, but this time around, we’re going to focus on the NL teams you should look to fade until they turn their fortunes around. Without further ado, here they are:


Houston Astros (8-17, -$783) This should come as no surprise to MLB betting enthusiasts who know that when you only win eight of your first 25 games, you’re sure to carry a nasty deficit along with you. Well, that’s exactly where the Astros sit heading into the first week of May. Brad Mills’ first go round as a manger hasn’t gotten off to the greatest of starts. Makes you wonder if he should have given up that cushy bench position in Boston. That said; the Astros have produced the fewest runs in all of baseball (2.92 RPG) and they have the league’s worst OPS (.606). When you can’t score to save your life, and every starting pitcher not named Roy Oswalt has surrendered more hits than innings pitched, you got yourself a problem! Yes Houston, you have another problem! With the team the healthiest it’s been all season, maybe it will start to turn its fortunes around. Heck, the team won eight of 10 after it opened the year 0-8. If it loses to Arizona tonight, it will mark their second eight-game losing streak of the season. Do you dare back them over their next 10?


Los Angeles Dodgers (11-14, -$778) What the heck has gone on out west with Torre’s Dodgers? This team was very balanced a year ago getting equal contributions from both the hitting and pitching. In 2010, only the Dodgers hitters have played a role as the pitching staff is the main reason why this club sits four-games under .500 heading into their three-game set with the Brew Crew. Save for Hiroki Kuroda, Clayton Kershaw, and Chad Billingsley, the Dodgers haven’t had anyone step up in the 4th and 5th starter slot. The bullpen has been a mess as well. Broxton has one freaking save! However, LA’s only played 10 games at home (7-3, +$141) and 15 on the road (4-11, -$919). With 13 of their next 19 games being played at Chavez Ravine, let’s check back at the end of May and see if the Dodgers are still killing their betting backers.


Milwaukee Brewers (10-15, -$739) MLB bettors knew coming into the season that Prince Fielder and company were going to be able to hit a ton. Good thing for manager Ken Macha that the unit has held up its end of the bargain, as the Brewers rank 7th in scoring (5.12 RPG), 12th in batting average (.268), 5th in OPS (.795), and 9th in HR’s (28). The reason for Milwaukee’s 2010 misfortune has been a very poor pitching staff that boasts the 26th ranked team ERA (5.09) and has only churned out 11 quality starts (#28). The bullpen as a hole has been a gas can just waiting to get lit up every time it gets called upon. It ranks only ahead of Arizona, Pittsburgh, and Kansas City in terms of unit ERA (5.27). Until the Brewers shore up their pen problems, look to fade and play the over since its cashed at a 64 percent clip thus far.


Atlanta Braves (11-14, -$522) Manager Bobby Cox’ last go round as the Braves skipper has been very disappointing to say the least. At three-game sunder .500, they’re nothing much of an afterthought in the NL East with the other four teams stealing all the headlines. Still, they’re only 3.5-games back with plenty of time remaining in the season. For them to make any kind of noise from here on out though, the offense is going to have to wake up from its slumber and the defense is going to have to stop booting balls. Atlanta ranks 23rd in the league scoring an average of just 4.08 RPG, and the defense ranks 28th having already committed 23 errors in 25 total games played. When you have problems scoring yourself, it’s never wise to give your opponent more than the 27 chances given to beat you. Their set to pay a pair of hitter friendly ballparks a trip over the next week (@ Philadelphia, @Milwaukee); maybe they can rediscover their offensive stroke.
Thanks for reading our article! Want to know who the best MLB handicappers in the nation are? CLICK HERE

Orioles, Red Sox, White Sox, Angels Best Teams To Bet Against In The American League YTD

Odds to win MLB World SeriesExpert MLB Betting Picks
MLB bettors almost have a full months worth of data to work with now that each team has at least got 25 games under their respective belts. We dealt with the best $$$-Makers in the AL last week, but this time around, we’re concentrating on teams you should stay away from until their courses are corrected. Here’s a look at the biggest AL $$$-Burners throughout the first month of the MLB betting season.
Baltimore Orioles (7-19, -$956) There’s only one team in baseball that already finds itself more than 10 games out of first place of their respective division. That distinction goes to manager Dave Trembley’s Baltimore Orioles who have managed to win just seven of their 26 games played to date. This squad hasn’t just stunk on the road (3-11, -$644), but it’s also wreaked in what’s supposed to be the comfy confines of Camden Yards where they’ve won just four of 12 games played to date (-$312). The offense has been brutal (#26 with 3.50 RPG), and the pitching staff has felt the brunt of it even though the starters have done a relatively decent job (#13 with 12 quality starts). If this club doesn’t improve upon its record in May, the skipper could be the first to get the axe in 2010.


Boston Red Sox (12-14, -$799) The fact that Boston just got swept at Baltimore for the first time since 1974 shouldn’t leave anyone shocked to see them on this list. Manager Terry Francona’s club has gotten it done in the early going’s with its offense (#8 with 5.04 RPG), but the pitching staff has been brutal. Only Clay Buchholz owns an ERA south of 3.00, and the bullpen has been shredded already serving up 16 HR’s which ties them for the worst mark in the league along with Arizona. Until the pitching rounds into form, don’t even think about laying the tall chalk oddsmakers continuously ask you to eat to back this team.


Chicago White Sox (11-15, -$518) Already 6.5-games in back of the Minnesota Twins in the AL Central, manager Ozzie Guillen’s White Sox underperformed grossly throughout the first month of the season. This ballclub was touted as having one of the best starting rotations ever to play inside the chalk at the onset of the season. Well, Peavy and the gang have far from lived up to expectations, as the team boasts a unit ERA of 4.75 (#22), and has only churned out 12 quality starts (#15). Those marks will have to drastically get better if Chicago is to make any noise this season evidenced by the fact that it was already known that the offense would be the weak link of this team. With a league worst .227 batting average (#30), at least the offense has lived up to expectations!


Los Angeles Angels (12-15, -$465) To say the season has gotten off to a sloppy start for manager Mike Scioscia’s Halos would be quite the understatement. MLB bettors have gotten so used to seeing the Angels tear apart the base paths with their team speed, and have its pitching staff keep opponents in check. Well, that hasn’t been the case to start the year. LA ranks 15th in stolen bases (17), 18th in errors committed (18), and both the offense and defense ranks in the bottom third of the league. Their .262 team batting average (#16) and 4.07 RPG (#24) has fallen way short of masking the pitching staffs inability to get people out. On top of that, the bullpen has stunk out loud getting hit to the tune of a .270 batting average while walking 55 and only K’ing 66. If this club continues to play at this level, their reign in the AL West will be over by the All Star break.

Thanks for reading our article! Want to know who the best MLB handicappers in the nation are? CLICK HERE

Baseball Betting Tips: American League Teams Providing Cash To Bettors

Odds to win the World SeriesExpert MLB Betting Picks

The 2010 baseball betting season is just three weeks into the action, and it’s been tough to reel in the green during that stretch with just seven AL teams posting positive returns. Here’s a look at the best bets the American League has had to offer through games played through Sunday the 25th.
1. Tampa Bay Rays (14-5, +$872) – The Rays unfortunately failed to follow up the franchise’s first ever World Series appearance with a return trip to the playoffs a year ago. With such little room for error playing in a division with the New York Yankees and Boston Red Sox, the Rays have taken no mercy upon any of their opponents to start the year. Because of it, manager Joe Maddon’s kids boast the league’s best overall record through the first three weeks of the season. When you rank in the top six in both hitting and pitching, you’re certainly doing something right. Tampa Bay owns the top ranked offensive attack in the league heading into Monday night’s action plating 5.95 RPG. The Rays are far from a station-to-station ball club evidenced by the fact that it’s stolen 21 overall bases (#2). Backing the offense up is a pitching staff that currently ranks 6th with a 3.21 ERA. The starting staff has already churned out 12 quality starts with all five in the rotation securing at least one victory. They’ve got six home games scheduled this week against the Oakland A’s and Kansas City Royals.


2. Minnesota Twins (13-6, +$579) – At this point of the 2009 MLB betting season, the Twins stood 9-9 and had dropped four of their seven games on the road. That’s been far from the case to kick off this season as the Twins sit atop the AL Central three-games ahead of the Detroit Tigers; they carry a 7-3 road record with them to Detroit and Cleveland this week. The Twinkies are one of baseball’s most balanced teams with an offense that plates 5.32 RPG (#7) and a pitching staff that owns a 3.59 ERA (#9). Joe Mauer already leads the AL in batting average at .382, and Francisco Liriano owns the 8th best individual ERA in the league (1.29). Manager Ron Gardenhire has seen his defense commit just two errors on the year (#1); you’re gonna win a heck of a lot more games in this league if you don’t hurt yourself in the field. If the offense and starting units weren’t enough to make you think this teams for real, maybe the fact that the bullpen comes in ranked 2nd overall with a 2.37 unit ERA will. Closer Jon Rauch has filled in admirably for the injured Joe Nathan by coming through in all but one of his seven save opportunities.


3. New York Yankees (12-6, +$428) – Since being dogged in all three of its games at Fenway to start the season, the defending champs have been favored in each of their L/15 games. A tip of the cap must go out to skipper Joe Girardi for managing his club to a +$$$ return through their first 18 games of the season. The offense has averaged 5.33 RPG (#6) but carries just a .265 batting average (#11). Their ability to hit the long ball (22) has definitely aided in their solid run production. Derek Jeter and company have been excellent in the field committing just six errors (#2), and veteran LHP Andy Pettitte leads the team in ERA (1.29), wins (3), and WHIP (1.07). The bullpen has been middle of the road so far going 2-2 overall with a 4.04 ERA with teams batting .242 against it. Closer Mariano Rivera has sealed the deal in all six of his save opportunities. NY closes out its nine-game road trip in Baltimore before returning home to square off against the Chicago White Sox this week.


4. Oakland Athletics (12-8, +$372) – The A’s only managed 74+ wins in each of the L/3 seasons, but Billy Beane’s “Moneyball Tactics” seem to be paying off to start the 2010 baseball betting season. Oakland is an incredibly young team that looks poised to win for many years to come provided this club sticks together. Manager Bob Geren has seen his pitching staff excel in the early stages of the season. It’s been all about the quality start for this group as it’s already churned out 14 through 20-games played. The units 2.93 ERA ranks 3rd overall while its 1.24 WHIP is good for 6th. Every member of the starting rotation has notched at least one victory with RHP Justin Duchscherer’s 1.82 ERA being the best mark on the starting staff. Opponents are batting just .219 against the A’s bullpen who is yet to blow a save this season (3-0). Offensively, the green and gold leaves a bit to be desired as the team has hit just 12 HR’s (#25) and has an OPS of .692. Still, when you’re getting pitching like the A’s have to date, you’re going to win a whole lot more than you lose. This is another feisty club that’s certainly in play-on mode to start the year!

MLB Betting: N.L. Teams making money for baseball bettors

Odds to win MLB World SeriesExpert MLB Betting Picks

The boys of summer have been going at it for three weeks. Both the Phillies and Cardinals sit atop their respective divisions, but there’s a surprising leader out west. Here’s a look at some of the best MLB Betting $$$-Makers the National League has to offer heading into this week’s action.
1. Washington Nationals (10-9, +$559) – After winning just 59 games a year ago and finding themselves the worst overall NL bet in baseball (-$2570), the Nationals currently sit tied with the New York Mets and Florida Marlins for 2nd place in the NL East. Manager Jim Riggleman has been quick to utilize his speed as the Nats rank 5th in the league with 20 stolen bases, and though the offense has only averaged scoring 4.42 RPG (#16), it ranks 13th in team batting average (.261) and 13th in OPS (.762). These stats have been amassed with 3B Ryan Zimmerman already missing six-games. The pitching staff ranks in the bottom third of the standings for ERA, WHIP, and K’s, and it has only churned out eight quality starts (#25). However, the bullpen has been decent going 4-3 with a 4.09 ERA, and closer Matt Capps has closed the door in eight of his nine opportunities. It remains to be seen if the Nats can keep their solid play going, but they’re off to a solid start.


2. San Diego Padres (11-7, +$530) – After dropping six of their first nine games of the MLB betting season, manager Bud Black’s Padres have hit the ground running. They most recently saw their eight-game winning streak snapped, but during that stretch, they swept the division rival Diamondbacks and Giants before taking two of three from the Reds to put $733 of betting profit in their backer’s pockets. Because of this hot run, the Padres shockingly sit atop the NL West standings. The offense ranks 13th scoring an average of 4.61 RPG. Though it doesn’t hit well in terms of batting average (.246), when San Diego gets on base, it runs evidenced by its 20 stolen bases (#3). Another reason for the teams early success has been the performance of the team’s pitching staff. SD’s 2.98 unit ERA and 1.20 WHIP are good for the league’s 4th best marks. Though it’s only gotten six overall quality starts, the Padres bullpen has been rock solid in protecting leads as opponents are batting just .194 against it. This is a gritty club that never quits and always takes advantage of its opponent’s miscues.
3. St. Louis Cardinals (11-7, +$223) – Surprisingly, it’s been all about the Redbirds pitching staff to kick off the 2010 baseball betting season, as the offense is yet to catch fire. Manager Tony LaRussa’s starting rotation has simply been phenomenal! It ranks 1st in ERA (2.72), 1st in WHIP (1.16), and 1st in Quality starts (15). Yeah, but how’s the bullpen you ask? Let’s just say it’s held up its end of the bargain with a 3.00 ERA with Ryan Franklin locking down six of his seven save opportunities. Though Albert Pujols and company rank 5th in the league with 24 HR’s, the offense is scoring just 4.33 RPG (#19) and has a team batting average of .246 (#18). Still, this club already holds a 2.5-game lead on the Chicago Cubs for the top spot in the NL Central, and it’s yet to fire on all cylinders!
4. San Francisco Giants (10-8, +$151) – Another team grossly struggling to plate runs but dominates its opposition with stellar pitching is San Francisco. The Giants just missed out on qualifying for the post-season a year ago due to its weak offense. In the early goings of the 2010 MLB betting season, that problem has yet to been rectified. The Giants are scoring an average of just 4.39 RPG even though it ranks 8th in team batting average (.270). Once manager Bruce Bochy’s club figures out how to actually knock those base runners in, the Giants could cruise to the NL West title. That’s because Tim Lincecum and company rank 2nd in ERA & WHIP (2.78/1.16), 7th in strikeouts (139), and 4th in quality starts (13). Backing this stellar starting staff up is the league’s 5th ranked bullpen that owns a 2.86 ERAwith opponents batting .250 against it; closer Brian Wilson has converted all four of his save opportunities. The staff will get tested mightily by the excelled offenses of both the Phillies and Rockies this week.