Notre Dame, Texas A&M, Boise State On Upset Alert In Week 1?

Looking for the dog with the biggest bark in NCAA football betting action this week? Check out our three-pack of potential upsets to go with here at BetVega!

South Florida Bulls (+10) @ Notre Dame
 Saturday, 3:30 ET


How many more times are the Irish going to fool us into thinking that they are that great of a team? Sorry, Notre Dame. You’re not that good. Head Coach Brian Kelly picked QB Dayne Crist to lead his team this year, a choice that we think might not really pay off. Sure, WR Michael Floyd is the real deal and is surely a first round NFL Draft type of talent, but aside from him, what does Notre Dame really have?

South Florida has a history of pulling off these upsets; just ask the Miami Hurricanes and the Florida State Seminoles in recent years. QB BJ Daniels looked awfully good the last time we saw him in the Meineke Car Care Bowl against the Clemson Tigers, and if he can put together that type of performance, USF can pull off this NCAA football betting upset as huge road pups.

Georgia Bulldogs (+3) vs. Boise St. Broncos Sat. 8:00 ET

BETTING ODDS: OPEN: Boise -3 | CURRENT: Boise -3.5 | OVER/UNDER: 51

The last time Boise State paid a visit to the Peach State, it was an ugly state of affairs for the orange and blue. The then darling Broncos were knocked off 48-13. In 2005, Boise was a 7.5-point underdog. This time around, it is a three-point favorite. The result won’t quite be the same, but we do think that this is Georgia’s game to lose.

The Broncos do return QB Kellen Moore, but the majority of the rest of the skill position players are gone. Meanwhile, Georgia does lose WR AJ Green, but QB Aaron Murray is back and should be one of the most improved signal callers in the land in this, his sophomore season.

Giving us three points with Georgia effectively at home at the Georgia Dome is generous. Don’t be shocked if the Broncos have their National Championship dreams squashed their first time out.

SMU Mustangs (+16) @ Texas A&M Aggies
 Sunday, 7:30 ET


Okay, maybe this is a tad farfetched. However, we definitely think that there isn’t all that much difference between these two teams in spite of the fact that A&M is a Top 10 ranked team in the country.

QB Ryan Tannehill was solid down the stretch last year, but the team just rallied around him; he wasn’t truly better than Jerrod Johnson was. The A&M defense really wasn’t all that great and shouldn’t be improved either.

SMU though, is going to be one of the more improved teams in Conference USA. QB Kyle Padron can tear this defense apart, and this is a whole heck of a lot of points to be giving a team on the College football odds. This is the game of the year though for the Mustangs, and they truly have nothing to lose against a team that is vastly overrated in my book.

College Football Upset Alert Week 1 Picks

This weekend marks the first of CFB Betting for 2010, and we have three potential upsets to get your season off on the right foot. Two of these upset candidates take place on Saturday, but the biggest payday of all should come on Sunday.

UPSET ALERT #1: Connecticut over Michigan

This is the smallest of our upsets in terms of the betting line, as Connecticut currently sits at +2½ with a money line of +120.

Yes, this game is at Michigan Stadium, but playing at the Big House has lost its luster in the last couple of years, and the Huskies are the better team that boasts the perfect style to take the crowd out of the game here. This is because of UCONN’s ability to run the ball down its opponent’s throats and plays defense.

Connecticut averaged 170.7 rushing yards per game on 4.2 yards per carry last season, and they had two runners go over 1000 yards. This year should be no different as the Huskies return four starters on the offensive line, and USC transfer D.J. Shoemate may join Jordan Todman as the second Connecticut duo to each go over 1000 yards in consecutive years.

Connecticut should take advantage of a young Michigan defense that allowed 171.9 rushing yards per game last year on 4.4 yards per carry and is now transitioning to a 3-3-5 defense.

UPSET ALERT #2: Vanderbilt over Northwestern

While we do not doubt that Northwestern will be a much better team than Vanderbilt by year’s end, we feel that the current CFB betting line of +5½ and especially the money line of +190 are overlays for the Commodores at home in their opener.

Remember that Northwestern is transitioning after losing quarterback Mike Kafka to the NFL, and Head Coach Pat Fitzgerald’s squad also lost its top two wide receivers from last year to graduation.

This team will try and run more this year after throwing the most passes in the Big Ten last year, and while that may actually work out well behind an experienced offensive line in the long run, the Wildcats may need a game or two to work out the kinks. Do you really want to lay odds on the road with a team that plans to reinvent itself like this in the first game?

Not to mention the fact that Vanderbilt is probably the better defensive team here.

UPSET ALERT #3: East Carolina over Tulsa

College football betting continues on Sunday with this potential upset-maker in Greenville, where East Carolina is +8½ and a juicy +275 on the money line at home.

Now we realize that the Pirates’ defense is inexperienced, returning only two starters from the unit that contained Chase Keenum and the high-powered Houston Cougars offense while winning the Conference USA Championship game last year.

However, the Tulsa offense slipped noticeably last year, mainly due to poor offensive line play. Well, that unit has lost its best lineman to graduation, so we do feel that the young Pirates’ front seven will be able to create some pressure, and remember that the East Carolina secondary is the best aspect of the team.

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