Alex Smart

Alex Smart

Alex Smart Alex Smart
Alex Smart Sports - NBA All Star Side Smash on board for Sunday Feb 17.Get the info the books do not want you to have.

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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS

Match Up Pick Rating Result Profit Analysis
Alabama vs Texas A&M Alabama -1½ -109 Premium Lost -$109.0
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 Avery Johnson’s Alabama enters this game with one goal and that is to get a win here, because if they lose this game  their tournament chances are probably gone.  After two ugly blowout losses they are desperate. With the Tide playing with a sense of urgency Im betting they cross the finish line ahead of the Aggies and get us the win and cover here tonight. 

( note: TexasA&M beat Alabama 81-80 as road dogs about a month agao and now the Tide have revenge on board)

 . ALABAMA is 7-0 ATS after having lost 2 of their last 3 games this season.ALABAMA is 8-0 ATS  after scoring 55 points or less over the last 3 seasons. 

Johnson is 11-1 ATS  after scoring 55 points or less as the coach of ALABAMA.

 A&M is 9-18 ATS in all home games over the last 2 seasons

CBB Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (ALABAMA) - revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less, off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite 37-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Alabama to cover 

UNLV vs Wyoming Wyoming +5½ -110 Premium Lost -$110.0
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UNLV enters the game dumping the cash for their supporters on a regular basis of late , failing to cover 6 of their L/7 . Meanwhile, Wyoming is 4-1 ATS in their L/5 games , and viable bets here vs a poor travelling Rebels squad that is 5-6 SU/ATS on the road this season and have failed to cover 4 of their L/5 away.

WYOMING is 7-0 ATS  in home games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.

UNLV is 2-9 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons. UNLV is 9-22 ATS against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Wyoming to cover

St. Peter's vs Siena OVER 116 -115 Premium Won $100
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When these teams played back on January 3rd they combined for 125 points. Im betting on a similar output here today. It must also be noted that Siena is off a 107-100 offensive slugfest last time out, and could easily still be a run and gun mood here vs a St.Peters team allowing more than 70 ppg on the road this season. 

CBB teams where the total is 129.5 or less (SIENA) - off a home loss, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a bad team (20-40%) are 35-8 OVER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors.

CBB Road teams where the total is 119.5 or less (ST PETERS) - after scoring 65 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games are 34-10 OVER  L/5 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play OVER 

Vanderbilt vs Tennessee Vanderbilt +18½ -109 Premium Won $100
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 The Tennessee Vols come off a lopsided loss vs Kentucky that abruptly snapped their undefeated SEC streak this past weekend and are now expected by the public  to angrily come storming out here tonight  and hand out  a beating on hapless Vanderbilt.  The Vols might snatch the win , but how motivated they will be after that big time clash and negative result is something that Im questioning, as its never easy getting back the same energy levels immediately after having taken part in a proverbial heavy weight battle for any competitor. Especially if that competitor was knocked out and humbled in the process.  Add to that the the price on the line offered seems a little exuberant , considering this is a rivalry game that has seen Vandy cover 6 of the L/7 meetings. I know Im playing physiologist here in my perception of this matchup, but from an empirical standpoint my numbers also suggest we have a  mathematical edge on the line no matter what the  situation and thus offers up line value for advantage players. I know it's not easy betting against the Vols, and backing a struggling side like the Commies but its all about edges, and win or lose this methodology must always be in place in my humble opinion. With that said, Im recommending we take the points. 

Drew is 10-1 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 16 or more  assists/game after 15+ games as the coach of VANDERBILT. 

Play on Vanderbilt to cover 

St. Peter's vs Siena OVER 116 -115 Won $100
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PREMIUM PICK STREAKS

  • All Sports Picks (+10729)  2801-2493  L5294 53%
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  • CFL Sides (+802)  43-31  L74 58%
  • NCAA-B Picks (+202)  83-74  L157 53%
  • NFLX Sides (+108)  12-10  L22 55%

SERVICE BIO

SERVICE BIO

Experience & Awards

I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. 

My picks have been documented for 20 years.  I have earned numerous top 10 Basketball and Football finishes.  

My college football picks have profited in 16 of my last 18 seasons. In 2011 I went 68% for the year.

I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009  in a prestigous event.  I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006.  In 2014 I overcame a slow start to finish 59-32 65%!  

I have been an NBA World Champion with 7 winning seasons the last 8 years.  

I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. 

Handicapping Approach

I have a firm belief in my systems.  There is not a sport I feel I can not beat.  

My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned.  I have a large database of information and statistics.  I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form.  I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement.

Sports Betting Is An Investment

Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance.  The same is true of financial analysts.  The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. 

Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage.  You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable.

I think sports betting is even better than the stock market.  The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched.

In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool.

I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor!

This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously!

Money Management

To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin.  You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll.

If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game.  No more than 3% on the best bets.

This might seem a little on the low side.  But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books.  You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality.

Here are some additional guidelines I recommend.

1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources.

2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea.

3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line.  It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture.

4. Buy off the hook on key numbers.

5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling.

6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base.

These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits.

I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself.

*Almost all selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). Strong selections will see our single game wagers doubled.  These plays are rated as GENERALS CLUB selections.