U.S. Presidential Election Odds 2016


Here is what we do know about the 2016 Presidential election….Barack Obama will not be on the ballot. Whether that makes you happy or sad, it’s a fact. Now, it seems like every rumor in the political world is pointing towards New Jersey governor Chris Christie or Jeb Bush to win the Republican nod in 2016. Hillary Clinton is the current favorite for the Democrat presidential nomination in 2016.


(updated 2/15/16)

Hillary Clinton 11/10
Donald Trump 13/5
Bernie Sanders 11/2
Marco Rubio 8/1
Jeb Bush 18/1
Ted Cruz 18/1
John Kasich 25/1
Michael Bloomberg 30/1
Joe Biden 40/1
Ben Carson 1000/1

Democratic Presidential Nominee:
Hillary Clinton 5/19
Bernie Sanders 3/1
Joe Biden 25/1

Republican Presidential Nominee:
Donald Trump 1/2
Marco Rubio 3/1
Jeb Bush 10/1
Ted Cruz 10/1
John Kasich 20/1
Ben Carson 300/1

  • Antwan


  • mike marsh

    hillary does not have a shot in hell ,old ,stupid and Bubba’s wife

    • Brett

      U sound a little butt-hurt; are you one of the countless umbers of prejudicially and ignorant Americans, who still choose to live in the past, and in turn are blind to the fact that Hillary posses the tact, strength, patience that is needed to run our country better than the countless men before her?

  • Vincent Brady

    The next GOP nominee, is not on this list. Yes our next President will be a Republican but they’re not mentioned here. If your looking for who the next commander and chief will be in 2016, look here for the answer & details early Jan. or Feb.next year. Go to:

    • DrRGP

      According to the Constitution, only one person at a time can be president, so I don’t know which two or more candidates you have in mind when you say “they’re not mentioned here.l

  • Jonathan

    At 5/1 there is tremendous value here with H.C. Ted Cruz at 50/1 is also intriguing.

    • jayvega

      Hillary is +180….little less than 2/1 odds…..still decent value considering early polling.

  • Brett

    Hillary will win it all!

    • Trev Rogers

      not exactly going out a limb there……

    • Kolodzczjzyk

      Brett go home and take your medicine, you’re hallucinating.

      • Demolish

        No I don;t think so. All you GOP will cry again, this time with Hilary he he he, remember with Obama twice

        • Kolodzczjzyk

          Personally one of the things I most proud of is that I never voted for Obama. I knew beyond a doubt that he was a liar the moment he opened his mouth. He was elected by a great majority of black voters because they voted for his skin color not his abilities, and by others who wanted to feel noble that we had a first black president, and they also didn’t give a hoot in hell if he was capable or not. He has done everything possible to destroy America either because he’s an idiot or a traitor, or both. As for Hillary, she’s smarter than Obama, but she’s a conniving twit who wants to be the first female president. Personally once again, I want the best person to be president, and am not voting for a vagina as opposed to a penis!

    • Demolish

      Thats right she will win all the way.

    • Patrick

      Bill will rule again!

    • Kolodzczjzyk

      That’s only if you think all of America is intellectually challenged as you are.

    • Timothyprevie

      thats right, all the way on hilary

  • Pocho Basura

    1st clinton crime family member to give evidence should be offered immunity and allowed entry to the witness protection program

  • Brianna LaPoint

    Jeb bush? dear god no.

    • Kolodzczjzyk

      Not a chance! I think it’s time to quit these dynasties and get back to America.

  • Jason Mormando

    Fuck Hillary, that fucking cunt… I hope she fucking dies… Trump is the future. He can’t be bought, and he loves America and Americans… Hilary doesn’t give a flying fuck about the middle or lower class. But it’s not about politics anymore anyway, it’s about popularity… So pick the most popular one, and when you go from having a nice apartment to living in a shelter, let me know if you still think you made the right choice.

    • Steven Herring

      You aren’t really bright are you Jason?

      • Jerry Plaster

        no—he isnt

    • Charles Boehme Sr

      I really like how you think. Why aren’t you running for Prez?? Sheboygan Skipper Mike

      • Mike Boehme

        I truly do think that Trump would be a very “strict” president and get things done right. He is more concerned in taking the USA back to the time when living here was enjoyable. My wife and I are disabled and are very worried that if the wrong pinhead gets elected, we could be losing our SS and VA benefits which would be a death sentence for thousands of disabled families and the honest ones needing assistance. Piss on those asshole that are scamming at this moment receiving assistance by fooling the government assistant offices. They should be deported to an island just for these types of fux. Trump WILL return this fucked up government to a state that things will return to way they were designed to function. Trump has a very solid background for MANAGEMENT to take control of EVERY situation that needs attending. My finger are crossed!! Go Trump!!

        • Jan Civil

          The adults, what’s left of them in the R party are concerned Trump could wind up being their candidate, and sinking everybody’s chances down ticket, losing both houses of Congress. I suppose my fingers are crossed as well. Go Trump!! In any case, count on losing really big, most of America is not vicious like you.

        • Tpgavin

          Racist twit

    • Timothyprevie

      you will cry for another 4yrs and thats guarantee, because the GOP candidate is got to be the worse candidate since 2012

    • Jerry Plaster

      The Republicrits have stumbled into another Presidential Election loss–they just can not bring themselves to quit trying to push Corporate suckups on the American public–Until the GOP decides to give us some sincere candidates–we simply wont see a Republican in the white House

    • Jan Civil

      If you think Trump cares anything about anyone that isn’t lining his pockets in some way you’re too gullible to live.

    • Tpgavin

      Typical Trump supporter. Thankfully your ilk is in the minority. Since you got through the screeners I’ll take my chance. FUCK you!

  • angel cuellar


  • scott

    TRUMP ..just wish I had bet when he was 100/1

    • Gene

      you still would have lost

      • scott

        hey thanks I posted this 4 months ago. now the odds are 9/2… source paddypower so from 100/1 to 9/2… all that money I lost

  • scott

    wonder what the odds are on Deez Nuts?

  • car ger
  • DrRGP

    I only wish I could understand how this works, for example, what do “Hilary 5/7” and “Rubio 5/1?” actually mean? Are the odds on Hillary 5 to 7 for winning the presidency and 5 to 1 on Rubio for winning the presidency? If so, that makes no sense at all. Rubio isn’t even certain to get his party’s nomination much less be a heavy-odds favourite to win presidency

    • Michael Bedard

      bet $1 to win $5 on Rubio

      Bet $7 to win $5 on Hillary

      translated – rubio ~20% shot – he’s really the only GOP’er left who can win if you look at the delegate distribution. so long as he doesn’t get caught with 3 hookers – he’s the nom. With H Bomb – she’d have to drop out in order to not be teh dem Nom – hence you have to bet $16 to win $1.

      • DrRGP

        Thank you very much, Mr. Bedard. I appreciate your courtesy.

      • Randy Mason

        You are wrong, odds makers do not know the odds, they make them up as they go. hence, ODDS MAKER

        • Mb

          Shrug – keep telling yourself that. The odds are based on trying to get the same level of betting on each side – but hey in the end I’m just trying to explain the overall mathematics. At no point did I state that odds weren’t in flux – and they certainly are….

          But I’m sure your ignorance in terms of advanced analytics trumps my 15 years of experience in the field.

    • Tpgavin

      Rubio 5 to 1 against. That means 1 out of 6 or about 16%
      Hillary 5 against. 7 for. Or 7 out of 12. 63 % chance.

  • Dakota

    Clinton wont be POTUS, I Know the next POTUS will be a Republican, my top picks would be Cruz, Rubio, Trump, but I do like Cruz

    • Tpgavin

      You know? Very impressive Nostradamus!

    • Kevin

      Why do you like Cruz?

    • Randy Mason

      I like Cruz as well, he is a very intelligent man, and I truly do believe he is an Honest man, and that is hard to find these days, but I would be willing to stake my life on the fact that he would do the right things if he got in office, can he fix everything over night? I doubt it, it is such a mess, it would be hard for any one man to correct all the problems, but I do believe he will get us going in the right direction, so for me, its CRUZ

      • Jim Potter

        Cruz seems to be as you have described, but we cannot forget – He is a politician. Politician’s are why we are now where we are …. in severe trouble as a Nation. However, if he is selected to run, at this point I think I would have to vote for him also.

  • I have joined the race, first seeking the Libertarian nomination, then creating a Coalition Cabinet and a Balanced Budget combined with the elimination of the Federal Reserve and the Internal Revenue Service, substituting community banking, full employment, and the Automated Payment Transaction Tax that thrives on taxing currency and stock transactions that are now exempt. My web site is http://bigbatusa.org. Imagine 100 million angry citizens contributing $10 each to my war chest — for I am assuredly waging war on the two-party tyranny that disenfranchises 60% of the voters, discounts the public treasury by 95%, and merits only scorn and disdain from all honest people. My odds today: 25 to 1. Help me change that — I am the ONLY candidate who is running to put YOU into power rather than myself. God Bless America the Beautiful.

    • Jan Civil

      So it’s only the people that think like you that are honest. A righteous pose is assuredly enough to put you above the actual system and real participation and the hard, often thankless work that people recognize as politics. You’re just trolling. “A Balanced Budget” – sure, buddy; get rid of all that REVENUE and balance the budget off of inflated air. Sure, browbeat your way to one billion dollars in contributions. That’s the ticket.

    • Lightninbolt

      25 to 1 ? LMAO Try playing the lottery.

    • Richard Lorych

      i’m sure america could be beautiful again if you became prez. unfortunately the vested interests of the military, finance, lobbyists for eveyone else, bar hoi poloi , would have your guts for garters. viva bob steele.

  • Radical Agnostic

    God is imaginary. We are on our own in a random, accidental, meaningless universe. As a species we are in serious danger of going extinct, either by “act of nature” (asteroid, supervolcano, etc.) or even more likely by “species suicide” such as nuclear war, engineered plague, or most likely “6th extinction” (destroying our own habitat, ecosystem). If we continue to believe in imaginary things, (god, prayer, faith, etc.) we have little chance of surviving. Time for our species to grow up and stop believing in Santa Claus, etc. What are the odds of electing an atheist as President?

    • Jim Potter

      You have one in office now.

      • Knickfan4life

        Oh shut up you moron

    • john wedow

      Does it include the Easter Bunny

    • Chief

      It’s you who are living in a fantasy world when God’s creation is evident everywhere to say there is no God when history proves that Jesus Christ was a real person who was crucified just because you are a atheist I want to believe you Evald from slog or that your ancestors Suong from a tree by faith I choose to believe God came down to earth and human form to give us life and give it to us more abundantly and I’m not going to get into the Debate on that its A faith walk in it seems you have none oh your faith walk is the Big Bang theory

      • Radical Agnostic

        Chief. You are correct. I made up God. I will send you to hell, though doing so out of love. I will toast you on flaming coals, for eternity, telling you I love you every minute as the demons stick you with pitchforks. Right.

  • DrRGP

    When to these odds change? They are dated17 November.

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  • H S

    This site is unreliable i.e. it Blows.. Now 1/30/16, the Iowa caucus is 2 days away, yet there are no updated odds.. Forget this crap..

  • Matthew Geddis

    Trump/Kasich in 2016
    Republican Ticket!!

    • Dennis Kirkpatrick

      Yes sounds good

    • Matt

      lol..sounds like a loosing ticket. In fact anything with Trump at the top sounds like a loosing ticket. I think the three most recent national polls have Clinton Beating Trump by 12, 10 and 18 points in a hypothetical matchup. And thats before a national barage of advertisements starts inundating the entire nation with Trumps history, record, troubling associations, lack of expertise and basic ignorance of US Constitutional law and governement policy. Just in the last month we’ve seen Trumps negatives shoot up and poll numbers for a general election matchup drop. What happened in that time? The Republican Party realized its voters were about to make an unprecedented mistake and nominate a historically weak general election candidate who is so toxic he could destroy the party as a national force that party elders finally started hitting Trump with targeted ad campaigns in certain states. Unfortunately for the party, its voters have still turned a blind eye to it, choosing to rather live in complete ignorance of political realities and the world in general. But General Election voters, a much more diverse bunch than the small % of the electorate that participates in the Primaries, responded and his numbers (which were already atrocious) got even worse. A full national campaign backed by the Democratic Party/Clinton Machine/Obama Machine could make it even worse.

      Its hard for a person to do well when a stunning 68% of the nation has a very negative view of that person, 53% have an “extremely negative” view of Trump and a majority of the country thinks the man and his campaign has “fascist undertones” (for those who don’t know, a fascist is someone like Adolf Hitler and his allies in the Axis powers of the Second World War II, Italy and Japan). Its hard to see people who think Trump has essentially Hitler-like “undertones” voting him into the white house and handing him control of thousands of the most advanced nuclear weapons on earth. Adolf Hitler was elected to power before he went on to essentially end democracy in Germany (at that time), there’s a reason we learn history in school (also interestingly Hitler won power with the same kind of resentment politics and nationalistic furor that Trump utilizes today).. Its difficult to win, when your claim of electoral strength is how great you do with white working class men, an electoral group whose strength has been in long decline while he performs atrociously with the groups whose strength is quickly growing (single women, hell women just in general and they’ll make up 52-53% of the electorate likely this year, Latino’s, African Americans, Asian Americans and millenials who are now the largest generation in the country, surpassing the baby boomers). He’s basically banking on only white votes (and really only white men, especially white working class men, as the more educated tend to run from the man) and given that somewhere around 30% of whites consider themselves progressive Liberals and thus not likely to vote republican no matter what, theres just not enough of this white vote left to win a general election. Maybe in 1980 it was possible, but in 2016 non-whites make up a much larger share of the electorate.. Mitt Rommney learned this the hard way, in 2012 he had to bank on a strategy that relied overwhelmingly on white voters thanks to his toxic immigration stance in the primary. And he actually did very well with white voters, tying Reagan himself for his share of the white vote with somewhere between 56-59% of the overall white vote. In the 1980’s that was enough for Reagan to win in a landslide (every state but DC and Minnesota in his reelection!) but in 2012 Romney lost in a electoral college landslide and by a comfortable margin in the popular vote. He lost 12 of the 13 battleground states). You’d think the GOP would learn (and much of the establishment largely did, its the party’s ignorant voters who don’t want to face reality), its not going to get any better demographically, 2016 will only be less white and more diverse than 2012 (on average over the last 25 years, each successive presidential contest see’s the white share drop by around 2% while the non-white vote increases by about 2%). So in a party that is defying logic and thinking its path to electoral success is to run to white voters and try to win with only their votes its extremely bad that litterally every month thousands of old white voters die (and these voters are increasingly the GOP base) and are being replaced by thousands of hispanic and asian citizens turning 18 or finishing the naturalization process and gaining full citizenship.. This center cannot hold..

      • Bridget Sandusky Mullins

        Excellent comment Matt. I was raised in a faithful democratic family in a Detroit suburb. By the time I was a teenager I already had figured out I wanted nothing to do with the democratic party and chose in private to be a republican. I am 46 and have voted republican every single election (except when I voted Ron Paul Independent one time). In the last year I have watched as my republican party slowly nominates an immoral crook. I have decided to no longer identify myself as a republican. I will not be responsible for putting this type of person in the white house. So I will either not be voting this election or I might even vote Hillary just out of anger and spite. Is this what they mean by trump is “destroying the republican party”? I wish I could know how many people feel like I do. I have a feeling its a massive #….

        • Alexander Smith

          I have a feeling you are a very lonely person with your thoughts, but if you can get Mitt Romney, Billy Kristol and Glen Beck to be your friends then at least you’ll have them.

          Trump will be the next President and because he can’t be controlled by the oligarchy controlling both the establishment GOP and DEM parties, he will be one of our greatest Presidents!

    • a. palmer jr.

      No way Trump will pick Kasich now, after the dirty dealing with Cruz to keep Trump from winning the nomination.

  • Packfan4

    This November, we’ll get two presidents for the price of one! The perfect scenario!!

  • a. palmer jr.

    As the year goes on I see less chance of us getting a President that will be good for the US. If Clinton gets in I’m afraid we’re done for..

  • Arturo Cantante

    What are the odds in Las Vegas that Trump will be impeached within 90 days if he is elected POTUS? Or maybe impeached sooner.