Alex Smart

Alex Smart

Alex Smart Alex Smart
Alex Smart Sports - Where winning means everything. Get the bankroll expanding info the books do not want you to have.

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Alex Smart Sports- College Football Early Steam - Miami Fl vs Florida

Non Conference instate rivals the Florida Gators and Miami Hurricanes open up the 150th College Football anniversary season against each other on August 24. Which side has the ATS edge? Your 100% Guaranteed answer is locked and loaded and ready to make the books pay for taking our scholastic gridiron action. Kick off 7:30 pm et (Steam Action)

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Alex Smart Sports- College Football Early Steam - Miami Fl vs Florida

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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS

Match Up Pick Rating Result Profit Analysis
Nationals vs Braves OVER 11 -102 Premium Lost -$102.0
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Both these pitchers have not faired overly well vs current batting orders.  Washingtons batting order has gone 33-for-100 (.333) versus the Braves starter  Gausman and Braves hitters are 19-for-57 (.333) Nats starter against Ross.  Gausman's splits are better overall, but all in all both pitchers in tandem should support this total going over the total.

GAUSMAN is 8-1 OVER  vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse this season. (Team's Record)  with a combined average of 12.1 rpg scored. 

We have a high total attached to this game , but rightly so. It must be noted that the last six Sunday Night Baseball games with an over/under of 10 or higher have seen the OVER cash 6 straight times  season eclipsing the  number  by  3.3 rpg. (dating back 13 seasons)

Play on the OVER 

Fever vs Sky Fever +5 -105 Premium Lost -$105.0
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My power ranking suggest Indiana despite of their dismal record matches up well against streaking Sky. When these teams played back on June 15 Chicago won 70-64 at Indiana  in a game that essentially was up for grabs, and Im betting on a repeat confrontation here. Note: Indiana has won 4 straight on the road in this series and gets the nod to cover again. 

Sky are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.Sky are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Fever are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Fever are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.Fever are 19-7-1 ATS in the last 27 meetings in Chicago.

WNBA Road teams (INDIANA) - after 4 or more consecutive losses against opponent after 1 or more consecutive wins are 31-9 ATS L22 seasons for a 78% conversion rate! 

 Play on Indiana to cover 

Nationals vs Braves Braves -145 Premium Won $100
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Atlanta starter Kevin Gausman (2-5, 6.21 ERA, 64 SO) will return from the injured list to make his first start since June 10. The veteran right-hander has spent the past couple weeks expanding his two-pitch mix with the development of a cutter and curveball and reports say hes come a long way and is my choice here tonight against the Nationals. Meanwhile, Nats starter Joe Ross (0-1, 11.05 ERA, 12 SO) to start Sunday’s series finale to pitch for the injured Austin Voth and Max Scherzer. Ross appeared in 17 games for Washington this year during a failed experiment as a reliever before being sent to Triple-A work as a starter again andvery much looks like cannon fodder here tonight in Georgia. Note:Ross is 1-2 with a 7.40 ERA in six games (five starts) against Atlanta. Current Braves hitters are 19-for-57 (.333) against him. 

Braves are 4-1 in Gausmans last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Braves are 9-3 in Gausmans last 12 home starts.

MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (WASHINGTON) - good offensive team (4.7 or more  runs/game) against a poor starting pitcher (ERA 5.70 or worse) (NL), after allowing 4 runs or less 3 straight games are 6-33 L/22 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Atlanta Braves to win on the ML

Marlins vs Dodgers UNDER 8½ -110 Premium Lost -$110.0
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Marlins rookie starter Jordan Yamamoto(4-0, 1.59 ERA, 34 SO)is the third pitcher in franchise history to open his career with a streak of at least four wins. Yamamoto also has 34 strikeouts in 34 innings and WHIP of 0.94. He has not allowed more than four hits in any of his six starts and Im betting on his momentum to remain intact here today vs the Dodgers.Note: The southpaw owns a 34-to-17 strikeout-to-walk ratio with 15 hits allowed over 34 innings of quality work. , the dodgers top tier hurler,Walker Buehler (8-1, 3.44 ERA, 120 SO) had a ugly start and struggled early on Tuesday, allowing six runs (two earned) in the first two innings against the Phillies. He eventually bounced back and turned a nasty beginning into a quality start (two earned runs over six innings), while taking a no-decision.The Dodgers righty has garnered a 5-1 record along with a stingy 2.79 ERA over his last 12 outings and is more than capable of slowing down a very inconsistent Marlins offence .

Under is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Under is 6-1 in Marlins last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 6-1-1 in Marlins last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 12-3-1 in Marlins last 16 road games.Under is 4-1 in Marlins last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 4-1-1 in Marlins last 6 games following a loss.Under is 5-2 in Marlins last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 9-4-1 in Marlins last 14 overall.Under is 9-4-1 in Marlins last 14 on grass.

Under is 5-2 in Dodgers last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Under is 7-3-1 in Dodgers last 11 during game 3 of a series.Over is 11-5-2 in Dodgers last 18 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 6-1-1 in Dodgers last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Under is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 home games.

BUEHLER is 10-1 UNDER vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.7 rpg scored. BUEHLER is 9-1 UNDER in home games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6 rpg going on the board. BUEHLER is 14-4 UNDER at home when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.4 rpg clicking in on the scoreboard. 

MIAMI is 23-9 UNDER in road games vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season this season with a combined average of 7.3 rpg going on the board.MIAMI is 25-9 UNDER as a road underdog of +150 or more this season with a combined average of 7.3 rpg going on the board. 

Under is 4-1 in umpire Wegners last 5 games behind home plate.Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.

Play UNDER

A's vs Twins A's +123 Premium Lost -$100.0
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As starter Daniel Mengden (5-1, 4.21 ERA, 34 SO) has gone 5-0 in six starts since losing to Cleveland in his season debut, allowing fewer than two runs in four of the outings and more than three just once. Mengden picked up a win against the Twins on July 2 in Oakland despite allowing five runs over 5 2/3 innings the one time he struggled so far.  MENGDEN is 7-1  against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 in his career. (Team's Record) OAKLAND is 15-3  against the money line against AL Central opponents this season. MENGDEN is 8-0  against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

MINNESOTA has lost 12 of 18 games against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season. 

 .Athletics are 44-11 in their last 55 vs. American League Central.Athletics are 8-2 in their last 10 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Athletics are 20-6 in their last 26 games vs. a right-handed starter.Athletics are 16-5 in their last 21 during game 4 of a series.Athletics are 21-7 in their last 28 road games.Athletics are 6-2 in their last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.Athletics are 7-3 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Athletics are 36-16 in their last 52 games on grass.Athletics are 38-17 in their last 55 overall.

PINEDA the Twins starter has pitched well of late as well but  is just 13-23  against the money line after giving up  2 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings in his career. (Team's Record)

Athletics are 5-0 in Mengdens last 5 road starts.Athletics are 5-0 in Mengdens last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Athletics are 7-0 in Mengdens last 7 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Athletics are 4-0 in Mengdens last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.Athletics are 6-1 in Mengdens last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Athletics are 5-1 in Mengdens last 6 starts vs. American League Central..Athletics are 4-1 in Mengdens last 5 starts during game 4 of a series.Athletics are 4-1 in Mengdens last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Athletics are 22-8 in Mengdens last 30 starts.Athletics are 21-8 in Mengdens last 29 starts on a natural surface.

Twins are 1-5 in their last 6 overall.Twins are 1-5 in their last 6 games on grass.Twins are 1-5 in their last 6 home games.Twins are 0-5 in their last 5 Sunday games.

Play on the Oakland As to win on the ML

#Marlins vs #Dodgers UNDER 8½ -105 Premium
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Marlins rookie starter Jordan Yamamoto(4-0, 1.59 ERA, 34 SO)is the third pitcher in franchise history to open his career with a streak of at least four wins. Yamamoto also has 34 strikeouts in 34 innings and WHIP of 0.94. He has not allowed more than four hits in any of his six starts and Im betting on his momentum to remain intact here today vs the Dodgers.Note: The southpaw owns a  34-to-17 strikeout-to-walk ratio with 15 hits allowed over 34 innings of quality work. , the dodgers top tier hurler,Walker Buehler (8-1, 3.44 ERA, 120 SO) had a ugly start and  struggled early on Tuesday, allowing six runs (two earned) in the first two innings against the Phillies. He eventually bounced back and turned a nasty beginning into a quality start (two earned runs over six innings), while taking a no-decision.The Dodgers righty has garnered a 5-1 record along  with a stingy 2.79 ERA over his last 12 outings and is more than capable of slowing down a very inconsistent Marlins offence .

Under is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Under is 6-1 in Marlins last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 6-1-1 in Marlins last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 12-3-1 in Marlins last 16 road games.Under is 4-1 in Marlins last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 4-1-1 in Marlins last 6 games following a loss.Under is 5-2 in Marlins last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Under is 9-4-1 in Marlins last 14 overall.Under is 9-4-1 in Marlins last 14 on grass.

Under is 5-2 in Dodgers last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Under is 7-3-1 in Dodgers last 11 during game 3 of a series.Over is 11-5-2 in Dodgers last 18 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 6-1-1 in Dodgers last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Under is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 home games.

BUEHLER is 10-1 UNDER vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 5.7 rpg scored. BUEHLER is 9-1 UNDER in home games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6 rpg going on the board. BUEHLER is 14-4 UNDER at home when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6.4 rpg clicking in on the scoreboard. 

MIAMI is 23-9 UNDER in road games vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season this season with a combined average of 7.3 rpg going on the board.MIAMI is 25-9 UNDER as a road underdog of +150 or more this season with a combined average of 7.3 rpg going on the board. 

Under is 4-1 in umpire Wegners last 5 games behind home plate.Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.

Play UNDER 

Marlins vs Dodgers UNDER 8½ -110 Lost -$110.0
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#Marlins vs #Dodgers UNDER 8½ -105
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SERVICE BIO

SERVICE BIO

Experience & Awards

I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. 

My picks have been documented for 20 years.  I have earned numerous top 10 Basketball and Football finishes.  

My college football picks have profited in 16 of my last 18 seasons. In 2011 I went 68% for the year.

I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009  in a prestigous event.  I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006.  In 2014 I overcame a slow start to finish 59-32 65%!  

I have been an NBA World Champion with 7 winning seasons the last 8 years.  

I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. 

Handicapping Approach

I have a firm belief in my systems.  There is not a sport I feel I can not beat.  

My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned.  I have a large database of information and statistics.  I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form.  I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement.

Sports Betting Is An Investment

Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance.  The same is true of financial analysts.  The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. 

Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage.  You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable.

I think sports betting is even better than the stock market.  The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched.

In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool.

I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor!

This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously!

Money Management

To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin.  You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll.

If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game.  No more than 3% on the best bets.

This might seem a little on the low side.  But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books.  You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality.

Here are some additional guidelines I recommend.

1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources.

2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea.

3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line.  It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture.

4. Buy off the hook on key numbers.

5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling.

6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base.

These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits.

I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself.

*Almost all selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). Strong selections will see our single game wagers doubled.  These plays are rated as GENERALS CLUB selections.