Texans-49ers Point Spread, ATS Picks, Score Prediction Sunday Night
This Sunday’s nightcap takes NFL bettors to San Francisco where a pair of teams in the Houston Texans and 49ers will look to get over the .500 hump. The Texans did the Niners absolutely no favors last week after choking away a 14-point lead over Seattle in the 4th quarter before ultimately falling to the Seahawks in overtime. San Francisco bounced back from its embarrassing home defeat to the Colts by taking its frustrations out on division rival St. Louis in the Thursday night game.
The 49ers currently check in as 7-point home favorites with the ‘total’ lined at 42.5 points.
TEXANS – 49ERS WEEK 5 SUNDAY NIGHT LINE:
OPEN: 49ERS -6.5 | CURRENT: 49ERS -7 | O/U: 43
1. Why the 49ERS will cover the spread: Because that’s more or less what this club has done for the better part of the L/2+ seasons in going 12-4-1 ATS the L/17 times it took to the gridiron in front of the hometown faithful. The Niners also stand a $$$-making 7-3 SU & ATS in its L/10 non-conference games, and that already includes the outright NFL betting defeat it suffered to the Colts a couple weeks back. If San Francisco’s run defense can neutralize the 1-2 punch of Arian Foster & Ben Tate and force Schaub to beat it through the air, it could be a very long night for the visitors.
2. Why the TEXANS will cover the spread: There’s nowhere to go but up after hitting rock bottom in last Sunday’s 23-20 OT loss to the Seahawks. HC Gary Kubiak’s squad seemingly had the game in the bag up 20-13 with just under three minutes remaining, but the unthinkable happened when QB Matt Schaub’s pass was intercepted and returned to the house by Richard Sherman ultimately sending a shockwave of boos throughout Reliant Stadium.
Why Houston felt the need to even throw the ball was beyond me! Run, run, run then punt the ball and leave the game in the hands of a defenses that more than held its own against Russell Wilson and company. Houston will no doubt enter this spot foaming at the mouth!
3. Total Talk: Houston looks to have taken a step back defensively this season evidenced by it allowing 4.0 YPC (#14) and an average of 113.2 YPG (#23). That’s allowed opposing offenses to put some cheap points on the board which in turn has seen the ‘over’ cash in three of their four games played to date. Since opening the season with a 34-28 barnburner with the Green Bay Packers, Niners’ games are 2-1 to the ‘under’ due to the fact that St. Louis just wouldn’t stop handing them garbage points last Thursday night. The ‘under’ has cashed five of the L/7 times the Texans played off a point spread defeat, but the ‘over’ stands 7-1 in San Fran’s L/8 at home.
4. Betting Trends for Saints/Dolphins: Just like last Monday night’s game between the Fins and Saints, these teams haven’t faced one another since 2009 so there’s not much historical data to pull from. What I do know is that the Texans will enter this match-up stark raving mad after choking away last week’s win; one only has to look at post-game interviews of a bloodied J.J. Watt to know they’ll mean business. That said, the Niners are one of the last teams in the league you want to get into a physical match-up with. They feed off it!
On top of that, Houston has failed to cover each of its L/5 road games and came up empty each of the L/2 times it went off the board dogged. San Francisco was wretched the last time it took the field in its own house, so look for it to make those season ticket holders feel as if ponying up the cash to see them play tonight was worth it.
San Francisco 24 – Houston 13